Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions. October 30-31,
2003. Kelowna, British Columbia. Edited by: T.L. Shore, J.E. Brooks and J.E.
Stone.
The Mountain Pine Beetle Initiative
Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions October 30-31, 2003 Kelowna, British Columbia Edited by: T.L. Shore, J.E. Brooks and J.E. Stone Natural Resources Canada • Canadian Forest Service Pacific Forestry Centre • Victoria, British Columbia Information Report • BC-X-399
The Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, British Columbia The Pacific Forestry Centre of the Canadian Forest Service undertakes research as part of a national network system responding to the needs of various forest resource managers. The results of this research are distributed in the form of scientific and technical reports and other publications. Additional information on Natural Resources Canada, the Canadian Forest Service, and Pacific Forestry Centre research and publications is also available on the World Wide Web at: www. pfc.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca. To download or order additional copies of this publication, see our online bookstore at: bookstore.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca.
Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in each paper of this publication are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Canadian Forest Service or the Government of Canada. Mention in this volume of any commercial product or service does not constitute endorsement of such by the Canadian Forest Service or the Government of Canada.
Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions
October 30-31, 2003 Kelowna, British Columbia
Edited by T.L. Shore, J.E. Brooks and J.E. Stone
Sponsored by the Government of Canada through the Mountain Pine Beetle Initiative, a program administered by Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service.
Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre Victoria, BC Canada Information Report BC-X-399 2004
Natural Resources Canada Canadian Forest Service Pacific Forestry Centre 506 West Burnside Road Victoria, British Columbia V8Z 1M5 Phone (250) 363-0600 www.pfc.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca
© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, 2004 ISSN 0830-0453 ISBN 0-662-38389-3 Printed in Canada
Microfiches of this publication may be purchased from: Micromedia ProQuest 20 Victoria Street Toronto ON M5C 2N8 Library and Archives Canada Cataloguing in Publication Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium (2003 : Kelowna, B.C.) Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium : challenges and solutions “October 30-31, 2003, Kelowna, British Columbia” (Information report ; BC-X-399) Includes an abstract in French. Cat. no. Fo143-2/399E ISBN 0-662-38389-3 1. Mountain pine beetle – Control – Congresses. 2. Pine – Diseases and pests – Congresses. 3. Mountain pine beetle – British Columbia – Congresses. I. Shore, Terence Leckie, 1951- . II. Brooks, J. E. (Julie E.) III. Stone, J.E. (Joanne E.) IV. Pacific Forestry Centre. V. Series: Information report (Pacific Forestry Centre) ; BC-X-399. SB945.M78M78 2004
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634.9’7516768
C2004-980330-1
Contents Abstract/Résumé ....................ˈ Foreword ..............................ˈ
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Introductory Session An overview of the Mountain Pine Beetle Initiative......................................................................................3 Bill Wilson How serious is the mountain pine beetle problem? from a timber supply perspective ................................10 Larry Pedersen Session 1 – Scope of the problem and key issues The bionomics of the mountain pine beetle in lodgepole pine forests: establishing a context ....................21 A.Carroll and L.Safranyik Mountain pine beetle epidemiology in lodgepole pine ................................................................................33 L.Safranyik Disturbance, forest age, and mountain pine beetle outbreak dynamics in BC: a historical perspective . 41 S.Taylor and A.Carroll Current status of mountain pine beetle in British Columbia ......................................................................52 Tim Ebata Mountain pine beetle: conditions and issues in the western United States, 2003 .......................................57 Ken Gibson The mountain pine beetle: scope of the problem and key issues in Alberta ...............................................62 Hideji Ono Provincial bark beetle strategy: technical implementation guidelines ..........................................................67 Peter Hall Challenges and solutions - an industry perspective......................................................................................76 Alex Ferguson Mountain pine beetle management in British Columbia parks and protected areas ..................................79 Lyle Gawalko Mountain pine beetle management in Canada’s mountain national parks .................................................87 Dave Dalman Session 2: The mountain pine beetle – the state of the art Mountain pine beetle management and decision support ...........................................................................97 T.Shore and L.Safranyik A spatio-temporal simulation of mountain pine beetle impacts on the landscape ....................................106 B.Riel, A.Fall, T.Shore and L.Safranyik
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Integrating landscape-scale mountain pine beetle projection and spatial harvesting models to assess management Strategies....................................................................................................114 A.Fall, T.Shore, L.Safranyik, B.Riel and D.Sachs Modelling of mountain pine beetle transport and dispersion using atmospheric models .........................133 P.Jackson and B.Murphy Remote sensing technologies for mountain pine beetle surveys .................................................................146 M.Wulder and C.Dymond Evaluating satellite imagery for estimating mountain pine beetle-caused lodgepole pine mortality: current status .............................................................................................................................154 B.Bentz and D.Endreson Spatial-temporal analysis of mountain pine beetle infestations to characterize pattern, risk, and spread at the landscape level .......................................................................................................164 T.Nelson, B.Boots, and M.Wulder Phytosanitary risks associated with mountain pine beetle-killed trees .......................................................174 E.Allen, A.Carroll, L.Humble, I.Leal, C.Breuil, A.Uzunovic, and D.Watler Impact of mountain pine beetle on stand dynamics in British Columbia .................................................177 B.Hawkes, S.Taylor, C.Stockdale, T.Shore, R.Alfaro, R.Campbell and P.Vera Incorporating mountain pine beetle impacts on stand dynamics in stand and landscape models: a problem analysis ........................................................................................................200 C.Stockdale, S.Taylor, and B.Hawkes Modelling mountain pine beetle phenological response to temperature ...................................................210 J.Logan and J.Powell Effects of climate change on range expansion by the mountain pine beetle in British Columbia .... 223 A.Carroll, S.Taylor, J.Régnière and L.Safranyik Silviculture to reduce landscape and stand susceptibility to the mountain pine beetle .............................233 R.Whitehead, L.Safranyik, G.Russo, T.Shore, A.Carroll Dendroecological reconstruction of mountain pine beetle outbreaks in the Chilcotin Plateau of British Columbia ......................................................................................................................245 R.Alfaro, R.Campbell, P.Vera, B.Hawkes, and T.Shore Simulation of interactions among fire, mountain pine beetle and lodgepole pine forest ..........................257 C.Li and H.Barclay Potential approaches to integrating silvicultural control of mountain pine beetle with wildlife and sustainable management objectives ................................................................................267 A.Chan-McLeod and F.Bunnell Assessing the economic impacts of mountain pine beetle infestations in the northern interior of British Columbia .......................................................................................................278 M.Patriquin and W.White Abstracts of posters and oral presentations ...............................................................................................282
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Abstract The “Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions” was held in Kelowna, British Columbia, Canada on October 30-31, 2003. This meeting was organized by Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre and funded through the Government of Canada Mountain Pine Beetle Initiative. Approximately 250 people representing the forest industry, consultants, universities, provincial and federal government agencies, First Nations, and the general public, from both Canada and the United States attended the meeting. Thirty presentations were given describing the current mountain pine beetle situation (in British Columbia, Alberta and the western United States) and its management and economic implications. Researchers presented the latest information on remote sensing, decision support systems, impacts on stand dynamics and wildlife, phytosanitary risks, climate change effects and preventive management as they relate to mountain pine beetle.
Résumé Le Symposium sur le dendroctone du pin ponderosa « Des défis et des solutions » a eu lieu à Kelowna, en Colombie-Britannique, les 30 et 31 octobre 2003. Cette rencontre, organisée par le Centre de foresterie du Pacifique du Service canadien des forêts, Ressources naturelles Canada, était financée par le biais du Programme sur le dendroctone du pin ponderosa du gouvernement du Canada. Le symposium a réuni près de 250 personnes provenant de l’industrie forestière, de sociétés d’experts-conseils, d’universités, d’organismes provinciaux et fédéraux, des Premières nations et du grand public, tant du Canada que des États-Unis. On a pu y entendre trente exposés sur la situation actuelle du dendroctone du pin (en Colombie-Britannique, en Alberta et dans l’ouest des États-Unis) ainsi que sur les méthodes de lutte et les répercussions économiques. Les chercheurs ont présenté les plus récentes données sur la télédétection, les systèmes d’aide à la décision, les répercussions sur la dynamique des peuplements et la faune, les risques phytosanitaires, les effets sur le changement climatique et la gestion préventive dont on dispose en rapport avec le dendroctone du pin ponderosa.
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Foreword The Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: “Challenges and Solutions” was initiated by Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service in response to the massive epidemic of this insect in British Columbia. At the time of this symposium over four million hectares of forest was under attack in the province and there is no end in sight to the epidemic. Beetle populations have also been increasing in the western United States and are becoming established in western Alberta. The magnitude of this epidemic is unprecedented, and the implications on current and future timber supplies are enormous. Harvesting directed at controlling the beetle or salvaging beetle-killed trees affects a large number of non-timber forest values as well. In organizing the symposium it was my intention to bring together forest managers and researchers in an environment where they could present and share their concerns and ideas. This was accomplished through 30 presentations and a poster session held over two days with additional opportunities for informal discussion and questions. Approximately 250 people attended the two-day meeting, representing the forest industry, provincial, state and federal agencies, universities, consulting firms, First Nations communities, and the general public from both Canada and the United States. Dr. Bill Wilson, Director, Industry, Trade and Economics Program at Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service in Victoria, opened the meeting by providing a brief background on the mountain pine beetle and the Canadian Government Mountain Pine Beetle Initiative. This was followed by an address from British Columbia’s Chief Forester, Larry Pedersen, who described the serious timber supply impacts the province will be facing from this mountain pine beetle epidemic. The remainder of the meeting was divided into two sessions: “Scope of the Problem and Key Issues” and “State of the Art.” The former dealt with describing the problem and how it is being managed, and included talks from the Canadian Forest Service, British Columbia Ministry of Forests, the United States Forest Service, Alberta Sustainable Resource Development, British Columbia Ministry of Land, Water and Air Pollution, Parks Canada, and the forest industry. The latter session dealt with research approaches to improve knowledge and management of the mountain pine beetle, and included talks on decision support tools including stand and landscape level models, atmospheric models, and remote sensing technologies. There were also presentations on phytosanitary risks associated with infested trees, studies on stand dynamics and historical frequency of infestations, climatic effects on population dynamics, silviculture, wildlife, and economics as they relate to mountain pine beetle infestations. Funding for this event and this publication was provided through the Government of Canada Mountain Pine Beetle Initiative. Terry L. Shore
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