Predictors of mortality in patients initiating antiretroviral therapy in ...
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ORIGINAL ARTICLES
Predictors of mortality in patients initiating antiretroviral therapy in Durban, South Africa Bisola O Ojikutu, Hui Zheng, Rochelle P Walensky, Zhigang Lu, Elena Losina, Janet Giddy, Kenneth A Freedberg
Objective. To identify predictors of mortality in patients initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Durban, South Africa. Design. We conducted a retrospective cohort study analysing data on patients who presented to McCord Hospital, Durban, and started ART between 1 January 1999 and 29 February 2004. We performed univariate and multivariate analysis and constructed Kaplan-Meier curves to assess predictors. Results. Three hundred and nine patients were included. Forty-nine (16%) had died by the conclusion of the study. In univariate analysis, the strongest predictors of mortality were a CD4 cell count