N1.How happy would you say you are?

Caucasus Barometer (CB) Public Perceptions on Political, Social, and Economic issues in the South Caucasus Countries

Some findings from the CRRC 2017 data January 25, 2018 [email protected]

Where We Survey

Methodology • 4027 people in Armenia and Georgia (1648 in Armenia and 2379 in Georgia);

• Representative of total adult (18+) population; • Proportional representation of demographic and geographic groups;

• Sampling frame: Lists of the voting precincts • Multi-stage cluster sampling, sampling error is ± 2.3%;

• Household selection: Random walk method; • Respondent selection: Kish table; • Face-to-face interviews in local languages. Note: Figures in all following charts are shown as percentage of total (%) if not stated otherwise.

Outline • • • • •

Interviewee: some facts Trust, freedom of speech and democracy Perception of internal affairs Economic palette: employment and income Perception of external affairs

Interviewee: some facts

D8. How often do you use the Internet? (CB 2009-2017) Every day

At least once a week

At least once a month

Less frequent

Never

I don't know what is internet

DK/RA 2017

47

2015

42

2013

12

26

2011

9

22

2010

8

14

6

4

7

3

6

1 5

14

32

2012

2009

11

3

2

3

2

3

35

5

1

33

5

3

48

6

1

53

5

2

60

7

2

67

71

11

8

2

P19. Important for a good citizen to…

Armenia

Important

Not important

DK/RA

to protect traditions

94

51

to support people who are worse off

93

6 1

to obey laws

89

8

3

to vote in elections

88

10

2

Georgia

to do volunteer work

82

14

4

to be critical towards the government

72

20

8

to support government on every occasion

70

23

7

to protect traditions

98

2

to support people who are worse off

98

11

to vote in elections

95

32

to do volunteer work

95

32

to be critical towards the government to support government on every occasion

86 80

11 17

4 3

Q1. Which of these activities have you been involved in during the past 6 months? (“yes” answers) 2017

2015 62

Helped a neighbor/friend with HH chores

63 39

Cleaned/helped to clean public space

41 28

Volunteered without compensation

Written online comment on Facebook or other media platform about an important issue

34 18 6 13

Attended a public meeting

Signed a petition or a demand/request, including online petitions

10 6 5

D15. Would you leave Armenia forever to live somewhere else? Yes 2017

65

31

2013

28

2012

26

2011

70

2

73

21 18

3

73

26 76 79

2

67

71

23

2010

2008

DK/RA

33

2015

2009

No

3

3 2 2 4

N7. Do you have a close relative currently living abroad? Yes

No

87

76

24 13

Armenia

Georgia

Trust, freedom of speech and democracy

P4. How much do you trust /distrust following institutions? Fullt trust

Rather trust

Neither trust not distrust

Army

Rather distrust

51

Religious institution

26

49

Educational system

12

Healthcare system

10

Local government

10 9

Ombudsman

8

21

Police

7

22

UN

7

President

6

Central bank

6

Banks

6

NGO

5

Executive government

5

Courts

4

National Assembly

3

Media

3

Political parties

2

18

20 12

18

26

12

15

12 9

17 19

7

4

14

19 16

9

15

18 36

23

4

30

26 26

5

23

22

36 20

12

14

21

20

17

31 17

6

27

13 25

18

1

44

28 25

4

21

13

20

20

16

13

13

21

6

21

13

25

6

19

19

26

2

12

17

21

6

5

14

23

23

7

9

22

30

DK/RA

8

25 36

EU

Fully distrust

10

40 21

5 17

37

4 7

P4 Trust towards Executive Government Fully trust 2017

5

2015

2

2013

2

2012

Rather trust


16

17

10

4

21

6

2010

7

2009

10

2008

11

19 16 18

30 27

20 27

30

5

43

23

14

4

45

28 19

Don't know

36

19

17

2011

Fully distrust

22

19

11

Rather distrust

21

3 30

6

28

6 24

13 15

5 17

5 23

Trust towards UN Fully trust 2017

7

2015

5

2013

6

10

24

13

10 14

27 22

21 31

8 31

21

11 8

30

18

13 7

26

20

16

7

Don't know 23

15

10

31

Fully distrust 12

12

31 19

Rather distrust 12

29

20

2011

2008

26

19

9

2009


20

2012

2010

Rather trust

21

10

20

10

22 11

13

P21. Attitude towards democracy Armenia

Georgia

46 Democracy is preferable to any kind of government 50

In some circumstances a non-democratic government can be preferable

10 15

32 For someone like me it doesn't matter

15

12 DK/RA 20

P20. How much of a democracy is country today? Armenia

A full democracy

Georgia

3 5

A democracy but with minor problems

13 23

35

A democracy but with major issues

45

33

Not democracy 14

16

DK/RA 14

P7. Do you think that people like yourself have the right to openly say what they think? Armenia

Georgia

75 71

23 20

6

Yes

No

5

DK/RA

Perception of internal affairs

P5a. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country at the moment? 36

Unemployment Poverty Corruption Lack of peace in the country

6

1

Low pensions

Political instability in the country Unfairness of courts

1

Unfariness of elections

1

Violation of human rights Low quality of education Problematic relations with Russia Rising prices, inflation

3 3 2 2

Emigration Other

4

5 Armenia Georgia

2 1 1 2 1 2 2

5

Unsolved territorial conflicts Low wages

1 1

17

7

1

Unaffordability of healthcare

14

56

7

3 6

3 3

P1. In which direction the country's domestic politics are going? Armenia

Politics is definitely going in the right direction

Politics is going mainly in the right direction

Georgia

2 2 6 16 35

Politics does not change at all

33 21

Politics is going mainly in the wrong direction

Politics is definitely going in the wrong direction

Don't know

25 21 8 15 15

P13. In your opinion “Government should be like a parent” or “Government should be like an employee”? Armenia

Georgia

48

Agree very strongly: People are like children

31 24

Agree: Government should be like parent

24 9

Agree: Government is like an employee

17

10

Agree very strongly: Government is like an employee

Agree with neither

DK/RA

22 3 3 6 4

P18. The most recent national elections were … Completely fair

Armenia

Georgia

10

To some extent fair

33

26

Not at all fair

DK/ RA

41

37

16

15

23

P18a. How does the new Constitution influence your everyday life? 75

12

6

4

2

1 Very positively

Positively

No influence

Negatively

Very negatively

DK/RA

P15. What do you agree with. people should or should not participate in protest actions against the government? (CB 2010-2017) Agree very strongly: People should participate in protests Agree: People should participate in protests Agree: People should not participate in protests Agree very strongly: People should not participate in protes Agree with neither Don't know 2017

41

2015

46

2013 2012 2011

2008

6 5

19

8

3

7

3

10

5

10

8 10

22

10 5

10

25 24

7

15

30 26

4

15

20

34

32

9

35 29

27

8

35

31 26

10 25

34

2010 2009

27

3 4

14

6 9

2

5

P2a_ARM. Do you condemn or support Sasna Tsrer’s action?

Fully support

19

Rather support

17

Neutral, neither condemn nor support

28

Rather condemn

Strongly condemn

10

6

Don’t know

Have not heard about this

14

6

Economic palette: employment and income

J1. Primary activity or situation (CB 2011-2017) Working either part-time or full time Unemployed Student and not working Disabled and unable to work

2017

30

2015

29

2013

26

2012

28

2011

27

8

6

10

Self-employed Retired and not working Housewife and not working Other

10

27

16

24

16

11

9

22

16

16

3

20

1

3

20

2

22

1

3

22

25

3

3

17

21

18

1

J10. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your job? (CB 2010-2017) (only for employed) Very satisfied

2017

2015

6

Somewhat satisfied

17

11

2012

12

2011

12

2010

13

Somewhat dissatisfied

37

13

2013

Average satisfaction

27

25

12

37

21

17

41

20

22

22

Very dissatisfied

31

14

20

13

16

37

34

8

16

15

13

16

J3. Are you currently interested in a job? (nor working respondents, 62% in total) 74

26

Yes

No

J16. The most important factor for getting a good job Connections

30

Education

21

Age

10

Doing favors for the 'right' people

8

Professional abilities, work experience

8

Hard work

7

Luck

6

Appearance

5

DK/RA

3

Talent

1

Other

1

P32a. The war in Syria led to a large inflow of Syrian-Armenians into Armenia. In your opinion, does it… Yes

No

DK

contribute to the economic development of Armenia

52

27

contribute to population growth in Armenia

50

34

contribute to the invigoriation of the cultural life of Armenia

50

deepen Armenia's social and ecnomic problems

make it more difficult for the local population to find jobs

31

28

28

21

17

23

47

22

52

20

C6. To which of the following groups does your household income belong? (Arm, USD)

C13. What is the minimal monthly income that would enable your household live a normal life? (Arm, USD) 34

30

21

19 17 16 14

14 12

7

7

4 1

2

More USD 801- USD 401- USD 251- USD 101 USD 51- Up to 50 DK/RA than USD 1200 800 400 - 250 100 USD 1200

0.4 More USD 801- USD 401 - USD 251- USD 101 - USD 51 than USD 1200 800 400 250 100 1200

DK/RA

C13. What is the minimal monthly income that would enable your household live a normal life? (USD)

C6. To which of the following groups does your household income belong? (USD) Georgia

Georgia

Linear (Georgia)

Linear (Georgia)

34 30 27

22

18

13

14

10 8

8

5 4 1

3

2

More USD 801- USD 401- USD 251- USD 101 - USD 51- Up to 50 than USD 1200 800 400 250 100 USD 1200

DK/RA

More than USD 801- USD 401 - USD 251- USD 101 - USD 51 1200 USD 1200 800 400 250 100

DK/RA

Perception of external affairs

P28. To what extent would you support country’s membership in the EEU? Armenia

25

25

Georgia

25

24

24

19 17 14

13

7

5 4

Fully support

Rather support

Partially support, Rather not support Do not support at partially do not all

DK/RA

P25. To what extent would you support country’s membership in the EU? Armenia

Georgia

30

29 27

27

19 15

15

9

8 6

Fully support

Rather support

9

6


DK/RA

RAND3. In your opinion, what would be the best choice for the country's future economic and political development? Armenia

Georgia 25

Remain in the Eurasian Economic Union, led by Russia

11

5

Join the European Union, led by Western European countries

27

54

Have equally close relations with both Unions

Not join any Union

DK/RA

36

3 7

13 18

P22. To what extent would you support country’s membership in the NATO? Armenia

37

Georgia

27 24

14

24

16

14 11

12

8 7

Fully support

6

Rather support


DK/RA

RAND 4. In your opinion, what would be the best choice for the country to ensure its security? Armenia

Georgia

50

34 27

27 20 14 11 8 5 3

Remain in Collective Security Treaty Organization, led by Russia

Join NATO, led by the Western European countries and the US

Have equally close relations with both organizations

Not join any organization

DK/RA

P33_ARM. April war showed that… Completely agree

Somewhat agree

Neither agree nor disagree

Somewhat disagree

Conmpletely disagree

DK/RA

when there is a threat to national security, Armenian society unites

70

17

5 323

when there is a threat to national security, Armenia, Artsakh and the Diaspora unite

71

17

4 31 4

21

8

6 5 4

8

14

to resolve Nagorno Karabakh conflict should be resolved through negotiations and not through force

56

to resolve the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, Armenia should rely solely on itself

the Artsakh army was not ready for this kind of attack

42

23

21

16

12

15

27

8

6

7

P31. Which country is currently the main friend of Armenia? Russia

64

France

17

Georgia

4

Iran

3

None

3

USA

Other

DK/RA

2

2

5

P31. Which country is currently main friend of Armenia? (CB 2011-2017) Russia

2017

2015

France

Georgia

Iran

64

74

None

USA

Other

DK/RA

17

4

3 3 22

11

2013

84

5

5 2 202 4

3 4 1 2 11 4

2012

79

3

2011

80

1

8

7

12 2 5

1 4 12 4

P32. Which country is currently the main enemy of Armenia? 74

20

Azerbaijan

Turkey

2

2

2

Russia

None

DK/RA

N5. Approval of doing business with… Approve

Disapprove

Armenians

DK/RA

94

Russians

6

88

Americans

10

76

17

2 7

Italians

72

21

Georgians

71

25

5

Ukranians

70

25

5

7

Molokans

62

Kurds, Yezidis

61

34

5

Iranians

59

35

5

Jews

56

Arabs

35

53

Turks Azerbaijanis

29

40

25

15

72

83

9

9 8 3

2

N6. Approval of women marrying with… Approve

Armenians

Disapprove

DK/RA

98

Russians

2

51

48

2

Americans

44

53

2

Italians

44

54

2

Ukranians

40

Georgians

58

37

61

2 2

Molokans

24

72

4

Jews

23

74

3

Kurds, Yezidis

15

83

2

Arabs

14

84

2

Iranians

14

84

2

Turks

6

93

1

Azerbaijanis

5

94

1

N1. How happy would you say you are? Armenia

Georgia

Average: 6.8 points for Armenia

Average: 7 points for Georgia 25

21

21

15

16

15 13

7

8

7 4 2

Not at all happy

2

3

14

8 8

4 4

1 2

1 3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Very happy

Don't know

N10. According to you “Everything in life is determined by fate” or “People shape their fate themselves”? Armenia

Georgia

29 28

26 23

21

20

14

12 11

8

3 1 Everything in life is determined by fate

2

3

4

People shape their fate themselves

DK/RA

Thank You!

More on CB: http://www.crrc.am/caucasusbarometer/documentation?lang=en & http://www.caucasusbarometer.org/en/