Jul 13, 2012 - Non-scientific poll created by Executive Study Group Director Dr. John. Olds. ⢠Consisted of 13 total q
FastForward Study Group: Findings of 2011-2012 Surveys Version A | 13 July 2012
Jason Frieman Junior Engineer | SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. |
[email protected]
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FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Introduction
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FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
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Non-scientific poll created by Executive Study Group Director Dr. John Olds
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Consisted of 13 total questions: •
2 respondent information questions
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11 questions examining pre-competitive issues key to understanding the technical and economic viability of future high-speed global transportation services based on either atmospheric or exoatmospheric flight
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Respondents consisted of FastForward Project Members and members of the general public
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Responses collected via an advertised link on the FastForward Project website from 11/10/2011 to 7/10/2012
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Results analyzed to determine overall trends and identify similarities and differences between respondent groups
Survey Overview 3
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Respondent Profile
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FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Academia/Student 2 10%
Government 3 14% Nonprofit 1 5%
Private Industry or Private Consultant 15 71%
General Public FastForward Members Academia/Student 22 29% Private Industry or Private Consultant 44 59% Government 5 7% Nonprofit 4 5%
Organizational Affiliations 5
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Other 1 5%
Europe 1 5%
Asia 0 0% United States 19 90%
General Public
FastForward Members
Other 2 2% Europe 14 19%
United States 59 79%
Region of Residence 6
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Asia 0 0%
Survey Results
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FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
What category of service do you expect the first commercially viable PTP flight operator to provide?
Mixed Manifest 35 37%
Cargo Flights 34 35%
Passenger Flights 27 28%
Question 1 Results 8
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
What category of service do you expect the first commercially viable PTP flight operator to provide? Cargo Flights 3 18% Mixed Manifest 6 35% Passenger Flights 8 47%
United States
Outside of the United States Mixed Manifest 29 39%
Cargo Flights 29 39% Passenger Flights 16 22%
Question 1 Results by Region of Residence 9
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
The greatest challenge to fielding a successful commercial PTP system is:
Legal and Regulatory 14 14%
Technical 16 17%
Economic 66 69%
Question 2 Results 10
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
The first commercially viable PTP service will likely connect:
Two Standard "Commercial" Airports 34 35%
Two "Spaceports" 62 65%
Question 3 Results 11
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
The first commercially viable PTP service will likely connect:
Two Standard "Commercial" Airports 2 29%
Two "Spaceports" 5 71%
Academia
Government Two Standard "Commercial" Airports 20 87%
Question 3 Results by Organizational Affiliation 12
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Two "Spaceports" 3 13%
How will a first commercially viable PTP service operate?
Scheduled 36 38%
On-Demand 60 62%
Question 4 Results 13
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
How will a first commercially viable PTP service operate?
Scheduled 4 19%
On-Demand 17 81%
General Public
FastForward Members Scheduled 32 43%
On-Demand 43 57%
Question 4 Results by Respondent Group 14
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
How will a first commercially viable PTP service operate?
On-Demand 8 100%
Scheduled 0 0%
Non-Government
Government Scheduled 36 41%
On-Demand 52 59%
Question 4 Results by Organizational Affiliation 15
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
What type of goods is most likely to be delivered by a PTP service carrying time-critical cargo? Documents, Consumer Products, Small Packages 24% Military Payload 3%
Time Critical Parts or Manufacturing Components 45%
Other 15%
Perishables 17%
Cannot Predict 1% Organs/Medical Supplies 13%
Scientific Experiments 1%
Question 5 Results 16
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
Who are the most likely customers for a PTP service carrying passengers (for transatlantic, transpacific, or transcontinental routes?
Business Travelers 21 22%
Adventurers/Tourists 19 20%
High-Net-Worth VIPs 56 58%
Question 6 Results 17
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
How important is high-speed airbreathing propulsion (i.e. scramjet or ramjet) to a future commercially viable business model for PTP services? Not Necessary 11 11%
Enabling Technology 37 39% Nice to Have, but Not Critical 48 50%
Question 7 Results 18
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
How important is high-speed airbreathing propulsion (i.e. scramjet or ramjet) to a future commercially viable business model for PTP services? Not Necessary 1 5% Enabling Technology 6 28% Nice to Have, but Not Critical 14 67%
FastForward Members
General Public Not Necessary 10 13%
Enabling Technology 31 42% Nice to Have, but Not Critical 34 45%
Question 7 Results by Respondent Group 19
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
How important is exoatmospheric flight (i.e. flight above ~300,000 ft or 91 km) to a future commercially viable business model for PTP services?
Not Necessary 42 44%
Necessary 54 56%
Question 8 Results 20
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
How important is exoatmospheric flight (i.e. flight above ~300,000 ft or 91 km) to a future commercially viable business model for PTP services?
Not Necessary 15 52%
Not Necessary 19 44%
Necessary 14 48%
Enabling Technology
Necessary 24 56%
Nice to Have
Not Necessary 1 17%
Necessary 5 83%
Not Necessary
Question 8 Results by High-Speed Airbreathing Propulsion Response 21
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
The first company to offer a successful commercial PTP flight will be:
Non-U.S.-Based 5 18%
U.S.-Based 75 78%
Question 9 Results 22
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
The first company to offer a successful commercial PTP flight will be:
Non U.S.Based 7 50%
U.S.-Based 7 50%
United States Non U.S.Based 2 3%
Europe U.S.-Based 65 97%
Question 9 Results by Region of Residence 23
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
When you think about the first commercially viable PTP service, what maximum speed will the vehicle be required to achieve?
Mach 6+ 36 37%
Mach 1.5-2.5 21 22%
Mach 3-5 39 41%
Question 10 Results 24
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
In its 2009 white paper entitled "Getting Faster," the FastForward Project suggested that ultrahigh speed PTP flight services between distant destinations on the Earth are a logical and necessary transitional market capability toward achieving low-cost, reliable access to space using reusable vehicles. What is your degree of concurrence with this position? Strongly Disagree 6 6% Disagree 9 9%
Strongly Agree 25 26%
Neutral 18 19%
Agree 38 40%
Question 11 Results 25
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
InWhen its 2009 you white think paper entitled "Getting Faster," the FastForward Project that ultraabout the first commercially viablesuggested PTP service, high speed PTP flight services between distant destinations on the Earth are a logical and what maximum speed will the vehicle below-cost, required toaccess achieve? necessary transitional market capability toward achieving reliable to space using reusable vehicles. What is your degree of concurrence with this position? Disagree 1 5%
Strongly Disagree 1 5% Strongly Agree 4 19%
Neutral 8 38%
General Public Agree 7 33%
FastForward Members
Strongly Disagree 5 7%
Disagree 8 11%
Strongly Agree 21 28%
Neutral 10 13% Agree 31 41%
Question 11 Results by Respondent Group 26
FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
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FastForward Study: High Speed Global Point-To-Point Transportation Investigative Group
