Nov 2017_TRDSUR.pdf - Google Drive

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Note: The indices are diffusion indices and vary between 0 and 100. At 50 an index reflects. a 'no change' situation and
SACCI Trade Conditions Survey November 2017

South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry Trade Conditions Survey

November 2017 Trade Conditions Indices Seasonally Adjusted

Sales Prices 90

75 70

80

65

70 % Positive

% Positive

60 55 50

60 50

45

40

40 TAI - Current Seasonally Adjusted

Jan-17

Sep-17

May-17

Jan-16

Sep-16

Current May-16

Jan-15

Sep-15

May-15

Jan-14

Sep-14

May-14

Jan-13

Sep-13

May-13

Jan-12

Sep-12

May-12

Jan-11

Sep-11

May-11

Jan-10

Sep-10

May-10

Jan-09

Sep-09

May-09

Jan-08

Sep-08

May-08

Jan-07

Sep-07

Six Month Expected

30

TEI - Expected Seasonally Adjusted May-07

30

20 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-07 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-09 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17

35

Trade Activity Index (TAI)* Activity

Jun-17

Jul-17

Aug-17

Sep-17

Oct-17

Nov-17

Sales Volum es

55

54

55

46

56

49

New Orders

46

43

49

38

41

45

Backlog on Orders Received

32

36

39

29

33

33

Supplier Deliveries

47

43

45

31

44

39

Inventory Level

43

51

46

43

45

46

Selling Prices

60

55

55

56

60

50

Input Prices

63

64

62

65

72

66

Em ploym ent

47

43

43

43

43

43

TAI 48 47 48 40 46 45 TAI Seasonally Adjusted 49 51 50 41 43 41 Note: The indices are diffusion indices and vary between 0 and 100. At 50 an index reflects a 'no change' situation and above or below 50 implies a positive or a negative reading depending on the trade component. * The TAI is the composite index of sales volumes, new orders, supplier deliveries, inventory levels and employment.

Six month Trade Expectations Index (TEI)* Activity

Jun-17

Jul-17

Aug-17

Sep-17

Oct-17

Oct-17

Sales Volum es

52

54

62

59

56

63

New Orders

47

50

53

51

50

58

Backlog on Orders Received

29

38

41

35

34

38

Supplier Deliveries

48

49

53

47

47

49

Inventory Level

47

57

54

51

46

49

Selling Prices

64

64

61

63

67

70

Input Prices

71

73

65

74

78

81

Em ploym ent

46

43

43

41

41

49

TEI 48 50 53 50 49 55 TEI Seasonally Adjusted 48 50 50 50 51 59 * The TEI is the composite index of expectations on sales volumes, new orders, supplier deliveries, inventory levels and employment.