Methodology. ⢠4027 people in Armenia and Georgia (1648 in. Armenia and 2379 in Georgia);. ⢠Representative of total
Caucasus Barometer (CB) Public Perceptions on Political, Social, and Economic issues in the South Caucasus Countries
Some findings from the CRRC 2017 data January 25, 2018
[email protected]
Where We Survey
Methodology • 4027 people in Armenia and Georgia (1648 in Armenia and 2379 in Georgia);
• Representative of total adult (18+) population; • Proportional representation of demographic and geographic groups;
• Sampling frame: Lists of the voting precincts • Multi-stage cluster sampling, sampling error is ± 2.3%;
• Household selection: Random walk method; • Respondent selection: Kish table; • Face-to-face interviews in local languages. Note: Figures in all following charts are shown as percentage of total (%) if not stated otherwise.
Outline • • • • •
Interviewee: some facts Trust, freedom of speech and democracy Perception of internal affairs Economic palette: employment and income Perception of external affairs
Interviewee: some facts
D8. How often do you use the Internet? (CB 2009-2017) Every day
At least once a week
At least once a month
Less frequent
Never
I don't know what is internet
DK/RA 2017
47
2015
42
2013
12
26
2011
9
22
2010
8
14
6
4
7
3
6
1 5
14
32
2012
2009
11
3
2
3
2
3
35
5
1
33
5
3
48
6
1
53
5
2
60
7
2
67
71
11
8
2
P19. Important for a good citizen to…
Armenia
Important
Not important
DK/RA
to protect traditions
94
51
to support people who are worse off
93
6 1
to obey laws
89
8
3
to vote in elections
88
10
2
Georgia
to do volunteer work
82
14
4
to be critical towards the government
72
20
8
to support government on every occasion
70
23
7
to protect traditions
98
2
to support people who are worse off
98
11
to vote in elections
95
32
to do volunteer work
95
32
to be critical towards the government to support government on every occasion
86 80
11 17
4 3
Q1. Which of these activities have you been involved in during the past 6 months? (“yes” answers) 2017
2015 62
Helped a neighbor/friend with HH chores
63 39
Cleaned/helped to clean public space
41 28
Volunteered without compensation
Written online comment on Facebook or other media platform about an important issue
34 18 6 13
Attended a public meeting
Signed a petition or a demand/request, including online petitions
10 6 5
D15. Would you leave Armenia forever to live somewhere else? Yes 2017
65
31
2013
28
2012
26
2011
70
2
73
21 18
3
73
26 76 79
2
67
71
23
2010
2008
DK/RA
33
2015
2009
No
3
3 2 2 4
N7. Do you have a close relative currently living abroad? Yes
No
87
76
24 13
Armenia
Georgia
Trust, freedom of speech and democracy
P4. How much do you trust /distrust following institutions? Fullt trust
Rather trust
Neither trust not distrust
Army
Rather distrust
51
Religious institution
26
49
Educational system
12
Healthcare system
10
Local government
10 9
Ombudsman
8
21
Police
7
22
UN
7
President
6
Central bank
6
Banks
6
NGO
5
Executive government
5
Courts
4
National Assembly
3
Media
3
Political parties
2
18
20 12
18
26
12
15
12 9
17 19
7
4
14
19 16
9
15
18 36
23
4
30
26 26
5
23
22
36 20
12
14
21
20
17
31 17
6
27
13 25
18
1
44
28 25
4
21
13
20
20
16
13
13
21
6
21
13
25
6
19
19
26
2
12
17
21
6
5
14
23
23
7
9
22
30
DK/RA
8
25 36
EU
Fully distrust
10
40 21
5 17
37
4 7
P4 Trust towards Executive Government Fully trust 2017
5
2015
2
2013
2
2012
Rather trust
Neither trust not distrust
16
17
10
4
21
6
2010
7
2009
10
2008
11
19 16 18
30 27
20 27
30
5
43
23
14
4
45
28 19
Don't know
36
19
17
2011
Fully distrust
22
19
11
Rather distrust
21
3 30
6
28
6 24
13 15
5 17
5 23
Trust towards UN Fully trust 2017
7
2015
5
2013
6
10
24
13
10 14
27 22
21 31
8 31
21
11 8
30
18
13 7
26
20
16
7
Don't know 23
15
10
31
Fully distrust 12
12
31 19
Rather distrust 12
29
20
2011
2008
26
19
9
2009
Neither trust not distrust
20
2012
2010
Rather trust
21
10
20
10
22 11
13
P21. Attitude towards democracy Armenia
Georgia
46 Democracy is preferable to any kind of government 50
In some circumstances a non-democratic government can be preferable
10 15
32 For someone like me it doesn't matter
15
12 DK/RA 20
P20. How much of a democracy is country today? Armenia
A full democracy
Georgia
3 5
A democracy but with minor problems
13 23
35
A democracy but with major issues
45
33
Not democracy 14
16
DK/RA 14
P7. Do you think that people like yourself have the right to openly say what they think? Armenia
Georgia
75 71
23 20
6
Yes
No
5
DK/RA
Perception of internal affairs
P5a. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country at the moment? 36
Unemployment Poverty Corruption Lack of peace in the country
6
1
Low pensions
Political instability in the country Unfairness of courts
1
Unfariness of elections
1
Violation of human rights Low quality of education Problematic relations with Russia Rising prices, inflation
3 3 2 2
Emigration Other
4
5 Armenia Georgia
2 1 1 2 1 2 2
5
Unsolved territorial conflicts Low wages
1 1
17
7
1
Unaffordability of healthcare
14
56
7
3 6
3 3
P1. In which direction the country's domestic politics are going? Armenia
Politics is definitely going in the right direction
Politics is going mainly in the right direction
Georgia
2 2 6 16 35
Politics does not change at all
33 21
Politics is going mainly in the wrong direction
Politics is definitely going in the wrong direction
Don't know
25 21 8 15 15
P13. In your opinion “Government should be like a parent” or “Government should be like an employee”? Armenia
Georgia
48
Agree very strongly: People are like children
31 24
Agree: Government should be like parent
24 9
Agree: Government is like an employee
17
10
Agree very strongly: Government is like an employee
Agree with neither
DK/RA
22 3 3 6 4
P18. The most recent national elections were … Completely fair
Armenia
Georgia
10
To some extent fair
33
26
Not at all fair
DK/ RA
41
37
16
15
23
P18a. How does the new Constitution influence your everyday life? 75
12
6
4
2
1 Very positively
Positively
No influence
Negatively
Very negatively
DK/RA
P15. What do you agree with. people should or should not participate in protest actions against the government? (CB 2010-2017) Agree very strongly: People should participate in protests Agree: People should participate in protests Agree: People should not participate in protests Agree very strongly: People should not participate in protes Agree with neither Don't know 2017
41
2015
46
2013 2012 2011
2008
6 5
19
8
3
7
3
10
5
10
8 10
22
10 5
10
25 24
7
15
30 26
4
15
20
34
32
9
35 29
27
8
35
31 26
10 25
34
2010 2009
27
3 4
14
6 9
2
5
P2a_ARM. Do you condemn or support Sasna Tsrer’s action?
Fully support
19
Rather support
17
Neutral, neither condemn nor support
28
Rather condemn
Strongly condemn
10
6
Don’t know
Have not heard about this
14
6
Economic palette: employment and income
J1. Primary activity or situation (CB 2011-2017) Working either part-time or full time Unemployed Student and not working Disabled and unable to work
2017
30
2015
29
2013
26
2012
28
2011
27
8
6
10
Self-employed Retired and not working Housewife and not working Other
10
27
16
24
16
11
9
22
16
16
3
20
1
3
20
2
22
1
3
22
25
3
3
17
21
18
1
J10. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your job? (CB 2010-2017) (only for employed) Very satisfied
2017
2015
6
Somewhat satisfied
17
11
2012
12
2011
12
2010
13
Somewhat dissatisfied
37
13
2013
Average satisfaction
27
25
12
37
21
17
41
20
22
22
Very dissatisfied
31
14
20
13
16
37
34
8
16
15
13
16
J3. Are you currently interested in a job? (nor working respondents, 62% in total) 74
26
Yes
No
J16. The most important factor for getting a good job Connections
30
Education
21
Age
10
Doing favors for the 'right' people
8
Professional abilities, work experience
8
Hard work
7
Luck
6
Appearance
5
DK/RA
3
Talent
1
Other
1
P32a. The war in Syria led to a large inflow of Syrian-Armenians into Armenia. In your opinion, does it… Yes
No
DK
contribute to the economic development of Armenia
52
27
contribute to population growth in Armenia
50
34
contribute to the invigoriation of the cultural life of Armenia
50
deepen Armenia's social and ecnomic problems
make it more difficult for the local population to find jobs
31
28
28
21
17
23
47
22
52
20
C6. To which of the following groups does your household income belong? (Arm, USD)
C13. What is the minimal monthly income that would enable your household live a normal life? (Arm, USD) 34
30
21
19 17 16 14
14 12
7
7
4 1
2
More USD 801- USD 401- USD 251- USD 101 USD 51- Up to 50 DK/RA than USD 1200 800 400 - 250 100 USD 1200
0.4 More USD 801- USD 401 - USD 251- USD 101 - USD 51 than USD 1200 800 400 250 100 1200
DK/RA
C13. What is the minimal monthly income that would enable your household live a normal life? (USD)
C6. To which of the following groups does your household income belong? (USD) Georgia
Georgia
Linear (Georgia)
Linear (Georgia)
34 30 27
22
18
13
14
10 8
8
5 4 1
3
2
More USD 801- USD 401- USD 251- USD 101 - USD 51- Up to 50 than USD 1200 800 400 250 100 USD 1200
DK/RA
More than USD 801- USD 401 - USD 251- USD 101 - USD 51 1200 USD 1200 800 400 250 100
DK/RA
Perception of external affairs
P28. To what extent would you support country’s membership in the EEU? Armenia
25
25
Georgia
25
24
24
19 17 14
13
7
5 4
Fully support
Rather support
Partially support, Rather not support Do not support at partially do not all
DK/RA
P25. To what extent would you support country’s membership in the EU? Armenia
Georgia
30
29 27
27
19 15
15
9
8 6
Fully support
Rather support
9
6
Partially support, Rather not support Do not support at partially do not all
DK/RA
RAND3. In your opinion, what would be the best choice for the country's future economic and political development? Armenia
Georgia 25
Remain in the Eurasian Economic Union, led by Russia
11
5
Join the European Union, led by Western European countries
27
54
Have equally close relations with both Unions
Not join any Union
DK/RA
36
3 7
13 18
P22. To what extent would you support country’s membership in the NATO? Armenia
37
Georgia
27 24
14
24
16
14 11
12
8 7
Fully support
6
Rather support
Partially support, Rather not support Do not support at partially do not all
DK/RA
RAND 4. In your opinion, what would be the best choice for the country to ensure its security? Armenia
Georgia
50
34 27
27 20 14 11 8 5 3
Remain in Collective Security Treaty Organization, led by Russia
Join NATO, led by the Western European countries and the US
Have equally close relations with both organizations
Not join any organization
DK/RA
P33_ARM. April war showed that… Completely agree
Somewhat agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat disagree
Conmpletely disagree
DK/RA
when there is a threat to national security, Armenian society unites
70
17
5 323
when there is a threat to national security, Armenia, Artsakh and the Diaspora unite
71
17
4 31 4
21
8
6 5 4
8
14
to resolve Nagorno Karabakh conflict should be resolved through negotiations and not through force
56
to resolve the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, Armenia should rely solely on itself
the Artsakh army was not ready for this kind of attack
42
23
21
16
12
15
27
8
6
7
P31. Which country is currently the main friend of Armenia? Russia
64
France
17
Georgia
4
Iran
3
None
3
USA
Other
DK/RA
2
2
5
P31. Which country is currently main friend of Armenia? (CB 2011-2017) Russia
2017
2015
France
Georgia
Iran
64
74
None
USA
Other
DK/RA
17
4
3 3 22
11
2013
84
5
5 2 202 4
3 4 1 2 11 4
2012
79
3
2011
80
1
8
7
12 2 5
1 4 12 4
P32. Which country is currently the main enemy of Armenia? 74
20
Azerbaijan
Turkey
2
2
2
Russia
None
DK/RA
N5. Approval of doing business with… Approve
Disapprove
Armenians
DK/RA
94
Russians
6
88
Americans
10
76
17
2 7
Italians
72
21
Georgians
71
25
5
Ukranians
70
25
5
7
Molokans
62
Kurds, Yezidis
61
34
5
Iranians
59
35
5
Jews
56
Arabs
35
53
Turks Azerbaijanis
29
40
25
15
72
83
9
9 8 3
2
N6. Approval of women marrying with… Approve
Armenians
Disapprove
DK/RA
98
Russians
2
51
48
2
Americans
44
53
2
Italians
44
54
2
Ukranians
40
Georgians
58
37
61
2 2
Molokans
24
72
4
Jews
23
74
3
Kurds, Yezidis
15
83
2
Arabs
14
84
2
Iranians
14
84
2
Turks
6
93
1
Azerbaijanis
5
94
1
N1. How happy would you say you are? Armenia
Georgia
Average: 6.8 points for Armenia
Average: 7 points for Georgia 25
21
21
15
16
15 13
7
8
7 4 2
Not at all happy
2
3
14
8 8
4 4
1 2
1 3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Very happy
Don't know
N10. According to you “Everything in life is determined by fate” or “People shape their fate themselves”? Armenia
Georgia
29 28
26 23
21
20
14
12 11
8
3 1 Everything in life is determined by fate
2
3
4
People shape their fate themselves
DK/RA
Thank You!
More on CB: http://www.crrc.am/caucasusbarometer/documentation?lang=en & http://www.caucasusbarometer.org/en/