6 days ago - FS Crypto Platform. Enables ... Tracks the fiat currencies. 100 ...... C yb. erM ile s. M on ac o. B ib ox.
For the week ended on July 22 Updated as of July 22 at 8 pm ET
7/23/2018
Ken
150 East 52nd St, 31st floor | New York, NY 10022
XuanAC
For inquiries, contact Sales at 212-293-7140 or via email
[email protected].
CRYPTO CURRENCY STRATEGY
Benchmark Crypto Indices Weekly Performance Analysis FS CryptoFX 10
FS CryptoFX 40
FS CryptoFX 250
FS CryptoFX 300
FS CryptoFX Agg
FS FX Eq Weight
Large-cap
Mid-cap
Small-cap
Top 300
All-cap
Top 50
+10.6%
+7.8%
+9.3%
+10.3%
+10.3%
+7.1%
Commodities
Platforms
Exchanges
Privacy
Stable Coins
+15.3%
+4.5%
+0.2%
+5.5%
+0.2%
Crypto Currency Strategy
Portfolio Strategy
Technical Strategy
Thomas J. Lee, CFA AC Thomas J. Lee, CFA AC Robert Sluymer, CFAAC Robert Sluymer, CFAAC Head of Research Head of Technical Strategy
[email protected] [email protected] Sam Doctor AC twitter: @Fundstrat twitter: @rsluymer Ken Xuan AC Alex Kern For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see Disclosures, Slide 40.
Quantitative Strategy
Washington & Policy Strategy
Sam Doctor AC
L. Thomas Block
Head of Data Science Research
[email protected] twitter: @fundstratQuant
Policy Strategist
[email protected] twitter: @TomBlock_FS
www.Fundstrat.com | Bloomberg: FSGA
The Fundstrat Research Team Thomas J. Lee, CFA Co-Founder, Head of Research In research: 25 years Prior to founding Fundstrat, Mr. Lee was at J.P. Morgan from 1999 to 2014 and served as Chief Equity Strategist from 2007 to 2014. He was topranked by Institutional Investor every year since 1998. Previously served as Managing Director at Salomon Smith Barney. Mr. Lee graduated from the undergraduate program at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.
Rob Sluymer, CFA
Sam Doctor Head of Data Science Research In research: 18 years Head of Data Science Research. Former US Small and Mid Cap Technology Analyst and India Small / Mid Cap Strategist at J.P. Morgan Chase.
L. Thomas Block
Head of Technical Analysis Strategy In research: 26 years
Washington and Policy Strategist Head of JPM policy: 21 years
Head of Technical Research with over 26 years experience writing technical research at RBC Capital Markets
Tom had a 21-year career at J.P. Morgan, serving as Global Head of Government Relations. Prior to joining JP Morgan Chase in 1987, he previously worked in Washington and held several positions with members of the House and Senate, serving as Legislative Assistant and Chief of Staff in the House, and Legislative Staff Director in the Senate
Ken Xuan
Alex Kern
Quantitative Analyst In research: 4 years
Research Analyst In research: 3 years
Data scientist with expertise in applied mathematics and statistical analysis. Ken was an operations strategy consultant at West Monroe Partners. Ken received a B.S. degree in Management, Economics from Purdue University in 2013 and an M.S. degree in Operations Research from Columbia University in 2017.
Previously conducted blockchain technology research with Digital Currency Group. Prior to that, Alex was a Fintech and Payments Equity Research Associate with Cowen & Co. Alex received his B.A. in History from the University of Pennsylvania in 2014.
Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg, Factset
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 2
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 3
Overview: Where to find these indices Figure: The Fundstrat Crypto-currency Indices Fundstrat reference indices. Market Value
Index
Index Price
Description
Tickers
$ % share millions crypto
Bloomberg
Yahoo! Finance
Trading View
Financial Times
Sector Indices FS Crypto Commodity
Likely to be classified as commodities
FS Crypto Platform
Enables decentralized applications
FS Crypto Privacy
Tokens with anonymity features
FS Crypto Exchange FS Crypto Stablecoin
$108 $190,557
58%
111 $111,605
34%
FSTOKCTB
^FSTOKCTB
FSTOKCTB
^FSTOKCTB
FSTOKPLT
^FSTOKPLT
FSTOKPLT
^FSTOKPLT
FSTOKPVT
^FSTOKPVT
FSTOKPVT
^FSTOKPVT
FSTOKDEX
^FSTOKDEX
FSTOKDEX
^FSTOKDEX
FSTOKSTB
^FSTOKSTB
FSTOKSTB
^FSTOKSTB
84%
FSTOK10
^FSTOK10
FSTOK10
^FSTOK10
76
$10,779
3%
Tokens associated with exchanges
114
$2,913
1%
Tracks the fiat currencies
100
$2,312
1%
Market-Cap based Indices FS Crypto 10
Top 10 largest Crypto-currencies
$164 $274,045
FS Crypto 40
Top 11-50 based on market value
147
$33,374
10%
FSTOK40
^FSTOK40
FSTOK40
^FSTOK40
FS Crypto 50 Eq Wt
Equal weighted FS Crypto 10 and 40
162 $307,419
94%
FSTOKEQW
^FSTOKEQW
FSTOKEQW
^FSTOKEQW
FS Crypto 250
Top 51-300 based on market cap
125
$13,448
4%
FSTOK250
^FSTOK250
FSTOK250
^FSTOK250
FS Crypto 300
FS Crypto 10, 40 and 250
159 $324,294
99%
FSTOK300
^FSTOK300
FSTOK300
^FSTOK300
FS Crypto Aggregate
Aggregate index
159 $325,968
100%
FSTOKAGG
^FSTOKAGG
FSTOKAGG
^FSTOKAGG
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 4
Overview
Relative Performance
Figure: The Fundstrat Crypto-currency Indices Fundstrat reference indices.
7D Performance (%) 0.0
S&P 500
0.1 0.8
MSCI All World Idx BBG US Agg Bond Idx
(0.3)
Salient Risk Parity Idx
(0.3) (0.8) (0.1)
BBG Commodity TR Idx
(4.0)
(0.3)
BBG US Treasury Idx Gold
(3.2)
0.5
0.2
(1.2) (0.8)
Oil
The best performing size-based index was FS CryptoFX 10, which was up 10.6%.
1.7
(0.2) (0.0)
Dollar Idx
Over the past 7 days, the FS CryptoFX Agg Index increased by 10.3%, compared with a 0.0% increase for the S&P 500.
30D Performance (%)
2.7 16.6
Bitcoin Ethereum
(1.3)
FS CryptoFX Agg
10.6 10.0
FS CryptoFX 40
7.8
4.3
FS CryptoFX 250
9.3
5.9
15.3
FS CryptoFX Commodity FS CryptoFX Platform
0.6
(7.0)
19.0
4.5 5.5
FS CryptoFX Privacy FS CryptoFX Exchange
10.3
9.0
FS CryptoFX 10
The best performing sector index was FS CryptoFX Commodity, which was up 15.3%.
21.9
2.2
8.1
0.2
0.2 (0.0) * Base date of Cap based Indices is 9/30/17 and Sector Indices is 3/31/18
FS CryptoFX Stablecoin
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 5
At a Glance
State of Indices Bitcoin
Composite Technical Score
FS Ex change FS EQW 10
FS 40 9
8
FS Privacy FS EQW 40
41
42
FS 40 -20
43
FS 40 FS 300 44
FS Privacy
FS EQW FS 300 -15
FS 10 FS AGG
FS Ex change FS Platform
FS EQW FS 250 85%
FS Commodity
FS 250
FS AGG
FS AGG FS 250 45
Bitcoin
FS 10
6
FS Platform
5
4
FS Commodity
3
FS Stable Coin
Bitcoin
FS 10 46
FS Commodity
47
48
49
50
Bitcoin
51
52
FS Stable Coin
53
54
FS Ex change
FS 250 -10
-5
FS Privacy
FS 40
90%
FS 300
7
FS Ex change
FS Platform
P/50D
Sector-based Indices
FS Stable Coin
FS Privacy FS Platform
Win-ratio
Upside less downside Volatility
Size-based Indices
FS Stable Coin FS AGG
95%
0
FS 300 100%
FS Commodity
5
Bitcoin
FS 10 105%
110%
115%
FS Commodity
FS Privacy
FS Platform
Weekly RSI
FS 40
FS 250 40
41
42
FS EQW 43
Bitcoin
FS Stable Coin FS AGG FS 300 44
FS Ex change
FS 10 45
46
47
48
49
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 6
At a Glance
State of Indices Technical Metrics Composite Name
Symbol
Bitcoin
BTC
FS Commodity
Price (USD)
Technical Price (BTC) Rank
90D
Relative Relative
Win 90D Price to Price to Weekly 5D 10D 30D 21 vs 50 Ratio UV - DV 21 DMA 50 DMA RSI Return Return Return DMA
$7,418.49
1.000000
1
53
(7) 109.4% 110.0%
48
1.3
19.1
21.9
(0.5% )
FSTOKCTB
$104.76
0.014121
2
49
(11) 108.4% 107.3%
47
(0.1)
18.2
19.0
1.1%
FS 10
FSTOK10
$159.74
0.021532
3
47
(13) 104.8% 100.8%
45
(3.3)
14.3
10.0
3.9%
FS 300
FSTOK300
$155.72
0.020990
4
44
(15) 104.2%
99.7%
44
(3.7)
14.3
9.2
4.5%
FS AGG
FSTOKAGG
$155.87
0.021011
5
44
(15) 104.2%
99.6%
44
(3.8)
14.3
9.0
4.6%
FS 250
FSTOK250
$126.53
0.017056
6
44
(11) 101.7%
92.5%
41
(5.5)
13.1
5.9
9.2%
FS Stable Coin
FSTOKSTB
$99.99
0.013479
7
53
99.9%
99.9%
46
(0.0)
0.1
FS 40
FSTOK40
$145.31
0.019588
8
44
(19) 100.8%
93.5%
42
(6.1)
14.9
4.3
7.3%
FS Platform
FSTOKPLT
$109.47
0.014757
9
48
(15)
99.9%
92.9%
43
(7.4)
10.2
0.6
7.0%
FS Privacy
FSTOKPVT
$75.14
0.010129
10
43
(14) 100.1%
95.5%
40
(7.9)
12.4
8.1
4.7%
FS Exchange
FSTOKDEX
$113.50
0.015300
11
44
0
97.1%
90.9%
49
(10.6)
10.8
(7.0)
6.2%
FS EQW
FSTOKEQW
$160.22
0.021597
12
43
(15)
99.5%
91.2%
42
(7.7)
13.1
1.3
8.3%
(0)
(0.0) (0.0% )
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 7
At a Glance
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation – Bitcoin vs Size indices and vs Sector indices Over last 100 days
Correlation
100%
Bitcoin is most correlated to the size index, FS 10 with a 90D correlation of 97.3%.
FS Crypto Size Indices FS 10
90%
80%
FS 40 FS 250
In the past week, the largest change in correlation was FS 250 (+0.3%).
FS EQ WT
70%
FS Agg 60% 100%
Bitcoin is most correlated to the sector index, FS Commodity with a 90D correlation of 99.2%. In the past week, the largest change in correlation was FS Privacy (+3.2%).
97.3% 97.0% 92.4% 92.0% 90.3%
FS Crypto Sector Indices FS Commodity
80%
99.2% 92.6% 89.4% 82.3%
60% 40%
FS Platform FS Privacy
20%
16.4%
FS Exchange FS Stablecoin
0% (20%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 8
At a Glance
State of Tokens 1 of 2
Technical Metrics
Price Market (USD) Price (BTC) Cap ($B)
Composite Current Technical Coin Supply Score
Name
Symbol
Mithril
MITH
$0.74
0.000100
Stellar
XLM
$0.28
0.000038
0x
ZRX
$1.13
0.000152
1.1
1,000,000,000
Cardano
ADA
$0.17
0.000023
5.3
31,112,483,745
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.00
0.000000
0.4 115,115,356,487
Augur
REP
$35.42
0.004775
0.4
11,000,000
Decred
DCR
$70.02
0.009439
0.5
7,565,743
Bitcoin
BTC
$7,418.49
1.000000
127.1
17,127,475
BitShares
BTS
$0.20
0.000027
0.5
2,637,880,000
MCO
MCO
$8.01
0.001080
0.3
31,587,682
Hshare
HSR
$5.68
0.000766
0.2
43,181,161
Bitcoin Cash
BCH
$788.67
0.106311
13.6
17,215,338
Zcash
ZEC
$192.70
0.025976
0.8
4,265,581
EOS
EOS
$7.90
0.001065
7.1
900,000,000
Golem
GNT
$0.32
0.000043
0.3
1,000,000,000
Bytecoin
BCN
$0.00
0.000000
0.6 183,890,481,254
Siacoin
SC
$0.01
0.000001
0.4
35,416,017,975
Bibox Token
BIX
$0.78
0.000105
0.2
269,944,749
IOST
IOST
$0.02
0.000003
0.5
21,000,000,000
Dash
DASH
$250.58
0.033778
2.0
8,165,919
Litecoin
LTC
$83.16
0.011210
4.8
57,230,096
Ethereum
ETH
$459.66
0.061961
46.2
100,439,449
Bytom
BTM
$0.35
0.000048
0.5
1,407,000,000
aelf
ELF
$0.63
0.000085
0.2
280,000,000
Status
SNT
$0.07
0.000010
0.5
6,804,870,174
0.7
1,000,000,000
29.5 104,065,507,794
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
90D Relative Relative Win 90D Price to Price to Weekly 5D 10D 30D 21 vs 50 Ratio UV - DV 21 DMA 50 DMA RSI Return Return Return DMA
50
63 134.1% 148.7%
56
18.5
51.0
93.4 (14.6% )
44
16 124.0% 122.0%
51
12.1
52.7
39.4
1.9%
48
39 110.9% 117.2%
52
(9.6)
45.5
53.3
(6.3% )
44
23 112.5% 106.5%
47
(0.3)
33.9
21.8
6.0%
41
22 122.9% 118.7%
48
7.1
50.0
29.6
4.3%
48
37 109.5% 106.1%
43
12.1
17.1
16.0
3.4%
44
24 105.3%
89.2%
49
(8.7)
22.8
(9.8)
16.1%
53
(7) 109.4% 110.0%
48
1.3
19.1
21.9
(0.5% )
50
(9) 110.6% 115.8%
49
(10.2)
31.0
43.8
(5.2% )
43
25 103.7% 122.0%
50
(2.2)
17.6
64.1 (18.3% )
48
18 105.4% 100.8%
41
2.9
22.2
16.6
4.7%
47
94.5%
43
(7.3)
15.5
4.3
9.7%
44
17 106.4% 101.5%
2 104.2%
42
(8.4)
23.9
14.2
4.9%
47
28
97.5%
82.6%
46
(10.0)
14.5
(8.8)
14.9%
43
33
97.5%
84.8%
45
(4.0)
12.0
0.9
12.7%
40
826
98.8%
83.8%
44
(11.2)
13.1
11.1
15.0%
48
60
97.8%
88.2%
43
(9.9)
6.4
(4.2)
9.6%
42
35
96.6%
72.6%
48
2.0
13.8
(31.3)
24.0%
42
4
98.6%
85.6%
43
(9.5)
14.4
(3.3)
13.0%
42
(5) 104.1%
98.1%
38
(3.6)
18.1
6.0
6.0%
44
(10) 100.7%
90.8%
40
(7.4)
8.3
(2.3)
9.8%
49
(9)
99.0%
93.3%
43
(8.3)
6.9
(1.3)
5.8%
42
(6) 100.1%
80.0%
43
1.4
17.4
(16.8)
20.1%
48
34
94.0%
89.1%
46
(14.1)
12.9
16.6
4.9%
44
7
95.1%
94.4%
44
(10.3)
9.1
14.2
0.7%
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 9
At a Glance
State of Tokens 2 of 2
Technical Metrics
Price Market (USD) Price (BTC) Cap ($B)
Composite Current Technical Coin Supply Score
Name
Symbol
Zilliqa
ZIL
$0.07
0.000010
0.9
12,600,000,000
NEM
XEM
$0.17
0.000023
1.5
8,999,999,999
OmiseGO
OMG
$7.15
0.000964
1.0
140,245,398
Ethereum Classic ETC
$16.12
0.002173
1.7
102,726,980
XRP
XRP
$0.45
0.000061
44.9
99,991,924,336
TRON
TRX
$0.04
0.000005
3.5 100,000,000,000
Aeternity
AE
$1.81
0.000244
0.5
Bitcoin Gold
BTG
$28.55
0.003848
0.5
17,199,886
Waves
WAVES
$2.75
0.000371
0.3
100,000,000
Monero
XMR
$128.72
0.017351
2.1
16,187,202
Nebulas
NAS
$3.51
0.000473
0.4
100,000,000
Steem
STEEM
$1.39
0.000187
0.4
281,621,349
CyberMiles
CMT
$0.15
0.000020
0.1
1,000,000,000
Binance Coin
BNB
$12.12
0.001634
2.4
194,972,068
Ontology
ONT
$3.30
0.000445
3.3
1,000,000,000
IOTA
MIOTA
$0.98
0.000132
2.7
2,779,530,283
NEO
NEO
$33.28
0.004486
3.3
100,000,000
Verge
XVG
$0.02
0.000003
0.3
15,054,315,539
ICON
ICX
$1.36
0.000183
0.5
400,228,740
Lisk
LSK
$4.97
0.000670
0.6
122,803,812
Qtum
QTUM
$7.83
0.001055
0.8
100,664,516
VeChain
VEN
$1.79
0.000241
1.6
873,378,637
Nano
NANO
$2.33
0.000314
0.3
133,248,289
Populous
PPT
$6.34
0.000855
0.3
53,252,246
Loopring
LRC
$0.27
0.000036
0.4
1,374,956,262
273,685,830
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
90D Relative Relative Win 90D Price to Price to Weekly 5D 10D 30D 21 vs 50 Ratio UV - DV 21 DMA 50 DMA RSI Return Return Return DMA
47
36
94.3%
84.6%
42
(12.6)
9.9
0.7
9.7%
47
(3)
95.8%
89.8%
40
(8.3)
8.6
3.4
6.0%
46
6
95.9%
84.7%
40
(9.0)
6.9
(13.2)
11.2%
53
(21)
94.5% 101.4%
46
(10.2)
(1.3)
10.3
(6.8% )
48
(17)
96.0%
87.0%
43
(11.1)
3.2
(7.7)
9.1%
40
20
96.5%
82.5%
45
(11.7)
9.0
(18.6)
14.0%
41
72
93.0%
77.8%
46
(11.7)
9.0
(11.7)
15.2%
43
(31)
97.3%
90.2%
42
(9.2)
(3.0)
8.5
7.1%
47
(1)
94.9%
84.9%
41
(11.9)
5.0
(5.8)
10.1%
42
(18)
97.0%
96.3%
41
(10.7)
7.1
16.4
0.7%
41
35
89.4%
71.5%
43
(6.9)
7.7
(24.7)
17.8%
40
26
93.9%
85.3%
41
(10.9)
7.8
3.0
8.6%
46
44
87.4%
74.0%
46
(17.5)
3.7
(10.5)
13.4%
43
31
92.4%
84.1%
50
(11.6)
0.4
(22.3)
8.3%
43
58
81.7%
61.0%
53
(15.8)
(1.5)
(37.9)
20.7%
42
6
93.2%
83.4%
43
(13.1)
2.1
0.2
9.8%
44
12
92.5%
86.4%
39
(15.4)
4.8
0.1
6.1%
42
(16)
94.1%
83.3%
41
(12.9)
6.3
(7.0)
10.7%
44
8
88.9%
74.4%
44
(16.6)
3.0
(24.0)
14.5%
47
(7)
93.0%
80.8%
38
(12.5)
2.1
(7.1)
12.2%
44
(15)
93.3%
80.0%
38
(11.6)
2.9
(13.3)
13.2%
46
(1)
81.6%
65.1%
40
(10.1)
(14.4)
(35.4)
16.5%
44
4
91.5%
83.8%
41
(21.5)
0.4
(9.3)
7.7%
37
22
88.9%
80.6%
40
(13.0)
2.9
5.7
8.4%
40
(6)
88.4%
75.0%
42
(16.6)
5.4
(12.7)
13.4%
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 10
Overview
Performance Quilt Here we look at the relative performance of our benchmark indices using a performance quilt.
Figure: Crypto Performance Quilt Past 8 weeks 5/27/18 to 6/3/18
6/3/18 to 6/10/18
6/10/18 to 6/17/18
6/17/18 to 6/24/18
6/24/18 to 7/1/18
7/1/18 to 7/8/18
7/8/18 to 7/15/18
FS 250 6.0%
FS 250 9.8%
FS Stable Coin -0.2%
7/15/18 to 7/22/18
FS Exchange 14.5% FS Platform 10.2% FS 40 9.4% FS Eq Wt 7.7% FS 300 7.5% FS Agg 7.4%
The best performing was FS CryptoFX Commodity Index which was up 16.6%. In the prior week, this index was down 5.8%. The worst performing was FS CryptoFX Stable Coin Index, which was up 0.2%. In the prior week, this index was down 0.2%.
FS 10 7.3%
FS 40 6.2%
FS Commodity 6.2%
FS Stable Coin -0.2%
FS Exchange 2.1%
FS 250 5.7%
FS Exchange -12.1%
FS Stable Coin 1.2%
FS Stable Coin 0.0%
FS Eq Wt 5.7%
FS Platform 7.3%
FS Commodity -5.8%
BTC 4.8%
BTC -12.1%
BTC -4.2%
BTC -5.0%
BTC 3.4%
BTC 6.1%
BTC -6.1%
BTC 16.6%
FS Privacy 2.8%
FS Commodity -13.3%
FS Commodity -5.2%
FS Commodity -6.3%
FS Exchange 2.9%
FS 10 6.0%
FS 10 -6.8%
FS Commodity 15.3%
FS Stable Coin 0.1%
FS 10 -14.4%
FS 10 -6.0%
FS 10 -8.1%
FS Commodity 2.8%
FS 300 5.9%
FS Privacy -7.1%
FS 10 10.6%
FS Agg -15.4%
FS Agg -6.3%
FS Privacy -8.3%
FS Privacy 2.0%
FS Agg 5.9%
FS 300 -7.3%
FS 300 10.3%
FS 300 -15.5%
FS 300 -6.3%
FS Agg -9.3%
FS 300 1.8%
FS Commodity 5.5%
FS Agg -7.3%
FS Agg 10.3%
FS Platform -17.5%
FS Platform -6.4%
FS 300 -9.3%
FS Agg 1.8%
FS Eq Wt 5.1%
FS Exchange -7.6%
FS 250 9.3%
FS Privacy -19.0%
FS Privacy -6.8%
FS Platform -12.3%
FS 10 1.1%
FS Exchange 4.8%
FS Platform -8.5%
FS 40 7.8%
FS 40 -20.3%
FS 40 -7.1%
FS Exchange -14.8%
FS Platform 1.0%
FS Privacy 4.3%
FS 40 -9.0%
FS Eq Wt 7.1%
FS Eq Wt -20.4%
FS Eq Wt -8.2%
FS 40 -14.9%
FS Stable Coin -1.1%
FS 40 3.4%
FS Eq Wt -10.9%
FS Privacy 5.5%
FS 250 -22.9%
FS 250 -10.2%
FS Eq Wt -16.1%
FS Stable Coin 0.1%
FS 250 -12.2%
FS Platform 4.5%
FS 250 -19.2%
Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
FS Exchange 0.2% FS Stable Coin 0.2%
Slide 11
SIZE
Indices vs BTC
Figure: Size-based Indices Price Ratio to BTC Past 6M
FS Crypto 10 (large-cap) vs BTC
The 6M price performance of the size-weighted indices are plotted. Over the past week, the best performing of the size indices was FS CryptoFX 10 which was down 5.1%. The worst performing over that timeframe was FS CryptoFX 40 which was down 7.6%. Over the past month, the best performing of the size indices was FS CryptoFX 10 which was down 9.8%. The worst performing over that timeframe was FS CryptoFX 40 which was down 14.5%.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-13.6%
-9.8%
-5.1%
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-38.2%
-14.5%
-7.6%
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-41.3%
-13.1%
-6.3%
FS Crypto 40 (mid-cap) vs BTC
FS Crypto 250 (small-cap) vs BTC
Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 12
Size Rotation Size Pairs
Figure: Size Pairs Price Ratio Past 6M
Mid-cap vs Large-cap FS Crypto 40 / FS Crypto 10
Over the past week, relative performance of mid-cap vs large-cap was down 2.5%.
Over the past week, relative performance of small-cap vs large-cap was down 1.3%.
Over the past week, relative performance of small-cap vs mid-cap was up 1.3%.
3M %Delta
1M %Delta
1W %Delta
-28.5%
-5.2%
-2.5%
3M %Delta
1M %Delta
1W %Delta
-32.1%
-3.7%
-1.3%
3M %Delta
1M %Delta
1W %Delta
-5.0%
+1.6%
+1.3%
Small-cap vs Large-cap FS Crypto 250 / FS Crypto 10
Small-cap vs Mid-cap FS Crypto 250 / FS Crypto 40
Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 13
Sectors
Sectors vs BTC
Figure: Sector Price Ratio to BTC Past 6M
Commodities vs BTC
The 6M price performance of the sector indices are plotted. Over the past week, the best performing of the sector indices was FS Commodity Index which was down 1.2%. The worst performing over that timeframe was FS Exchange Index which was down 14.1%. Over the past month, the best performing of the sector indices was FS Commodity Index which was down 2.4%. The worst performing over that timeframe was FS Exchange Index which was down 23.7%.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-7.2%
-2.4%
-1.2%
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-21.6%
-17.5%
-10.4%
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-45.5%
-11.3%
-9.6%
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-5.0%
-23.7%
-14.1%
Platforms vs BTC
Privacy vs BTC
Exchanges vs BTC
Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 14
Sector Rotation Sector Pairs
Figure: Sector Pairs Price Ratio Past 6M
Platforms vs Commodities
Over the past week, relative performance of Platforms vs Commodities was down 9.3%.
Over the past week, relative performance of Platforms vs Exchanges was up 4.3%.
Over the past week, relative performance of Privacy vs Commodities was down 8.5%.
3M %Delta
1M %Delta
1W %Delta
-15.5%
-15.5%
-9.3%
3M %Delta
1M %Delta
1W %Delta
-17.5%
+8.1%
+4.3%
3M %Delta
1M %Delta
1W %Delta
-41.2%
-9.1%
-8.5%
Platforms vs Exchanges
Privacy vs Commodities
Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 15
Cross Asset Classes Correlation Matrix Figure: FS Crypto FX Indices Correlation Matrix against Major Asset Classes (%) Based on the daily return of last 90 days
Bitcoin
Bitcoin FS CryptoFX 10 FS CryptoFX 40 FS CryptoFX 250 FS CryptoFX 300
100
FS FS FS FS FS FS FS FS FS FS FS MSCI All US Agg CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX CryptoFX US Dollar World Bond 10 40 250 300 Agg Eq Wt Commodity Platform Privacy Exchange Stablecoin S&P 500 Index Index Index
97 100
92 96 100
90 94 95 100
97 100 97 95 100
FS CryptoFX Agg FS CryptoFX Eq Wt FS CryptoFX Commodity FS CryptoFX Platform FS CryptoFX Privacy FS CryptoFX Exchange FS CryptoFX Stablecoin S&P 500 US Dollar Index
97 100 97 95 100 100
92 97 99 95 98 98 100
99 99 94 91 98 98 94 100
93 98 97 94 99 99 98 94 100
89 91 94 90 92 92 92 91 90 100
82 86 89 85 87 87 89 83 88 81 100
16 14 9 8 13 13 10 15 12 9 15 100
(14) (12) (17) (14) (13) (13) (15) (11) (14) (12) (12) 14 100
(2) 0 2 (3) 1 1 2 (1) 2 4 (2) (0) (9) 100
MSCI All World Index US Agg Bond Index Risk Parity Index Comdty TR Index US Treasury Index Gold
(5) (5) (10) (3) (6) (6) (8) (4) (8) (7) (9) 17 84 (37) 100
14 17 19 23 18 18 18 15 19 14 20 (2) (38) 17 (35) 100
Risk Parity Index
1 (0) (4) 1 (1) (1) (2) 1 (2) (4) (3) 17 50 (35) 71 11 100
US Comdty Treasury TR Index Index
(10) (14) (16) (15) (14) (14) (16) (11) (17) (13) (19) (2) 27 (40) 50 (13) 69 100
14 16 19 21 17 17 18 14 19 13 21 (3) (43) 22 (44) 99 3 (16) 100
Gold
Oil
3 6 0 4 5 5 3 3 7 (6) 2 (1) 10 (39) 33 12 45 57 9 100
(9) (12) (13) (13) (12) (12) (14) (9) (15) (5) (17) (7) 24 (30) 35 (14) 47 74 (16) 32 100
Oil
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 16
Cross Token Correlation Matrix Figure: Correlation Matrix (%)
Bytom BitShares Siacoin 0x Steem Verge Nano Dogecoin Golem Waves Populous Nebulas Hshare Status IOST Loopring Mithril
The 3 tokens with lowest overall correlation (to other tokens) are: Bytecoin @ 14.6% overall; Mithril @ 40.2% overall; and Augur @ 41.6% overall.
78 75 81 75 72 76 76 74 85 62 73 68 75 74 56 70 78 64 76 82 62 71 84 16 65 49 70 76 44 69 100
71 70 72 69 53 68 67 59 63 58 74 67 63 71 55 62 70 46 77 70 53 70 68 17 64 51 54 70 43 57 63 100
65 69 67 57 57 68 70 56 65 45 66 62 65 65 43 67 69 59 68 60 53 66 66 17 60 48 55 56 38 50 58 57 100
aelf CyberMiles Monaco Bibox Token
75 65 66 64 49 66 67 54 64 52 72 65 60 71 45 52 69 45 70 66 57 58 68 33 58 40 51 65 44 53 66 66 51 38 61 68 100
72 73 77 65 76 72 78 69 71 56 70 70 65 66 59 75 71 76 73 80 51 68 72 9 60 46 72 71 33 62 73 59 59 39 66 70 49 57 79 67 100
79 78 74 65 72 73 76 65 63 66 72 71 64 72 60 68 74 59 80 80 59 70 69 15 61 51 69 74 41 55 66 67 54 46 66 68 62 65 74 62 77 100
77 76 76 72 66 76 79 63 73 61 72 69 68 69 52 70 72 64 78 78 55 70 73 18 71 47 66 73 40 62 69 61 60 56 69 74 58 58 75 75 69 70 100
78 78 77 71 69 75 78 68 70 61 68 77 67 72 54 73 74 58 77 77 57 75 74 43 71 52 71 75 49 65 75 66 63 43 78 75 64 56 77 65 73 74 74 100
78 76 79 75 73 74 78 70 80 60 74 71 73 76 58 78 73 75 74 78 62 73 83 19 67 44 77 78 44 72 86 64 61 45 74 78 62 58 79 75 77 67 72 78 100
49 47 50 55 32 49 46 32 44 43 48 49 38 49 40 41 49 22 54 49 32 40 41 12 48 19 32 48 35 36 43 63 37 15 45 48 46 43 47 31 41 47 42 45 38 100
71 67 72 66 68 69 83 65 75 55 71 63 66 69 44 71 76 70 66 76 57 65 75 10 64 40 80 69 35 68 79 57 59 45 73 71 57 54 77 64 70 61 71 72 79 37 100
65 63 63 62 59 67 64 57 68 49 59 55 52 63 44 59 67 55 58 66 54 51 64 12 55 43 59 66 28 51 66 48 40 33 57 64 48 56 62 51 59 55 57 58 64 27 68 100
64 64 69 61 48 66 59 49 55 52 56 56 69 60 41 65 60 50 62 69 54 57 65 8 52 45 49 62 37 64 59 52 48 53 63 62 48 57 63 61 59 60 65 54 63 30 55 45 100
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 17
Bibox Token
68 66 66 63 61 67 70 57 63 58 67 64 69 68 58 67 63 59 70 70 64 67 69 7 60 46 62 69 39 61 68 57 62 51 70 68 45 51 70 100
Monaco
83 85 84 76 71 84 82 71 78 66 76 76 76 79 60 85 83 74 78 84 66 74 84 13 74 54 74 78 47 65 75 67 66 51 76 84 58 64 100
CyberMiles
68 68 69 63 49 68 68 47 59 55 58 68 62 62 45 64 73 51 64 65 53 60 66 13 59 39 50 67 44 54 56 57 60 48 58 69 54 100
aelf
87 90 88 81 65 87 82 74 86 66 77 83 78 85 60 81 85 69 86 84 71 78 87 15 69 54 65 81 51 61 81 71 71 50 82 100
Mithril
78 80 83 81 62 78 81 73 73 60 75 75 77 77 57 74 79 57 81 78 66 78 82 14 68 57 61 77 42 74 78 76 61 51 100
Loopring
52 51 50 49 53 50 54 55 42 35 47 42 54 44 36 49 53 52 49 47 46 47 52 16 44 50 36 47 31 37 40 44 51 100
Dogecoin
0x
64 60 70 65 60 64 68 57 64 51 66 60 66 62 49 67 67 56 66 68 52 62 69 4 52 42 58 68 29 100
Siacoin
52 58 44 46 31 47 46 36 40 37 33 44 46 51 41 41 50 32 48 43 34 62 51 18 53 38 37 44 100
BitShares
Aeternity
Bitcoin Gold
84 83 86 81 66 84 78 69 75 73 74 76 74 79 60 74 81 57 80 85 68 70 79 15 69 45 62 100
IOST
Bitcoin Gold Augur
64 62 65 58 73 63 76 61 68 50 65 59 55 61 51 72 65 77 63 68 54 69 64 21 67 46 100
Status
Decred Aeternity
65 57 53 47 54 64 47 54 48 38 44 45 61 56 48 55 56 47 59 55 54 61 52 8 39 100
Hshare
Zilliqa
70 71 71 78 59 71 70 54 68 47 65 64 65 69 56 70 68 56 68 65 52 63 67 19 100
Nebulas
13 19 15 12 14 13 15 16 13 7 12 34 7 12 5 16 13 8 11 14 12 25 13 100
Populous
84 84 87 81 69 83 82 77 84 69 78 76 82 85 55 80 86 68 82 86 69 72 100
Decred
74 80 77 69 67 74 79 68 71 55 70 72 70 75 57 75 74 61 80 73 64 100
Zilliqa
71 71 72 63 51 73 66 59 65 56 65 64 70 80 53 69 71 51 69 70 100
Bytecoin
88 86 90 78 73 89 82 76 85 78 76 78 78 83 65 80 89 68 87 100
Lisk
NEM
VeChain
85 86 86 79 75 84 82 74 79 67 80 78 77 84 63 78 84 65 100
Waves
Lisk Bytecoin
65 68 66 61 73 64 73 66 73 51 64 60 59 61 49 78 63 100
Golem
Zcash ICON
85 84 87 77 69 86 86 73 84 69 80 74 80 84 60 78 100
Nano
OmiseGO Qtum
76 82 82 75 69 81 75 69 78 60 72 71 74 77 62 100
Verge
NEM Ontology
65 66 65 55 55 61 60 53 58 57 54 56 59 59 100
Steem
Binance Coin VeChain
87 86 84 82 61 86 80 66 81 69 82 77 81 100
Bytom
84 79 82 79 64 83 76 66 75 63 69 70 100
Binance Coin
76 81 80 74 54 77 75 56 77 59 69 100
Dash
76 73 78 74 65 76 85 69 75 58 100
Monero
Ethereum Classic
74 72 70 66 51 72 62 57 61 100
Augur
80 80 83 77 73 81 78 74 100
ICON
75 76 79 67 77 73 75 100
NEO
TRON
EOS
Bitcoin Cash
XRP
82 81 85 79 72 80 100
Zcash
Monero Dash
92 91 92 87 70 100
Qtum
IOTA
70 68 72 66 100
OmiseGO
Ethereum Classic Stellar
82 84 86 100
Ontology
TRON NEO
88 92 100
IOTA
Litecoin Cardano
91 100
Stellar
Bitcoin Cash EOS
100
Cardano
Ethereum XRP
Litecoin
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Bitcoin
Based on the daily return of last 90 days
57 61 54 47 47 55 46 47 48 48 41 45 51 49 62 52 53 43 53 51 45 42 54 6 51 52 41 46 44 36 44 45 41 38 49 52 34 42 55 51 39 47 48 45 45 15 35 42 35 100
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 18
Large-cap
Figure: FS CryptoFX 10 Price Ratio to BTC Past 6M
FS CryptoFX 10
Large-cap vs BTC
The FS CryptoFX 10 index is designed to track the performance of the top 10 largest and most liquid Crypto-currencies.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX 10 index was down 5.1% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 9.8% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-13.6%
-9.8%
-5.1%
Daily RSI
MACD
The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Cardano up 19.7% and Bitcoin up 16.6%.
Correlation to BTC
The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are Ethereum Classic down 2.9% and NEO down 0.4%
Best Rank
Token 7D chg % weight
Worst 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Cardano 20% 2%
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Cash
EOS
Litecoin
TRON
Ethereum
XRP
NEO
Ethereum Classic
17% 52%
9% 6%
7% 4%
5% 2%
2% 1%
2% 22%
1% 9%
(0%) 1%
(3%) 1%
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 19
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS CryptoFX 10 Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS CryptoFX 10 The FS CryptoFX 10 index is designed to track the performance of the top 10 largest and most liquid Crypto-currencies.
FS CryptoFX 10
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
The FS CryptoFX 10 Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 16.7%.
30%
15%
16.7%
6.1%
0%
(15%)
(0.4% )
(11.9% ) (11.9% )
The FS CryptoFX 10 Index is least correlated to S&P 500 with a 90D correlation of -11.9%. (30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 20
Mid-cap
Figure: FS CryptoFX 40 Price Ratio to BTC Past 6M
FS CryptoFX 40
Mid-cap vs BTC
The FS CryptoFX 40 index is designed to track the performance of the top 11-50 Crypto-currencies based on market value and liquidity.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX 40 index was down 7.6% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 14.5% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-38.2%
-14.5%
-7.6%
Daily RSI
MACD
The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Dogecoin up 45.3% and Mithril up 36.8%.
Correlation to BTC
Best
The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are VeChain down 6.8% and Ontology down 5.2%
10 Best Token 7D chg % weight
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Dogecoin
Mithril
Stellar
Augur
Bytom
Monaco
Hshare
BitShares
Bibox Token
Decred
45% 1%
37% 1%
29% 13%
24% 1%
16% 1%
16% 0%
15% 1%
14% 1%
11% 0%
11% 2%
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
Worst
10 Worst Token 7D chg
Lisk
Loopring
ICON
Verge
Binance Coin
IOTA
Nano
Populous
Ontology
VeChain
(1%)
(1%)
(1%)
(1%)
(1%)
(2%)
(2%)
(4%)
(5%)
(7%)
% weight
2%
1%
2%
1%
6%
11%
1%
1%
3%
5%
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 21
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS CryptoFX 40 Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS CryptoFX 40 The FS CryptoFX 40 index is designed to track the performance of the top 11-50 Crypto-currencies based on market value and liquidity.
FS CryptoFX 40
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
The FS CryptoFX 40 Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 18.8%.
30%
18.8% 15%
0%
0.2% (4.2% )
(15%)
The FS CryptoFX 40 Index is least correlated to S&P 500 with a 90D correlation of -16.6%.
(13.0% ) (16.6% )
(30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 22
Small-cap
Figure: FS CryptoFX 250 Price Ratio to BTC
FS CryptoFX 250
Past 6M
Small-cap vs BTC
The FS CryptoFX 250 index is designed to track the performance of the top 51-300 Crypto-currencies based on market value and liquidity.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX 250 index was down 6.3% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 13.1% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-41.3%
-13.1%
-6.3%
Daily RSI
MACD
Correlation to BTC
The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Bitcoin Diamond up 115.7% and Quantum Resistant Ledger up 60.1%.
Best 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Token
Bitcoin Diamond
Quantum Resistant Ledger
NAGA
Decentraland
Metaverse ETP
TenX
WhiteCoin
KickCoin
LEOcoin
Fortuna
7D chg
116%
60%
54%
46%
41%
40%
39%
39%
37%
30%
2%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
Token
UTRUST
Qbao
Linda
Medicalchain
Revain
All Sports
OneRoot Network
DADI
Credits
Stox
7D chg
(12%)
(14%)
(16%)
(17%)
(17%)
(19%)
(19%)
(21%)
(25%)
(29%)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
10 Best % weight
The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are Stox down 28.8% and Credits down 25.3%
Worst
10 Worst
% weight
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 23
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS CryptoFX 250 Correlation against Major Asset Classes
FS CryptoFX 250
Over last 100 days
The FS CryptoFX 250 index is designed to track the performance of the top 51-300 Crypto-currencies based on market value and liquidity.
FS CryptoFX 250
The FS CryptoFX 250 Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 23.1%.
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
30%
23.1% 15%
0%
The FS CryptoFX 250 Index is least correlated to S&P 500 with a 90D correlation of -13.8%.
(15%)
3.7% 1.2%
(12.9% ) (13.8% )
(30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 24
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 25
Sectors
Figure: FS Crypto Sector Price Ratio to BTC Past 12M
Commodity
Commodities vs BTC
The FS CryptoFX Commodity index is designed to track the performance of the tokens which are viewed purely as digital currencies and/or commodities.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX Commodity index was down 1.2% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 2.4% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-7.2%
-2.4%
-1.2%
Advance/Decline line
Daily RSI
The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Bitcoin up 16.6% and Bitcoin Cash up 9.1%.
Best
The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are Monero up 3.8% and Litecoin up 5.3%
Worst
Rank Past 1 week… Token 7D chg % weight
1
2
3
4
5
Bitcoin 17% 86%
Bitcoin Cash 9% 9%
Zcash 8% 1%
Litecoin 5% 3%
Monero 4% 1%
Past 2 weeks… Token
Zcash
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Cash
Litecoin
Monero
12% 1%
10% 86%
5% 9%
1% 3%
(7%) 1%
14D chg % weight
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 26
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - Commodity Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS Commodity The FS CryptoFX Commodity index is designed to track the performance of the tokens which are viewed purely as digital currencies and/or commodities.
FS CryptoFX Commodity Index
The FS Commodity Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 14.8%.
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
30%
15%
0%
14.8%
3.3% 0.6% (8.6% ) (11.0% )
The FS Commodity Index is least correlated to S&P 500 with a 90D correlation of -11.0%.
(15%)
(30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 27
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 28
Sectors
Figure: FS Crypto Platforms Price Ratio to BTC Past 12M
Platforms
Platforms vs BTC
The FS Crypto Platform index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies which enable developers to create and use decentralized applications (dApps).
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX Platform index was down 10.4% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 17.5% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-21.6%
-17.5%
-10.4%
Advance/Decline line
Daily RSI
The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Stellar up 29.0% and Cardano up 19.7%. The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are VeChain down 29.0% and NEO down 15.0%
Best Rank
Worst 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Token
Stellar
Cardano
Bytom
Stratis
EOS
NEM
Ethereum
Qtum
Waves
NEO
Lisk
IOTA
Classic
VeChain
7D chg
29%
20%
16%
13%
7%
5%
2%
0%
(0%)
(0%)
(1%)
(2%)
(3%)
(7%)
% weight
29%
5%
0%
0%
7%
2%
46%
1%
0%
3%
1%
3%
2%
2%
Stellar
Cardano
Stratis
Ethereum
Bytom
NEM
IOTA
EOS
Waves
Lisk
Classic
Qtum
NEO
VeChain
14D chg
35%
17%
5%
(6%)
(7%)
(8%)
(9%)
(9%)
(10%)
(10%)
(12%)
(13%)
(15%)
(29%)
% weight
29%
5%
0%
46%
0%
2%
3%
7%
0%
1%
2%
1%
3%
2%
Past 1 week… Ethereum
Past 2 weeks… Ethereum Token
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
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Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS Crypto Platform Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS Platform
FS CryptoFX Platform Index
The FS Crypto Platform index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies which enable developers to create and use decentralized applications (dApps).
The FS Platform Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 18.9%.
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
30%
18.9% 15%
7.5%
0%
The FS Platform Index is least correlated to Oil with a 90D correlation of -15.1%.
(15%)
(2.1% )
(13.9% ) (15.1% )
(30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 30
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 31
Sectors
Figure: FS Crypto Exchanges Price Ratio to BTC Past 12M
Exchanges
Exchanges vs BTC
The FS Crypto Exchange index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies/ tokens associated with crypto centralized or decentralized exchanges.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX Exchange index was down 14.1% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 23.7% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-5.0%
-23.7%
-14.1%
Advance/Decline line
Daily RSI
The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Bancor up 5.7% and Kyber Network up 3.3%.
Best
The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are AirSwap down 2.3% and Binance Coin down 1.4%
Worst
Rank Past 1 week… Token 7D chg % weight
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bancor 6% 4%
Kyber Network 3% 5%
0x 2% 27%
QASH 2% 6%
Binance Coin (1%) 56%
AirSwap (2%) 2%
Past 2 weeks… Token 14D chg % weight
0x 17% 27%
Kyber Network (8%) 5%
AirSwap (9%) 2%
QASH (13%) 6%
Binance Coin (13%) 56%
Bancor (29%) 4%
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 32
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS Crypto Exchange Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS Exchange
FS CryptoFX Exchange Index
The FS Crypto Exchange index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies/ tokens associated with crypto centralized or decentralized exchanges.
The FS Exchange Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 20.2%.
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
30%
20.2% 15%
0%
1.8% (2.6% )
(12.1% )
The FS Exchange Index is least correlated to Oil with a 90D correlation of -17.2%.
(15%)
(17.2% )
(30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 33
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 34
Sectors
Figure: FS Crypto Privacy Price Ratio to BTC Past 12M
Privacy
Privacy vs BTC
The FS Crypto Privacy index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies with anonymity or privacy features.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX Privacy index was down 9.6% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 11.3% Relative to BTC. The two best performing constituents this index in the past week are Zcash up 8.2% and Dash up 8.2%.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
-45.5%
-11.3%
-9.6%
Advance/Decline line
Daily RSI
Best
The two worst performing constituents this index in the past week are Bitcoin Private down 13.9% and Monero up 3.8%
Worst
Rank Past 1 week… Token 7D chg % weight
1
2
3
4
Zcash 8% 16%
Dash 8% 40%
Monero 4% 41%
Bitcoin Private (14%) 3%
Past 2 weeks… Token 14D chg % weight
Zcash 12% 16%
Dash 3% 40%
Monero (7%) 41%
Bitcoin Private (34%) 3%
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 35
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS Crypto Privacy Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS Privacy
FS CryptoFX Privacy Index
The FS Crypto Privacy index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies with anonymity or privacy features.
40%
The FS Privacy Index is most correlated to BBG US Agg Bond Index with a 90D correlation of 14.0%.
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
25% 14.0% 10%
(5%)
(3.9% ) (5.4% ) (5.6% ) (11.6% )
(20%)
The FS Privacy Index is least correlated to S&P 500 with a 90D correlation of -11.6%.
(35%)
(50%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 36
Executive Summary • Overview • SIZE: FS Large-cap 10, FS Mid-cap 40, FS small-cap 250 • SECTOR: Commodities • SECTOR: Platforms • SECTOR: Exchanges • SECTOR: Privacy
• SECTOR: Stable coins
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 37
Sectors
Figure: FS Crypto Stable Price Ratio to BTC Past 12M
Stable Coins
Stablecoin vs BTC
The FS CryptoFX Stable index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies which are designed to be “stable”.
Over the past week, the FS CryptoFX Stable Coin index was down 14.1% Relative to BTC. Over the past month, this index was down 18.0% Relative to BTC.
3M rel BTC
1M rel BTC
1W rel BTC
+20.6%
-18.0%
-14.1%
Advance/Decline line
Daily RSI
In the past week, DAI was up 1.9% and Tether was up 0.1%, in dollar terms.
Rank
1
2
DAI 2% 2%
Tether 0% 98%
Token
DAI
Tether
14D chg % weight
2% 2%
(0%) 98%
Past 1 week… Token 7D chg % weight Past 2 weeks…
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 38
Correlation
Figure: 90D Rolling Correlation - FS Crypto Stable Correlation against Major Asset Classes Over last 100 days
FS Stable Coin
FS CryptoFX Stable Coin Index
The FS CryptoFX Stable index is designed to track the performance of cryptocurrencies which are designed to be “stable”.
S&P 500 BBG US Agg Bond Idx Oil Gold Salient Risk Parity Idx
30%
The FS Stable Coin Index is most correlated to Salient Risk Parity Index with a 90D correlation of 16.6%.
15%
0%
16.6% 13.5%
(1.0% ) (1.7% ) (6.8% )
(15%)
The FS Stable Coin Index is least correlated to Oil with a 90D correlation of -6.8%.
(30%)
Source: Coinmarketcap.com, Bloomberg, other sources and Fundstrat.
For exclusive use of Fundstrat clients
Slide 39
Disclosures This research is for the clients of Fundstrat Global Advisors only. For important disclosures and rating histories regarding sectors or companies that are the subject of this report, please contact your sales representative or Fundstrat Global Advisors at 150 East 52nd Street, New York, NY, 10022 USA.
Analyst Certification (Reg AC) Ken Xuan, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report, hereby certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his personal views, which have not been influenced by considerations of the firm’s business or client relationships. Neither I, nor a member of my household is an officer, director, or advisory board member of the issuer(s) or has another significant affiliation with the issuer(s) that is/are the subject of this research report. There is a possibility that we will from time to time have long or short positions in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research Conflicts of Interest This research contains the views, opinions and recommendations of Fundstrat. As of the time of writing and publication of this presentation, Fundstrat does not know of, or have reason to know of any material conflicts of interest at the time of the publication of this presentation. The Company has no contractual relationship, nor have we received any compensation from any of the companies listed in this research report. Analyst Industry/Sector Views Positive (+): The analyst expects the performance of his industry/sector coverage universe over the next 6-18 months to be attractive vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, being the S&P 500 for North America. Neutral (N): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry/sector coverage universe over the next 6-18 months to be in line with the relevant broad market benchmark, being the S&P 500 for North America. Negative (-): The analyst expects his or her industry coverage universe over the next 6-18 months to underperform vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, being the S&P 500 for North America. 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Fundstrat does not have the same conflicts that traditional sell-side research organizations have because Fundstrat (1) does not conduct any investment banking activities, (2) does not manage any investment funds, and (3) our clients are only institutional investors. This research is for the clients of Fundstrat Global Advisors only. Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but Fundstrat Global Advisors does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to Fundstrat and the analyst's involvement (if any) with any of the subject companies of the research. All pricing is as of the market close for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 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Slide 40