and the future of open access - tylerneylon.com

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Oct 19, 2012 - website somewhere, where mathematicians [boycotting. Elsevier] could sign their names electronically.”
The Cost of Knowledge and the future of open access

Tyler Neylon Friday, October 19, 12

The Present

Friday, October 19, 12

“...it might help if there were a website somewhere, where mathematicians [boycotting Elsevier] could sign their names electronically.” – Timothy Gowers Jan 21, 2012 Friday, October 19, 12

Jan 22, 2012 Friday, October 19, 12

Profit in $m, 2011 $3,000

$2,250

$1,500

$750

$0

Friday, October 19, 12

Profit in $m, 2011 $3,000

Reed Elsevier $2.6b $2,250

$1,500

$750

$0

Friday, October 19, 12

2010 Profits as % Revenue 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

Top 50 companies from 2011 Fortune 500 Friday, October 19, 12

2010 Profits as % Revenue 60 50 40

Reed Elsevier 37.3% (2011)

30 20 10 0

Top 50 companies from 2011 Fortune 500 Friday, October 19, 12

Monograph & Serial Expenditures in ARL Libraries 375%

Serial Expenditures Serial +374% Expenditures +374%

Monograph Unit Cost (+89%) Monograph Expenditures (+86%)

0% 1986 Friday, October 19, 12

Monographs Purchased (0%)

2008

Jan 22, 2012 Friday, October 19, 12

Oct 19, 2012 Friday, October 19, 12

12,823 people

Oct 19, 2012 Friday, October 19, 12

12,823 people

The Future?

Friday, October 19, 12

The Future?

Friday, October 19, 12

The Past

Friday, October 19, 12

The Future?

The Past

Friday, October 19, 12

“Our imagination is stretched to the utmost, not ... to imagine things which are not really there, but just to comprehend those things which are there.” – Richard Feynman

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Technology

1440

Friday, October 19, 12

Technology

1440

Friday, October 19, 12

Technology

1440

Friday, October 19, 12

1605

Technology

1440

Friday, October 19, 12

1605

Awareness

1440

Friday, October 19, 12

1605

Awareness

1440

1605

1964

(not to scale, by the way) Friday, October 19, 12

Awareness

1440

1605

1964

(not to scale, by the way) Friday, October 19, 12

2011

Awareness

1440

1605

1964

(not to scale, by the way) Friday, October 19, 12

2011

The Future

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“Prediction is very difficult,

– attributed to Niels Bohr

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“Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.”

– attributed to Niels Bohr

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Technology precise, distributed editing

reputation; micro peer review

open publishing

timely, active discussion topics Friday, October 19, 12

Technology precise, distributed editing

reputation; micro peer review

Open Science! open publishing timely, active discussion topics Friday, October 19, 12

Awareness

Friday, October 19, 12

Universities

Closed Publishers

Friday, October 19, 12

Researchers

Libraries

Universities Tenure Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Tenure

Researchers

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Tenure

Researchers

Universities can explicitly respect open access attitudes in hiring decisions. Friday, October 19, 12

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Tenure

Researchers

Libraries

Universities Tenure Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Libraries Articles

Closed Publishers

Friday, October 19, 12

Universities

Research

Researchers

Libraries Articles

Closed Publishers

Universities

Research

Researchers

Tell readers how much it would cost all universities to subscribe to every journal they read from. Friday, October 19, 12

Libraries Articles

Closed Publishers

Friday, October 19, 12

Universities

Research

Researchers

Libraries

Universities Tenure Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

What is the global library cost of working for closed vs open access? Friday, October 19, 12

Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Inform contributors of the global library cost of their journals. Friday, October 19, 12

Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Inform contributors how many interested readers can’t afford their journals. Friday, October 19, 12

Articles

Closed Publishers Respected Journal Names

Friday, October 19, 12

Research

Researchers Editing / Peer Review

Awareness

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Folks who built the current site

• Adam Luikart • Jean Hsu • Tuhin Kumar • Scott Cameron

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Folks who built the current site

• Adam Luikart • Jean Hsu • Tuhin Kumar • Scott Cameron • ...and over 12,000 open access supporters

Friday, October 19, 12

References • http://gowers.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/elsevier-my-part-in-its-downfall/ • http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune500/2011/performers/companies/profits/revenues.html • http://reporting.reedelsevier.com/staticreports/Reed_AR_2011.pdf • http://www.arl.org/bm~doc/arlstat08.pdf

These slides are available at

http://bit.ly/RJWxPF Thank you Friday, October 19, 12

Friday, October 19, 12

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