Athens-All-Charts_Report.pdf - Google Drive

Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population

SHAHLA MEHDIZADEH, KARL CHOW, WENXUAN HUANG, SUZANNE KUNKEL, JANE STRAKER, ANTHONY BARDO

Scripps Gerontology Center An Ohio Center of Excellence

Athens County, Ohio

Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population

Project Team: Shahla A. Mehdizadeh, Ph.D. Karl Chow, MBA Wenxuan Huang, MGS Suzanne R. Kunkel, Ph.D. Jane K. Straker, Ph.D. Antony Bardo, MGS

Scripps Gerontology Center Miami University

January 2014

This research was funded as part of a grant from the Ohio General Assembly, through the Ohio Board of Regents to the Ohio LongTerm Care Research Project. For additional information about this funding source see [email protected]; and for this report see www.ohio-population.org or contact us at Scripps Gerontology Center, Miami University, Oxford, OH 45056; (513) 529-2914; [email protected] . Suggested citation: Scripps Gerontology Center (2013). Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population. Scripps Gerontology Center, Miami University, Oxford, OH. Available at www.ohio-population.org

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Cover.xls

Athens County

This report describes the characteristics of the county’s 60-plus population in 2010, and changes that have occurred since 2000. This chart book also includes population characteristics such as education, income level, marital status, and living arrangement that are shown to be associated with the need for long-term services and supports. There are also charts that compare the older population of the county to the state as a whole.

In addition, the projected size of the 60+ population for 2015-2030 and those expected to experience physical and/or cognitive disability are included. These projections are intended to assist planners, decisions makers, and service providers in preparing for the aging population, particularly those who will likely need assistance.

Profile of 60+ Population

Total Population Percent of Population Age 60+ Percent at or Below Poverty Median Income Percent White Percent Married Percent with High School Diploma Or Higher Education Percent Having Grandchildren Living at Home

2000

2010

7,798 16.1 18.0 $11,800 98.0 60.1

9,457 14.6 15.8 $17,134 97.3 56.0

2,287,424 19.8 11.8 $20,320 88.7 57.5

57,085,908 18.5 11.7 $20,152 78.7 57.7

60.67

71.76

79.34

79.7

3.59

4.71 7.6

3.61 10.4

5.43 8.8

--

Percent of 65+ Medicaid Recipient

Ohio (2010)

U.S. (2010)

Source: United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

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CountyOverall.xls

Athens County 60+ Population as a Percentage of County Total Population by Age Group, 2000 - 2010 12%

2000

2010

10%

8%

6% 4.5% 4% 3.2%

3.2% 2.6%

2.4% 2.4%

2%

2.0%

1.8%

1.4%

0.7% 0.9% 0.0%

0%

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

County 60+ Population (2000) County 60+ Population (2010) County Total Population (2000) County Total Population (2010) Ohio Total Population (2010) Ohio 60+ Population (2010) Ohio Total Population (2000) Ohio 60+ Population (2000)

85-89

0.3% 0.3%

90-94

0.1% 0.1%

95+

7,796 9,457 62,223 64,757 11,536,494 2,287,414 11,353,140 1,963,489

60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population by Age Group for County and Ohio, 2010 12%

Athens

Ohio

10%

8%

5.8%

6% 4.5%

4.2%

4% 3.2%

3.2% 2.6%

2.4%

2.1%

1.8%

2%

1.4% 0.9%

1.3% 0.3% 0.5%

0%

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85-89

90-94

0.1% 0.1%

95+

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent. United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

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County Reports - Age.xls

Athens County

Distribution of 60+ Population by Education County and Ohio, 2010

Distribution of 60+ Population by Education 2000 - 2010 2000

2010

Athens

Ohio

60%

50% 44.7%

44.7%

41.0%

39.7%

40% 34.1%

30% 25.1%

25.1%

20.5%

18.1%

20%

15.1%

15.1%

10.2%

10.4%

10% 5.0%

5.3% 5.1%

3.2%

5.5%

6.9%

5.1%

3.2% 2.5%

6.9% 7.6%

0% 6th Grade or Less

7th- 12th (No Diploma)

High School Graduate

Some College

6th Grade or 7th- 12th High School Less (No Graduate Diploma)

Bachelor's Graduate Degree Degree

County 60+ Population (2010) County Total Population (2000) County 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 County 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 Ohio 60+ Population (2010)

Some College

Bachelor's Degree

Graduate Degree

9,457 62,223 4,236 5,221 2,287,414

Distribution of 60+ Population by Education and Gender 2010 Men

Women

60%

50%

47.7%

41.3%

40%

30% 24.1%

25.9%

20% 15.1%

15.1% 9.5%

10% 4.1%

5.8% 2.3%

4.5%

4.5%

0% 6th Grade or 7th- 12th (No High School Some College Bachelor's Less Diploma) Graduate Degree

Graduate Degree


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County Reports - Education.xls

Athens County County 60+ Population by Race, 2000

County 60+ Population by Race, 2010

Other Races NonBlack Non- Hispanic, 1.0% Hispanic, 0.2% Hispanic, 0.8%

Black NonHispanic, 0.7%

Other Races Non-Hispanic, 1.8% Hispanic, 0.2%

White NonHispanic, 97.3%


Ohio 60+ Population County 60+ Population (2000)

by Race, 2010

7,796

County 60+ population (2010) County Total Population (2000)

9,457 62,223

County Total Population (2010) Ohio Total Population (2010)

64,757 11,536,494

Ohio 60+ Population (2010)

Black NonHispanic, 8.6%

Other Races NonHispanic, 1.6%

2,287,414

Hispanic, 1.1%


County 60+ Population (2000) County 60+ Population (2010) Ohio 60+ Population (2010)

7,796 9,457 2,287,414


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County Reports - Race-Pie.xls

Athens County Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status 2000 - 2010 W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated 2000

Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status County and Ohio, 2010 W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated

2010

Athens

80.0%

Ohio

70.0% 60.0%

60.1% 56.0%

56.0%

57.5%

50.0% 40.3%

40.0%

40.3%

35.0%

37.6%

30.0% 20.0% 10.0%

4.9%

3.6%

4.9%

3.6%

0.0% Married

W/D/S

Married

Never Married

County 60+ Population (2010) County Total Population (2000) County 60+ Population (Men) in 2010

W/D/S

Never Married

9,457 62,223 4,236

County 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 Ohio 60+ Population (2010)

5,221 2,287,414

Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status and Age Group, 2010

Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status and Gender, 2010 W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated

Married

Men

Widowed/Divorced/Separated

Women

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0% 80.0%

80.0% 70.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0% 50.0%

Never Married

74.3% 66.3%

53.5%

59.3%

59.8% 50.5%

50.0%

43.6%

39.0%

40.0%

40.0% 30.0%

62.9%

60.0%

75.2%

30.0%

25.5%

34.0%

45.2%

35.6%

28.3%

23.2%

24.8%

20.0%

20.0% 10.0%

4.4%

10.0%

5.4%

2.9%

3.2%

1.2%

4.2%

5.1%

2.5%

0.0%

0.0%

Married

W/D/S

60-64 (2919)

Never Married

Marital Status

65-69 (2087)

70-74 (1574)

75-79 (1150)

80-84 (881)

85-89 (575)

0.0% 90+ (211)

Age Group (Population)


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County Reports - Marital Status.xls

Athens County

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone County and Ohio, 2010

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone, 2000 - 2010 40% 35%

32.2% 30.0%

30.0%

30%

27.8%

25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2000

Athens

2010

County 60+ Population (2010) County 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 County 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 Ohio 60+ Population (2010)

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone by Age Group, 2010

Ohio

9,457 4,236 5,221 2,287,414

Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone by Gender and Age Group, 2010 Men

Women

90% 80% 70%

65.6%

60%

60.1%

58.7%

64.0% 47.3%

50% 46.7%

40%

20%

24.4% 22.0%

26.0% 19.7%

0% 65-69

70-74

53.2%

25.7%

25.9%

21.8%

10%

60-64

63.3%

37.5%

37.8%

30%

64.6%

75-79

80-84

85-89

60-64 (2919)

90+

20.6% 16.9%

65-69 (2087)

13.6%

70-74 (1574)

75-79 (1150)

80-84 (881)

85-89 (575)

90+ (211)


Age Group


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County Reports - Living.xls

Athens County Distribution of 60+ Population by Income-to PovertyThreshold Ratio, 2010

Distribution of 60+ Population by Income-to-PovertyThreshold Ratio, 2000 and 2010 2000

Athens

2010

Ohio

60.0%

50.0%

40.0% 32.8% 28.4%

30.0%

24.3%

23.9%

20.0%

18.0%

28.4%

22.4%

22.3%

19.5%

19.9%

15.8%

15.8%

13.9%

13.9%

11.8%

11.4%

22.3%

19.5% 20.1%

15.5%

10.0%

0.0% Less than 1.00

1.00-1.99

2.00-2.99

3.00-3.99

Income-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio

4 or more

Less than 1.00

1.00-1.99

2.00-2.99

3.00-3.99

4 or more

Income-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio

Federal Poverty Threshold in 2010*

Persons in family 1 2 3 4 5 6

Poverty Poverty Guideline Guideline (65 (Younger than and older) 65) $ 11,344.00 $ 10,458.00 $ 14,676.00 $ 13,194.00 $ 17,374.00 $ 17,374.00 $ 22,314.00 $ 22,314.00 $ 26,439.00 $ 26,439.00 $ 29,897.00 $ 29,897.00

County 60+ Population in 2000 County 60+ Population in 2010 Ohio 60+ Population in 2010 County 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 County 60+ Population (Women) in 2010

7,796 9,457 2,287,414 4,236 5,221

*U.S. Census Bureau. Poverty thresholds by Size of Family and Number of Children. Retrieved August 5, 2013 from http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/data/threshld/index.html.


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County Reports - Poverty 2 Pages.xls

Athens County

Proportion of 60+ Population at 4 or More Times Poverty Threshold Income by Gender and Age Group, 2010

Proportion of County's 60+ Population at or Below Poverty Threshold Income by Gender and Age Group, 2010 Men

Women

Men

Women

80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0%

29.5%

30.0% 20.0%

32.9%

29.5%

28.4% 24.5%

18.9%

27.0%

20.1% 15.6%

10.0% 9.1%

12.5%

65 - 69 (2087)

70 - 74 (1574)

8.1%

24.3%

16.1%

13.1%

11.8%

17.9%

22.4%

20.9%

12.2% 2.7%

19.1%

19.3% 4.3%

7.3%

4.4% 4.7%

0.0% 60 - 64 (2919)

75 - 79 (1150)

80 - 84 (881)

85 - 89 (575)

12.4%

60 - 64 (2919)

90+ (271)

65 - 69 (2087)

70 - 74 (1574)

75 - 79 (1150)

80 - 84 (881)

85 - 89 (575)

90+ (271)



In 2010, about 16% of the 60+ population in Athens County had an annual income at or below the poverty level (about $11,000 for an individual 65 and older). About 28% lived between poverty and two times the poverty income level (between $11,344 and about $22,700). Compared to the state as a whole, a higher percentage of Athens County’s 60+ population had incomes below three times the poverty threshold (63.7% v. 51.8%), and a lower percentage of its older population had incomes in the highest category of at least four times the poverty threshold (22.3% v. 32.8%). For the most part, poverty is more prevalent among older women in Athens County. The percentage of older women in poverty equals or exceeds that of men in most age groups. On the other hand, a lower percentage of women had income four or more times poverty threshold income in every age group compared to men.

Source: United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.

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County Reports - Poverty 2 Pages.xls

Athens County

Projections of 60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population for County and State, 2010-2030 Athens

Ohio

28.7%

27.5% 25.2% 22.3%

19.8%

23.3%

21.8% 19.7%

17.2%

14.6%

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Year Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology Center, Miami University.

County Projected 60+ Population with Physical and/or Cognitive Disability, 2010-2030 Year

Total 60+ Population

Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability

9,457

585

Percentage of 60+ Population 6.2%

311

Percentage of 60+ Population 3.3%

10,858

636

12,137

707

5.9%

348

3.2%

5.8%

389

3.2%

13,040 13,446

801

6.1%

431

3.3%

911

6.8%

465

3.5%

Number

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Moderate Physical and/or Cognitive Disability Number

Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology Center, Miami University.

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County Reports - Disability 2.xls

Athens County

Projections of the Number of People Age 60+ with Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability, 2010-2030, by Age 60-69

70-79

80-89

90+

353

276 232

223

299

275

235 222

158 105 90

2010

180 129

140

137

104

110

113

2015

2020

2025

127 132

2030


Projections of the Number of People Age 60+ with Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability Who Have Income Below 200% of Poverty, 2010-2030 Severe Disability 200% of Poverty Income Threshold

585

636

282

258

2010

2015

801

707

353

313

2020

2025

911 403

2030


For projection methodology see ohio-population.org/DataDownload Click on: Population Projection Methodology For Prevalence of Disability Estimation Methodology: Click on: Estimating Prevalence of Disability

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County Reports - Disability 2.xls

Summary

This presentation of county population trends reveals important indicators of current and future need for long-term services and supports. The county’s population is aging; the share of the population that is 60 years and older will continue to grow over the next 20 years. A higher proportion of the older population experiences poverty, compared to other adults. In addition, those at very advanced ages are mostly women who have outlived their spouses and most likely live alone. The combination of lower income, living alone and higher prevalence of disability among older women are all contributors to the need for long-term services and supports.