rna rza. S s fhe externalization activitY fishing in murkY uaters ' is more or less the same as the activity of. Analogies are often misleading, but in this particular ...
I
The Export Behaviour
located
of Smaller-sized firms
in the Greater
Manchester area:
by
Dafnis. N. Coudounaris
dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the nequirenents for the degree of Master of Science in International Business in the Faculty A
of
Technology
1984 I
{
CHAPTER VI
THE EXTERNALIZATION STAGES
THEORY
AND
BEHAVIOURAL THE EXTERNALIZATION STAGES
MOOEL
282
SUI4Í'4ARY
i
1¡ Chapter VI, ve develop the Externalization Stages Theory based upon our surve!'s emPirical findings on:
Éirst, the Business Characteristics of firms: Çecond, the Management Behaviour of firms; and fhird, the Opinions of managers in the Internationalization
stages.
ln addition \ue develop the Externalization
Stages Behavioural Model based
6¡ information provided by our Behavioural
ModeIs
BIr
BZ and 44.
?93
CHAPTER
T ou,ards
irms
-
VI
an evolutionar theor on the In ternation alization staqes theory The Ex rnaliza
rocess of
to conceptualize on the j-nternationFollouing several earLier attempts alternative theory to the alization process of firms, here ve offer an
is
based on an
lnternationalization stages theory. The proposed theory (input of 110 firms rvhich provided us ruith complete accumulated body of data calculations' questionnaires and therefore have been used in ccmputational
rest, 24 firms present research, in order to have been classified as Non-exporters). The rvell as to cope vith the cope Uith the enormous number of variables as
86
of the firms
have been
classified as Exporters
and the
from the limited computer space/capacity, disti-nguished the Non-exporters according to their repli.es fo leading questions and to specific Exporters
of the questionnnaire. In other vords, the researcher divided Internationalization stages of firms into tuto different divisions:
PARTS
The Non-exPortersr stages and
Due
the
The ExPorters' stages'
to the
same
limitations
to use the Opinions of
and obstacles
managers
the researcher has been forced
in the International-ization stages in
a
separate run.
Leaving aside the above timitations
'
\ue develop belovt
the theory of the
Externalization stages, utilizing:
(i) (
11)
(lrrJ
(ModeI The Non-exportersr stages behavioural, model The
Ba
Exporters' stages behavioural model (Model Bt)b
The opinions
(Model A4)c Chapter.
)
)"
and
in the Internationalization stages (See Footnotes for a, b, and c at the end of the
of
managers
284
The
x
transition rna rza
irical
from S
evidence
to the s nthesis of
the
s
fhe externalization activitY fishing in murkY uaters '
is
more
or less the same as the activity of
but in this particular caset our analogy Analogies are often misleading, difficutt it is to enqage in export'ing' serves a main purpose: to shour horv
fheaboveanalogyisexplainedasfollol¡s:Likethefishermanuhotriesto The fish is the fish, in the same u,ay the firm tries to generate business' business order, the fishing hook
is the decision
maker's entrepreneurial
spirit
represent the bait is ryhatever the firm can offer/supply. The murky uaters is harsh' lf the the international scene in business uhere the competition
and
bait is
enough and
the fishing hook sharp, then the fisherman uill catch a
bigfish.Clearly,inthissection,i.nanattempttodevelopourproposed empirical findinç externalization stages theory, rle rlill discuss our surveyts (see Sect'ion 6.2. belory); on first (i) Tne business characteristics of firms second(ii)Themanagementbehaviouroffirms(seesection6.J.belou)and stages (see third (iii) The opinions of managers in the internatíonalization section 6.4. belorY).
of firms as the It uould be appropriate, first of all, to make clear vhat ue consider the follorlíng business characteristics of firms' The researcher considers of the business four broad categories of characteristics as the determinants
6,2,
The business characteris tic s
characteristics of firms:
(i) the firm,s characteristics (ii) the firm,s characteristics
ryhether Non-exporter BEY0ND
or Exporter'
and DURING the
first export order
(for ExPorters' onIY)r (iii)tr¡efirm'scharacteristicsDURINGtheperiodAFTERthefirstexport order (for ExPortersr onlY)
and
285
characteristics ruhether Non-exporter or Exporter' (1V) the manager's ve discuss the above four broad categories of characteristícs: geLo'ú '
L)
The firmrs
(f982)
Czínkota
characteristi cs ulhether
Non -ex
I:
The
orter
inhismodeloflnternationalstages,classifiedfirmsunder
as indicated the folloruing eight stagesl
Fiqure
Ler or
in Figure I
beloul:
'Inter national St aqes bv Czinkota
Stage DescriPtion ComPletelY uninterested firm I PattiallY i'nterested firm ? ExPloring firm I ExPerimental exPorter 4 ' DisaPPointed exPort'er 5 TemPorarilY declining exPorter 6 ExPerienced small exPorLer 7 ExPerienced large exPorter B
leurc", å:i:l:É,''::i*,tÍåt5;rå,*ü:!i"È"1;å.Tãon"Ë1,,"r, L98Z' p' 48' Neur
York; Praeger Éublishers,
exportefr' (stage to czinkota (rgg2)2 th" stage of the "Disappointed in t'he five of his model) deals ulith firms u¡hich have engaged in exporting their export perhaps even exporting currently but are decreasing
According
past and are
is not found activities. An identicar stage to the "Disappointed exporter'r to the stage of in our survey (see Table 6.1. opposite). Houevert very close stages the ,'Disappointed exponter" is the stage eight of our Externalization ruhich deals rvith model¡ the'tDisappointed and declining exporter"
years).
but
are
in exporting in Èhe past and are currently exporting (urithin the next ttuo to decrease their export activities over time
have engaged
planning
firms that
¡¡t
r..-EÐr.b lÞ r¡E 4rrh ú.-.d.ba-Fr.ç
t
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úaa
þrç lE l¡r ald Úl È to¡¡-rq s.-Ú b ¡r le¡l-l¡-¡otr
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Dtt
DE
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tu¡t{
rÈ úr d rb l¡F,. LE¡¡q-EFE¡ lttd ;ú-r&14
t!.
ú-tt
t-¡t
G'
a
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h
u
0-tt
a
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l¡
¡0
7
a-,
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Þl¡r.¡..È¡&tr.
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a
f¡
Ía
f¡
Í¡
fa
d
r¡Ú¡.I (. !.¡.
t
h l¡r.'. s.¡b¡r -.d¡ rb. !.u (0.1. ¡r- rl¡ ryl xr-¡ -¡É b srù¡-. FÉ¡4 (¡¡ r rb l¡.¡¡. lc.¡ .ru¡ fE ôt .l- !ù Gd¡ ro¡lù¡4 eq E Fñ19 (¡l t .h -rù'û llr¡ . lú.¡ .ú d¡ d- ù.úr- lr b .*ù -4óhtFrrÓ. a)b¡¡¡-brat
&{o t¡-s
¡-l
&¡¡
tr-E
tr¡ Ia
l¡) ú Þ.ù¡d. Frú14 d{ I th r¡r.'. ..rd .il¡ ,.. ¡r .É. rb -úr.a rh .rwó ¡ñ F.¡-l r*b ¡¡¡ ¡ú ¡l .) h r. h ¡tt! w.ú lll tttÈ
- k' t. &
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b '¡rr rla
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r.t¡{
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tl
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.rF.t
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tt
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t-¡¡ [5
[¡
..t.. b r¡r¡ {1q..*r¡ Ê¡¡l¡.t¡ d rb Ftûl+ a rn.vo.l ¡1.. 9.1.¡¡.r. . th rd¡r ¡b. .r.ll r. l¡ h r¡.r d.
d
Í5
ol l¡.r.¡4
ldl. b tollD¡4 4..1d. þ .ry.| brÈ.. r. rodlÔ .Ò... .4r¡aú rydtb-EúE tu¡É. d d ¡q(nr .l8i
N Co
ú rb ar. E!
8A'
lb
-.
¡d
Í¡
l.r .
br*¡¡6
b rb
rF
h
b.Pr....'
ibl
.tÐ -¡
d '¡)
tt_
h 'qbt"
'rF
Ú¡
(i¡ '¡l
o\
t¡
287
the stage Six
of Czinkota's model, the "Temporarily declining exporterr',
urhich deals ruith
reduced the
firms that have exported ín the past, have currently
size of their export actÍvities and are planníng to increase
their activities again over timeJ, is Ídentical to the Stage Tuelve of our Externalization stages model, the "Successful concentrated exportertt (see fable 6.f.) uith the exception that the majority of firms of this stage:
-
in exporting in the past ' have currently reduced the size of their export activities' have a person or persons specificatly assigned to travel abroad in of foreign market opportunities for l-15 times a year and for \ ueeks at a timet have engaged
sea¡ch
t+
-
employ home sales expertst employ export sales
specialists and the percentage of the export sales
specialists to the total sales staff is less than
10,"ít
- make use of training courses for their export staff, and - in case of a serious export business problem, one ulhich seems to be insoluble u¡ithin the firmrs organization they rlould seek external consultancy advice but they ryould not look around for a partner.
It is vorth noting that the Stage Thirteen of our Externalization
stages
model, the "Successful saturated exporter" deals ruith firms uhich have
in exporting in the past, have currently reduced the size of their export activities, have no person or persons specifically assigned t,o travel abroad in search of foreign market opportunities for a number of ueeks at a tirne, do not make use of training courses for their export stage and in engaged
case of
a
seDious export business problem, one vhich seems
to be insoluble
ruithin the firmrs organizatior¡ they ruould seek external consultancy advice and urould look around
for a partner.
288
flrom analyses made by
that
managers
possessed
Cavusgil, Bilkey and Tesar OgTg)4, it
of firms vith
no experience
ruas revealed
- that is, non-exporting firms -
definite expectations regarding the effects of exporting' varying
from very favourable
to very unfavourable.
6.I. above, and Table 6.I8.rit is obvious that the majoríty of managers of firms ruith no experience in exporting, that is the firms of
From Table
Stages Tuo, Three and Four have
of our Externalization stages model (the firms
not tried exporting, see Table 6.1.) possess favourable to unfavourable
expectations regarding the effects
An AID
profile
of exporting (see TabIe 6.2. opposite).
ruhich vas made ofl exporting
firms (see Cavusgil, Bilkey
Tesar (L979)5 classifying them only according
to their
percentage
of
and
sales
exported, revealed firsÇ among other charaeteristics, the firms that exported
a large percentage of their total sales GZ.O per cent compared uith the
of B.B per cent) uas the characteristic that management had very favourable expectations regarding the effect of exporting on their firmrs grouth and secondramong other characteristicsrthe firms that exported sample average
a small percentage of their total sales, \uas the characteristic that ment had
less than very favourable expectations regarding the effect of
exporting on their firmrs grouth and that
for the security of their firmfs Bearing
in
managerlìent had
high aspirations
investment.
mind the above findings by Cavusgil,
Bilkey and Tesar, from
our Table 6.1. and Table 6.18. one can derive that the majority of
of firms
manage-
urhich are classiflied
in Stages
Seven and
stages model and exported a large percentage of
managers,
Eight of our Externalization
their total sales (the
of the firmts Èotal annual sales value accounted for by exports vas in the range of 3L-5O% duríng the period June 1982 -
approximate percentage
June
l9gl,
see Table 6,L.)rhave favourable expectations regarding the effect
OF THE MAJORITY THE qT-IE9TS OF EXPORTI!9
M'DEL THE FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE-EXPECTATIONS-REGARDING roun 0F TiiË-ÊirEnñÁr-rznTl'N STAGES
TABLE 6.2-z
0F
MANAGERS
0F rT-nms"'or srÁcrs Tì^rô'Ãñó
reg ardíng the Favourable manaqement expectations effects of exPorting tage Degree of Staten¡ents agre ement or
disa I nt o f
t
te U'
v ou ado p the Po hat yo u a re an ln tern at 1 na ore 19n comPan v noth lng IS f \uor d ]the oad aI ren or abr Ie yo u must d an yo ur mar ke rket ma ger r Ia a to de aI I n and be an ec ono mlC and P ace
If
t
I
-
P
art o f
I
Statements
Agree
I
-
-
t
Exoort markets offer the
4
Stage
Degree of agreement d 1.S a
ee
I
t
soc I aI
V
2
reg arding the Unfavourable management expectations effects of exPorting
Regard
the local market as
beÉter than exPort markets in terms of higher return ãuiäin"ur" át lour"r cost and ruith Iess difficultY' [¡Je have atl the domestic business ue can handle and therefore ve are not
2
4
4
men
or
t
Agree
MiIdIY agree Disagree
Aqree
ãfþortunitY to extend
orãduction runs and thus maximise
Source:
Profits'
This information is
taken from Table 6'lB'
N) @
\o
29g
ofexPortingontheirfirm|sgrorlth.Inparticularthemajorityof |îanagersofstagesSevenandEightagleelliththestatement(seeTable ø.L8 -)
z
,,Exporting provides a u.K. firm ruith opportunibíes
for grovth"'
6grthermore,fromTable6.l.andTable6.tB.onecanderivethatthe classified in Stages six and Nine ¡ajority of managers, of firms vhich ane exported a smalÌ percentage of their of our Externalization stages model and the firm's total annual sales total sales (the approximate percentage of of for by exports t¡as in the range of L-59(' for the majority for the majority of firms of firms of stage six and in the range of 6-109á expectations regardinq the stage Nine, see Table 6.I.) have favourable
value àccounted
.
effectofexportingontheirfirm,sgrorlth.Inparticular,themajority of
managers
of stages six
(see Table and Nine agree urith the stagement
6.r8.): ,,Exporting provides a U'K' firm rvith opportunities
for
grotuth'r'
Inaddition,themajorityofmanagelsoffirmsryhichareclassifiedin StagesSixandNinehavetheopinionthatthesecurityofthefirm|s (see TabLe 6'L4) ' In other vords' investment is an objective of their firm Bilkey and Tesar 097Ð6 this f inding agrees r¡ith the finding of cavusgil, thatamongthecharacteristicsoffirmsthatexportedasmallpercentage the management has hiqh of their total sales is the characterisÈic that investment' aspirations for the security of their firmrs
CzinkotaGgsÐTarguedthatthefirmsofstagesFiveandSixofhismodel of exporting and its potential' since these could have unique PercePtions firms already have had experience
vith exporting but have encountered present export activities' situations that led to a decrease in their AccordingtoCzinkota,thesesituationsbroughtthefirmseithertoapath ofananticipatedcontinuingdec}ineofexportactíviliesfordisappointed
29r
exporters (the firms rvhich uere classified
in Stage Five of his model) or of anticipated future increases in export activities for temporarily declining exporters (the firms ruhich uere classified in Stage Six of his model). Additionally, Czinkota argued that due to these situations the firms classified in the Stages Five and Six of his model, may be substantially different firms in other
from
"t"g""8.
In Table 6.1. opposite,
rue
indicate the unique perceptions of exporting
its potential (as derived from Table 6.18.; page lS3) of the majority of managers of Stage Tr¡elve of our Externalization stages modelr the "Successful concentrated exporter" u¡hich is identical to Stage Six of and
CzÍnkotars model.
From Table
6.3.
one can reveal
that the majority of firms of Stage Tvelve'
the "SuccessfuL concentrated exporter" have unique perceptions of exporting
its potential and these perceptions are touards expected future increases in export acti.vities. This findi.ng agrees u¡ith Czinkotars argument that the firms of Stage Six of his model, the temporarily declining exporters' take the path of anticipated future increases in export activities9. and
It is useful
to give names to the stages of our Externalization stages behavioural model. (see Figure 2 ove¡leaf) to the extent of being able to compare our stages vit.h Bilkey and Tesar's stages of the export development vith the International stages of Czinkota's modelll. process of firmsl0 belour,
"nd
I
292
IABLI 6'32
OF THE THE UNIQUE PTRCEPTIONS OF EXPORTING AND ITS POTENTIAL THE TI]üELVE STAGE ''SUCCESSFUL OF MAJORITY OF MANAGERS
-
CONCENTRATED EXPORTER''
Degree of agreement of disagreement
Statenrents
of vierv.that you are nothing is company, an int.ernational or abroad - the ruorld is ioreign or alien to deal in learn you must vour ñarket and economic an be place and â l"tg"" market it. of and social Part There is a large potential market for our
If
you adopt the poi-nt
product(s) or ãervices in foreign countries' Export markets offer the opportunity to exiend production runs and thus maximise
profits.
Exporting offers significant opportunities for increased Profits. Exporting provides a U.K' firm urith opportunities for grovth. There ì-s ahuays the chance you may not ^get greater chance that after paid and "u"n "n älf tf'" time and effort the order uill go someulhere else
-
have all the domestic business u'e can handle and therefore we are not interested
Strongly agree Aqree
Agree Agree Agree
Agree
bJe
in exporting. It is unnecessary to think exports, because
the diverse and expanding U'K' domestic market provides us rttith ample marketing opportunities. If rve export rue rlill have to wait a long time for our money. Essentially exporting is not different from selling in the domestic market' Exporting is l-ess profitable than domesti'c sales.
Source:
The information
is
taken from TABLE 6'18'
Strqngly disagree
Disagree Disagree Disagree Disaqree
29t
The
Externalization SlaqelQeþavioural
Stage
Model
Description
1
Completely disappointed firm
?
Partially uninterested firm
t
Completely uninterested firm
4
Partially interested in exporting firm
5
Interested in exporting firm (but has failed)
6
Exploring exporter
7
Experimental exporter
I
Disappointed and declining exporter
9
Steady exporter
IO
Less successful exporter alert exporter
1I
Successful stagnant exporter
12
Succeesful concentrated exporter
L'
Successful saturated exporter
A iomparison betureen
or increasingly
the stages of Bilkey and Tesarrs model and the
of our Externalization stages behavioural model (see Table 6.4. overleaf) gives a clear picture to the readeg of the strengths and ìueaknesses of our model compared to Bilkey and Tesarrs model. stages
I
294
íABLI 6'4'z
BILKEY AND TESARIS MODEL AND THE STAGES OF THE EXTERNALIZAÏION STAGES BEHAVIOURAL
COMPARISON BETI^JEEN THE STAGES OF MODEL
Netu
Stage
Stage from Bilkey and ïesar Model
Description
I
NEt¡l
Completely di-sappointed firm
2
NEì/
ParLially uninterested
t
NEt^l
Completely uninterested
4
NE!ü
I (not found)
2 (not
Partially interested in exporting found)
Interested in exporting firm (but
5
NE!',
I (not found)
has failed)
6
4
Exploring exporter
7
NEt¡J
Experimental exporter
B
NEl/',
Di.sappointed and declining exporter
9
NEt¡J
Steady exporter
10
NEb.,
I1
5
Successful stagnant exporter
I2
6
Successful concentrated exporter
I3
NEI¡,
Successful saturated exporter
Source:
Less successful exporter alert exporter
or increasingly
Adapted from Bilkey, trlarren J. and Tesar, George: "The Export Behaviour of Smaller-Sized Wisconsin Manufacturing Firms'r Journal of Business Studies Spring/Summer 1977, pp. 9t-98.
Furthermore, a comparison betueen the stages
of Czinkotats
model and the
of our Externalization stages behaviouraL model (see Table 6.5. overleaf) reveals neu stages urhich may be of conparative advantage compared to
stages
the stages of Czinkotars
model.
295
1ABLE
6.5,
Neu
Stage
C0MPARISI0N BETI¡',EEN THE STAGES 0F CZINKOTATS M0DEL AND STAGES OF THE EXTERNALIZATION STAGES BEHAVIOURAL MODEL
z
THE
Description
Stage from Czinkotars model
I
NEI'J
Completely disappointed firm
2
NEI'J
Partially uninterested firm
I
(not found
)
7
NEt¡J
Completely uninterested firm
4
NE!'J
Partially interested in exporting firm
5
NEì,\'
2 (not
Interested in exporting firm (but has failed) foond )
6
3
Exploring exporter
7
4
Experimental exporter
B
NE!ú
9
5 (not
Disappointed and declining exporter found
)
Steady exporter
NEI¡J
6 (not
found
)
or increasingly
t0
NEtJ
Less successful exporter alert exporter
rt
7
Successful stagnant exporter
T2
B
Successful concentrated exporter
13
NEtr'/
Successful saturated exporter
Source:
Adapted from Czinkota, MichaeL R.: Export DeveloPment St-!9'.t-eilex: U.S. Promotion Policy. Neu York, Praeger PubLishers, 1982r PP. 49-5I.
In order to
compare
the stages of our Externalization stages behavioural
of Bitkey and Tesar's model and the stages of Czinkota's model, u¡e take into account the information provided by our Table 6.4. and Table 6.5. above, together rvith similar kinds of information indicated by
model, the stages
Czinkota (IggZ)IZ. This information
is illustrated in Figure 3 overleaf,
and eventually ure reach sound conclusions about
differences
among
the similarities
and
the above three efforts on the stages approach concept.
l"
296
A three faces
c
s
eso
z
amon the st s of the External ization eso BiIke and esar s and t
arJ.son
ES
kotars
model
Coudounaris
narls
Bilkey
and
Czinkota
Tesar
Sources: The information of triangle I is taken from Czinkota, Michael R.: Export Development Strategies: U.S. Promotion PoIicy, Neu York¡
Praeger Publishers 1982, p. 48 The information of trianqle 2 is taken from Czinkota, Michael R.: t Strate oes: U.S. Promotion Pol , Neu Yorkt ort Develo rs Praeger ub m varlous tables and r PP. discussion of the present dissertation. The information of triangle I is taken from Bilkey, t'larren J. and Tesar, George: "The Export Behaviour of Smaller-sized tr'lisconsin Manufacturing Firms" Journal of International Business Studies Ies and discussion m varlous Spring/Sunnet L977 r pp. 93- 9 an 5.5: Section of the present dissertation, i.e. see "Psychic distance" process behaviour. of the firm's - The sequential
2gl lrom the above Figure
3,
one can derive
the follouing:
lçsL, the Stages 0ne, Tuo, Three and Four of our Externliazation stages r,odel explain the Stage One of Bilkey and Tesarrs model and the Stage one of
Czínkotafs model.
Second, The gap betureen the Stages Tuo and Three model
is
of Bilkey
and Tesar's
explained by the Stage Five of our Externalization stages model.
fhird' the Stage Five of our Externalization
stages model
is not found
in Czinkotats stages model.
lg!!!.r the Stage Six of our Externalization stages model is similar to Stage Four of Bilkey and Tesar's model and to Stage Three of Czinkotars modeI.
Fifthr the gap betureen the Stages Four and Five of Bilkey and Tesarrs model is explained by the Stages Seven, Eight, Nine and Ten of our Externalization model-.
Sixth' the
Stages
Eight, Nine and Ten of our Externalization stages model
in Czinkotars model.. Houever, they explain the gap betveen the Stages Four and Seven of Czinkota's model. are not found
Seventh, the Stages Five and Six of Czinkota's model are not found in our Externalization stages model. Houever, the stages Eight, Nine and Ten of our Externalization stages model expJ.ain in a more detailed manner the gap betveen the Stages Four and Seven
of Czinkotats
model
rather than the
Stages
Five and Six of Czinkota's model do.
Eiqhth' the Stage Eight of our Externalization stages modeL explains the gap betureen the Stages Four and Five of Czinkota's model. The Stage Nine of our Externalization stages model explains the gap betryeen the Stages Five and Six
of Czinkota's model.
The Stage Ten
of our Externalization stages model
explains the gap betureen the Stages Six and Seven of Czinkota's model.
Ninth, the Stage Eleven of our Externalization stages modeL is similar the Stage Five of Bilkey and Tesarrs modeL and to the Stage Seven of Czinkotars model.
to
298
fenLhl
the Stage Tulelve of our Externalization stages model is similar to
Six of Bilkey and Tesarrs model and ¿¡e Stage and Czínkotats model,
û@,
to the Stage Eight of
the stage Thirteen of our Externrization stages moder is neither
in the stagesrhorizon of Bilkey and Tesarrs model nor in the stagesl of Czinkotars model.
íncluded norízon
riI
299
Czinkota, Michael R.: "Export Development Strate gies: U.S. Promotions Po
,l
1 I+
I icy
",
Neur Yor k
:
P
r ae ger-P
uEfIs h-erÐ
1-98-2
;l
.
tlB'----
'f,bíd, p,46
Ibid,
p.46
Cavusgil, S. Tamer, Bilkey, lrlarren J. and Tesar, George: "A note
on
,'ð3:i:;i,Hili'Ëi,,%il*#, ), P.e4 6
Ibid, Ibid,
7
Czinkota, Michael R.:0p.
5
p.94 p.94
cit.,
I
Ibid, Ibid,
10
Bilkeyr
11
Czinkota, Michael R.: 0p.
T2
Ibid,
I
p.46
p.46 p.46
J.
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