Auto Embedded Software: Infotainment

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Audio 5.1. First Gen. ← 1997. Second Gen. 1998 - 2008. Third Gen. 2006 - 2011 ... Moblin 2.1 Neutrino 6.4.1 MS Auto 4.1 Android 2.1 .... ▻Sync-like solution.
Auto Embedded Software: Infotainment Applied Market Intelligence

• Hardware: Infotainment system design is following PC model • Software/OS: Standardized software/OS’s will dominate in the future • Apps: Future features will be enabled using software/apps rather than dedicated hardware blocks Standardization favors low-cost providers: European software (and hardware) suppliers will need to innovate and demonstrate their value-add to reduce the effects of commoditization, and competition from low-cost regions European Commission Project: IPTS-2009-J04-17-NC JRC/IPTS

Agenda f

Hardware: Infotainment Architecture Evolution ƒ System Development Frontier

f

Software: The OS Evolution ƒ Open and Closed platform elements ƒ Regional trends by task

f

Applications (Apps’) ƒ Taking development beyond hardware and OS ƒ Apps store and Trends ƒ Infotainment to Smartphone Apps Trends

f

EU Embedded Infotainment Software SWOT

f

Business Upheaval

iSuppli Corporation – 2

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Infotainment Architecture Evolution First Gen Å 1997

Second Gen 1998 - 2008

Third Gen 2006 - 2011

Fourth Gen 2010 Æ

Simple Radio, CD, Cassette

‘Open’ Architecture Headunit Integration

Distributed Architecture MOST, Separate ECUs Source – iSuppli Corporation Automotive C&D Service iSuppli Corporation – 3

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

System Development Frontier: OEM vs. Consumer First Gen Å 1997

Second Gen 1998 - 2008

Third Gen 2006 - 2011

Cassette

CD Phone

CD/DVD Phone MP3

Consumer

OEM

CD

Cassette Radio Audio ----CD Phone

CD AM/FM Radio Basic Audio ----Digital BUS: Navigation ECU CD Changer Sat Radio ECU Phone ECU

iSuppli Corporation – 4

Fourth Gen 2010 Æ

?

?

Application Support Mass Storage Device CD/DVD Phone 6 CD in Dash AM/FM Radio Bluetooth USB ----Navigation Audio 5.1

CD/DVD Digital Radio Bluetooth/USB Wi-Fi Audio X.1 Telematics Voice -------Navigation (APP) Apps Support --------Mobile TV

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Infotainment OS Evolution Multiple, proprietary OS’s

Instrument Cluster Audio Head-Unit

Proprietary vs. QNX Proprietary OS

Telematics Systems

Navigation Systems

MS Auto vs. QNX

Proprietary OS 2000

iSuppli Corporation – 5

QNX vs. ?

Windows Auto vs. QNX vs. Wind River 2010

Æ

Single, standard OS

Genivi vs. MS Auto vs. QNX Genivi vs. MS Auto vs. QNX vs. Others Genivi vs. MS Auto vs. QNX vs. Others

Wind River to Genivi 2020

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Auto Infotainment Platforms: What’s Open? Genivi/ MeeGo* Applications Native Apps User Interface Java APIs Middleware OS Version OS Kernel Device Drivers HW Interfaces MPU

Microsoft Auto

Open Open Open Open Open Open Moblin 2.1 Linux Open Open

Continental AutoLinQ

Open Open Open Open Open Open Open Open Open Open Semi-Open Semi-Open Neutrino 6.4.1 MS Auto 4.1 Closed Win CE 6.2 Open Open Open Open ARM, 8086, 8086, ARM, ARM, 8086 SH-4, PowerPC SH-4

*GENIVI use Moblin; Will move to MeeGo iSuppli Corporation – 6

QNX (RIM)

Open Source

Open Open Open Open Open Open Android 2.1 Android Open Open

Open

ARM

Closed

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Infotainment: OS trends by task Pre 2000 Operating System

2001-2010

2011-2015

2016-2020

Proprietary/Custom

QNX, Windows, Linux

Linux, Windows

Linux, Windows

Spec/Design Region

EU

N. America/EU

N. America/EU

N. America/EU

Coding Region

EU

N. America/EU

USA/EU

USA/EU/LCC*

Proprietary/Custom

Standard by OS

Standard by OS

Standard by OS

Spec/Design Region

EU

EU

EU/USA

EU/USA

Coding Region

EU

EU/A-P

EU/A-P

LCC/A-P**

Proprietary/Custom

Proprietary/Custom

Re-usable apps

Re-usable apps

Application Interface

Proprietary/Custom

Modified PC/CE

Genivi/O. Standard

Genivi/O. Standard

Spec/Design Region

EU

EU/Japan

EU/Japan

EU/Japan

Coding Region

EU

EU/USA/Japan

EU/USA/LCC

EU/USA/LCC

Proprietary/Custom

MS AUI, Flash SW

MS AUI, Flash SW

MS AUI, Flash SW

Spec/Design Region

EU

EU

EU

EU

Coding Region

EU

EU/IUSA/A-P

LCC/EU

LCC

Driver Layer

Application Layer

HMI Layer

Reduces EU Advantage

EU Advantage lost?

*LCC = Low Cost Countries **A-P = Asia pacific

iSuppli Corporation – 7

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Automotive App Store: Beyond hardware and OS Hardware 2010

4th Gen Introduction STEP 1

2013

Commoditization

Software/OS 2010

4th Gen Development STEP 2

2015

Commoditization ‘Apps’

2010

Innovation

STEP 3

?

Commoditization

iSuppli Corporation – 8

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

The App Store Concept for Automotive f

What are Apps? ƒ Internet-based application store, similar to Apple iPhone App Store ƒ Originated in the Smartphone space ƒ Run on standardized software platforms: Windows/QNX/Genivi/Android

f

What function do ‘Apps’ serve? ƒ Enable new features using software on existing hardware ƒ Developers can ‘keep the platform alive’ with feature innovations after launch

f

Who will provide the apps? ƒ Mostly 3rd party software developers ƒ OEM’s and Tier 1 suppliers will provide a basic set of ‘starter’ apps

f

How do ‘Apps’ effect the supply chain? ƒ Rewards innovation and developers who are first to market ƒ Provides easy scalability and distribution ƒ Enables feature and service development which will encourage e-commerce ƒ Shifts development/revenue opportunity from Hardware to Software

iSuppli Corporation – 9

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Infotainment to Smartphone Apps Trends Functionality

Smartphone-Infotainment Coop Apps • Joint IVI & Smartphone applications • OBDII apps, cloud computing apps

Smartphone Apps Rendering • IVI HMI for Smartphone, tethering, • Remote control, navigation, music, RSE video

Smartphone-Aftermarket Device Apps • Aftermarket device-based apps • OBDII apps, driver assist apps (camera)

Smartphone as Communication Link • Infotainment OS Platform, Bluetooth profiles, tethering, WiFi link • HMI, multimedia services, telematics services, native apps • Examples: Fiat Blue&Me, Ford Sync, Hyundai UVO 2005 iSuppli Corporation – 10

2010

2015

2020

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Automotive OEM App Trends OEM

Key Information fFirst

Comments

Smartphone app integration fAudi Metro Project fFurthest along with apps plans fHas 3 popular apps integrated fSync to be open to future apps GM fOnStar remote control demo fChevy Volt iPhone app demo Kia fTalked about future apps fSync-like solution M-B fSmartphone apps via mbrace fRequires subscription Mini fMini Connected is iPhone integrated fIncludes Internet radio via iPhone Nissan fLeaf Smartphone EV & eco apps fRequires subscription Scion fCurrently in R&D phase Smart fSmart Drive app at NY Auto Show f$10 app price online; 2Q’10 fVehicle finder, roadside assistance BMW Audi Ford

iSuppli Corporation – 11

fFavors

iPhone & iPod fSmartphone concept project fDefined 3rd party APIs; SDK now fPandora, Stitcher & OpenBeak fPlanned for any Smartphone fVolt intro; likely on others later fEV functions; iPhone, Droid fCalled “Car widgets” fMobile phone based apps fiPhone, BlackBerry compatible fHughes Telematics system fiPhone content on AVN display fOperated via Mini Connect HMI fDemo at auto shows fFuture Infiniti expansion likely fTo be entertainment-based fInternet radio, iPod, maps, more fFull navi, traffic & search: $50/yr fFuture services/features coming

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

EU Region - Embedded Infotainment Software SWOT (update at workshop)

Strengths f Introduction of Global standards: ƒ Local designers have good knowledge of EU consumer and infrastructure requirements

f Premium vehicle development region f Currently the leading Infotainment feature innovation region

Weaknesses f Introduction of Global standards: ƒ Current market focus is on hardware rather than OS/software and Apps development

f High-cost development region f Currently behind in Telematics software authoring and deployment f Lacks ‘home-grown’ OS and API standards f Software and Apps development is not well funded in the EU

iSuppli Corporation – 12

Opportunities

fIntroduction of Global standards: ƒ ‘Apps’ development

feCall and connected cars will generate significant new revenue stream fOS Standards and Apps set in EU could be exported worldwide, similar to Autosar in core automotive fSupport of open standards such as GENIVI will strengthen EU position

Threats

fIntroduction of Global standards: ƒ Hardware level: Follow the PC towards CM’s* ƒ Software level: Commoditization and development shifts to low-cost regions

fCost pressures: Software commoditization puts pressure on EU based suppliers to outsource development to low-cost regions fOS Standardization: Widens supplier base to all global players, making it difficult for EU companies to demonstrate their value add

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending

Conclusion: Infotainment Business Upheaval f

Hardware level – After Platform standardization: ƒ Demand side: OEM’s will be looking to reduce cost and add value ƒ Supply side: Profitability is reduced as Infotainment design follows the PC design model, and the rise of Standardized platforms

ƒ Supply side: Tier 1 suppliers will need to demonstrate their value add f

Software/OS level – After standardization: ƒ Demand side: OEM’s/Tier 1’s can leverage OS’s standards to reduce development costs

ƒ Supply side: Commoditization puts pressure on EU based suppliers to outsource development to low-cost regions

ƒ Supply side: Commoditization widens the supplier base in low-cost/non-EU regions f

Apps/Application level: ƒ Demand side: New feature roll-outs: Consumer and Auto apps development will converge

ƒ Supply side: Ongoing revenues opportunities will be created for the life of the vehicle

ƒ Supply side: Opportunities exist to export innovation and new feature development iSuppli Corporation – 13

Copyright © 2000-2009 iSuppli Corporation. All Worldwide Rights Reserved. Confidential – Patents Pending