THEMIS M&S Module(validation procedure). 1. M&S Module generates incidents script. 2. Experts perform a survey-based assessment of the script regarding:.
Session: Human Factors on Crises Management 19 July, 2017
Modeling and Simulation in support of Disaster Preparedness Mário Simões-Marques, João Bica, Anacleto Correia
Agenda • THEMIS context • M&S definitions • Profiles of disasters • THEMIS M&S Module • EXITO’s workflow • Metrics for THEMIS • Development environment • Evaluation of M&S environment • Conclusions
Emergency Management Phases
Source: www.FEMA.gov/are you ready/
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THEMIS Project
Immagery Communications
Population
Responders
IO/GO/ Shared Data NGO Sources
Mobile devices
Crowdsourced information
Media
Shared Knowledge Bases
Sensors Apps
Georeferenced Hypermedia Shared Information
Cloud BYOD/ BYOA
Host Nation Disaster Manager
Definitions and Concepts Model
A physical, mathematical, or otherwise logical abstract representation of a system, entity, phenomenon. (DoD 5000-59-P)
Definitions and Concepts Modeling
Application of a standard, rigorous, structured methodology to create and validate a physical, mathematical, or otherwise logical representation of a system, entity, phenomenon, or process
Definitions and Concepts Simulation • The implementation of a model over time • A method, software framework or system for implementing one or more models in the proper order to determine how key properties of the original may change over time • An unobtrusive scientific method of inquiry involving experiments with a model rather than with the portion of reality this model represents (RTO TR-MSG-058)
Definitions and Concepts Modeling and Simulation (M&S)
The use of models, including emulators, prototypes, simulators, and stimulators, either statically or over time, to develop data as a basis for making managerial or technical decisions. (DoD 5000-59-P)
Modelling Disaster impacts (examples) Flood
Transportation Accident
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100
150
200
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50
100
50
100
150
200
Earthquake
Industrial Accident
0
150
200
0
50
100
150
200
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M&S for THEMIS • Type of exercises: • real-time tabletop • man-in-the-loop
• Environment: • EXITO • THEMIS
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THEMIS M&S Module (general diagram)
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THEMIS M&S Module (UML class model)
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THEMIS M&S Module (database model)
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THEMIS M&S Module (simulation details)
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THEMIS M&S Module (Prototype Console)
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EXITO’s workflow
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Disaster Response Simulations Countryside area
Industrial area
Urban area
Maritime area
PLAYGROUND
Disaster Response Simulations
THEMIS M&S Module(validation procedure) 1. M&S Module generates incidents script 2. Experts perform a survey-based assessment of the script regarding: • • • • • •
Likelihood of type of events Sequence of events Time between events Impact of events Details regarding people affected Details regarding priority of rescue
3. THEMIS developers revise M&S Module 19
Conclusions THEMIS M&S Module is twofold:
Immagery Communications
Population
Responders
• Design and Knowledge Assessment & Validation
IO/GO/ Shared Data NGO Sources
Mobile devices
Crowdsourced information
Media
Shared Knowledge Bases
Sensors Apps
• Training (Table-Top, Man-in-the-Loop)
Georeferenced Hypermedia Shared Information
Cloud BYOD/ BYOA
Host Nation Disaster Manager
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Session: Human Factors on Crises Management 19 July, 2017
Modeling and Simulation in support of Disaster Preparedness Mário Simões-Marques, João Bica, Anacleto Correia
