Macroeconomics: Introduction - American University

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Macroeconomic Inquiries. Macroeconomic Modeling. The Structure of Economic Models. Source: Jones (2011). Alan G. Isaac. Macroeconomics: Introduction ...
Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomics: Introduction Alan G. Isaac American University

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Preliminaries

These lecture slides indicate the talking points covered in class. They are not a substitute for the lectures. I will appreciate learning of any typos and/or errors.

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Macroeconomics vs. Microeconomics

macroeconomics economy-wide variables (aggregates) microeconomics individual markets microfoundations of macro underlying behavior of indviduals macrofoundations of micro institutional and environmental setting

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Macroeconomic Inquiries All macro textbooks address the causes of growth business cycles inflation We hope that understanding these can help us implement better policies---policies that can improve human well-being by promoting growth, moderating business cycles, constraining inflation. Question: Do you think there are other major macroeconomic inquiries? Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Other Inquiries

Might involuntary unemployment deserve to be listed separately from business cycles? Might we be interested in the causes of the distribution of income and wealth? What role should environmental constraints play in macro policy planning? Question: What role does ideology play in determining which questions we find interesting, or are even willing to discuss?

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Background of the Class

Question: What have you learned to view as determinants of inflation, unemployment, business cycles, growth, and the distribution of income and wealth? Question: Do you think government policy can influence inflation, unemployment, business cycles, growth, and the distribution of income and wealth?

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Course Approach

In this course, we try to answer such questions by collecting evidence on the relationships between macroeconomic variables. macroeconomic (aggregative) variables measurable aggregate quantities such as GDP or unemployment that we attempt to relate to macroeconomic concepts. When then build a model in an attempt to explain our observations.

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

Investigative Strategy

ask a macroeconomic question (“why are we richer today than a century ago”) document stylized facts relevant to the question develop a simple model that incorporates certain stylized facts check predictions of model against other stylized facts use novel predictions of models to search for new facts revise model

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

The Structure of Economic Models

Types of Varaibles Endogenous Exogenous Parameters (like exogs but less “variable”)

Types of Equations Identities Behavioral Technological Equilibrium

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

The Structure of Economic Models

Source: Jones (2011)

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Macroeconomic Inquiries Macroeconomic Modeling

The Use of Economic Models Models can be used to explore counterfactual scenarios and to predict the effects of policy changes. Comparative statics: how do the final values of the endogenous variables respond to the exogenous variables? Comparative dynamics: how does the path of the endogenous variables respond to the path of the exogenous variables? The predictions of economic models are usually qualitative. A truly successful model makes quantitative predictions as well. (Very hard!)

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Three Views of Growth Real GDP: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/

graph/?chart_type=line&width= 800&height=480&preserve_ratio= true&id=GDPCA Logarithm of Real GDP:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/ graph/?chart_type=line&width= 800&height=480&preserve_ratio= true&id=GDPCA&transformation=log Annual Percentage Change in Real GDP:\

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/ graph/?chart_type=line&width= 800&height=480&preserve_ratio= true&id=GDPCA&transformation=pc1 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP

Source: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Population Growth: Linear Scale vs. Ratio Scale It is usually more informative to display series that grow exponentially with a ratio scale rather than a linear scale.

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP (Ratio Scale)

Source: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP (Ratio Scale)

Source: ERP 2011, Fig 3-1 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP per capita (US): Linear Scale Most real income growth has been extremely recent. (But watch out: this is a linear scale, not a ratio scale.)

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Trends and Deviations

When we look at the level of real GDP over time, out attention is drawn to an apparent long-run trend. From this perspective, short-run fluctuations are swamped by long-run growth. potential output flexible trend cost of recession 1982: 5% of potential output ($1500 per family)

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP per capita (US): Ratio Scale

Figure: Real GDP per capita (US): Ratio Scale Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

GDP, GDP p.c., and Population (US)

Figure: GDP, GDP p.c., and Population (US) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

AR vs. US: Real GDP p.c. (Ratio Scale) AR US 104

103

1850

1900

1950

2000

Data Source: http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/ Units: 1990 Dollars (PPP)Alan G. Isaac Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP per capita (7 countries)

Figure: Real GDP per capita (7 countries) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Real GDP p.c.: Levels (2000) and Growth Rates (1960--2000)

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

World Income Distribution

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Annual Percentage Change of Real GDP

Figure: Annual Percentage Change of Real GDP Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Great Recession

Source: ERP 2011 Fig 2-1 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

US Unemployment Rate

Source: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/

series/UNRATE?cid=12 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Unemployment Questions

What caused the Great Depression, with peak unemployment of 25% in the US? Until 1980, Europe had lower unemployment than the US! Why the change?

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Unemployment Since 1960: US, Europe, and Japan

Figure: Unemployment Rates since 1960: US, Europe, and Japan Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Recent Unemployment Comparisons

Source: http://www.bls.gov/fls/intl_unemployment_ rates_monthly.htm Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Recent Unemployment Comparisons

Source: http://www.bls.gov/fls/intl_unemployment_ rates_monthly.htm Alan G. Isaac Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

US Inflation

Source: http: //research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?chart_ Alan G. Isaac Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Inflation Rates since 1960

Figure: Inflation Rates Since 1960: US, Europe, and Japan Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Inflation Questions

What are the causes of inflation? How do monetary and fiscal policy contribute to inflation? Why has rich-country inflation been falling since the early 1980s? Why do some countries experience hyperinflation?

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

US Income Shares (by Quintile)

Figure: Income Shares (by Quintile) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Tax Rates

Source: ERP (2010, Figure 5.7) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Income Mobility

Figure: Income Shares (by Quintile) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Notable Crisis Events

2007 July: 2 Bear Stearns hedge funds collapse (subprime related losses) Sep: run on Northern Rock (British Bank) Sep 18: first fed funds rate cut

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Notable Crisis Events ... 2008 Feb: nationalization of Northern Rock Mar 16: Bear Stearns acquired by JP Morgan Jul 11: Indymac fails Sep 15: Lehman Brothers files for Banruptcy Sep 16: Reserve Primary Fund “breaks the buck”; run on money market funds Sep 19: US Treasury offers insurance to money market funds Sep: GSE conservatorship; Merril Lynch acquire, Washington Mutual acquired Jan 2007--Sep 2009: US and European Banks write down $1T; more than 2/3 is loans. (IMF expects total losses will approach $2.5T.) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Spread over 10-Year Treasury Yields

Figure: Spread over 10-Year Treasury Yields Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Interest Rate Questions

Why are interest rates important to the macroeconomy? What determines interest rates? How can monetary policy affect interest ratest?

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Housing Prices

Source: ERP 2010, Fig 1-1 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Stock Prices

Source: ERP 2010, Fig 2-6 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Some policy responses

2008-09-07: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac placed in conservatorship 2008-09-16: Fed extends $85B line of credit to AIG 2008-09-19: Treasury announces temporary guarantee progrm for money market mutual funds 2008-10-03: Congress passes and Bush signs Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (EESA), including up to $700B for the Troubles Asset Relief Program (TARP). The initial TARP tranche of $350B used to purchase preferred equity shares in financial institutions.

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Some policy responses ...

2008-12 -- 2009-06 Bush extends $17.4B through Auto Industry Financing Program and another $7.5B to GMAC and Chrysler Financial. Obama provides almost twice that as GM and Chrysler go through bankruptcy (to promote “orderly restructuring”. 2009-02-17: Obama signs American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA), containing $787B in tax cuts and spending increases, making it the largest US fiscal stimulus (about 2% of GDP in 2009 and 2.25% in 2010). 2009-06: Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS)

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Monetary Stimulus

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Discretionary Added Fiscal Stimulus

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

US Fiscal and Current Account Deficits Budget deficits and trade deficits may affect future living standards.

Alan G. Isaac Macroeconomics: Introduction Figure: US Fiscal and Current Account Deficits

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

US Exchange Rate

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Net International Investment Position

NIIP not the same as wealth! A rise in the value of our stock market raises our wealth but emph{reduces} our NIIP (because foreign residents hold US stock). 2009 US net equity postion: $3T 2009 US net debt postion: -$5T

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Composition of Assets and Liabilities (US v. RoW)

Figure: Composition of Assets and Liabilities (US v. RoW) Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Growth Unemployment Inflation Inequality Financial Markets Open Economy

Reversal of Fortune Capital gains are no longer offsetting our current account deficit.

Alan G.Reversal Isaac Macroeconomics: Figure: of FortuneIntroduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Background One reads with dismay of Presidents Hoover and then Roosevelt designing policies to combat the Great Depression of the 1930s on the basis of such sketchy data as stock price indices, freight car loadings, and incomplete indices of industrial production. The fact was that comprehensive measures of national income and output did not exist at the time. The Depression, and with it the growing role of government in the economy, emphasized the need for such measures and led to the development of a comprehensive set of national income accounts. [froyen-2005-macrotp], as quoted in [landefeld.seskin.fraumeni-2008-jep] Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Background ...

Prior to the Great Depression, we had no systematic evaluation of aggregate output. The nation was in the midst of the Great Depression, but policymakers had no comprehensive picture of what was happening to the economy. In response, Simon Kuznets and his colleagues in the 1930s gave us our first official measurements [kuznets-1934-gpo].

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Stocks and Flows

Stock: measured at a point in time, does not need to refer to a period of time Flow: measured over a period of time Examples: wealth vs. saving, debt vs. deficits

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Measuring Aggregate Production GDP: market value of all final goods and services produced by domestic residents in a given year. We can look directly at expenditures on final goods and services (expenditure approach), or we can equivalently look at payments to the factors of production (income approach). Households are the owners of the factors of production. Firms produce goods and use their revenues to pay for the factors of production. For simplicity, we aggregate the payments to factors into two categories: labor income (“wages”) and rent (“profits”).

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Components of GDP Basic NIPA identity: Y = C + I + G + (IM − EX ) 100

80 Percent of GDP (2009)

71

60

40

21 20 11 -3 0 C

Data Source:

I

Alan G. Isaac

G

Macroeconomics: Introduction

NX

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

US Consumption/GDP

Source: ERP 2010, Fig 1-3 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Composition of US GDP

Figure: Composition of US GDP Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Composition of US GDP WWII led to a dramatic increase in G. Note that C continues on trend, although I collapses. Data Source: FRED 103 102

Y C I G

101 100 0.8 0.6 0.2

C/Y I/Y G/Y NX/Y

0.0 1930

1935

0.4

1940

1945

Alan G. Isaac

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Composition of US GDP ...

Source: Jones 2008 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Labor’s Share of GDP Labor’s share of GDP is roughly constant at around 2/3.

Source: Jones 2008 Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Absorption

We call our aggregate spending “absorption”: A = C +I +G

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Current Account Determination (view 1):

Y − C − I − G = (IM − EX ) Y − A = (IM − EX )

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Decomposing G

Break up government expenditure: G = CG + IG What is government investment (e.g., in basic research)?

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Revised identity:

Y = C + I + G + (IM − EX )

= C + I + C G + I G + (IM − EX ) = C NAT + I NAT + (IM − EX )

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Current Account Determination (view 2):

Y − C NAT − I NAT = (IM − EX )

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

Current Account Determination (view 3):

S NAT − I NAT = (IM − EX )

Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction

Macroeconomics: Questions and Methods A First Look at Macro Data Measuring the Macroeconomy

Section 1 National Income Accounting

References [froyen-2005-macrotp] Froyen, Richard T. (2005) Macroeconomics: Theories and Policies. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. [kuznets-1934-gpo] Kuznets, Simon. (1934) National Income 1929--1932. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office. [bls-2005-flsforc] of Labor Statistics, Bureau. 2005. Comparative Civilian Labor Force Statistics, 10 Countries, 1960-2004. [landefeld.seskin.fraumeni-2008-jep] Landefeld, J Steven, Eugene P Seskin, and Barbara M Fraumeni. 2008. Taking the Pulse of the Economy: Measuring GDP. Journal of Economic Perspectives 22, 193--216. Alan G. Isaac

Macroeconomics: Introduction