Application of Cubic Spline Interpolation in Estimating ...

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Fellow, ISTE, Director - Research, WCE&M, Nagpur. India. 441108. I [email protected], [email protected],. 3 dpk071 [email protected]. Abstract: In a ...
Application of Cubic Spline Interpolation in Estimating Market power under Deregulated Electricity Market l l l l Shafeeque Ahmed , Fini Fathima , S.Prabhakar Karthikeyan , Sarat Kumar Sahoo ,

Shriram. S.Rangarajan2,

D.P.Kothari

ISchool of Electrical Engineering, VIT University, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India. 632014. 2 Real time Power and Intelligent Systems Laboratory, Department of Electrical Engineering, Clemson University, SC, U.S.A 3 FNAE, FNASc, Fellow-IEEE, Hon. Fellow, ISTE, Director - Research, WCE&M, Nagpur. India. 441108. [email protected], [email protected], 3dpk071 [email protected] Over the years, various indices have been proposed to

Abstract:

In

a

deregulated

market

environment,

the

gauge market power. In an electricity market, it is

calculation of market power is one of the top priorities of

extremely important to calculate market power not only

the bodies involved in the market. The bodies generally

during normal operating conditions but also under the

involved such as the Generation companies (GENCOs),

unexpected changes that a system may have to face.

Distribution companies (DISCOs) look towards maximizing profit whereas the RTO/ISOs look to attain a zero market power environment.

These changes generally form the various constraints and conditions

in

an

electricity

network

system.

The

transmission line flow constraint, sudden load change,

In this paper, Must Run Share and Nodal Must Run Share (NMRS) is used as an index to calculate market

line outage etc. affect the market power by a large extent. The references of this work depict the development of

power. To focus upon the fast, accurate calculations and

various indices for market power calculation over the

understanding the trends of market power under system

years. The indices such as Lerner Index (L1), Herfindahl­

changes such as various

load conditions, transmission line

outage and generator outage, Cubic's Spline Interpolation is used as a technique to interpolate between market powers

Hirschman index (HHI) and Must-Run Ratio (MRR) have been used to calculate market power.

calculated over a f ew operating condition set points. A demonstration of the employment of such a system is represented in this paper which will help in achieving the objectives of the players or firms involved in the electricity market. This system will be dynamic enough to suggest the operating conditions for a desired level of market power for

The HHI is used to measure the market concentration that will reflect the number of players in the market and also the inequality in their market shares [1]. The HHI is defined as the sum of the squares of market shares of all the players as given in Equation (1).

any of the above named firms under unexpected system changes. The work is done on IEEE 14 bus test system on the MATLAB version R2012b.

N

HHI=

Must Run Share, Nodal Must Run Share (NMRS), Cubic's

(1)

i=!

Index Terms- Market power, deregulated environment, Spline Interpolation.

IS?

where N is the number of players and S is the i

/h player

market share in percentage. If the value of HHI is greater I. INTRODUCTION

T

than 1000 in percentage basis then it indicates the existence of market power. The Lerner Index measures or

he knowledge of market power lends the ability to a

seller firm, to act in a manner to comfortably raise and keep the prices of goods above the competitive levels for

indicates the proportional deviation of price at the firm's profit-maximizing output from the firm's marginal cost at that output. It is defined as shown in Equation (2).

a long period of time without any loss in the sale of

(2)

goods. The commodity in consideration is electricity which cannot be stored. Thus the concept of market

Where L1i is the Lerner index for a given firm i, Pi

power becomes more complex when applied to an electricity market [2]. The existence of market power is

and

an indication of an uncompetitive market and from the

Cid is the elasticity of demand felt by the firm. The Must

perspective of the system operators, such a phenomenon should be ceased for a healthy market. Market power information is vital from the perspective of various firms like

generating

companies

(GENCOs),

distribution

companies (DISCOs) and ISOs for their own profit making. For example, the main aim of a GENCO or a

mCi

Run Ratio (MRR) represents the capacity that must be provided by a generation company to supply a given load in a congestion zone as the percentage of the maximum available capacity of the Genco. It is defined as given in Equation (3).

seller would be to have market power and thus maintain the price above the competitive prices of other GENCOs in the market. The main aim of RTO/ISO or system

are the price and marginal cost respectively and

N)J

MRR

Pd - PI - (2:1 Pg j= N gA

2:1 Pg

operators would be to achieve a zero market power

/=

environment and would hence assist the GENCOs by assigning proper maximum generation levels in terms of MW. Also, with the advent of several market players in form of GENCOs, market power has become the focus. 978-1-4799-8641-5/15/$31.00

© 2015 IEEE

N,:;.l ],rn",

Where

- 2:1 Pg j=

j,rn",

)

(3)

I,max

PI is the active power limit (import) for the Pgj,max is the generator j active power limit

given zone,

3

in the same zone, N same zone, supplier

N

gA

The work here calculates the market power of a

is the number of generators in the

g

is the number of generators owned by

A in the zone and

P

is the total load of the same

d

zone .Commonly used market power indices to calculate

generator over a bus in terms of NMRS over certain max generating values of another generator. This helps in understanding the key concept of how the market power of a GENCO can be brought down by changing the

the market power such as Herfindahl-Hirschman index

maximum generation levels of other generators. This

(HHI), Lerner index (LI) etc. are good but both fail to

concept becomes the key principal behind this work and

clearly

it should be understood that by power system generation

reflect

the

impact

of

load

variation

and

transmission constraints on market power and hence the geographic

difference

of

market

power

is

seldom

considered. The Must run ratio which though takes into account the transmission constraints but does not clearly

restructuring in terms of varying generation levels etc. we can easily achieve the zero market power environment again even under the various unexpected occurrences in the network system. Hence to accomplish this task, in

indicate the controllability of a Genco over market price.

this

Hence the paper here calculates the Nodal Must Run

interpolate the market power curve between few points.

Share (NMRS) to calculate the market power. The indices NMRS and MRS clearly recognize the impact of load

variation

on

market

power

and

geographic

difference of market due to network constraints. Must Run Share (MRS) represent the effect of load variation and NMRS represents the geographical difference of market powers. The NMRS represents the minimum must-run capacity of a GENCO to supply a given load at a node as the percentage of total load at the same node. It combines both optimization techniques and topological analysis of load flows to determine market power. The maximum generation of generators are used as set points in the work as the must run generation of the other generators depend upon it. The Equation for NMRS is shown in Equation (4). NMRSk,l .

=

work,

Cubic's

Spline

Interpolation

is

used

to

This interpolation will enable the system operators to identify

the

new

maximum

generation

levels

for

achieving back the zero market power environment in the electricity

network

market

even

under

unexpected

occurrences when the market power gets fluctuated. Cubic's

Spline

interpolation

technique

is

used

in

determining the NMRS, which has not been used in earlier literatures on calculation of market power. It forms piecewise polynomials between few NMRS values calculated using load flows. Cubic's spline interpolation is the one of the strongest techniques available in the numerical analysis for interpolation with minimum error. It has been used previously in ATC calculation and power

amplifier

linearization

[4][5][6].

All

the

mathematical expressions are already available in the

Pgmust / Pdi k,l

literatures [4], [6]. The significance of NMRS and its i= 1,2 ... N

(4)

impact

on

FACTS

device

location

in

deregulated

electricity market is discussed in [7]. Where N is the number of buses in a power system,

Pdi

Pgf,:/I/ is the contribution of the must run generator k to Pdi The back ground calculation is the load at bus i, and



of NMRS is available in reference [1]. The NMRS represents the minimum capacity that must be provided by the must-run generator

k to supply a given load at

node i. The exact Equation is defined as shown in Equation (5).

NMRS.kl

=

pmust

� Pd ,

=

[M-1]. p:�ust "[M-1] p � Ik

JEN

g

lJ

The

market

power

for

the

network

system

is

calculated in terms of NMRS for the generators over all the buses under different system changes. Furthermore, a particular

generator's

market

power

over

a

bus

is

considered and is studied when the maximum generation levels for another generator are varied. This is then interpolated between few points to demonstrate a method of remodeling the GENCOs to achieve zero market power environments. The remodeling is mainly in terms of assigning new maximum generation levels to the generators present in the system. The new generating

(5)

level will be observed from the trend shown through the interpolated curves.

g;

II. METHODOLOGY

Pdi, the load at bus i; j, the bus which is directly connected to bus i through transmission lines; and

[M];

the distribution matrix which is used to show how the power supplied at a node is contributed from all the generators in a system explained in reference [I]. The work represented in this paper is from the perspective of the system operators to achieve a zero market power environment for a dynamic system. An IEEE 14 bus test system is subjected to four different system changes. Under such changes, market power generally tends to fluctuate. Thus, it is necessary to maintain a zero market power environment by finding and hence assigning the dynamic maximum generating values which are chosen as the operating points for the GENCOs.

1.

STEPS INVOLVED IN CALCULATION OF NMRS

Step I: Define the number of generators and their active power limits. Step 2: Determine

p;;us/ of generator k

Step 3: Calculate distribution matrix [M I] Step 4: Calculate NMRS of generator 1 on load l. Step 5: Repeat Step 4 for calculating NMRS for the remaining generators on each load. Step 6: Repeat step 4 and 5 for various cases. Step 7: End. •

Calculate the NMRS for all the generators using



Plot NMRS of a generator against the maximum

conventional method as discussed in the above steps. generation of other generators.



Connect two points at a time using cubic spline

NMRS and interpolating NMRS results between different

interpolation technique (piecewise polynomial) using

operating points of a generator are the main objective of

MATLAB built in function.

this paper. Thus the results obtained are categorized into five

III. SYSTEM DESCRIPTION The proposed idea of application of Cubic's spline interpolation for calculating the respective market power of generation companies on all buses for any given load 14 bus test system. The system comprises of 4 generator buses and an additional slack generator at bus number I in addition to the 9 load buses. The interconnection of the accomplished

with

20 transmission

lines.

Moreover, the transmission line flow limits are also considered

to

take

into

account

their

impacts

on

calculation of market power. When NMRS is considered as an index to measure market power in an electricity market, stress has been given to the consideration of geographical constraints and line constraints also. The single line diagram of the IEEE 14 bus data is shown in

bus), Gen2, Gen3, Gen4 and Gens are the generators located at bus I, bus 2, bus 3, bus 6 and bus 8 respectively. Before the calculation of NMRS during various operating conditions, certain assumptions are Each

generator

is

considered to have a variable working range. In order to define

the

working

range

for

an

With the help of the must run generation, the NMRS dimensional

generators,

NMRS

Genl

Gen2

Gen3

Gen4

Busl

0

0

0

0

0

Bus2

0

0.4715

0

0

0

Bus3

0

0 .171

0.2123

0.0435

0

Bus4

0

0.298

0

0.4971

0

BusS

0

0.1907

0

0

0

Bus6

0

0

0

0

0

Bus7

0

0

0

0

0

BusS

0

0

0

0

0

Bus9

0

0.0386

0

0.06

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