Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques

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Data Analysis Life Cycle. Data. Information. Knowledge. Decisions. Exploring the Earth Using Deep ... with just some training. Gradual improvements with.
IN14A-03

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques

Pablo Rozas Larraondo, Joseph Antony, Ben Evans

nci.org.au

Data Analysis Life Cycle

Information Decisions Data Knowledge

© NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Data Analysis Life Cycle

Information

Traditional Machine Learning

Decisions Data Knowledge

© NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Data Analysis Life Cycle

Information

Traditional Machine Learning

Decisions Data Deep Learning

© NCI Australia 2016

Knowledge

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Geosciences data characteristics

Volume

Dimensionality

Heterogeneity © NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Deep learning in geosciences

What’s the weather forecast for San Francisco?

Human Meteorologist

Geopotential 500 hPa

Machine Learning

© NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Deep learning in geosciences

Convolutional Neural Network

© NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Deep learning in geosciences

Geopotential 500 hPa

© NCI Australia 2016

Convolution operation

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Deep learning in geosciences Convolutional Neural Network

Data compression -> Feature extraction © NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Deep learning in geosciences

• 10 years of 3 hourly data • ERA-Interim 500 hPa, 850hPa, 700 T • Rain presence 10 locations in Europe • 2 layer convolutional network

% successful rain forecast London

Gradual improvements with further training Rapidly improved accuracy with just some training

training epochs © NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

Work in Progress

Status and Progress • Motivated by operational forecasting use-case, but this 
 is just a first step to the full model. • Shows that deep learning techniques are compelling for 
 a future forecasting applications • Compare with more complex forecasting • Validate with human forecasters for a range of events

What are the next steps and challenges? • Satellite products generation • On-demand transformation of data sets • Recurrent NN (Time dimension)

© NCI Australia 2016

Exploring the Earth Using Deep Learning Techniques, AGU 2016 Pablo Larraondo

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