Predictive factors for a good prognosis following surgery for temporal ...

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of two or more seizure episodes in the first year after surgery (OR: 13.762, CI. 95%: 2.566-73.808 ... Key words: seizures, mesial temporal sclerosis, epilepsy surgery, prognosis, predictors ..... red to have occurred by chance, as there was no.
Original article Epileptic Disord 2011; 13 (1): 36-46

Predictive factors for a good prognosis following surgery for temporal lobe epilepsy: a cohort study in Spain María Isabel Forcadas-Berdusán 1,2 , José Luis Bustos-Sánchez 1,2 , Elena Valle-Quevedo 1,4 , ˜ 1,6 , Jon Aurrecoechea Obieta 1,5 , Beatriz Mateos Goni 3 1,7 Lorea Martinez-Indart , Ana Molano Salazar , ˜ Garamendi-Ruíz 1,2 Juan Carlos Gomez-Esteban 2 , Inigo 1

Medical-Surgical Epilepsy Unit Department of Neurology 3 Clinical Epidemiology Unit 4 Neurophysiology Service 5 Department of Neurosurgery 6 Department of Neuroradiology 7 Department of Neuropsychology, Hospital de Cruces, Baracaldo, Spain 2

Received July 15, 2010; Accepted November 29, 2010

36

Key words: seizures, mesial temporal sclerosis, epilepsy surgery, prognosis, predictors, temporal lobe

Epileptic Disord, Vol. 13, No. 1, March 2011

doi:10.1684/epd.2011.0413

Correspondence: M. I. Forcadas Berdusán Department of Neurology, Hospital de Cruces, Plaza de Cruces s/n. ES, 48903 Baracaldo, Spain

ABSTRACT – Objective. To investigate the outcome of temporal lobe epilepsy surgery and identify the variables which predict a good prognosis with respect to seizures in postoperative follow-up after two and four years. Methods. This retrospective study included 115 selected patients who underwent surgery for temporal lobe epilepsy between 1996 and 2007. Results. In the second year after surgery 86.1% of patients had a good prognosis for seizure control (73.9% Engel class I and 12.2% Engel class II) and 89.2% (76.3% Engel class I and 12.9% Engel class II) in the fourth year. Sixty-four of 93 (68.8%) patients were free of disabling seizures (Engel class I) during the entire period and 78 (83.8%) had good prognosis (Engel class I and II). For the second year, logistic regression analysis revealed the following variables to be independently predictive of good seizure control: absence of two or more seizure episodes in the first year after surgery, normal postoperative video-EEG, and age at surgery of less than 35 years. In the fourth year, mesial temporal sclerosis, female sex and normal postoperative video-EEG were the predictive factors. For the group with a good prognosis in both the second and the fourth year, the predictive variables were: absence of two or more seizure episodes in the first year after surgery (OR: 13.762, CI 95%: 2.566-73.808, p