Feb 9, 2018 - In this Presentation. ⢠Renewable trading @ IEX. ⢠Renewable Energy Certificates. ⢠Day Ahead Market
Market Mechanisms for Renewable Energy Hyderabad I 9th February 2018
Rajesh K Mediratta Director (BD)
[email protected]
For office use
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In this Presentation • Renewable trading @ IEX • Renewable Energy Certificates • Day Ahead Market • Green Day Ahead Market
• Market Interventions for RE Integration • About IEX Day-ahead Market
3
RENEWABLE @ IEX RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES DAY AHEAD MARKET GREEN DAY AHEAD MARKET
Options for RE Generators (Sellers)
Bundled Green Power • Discom • Feed-in-Tariffs (FiT) • Competitive Bidding • Third Party Sale to consumers
Proposed Green Market @ Exchange
Unbundled Green Power • To Discom @APPC • Third Party sale to consumers • Sell at Exchange • Captive Consumption
Sell REC @ IEX
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IEX Market Segments -Delivery-based Contractscali • •
Delivery for next day Price discovery: Closed , Double-sided Auction
Round the clock since Jul’15
• • •
Intraday: For Delivery within the same day Day Ahead Contingency: Another window for next day Gate closure : 3 hours
Term-Ahead Contracts
•
For delivery up to 11 days • Daily contracts • Weekly Contracts
• • •
Green Attributes as Certificates Sellers : RE generators not under feed in tariffs Buyers: Obligated entities; 1MWh equivalent to 1 REC
Day-Ahead Market since June,08
Intraday Market & Day-Ahead Contingency
since Sep,09
Renewable Energy Certificates since Feb,11
Energy Saving Certificates (Since 26 Sep’17)
• • •
1 EScert= 1 Mtoe( Metric Tonne Oil Equivalent) Trading Session on every Tuesday of the Week Trading time :1300 hrs to 1500 hrs
In India, all electricity contracts at the Exchange are for physical delivery No derivatives or contracts with delivery over 11 days available
N-Solar & Solar REC trade detail 32.39
30
1,500 18.90
20 10
3.65 April'17
1.0
1,000
Total Non Solar Volume-67.7 Lacs RECs 0
0
May'17
June'17
0
No. of RECs (In Lacs)
2,000
MCP(Rs/REC)
3.79
0.82
500
3.42
2.92
1.82 -
July'17
Aug'17
Sep'17
Oct'17
Nov'17
Dec'17
Jan'18
1200
Solar
0.9
REC Traded
0.8
1000
MCP (Rs/REC)
800
0.6
Total Solar Traded Volume-0.88 Lacs RECs
600
0.4
400
0.2
200
0.0 Apr'17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
May'17
June'17
July'17
Aug'17
Sep'17
Oct'17
Nov'17
Dec'17
Jan'18
Data upto 31st Jan 2018
MCP (Rs/REC)
REC Traded
0
MCP(Rs/REC)
No of RECS (In Lacs)
40
REC Volume Cleared Non Solar
Solar
80
67.7
No. of RECs (In Lacs)
70 60 50
42.1
40 26.7
30 19.8
20 10 0
12.7
9.5 0.0 2011-12
Data upto 31st Jan 2018
0.1 2012-13
0.5 2013-14
14.5 1.0 2014-15
4.7 2015-16
4.0 2016-17
0.9 2017-18
An update on RECs Accredited Registered No. of No of RECs (in Cr) Capacity Capacity Projects Self Issued Traded Inventory Retained (MW) (MW) Registered Inventory upto 31st Mar 17 1.29
0.14
0.10 0.0046
2.08
0.10
1.78
4,171
2932
549
3.33
1.94
Solar
698
694
336
0.64
Total
4869
3626
885
3.97
Non -Solar
0.49
Inventory upto 31st Jan 18 4,836
3,761
735
3.77
3.02
0.14
0.60
Solar
753
733
360
0.75
0.16
0.005
0.58
Total
5589
4,494
1,095
4.52
3.19
0.14
1.18
Non -Solar
Source: REC registry India
New REC Projects Registration Trend 2500
Non Solar Capacity (MW) 2015
Solar Capacity (MW)]
Total Capacity (MW)
2000
3761
735
Solar
733
360
Total
4494
1,095
Capacity (MW)
N-Solar
1500
Total Projects
1175
1120
1000
491
500
444 320
307 192
74
62
109
828
39
0 FY 11-12
FY 12-13
Data upto 31st Jan 2018
FY 13-14
FY 14-15
FY 15-16
FY 16-17
FY 17-18
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RENEWABLE @ IEX RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES DAY AHEAD MARKET GREEN DAY AHEAD MARKET
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First Solar Power Plant In Day-Ahead Market Plant Capacity-51 MW Price @ IEX - Rs. 3.80/u (Oct-Dec17)
• Post losses & charges Rs 3.48 • Post Deviation Charges Rs 3.43 Additional Benefit of Renewable Energy Certificates Peak day-time sale
State-MP District-Ashok Nagar Village-Bhensarwas
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DAY Ahead Market best suited for Solar
Solar Generation Profile • It follows the demand pattern • Much accurate forecast on Day ahead basis • Minimal deviation
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Monthly Prices at IEX (FY 17-18) MCP
5
MCP_Solar_Profile
Seasonal Price
4.09
4.08
3.84
3.81
Price (RS/unit)
4
3
3.13
2.92
2.77
2.59 2.83
2.54 2
3.41 3.00
3.77 3.20
Dec
Jan
3.74
2.71 2.36
2.69
2.49
3.88 3.55
2.23
2.44 1
0 Apr
May
Data upto 31st Jan 2018
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
14
RENEWABLE @ IEX RENEWABLE ENERGY CERTIFICATES DAY AHEAD MARKET GREEN DAY AHEAD MARKET (PROPOSAL)
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MARKET INTERVENTIONS RE INTEGRATION
Market Interventions • Liquid intra-day markets • • • • • •
Already 100% higher volume this year in intra-day markets Few States like WB, DVC, Bihar, MP, TL participating Participants to actively bid Gate Closure to be reduced to 1 hr (present 3 hours) All markets have gate closure 30% in last 5 years High Participation: 4300+ 3800+ Industries I 47 Discoms (all) I 380+ Generators
Transparency Market Share-FY 17 (All Products) Average Daily Trade- FY17 Participation-as on 31 Mar 2017
Liquidity Competition
19
Price and Volume: Bilateral vs. IEX DAM
40
Volume (BU)
4.23
25 20 15
35
36 28 4.74 3.58 3.47
12
4.34 22 3.73
IEX Price
35
29
28
4.27
4.30
34
8
35
7
34
6
28
4.13
3.46 2.89
14
Bilateral Price 40
36
35 30
Trader Volume
2.71
3.54 2.49
24
5
3.50
4
3.28
3
10
2
5
1
-
-1 FY10-11
FY11-12
FY12-13
FY13-14
FY14-15
FY15-16 FY 16-17 FY 17-18*
Prices at the Exchange always remained lower than Bilateral Contracts Source: CERC MMC Reports, *FY17- 18 till October 2017
Price (Rs./kWh)
IEX Volume
Avg Price (Rs/kWh)
Volume Lost due to Congestion lowered and price convergence in regions 8.00
6.86
6.00
4.00
3.13 3.07
2.00
South (S1) North (N2) RoI (W2) 5.11 4.73 3.79 3.23 2.79 2.77 2.58 2.55 3.07 2.52 2.46 2.29
3.23 3.18 3.16
0.00
FY13-14 FY14-15 FY15-16 FY 16-17 FY 17-18 (31 Jan’18)
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 Market Curtailed Cleared Curtailment Clearing Volume volume (MU) (%) Volume (MU) (MU) 34,230 28,925 5,306 15% 3,096 31,227 28,131 10% 36,210 34,067 2,144 6% 41,310 39,784 1,526 3.7% 37,825
37,561
264
2016-17
2017-18*
0.7%
With transmission augmentation, congestion has reduced and ONE NATION ONE GRID ONE PRICE achieved on over 90% days in the month of Sept-Dec
20 *FY 18-till 31st Jan’18
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Monthly Average Market Clearing Price (Rs/kWh) Avg. MCP FY16-17: Rs 2.42/kWh Avg. MCP FY17-18: Rs 3.18/kWh
4.50
4.09 4.08
4.00
3.55
3.50 3.00 2.50
2.77 2.91
3.13
2.92 2.59 2.49 2.32 2.31
2.00
3.00
3.20
2.16 2.17
2.43 2.46 2.32 2.32 2.50 2.54 2.56
1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Apr
May
Data upto 31st Jan 2018
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
22
Monthly Average Clearing Price for SR (Rs/kWh) Avg. MCP FY16-17: Rs 2.79/kWh Avg. MCP FY17-18: Rs 3.25/kWh
4.50
4.08 4.08
4.00
4.16
3.50
3.15
3.00
3.55
3.27
3.00
2.96 2.60 2.59
2.75 2.87 2.69 2.85 2.80
2.78
2.50
3.22 3.07
2.35 2.35 2.39 2.41
2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00
Apr
May
Data upto 31st Jan 2018
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
23
Solar , Wind Vs Market Price Trend Dec'16
Dec'17
4.34 3.46 3 2.47
Solar
2.43
Wind
2.32
IEX Price
24
Landed Cost for OA Consumers at IEX Telangana
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
IEX Price
3.06
3.06
3.06
3.06
3.06
OA Charges 1
0.40
0.51
0.72
0.59
0.66
CSS
1.44
1.57
1.52
1.04
1.67
AS
0.52
-
-
-
-
Landed Cost
5.84
5.52
5.70
5.01
5.61
Energy Charges (Rs/kWh)
6.15
5.87
6.80
5.20
6.35
1Incl.
Trans. ,Wheeling & RPO
*SR Average clearing price at IEX in Feb 2018 (Upto 8th Feb)
at 33 KV (Rs/kWh)
25
Telangana Discom Power Purchase/Sale 2017-18 Apr'17 May'17 June'17 Jul'17 Aug'17 Sep'17 Oct'17 Nov'17 Dec'17 Jan'18 800 608 600
0
-200
418
486
389
595
400 200
501
54 53 -1 -3
10 10 -85 -128
20 20 -96
-16 -27
-185
2 2 -521
-400 -600
80
-191
66 66 -155
-206
-170
75
80 81 -153 -164
-576
-800 Sell Unclear
Sell Clear
Total Buy : 1775 MUs
Buy Uncleared
Buy Clear
Total Sell: 1218 MUs
Buy Bid
Sell Bid
Thank You
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