Released: January 15, 2013 Table 1: Commodity Prices and Price ...

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Released: January 15, 2013. Table 1: Commodity Prices and Price Forecast in Nominal US Dollars. Actual. Forecast. Commod
Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 1: Commodity Prices and Price Forecast in Nominal US Dollars Commodity

Unit

1980

1990

Actual 2000 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Forecast 2017

2018

2019

2020

2025

Energy Coal, Australian Crude oil, avg, spot Natural gas, European Natural gas, US LNG, Japanese

$/mt $/bbl $/mmbtu $/mmbtu $/mmbtu

40.1 36.9 4.2 1.6 5.7

39.7 22.9 2.8 1.7 3.6

26.3 28.2 3.9 4.3 4.7

99.0 79.0 8.3 4.4 10.8

121.4 104.0 10.5 4.0 14.7

96.4 105.0 11.5 2.8 16.7

93.0 102.0 11.2 3.5 16.0

91.0 102.2 11.1 4.0 15.5

90.0 102.1 11.0 4.5 15.0

91.0 101.9 10.9 5.0 14.8

91.9 101.7 10.8 5.3 14.5

92.9 101.5 10.7 5.5 14.3

93.9 101.4 10.6 5.8 14.0

94.9 101.2 10.5 6.0 13.8

100.0 101.5 10.0 7.0 12.5

Non Energy Commodities Agriculture Beverages Cocoa Coffee, Arabica Coffee, robusta Tea, auctions (3) ave

¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg

260 347 324 166

127 197 118 206

91 192 91 188

313 432 174 288

298 598 241 292

239 411 227 290

235 380 205 285

232 370 190 288

230 360 185 291

229 359 183 295

228 358 182 298

227 357 180 301

226 356 179 305

225 355 177 308

220 350 170 325

Food Fats and Oils Coconut oil Groundnut oil Palm oil Soybean meal Soybean oil Soybeans

$/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt

674 859 584 262 598 296

337 964 290 200 447 247

450 714 310 189 338 212

1,124 1,404 901 378 1,005 450

1,730 1,988 1,125 398 1,299 541

1,111 2,436 999 524 1,226 591

950 2,150 930 520 1,200 570

940 1,950 910 460 1,100 540

930 1,900 900 410 1,050 520

927 1,895 889 407 1,045 519

924 1,890 879 404 1,040 518

921 1,885 869 401 1,035 517

918 1,880 859 398 1,030 516

915 1,875 849 395 1,025 515

900 1,850 800 380 1,000 510

Grains Barley Maize Rice, Thai, 5% Wheat, US, HRW

$/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt

78 125 411 173

80 109 271 136

77 89 202 114

158 186 489 224

207 292 543 316

240 298 563 313

230 290 540 320

215 270 520 300

200 250 500 270

198 248 498 270

197 246 496 271

195 244 494 271

194 242 492 272

192 240 490 272

185 230 480 275

Other Food Bananas US Meat, beef Meat, chicken Oranges Shrimp Sugar, world

$/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg

377 276 76 400 1,152 63.2

541 256 108 531 1,069 27.7

424 193 131 363 1,515 18.0

868 335 189 1,033 1,004 46.9

968 404 193 891 1,193 57.3

984 414 208 868 1,006 47.5

980 410 201 845 1,005 45.0

970 360 201 860 1,035 40.0

950 315 201 900 1,100 38.0

947 323 202 903 1,110 37.7

944 330 203 906 1,120 37.4

941 338 203 909 1,130 37.1

938 347 204 912 1,140 36.8

935 355 204 915 1,150 36.5

920 390 205 930 1,200 35.0

252 196 396

343 177 533

275 190 595

429 278 848

485 391 939

451 361 876

450 356 875

457 362 885

465 368 902

473 374 919

481 381 937

489 387 955

497 393 974

505 400 1,000

535 425 1,080

206 142 2,276

182 86 3,392

130 67 2,976

228 365 4,333

333 482 4,485

197 338 4,294

180 330 4,200

190 325 4,100

200 320 4,000

205 318 4,010

209 316 4,020

214 314 4,030

219 312 4,040

224 310 4,050

250 300 4,100

222 47 116 180 192

171 41 98 132 119

154 44 123 138 101

501 123 332 382 289

619 185 435 538 421

540 186 459 462 405

500 175 430 430 390

490 160 410 425 370

480 150 380 420 350

478 145 375 415 345

476 140 369 409 339

474 135 364 404 334

472 130 359 399 329

470 125 354 394 324

460 105 330 370 300

Agricultural Raw Materials Timber Logs, Cameroonian $/cum Logs, Malaysian $/cum Sawnwood, Malaysian $/cum Other Raw Materials Cotton A Index ¢/kg Rubber, Malaysian ¢/kg Tobacco $/mt Fertilizers DAP Phosphate rock Pottasium chloride TSP Urea

$/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt

Metals and Minerals Aluminum Copper Iron ore Lead Nickel Tin Zinc

$/mt $/mt ¢/dmtu ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg

1,775 2,182 28 91 6,519 1,677 76

1,639 2,661 33 81 8,864 609 151

1,549 1,813 29 45 8,638 544 113

2,173 7,535 146 215 21,809 2,041 216

2,401 8,828 168 240 22,910 2,605 219

2,023 7,962 128 206 17,548 2,113 195

2,200 7,800 130 210 18,000 2,200 210

2,400 7,400 132 215 18,200 2,250 220

2,500 7,000 135 220 18,500 2,300 230

2,537 6,980 136 221 18,948 2,346 232

2,575 6,960 138 222 19,407 2,392 234

2,614 6,939 139 223 19,877 2,440 236

2,653 6,919 141 224 20,358 2,488 238

2,693 6,899 142 225 20,851 2,538 240

2,900 6,800 150 230 23,500 2,800 250

Precious Metals Gold Silver Platinum

$/toz c/toz $/toz

608 2,080 679

383 483 472

279 495 545

1,225 2,015 1,610

1,569 3,522 1,719

1,670 3,114 1,551

1,600 3,100 1,544

1,550 2,950 1,469

1,500 2,800 1,395

1,479 2,768 1,379

1,458 2,737 1,363

1,437 2,706 1,348

1,417 2,676 1,333

1,396 2,646 1,318

1,300 2,500 1,245

a/ iron ore unit for years 1980 to 2005 is cents/ dmtu, thereafter is $/dmt. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities

Next update: April 2013

Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 2: Commodity Prices and Price Forecast in Real 2005 US Dollars Commodity

Unit

1980

1990

Actual 2000 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Energy Coal, Australian Crude oil, avg, spot Natural gas, European Natural gas, US LNG, Japanese

$/mt $/bbl $/mmbtu $/mmbtu $/mmbtu

52.7 48.4 5.5 2.1 7.5

41.0 23.7 2.9 1.8 3.8

29.4 31.6 4.3 4.8 5.3

87.6 70.0 7.3 3.9 9.6

98.7 84.6 8.5 3.3 11.9

79.9 87.1 9.5 2.3 13.8

75.7 83.0 9.1 2.8 13.0

72.5 81.4 8.8 3.2 12.3

70.4 79.8 8.6 3.5 11.7

69.8 78.3 8.4 3.8 11.3

Non Energy Commodities Agriculture Beverages Cocoa Coffee, Arabica Coffee, robusta Tea, auctions (3) ave

¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg

342 455 426 218

131 204 122 213

101 215 102 210

277 383 154 255

242 486 196 237

198 341 188 240

191 309 167 232

185 295 151 230

180 281 145 228

Food Fats and Oils Coconut oil Groundnut oil Palm oil Soybean meal Soybean oil Soybeans

$/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt

884 1,127 766 344 784 389

348 997 300 207 463 255

504 799 347 212 378 237

995 1,243 798 335 890 398

1,406 1,616 915 324 1,056 440

921 2,019 828 434 1,017 490

773 1,750 757 423 977 464

749 1,554 725 367 876 430

Grains Barley Maize Rice, Thai, 5% Wheat, US, HRW

$/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt

103 164 539 227

83 113 280 140

86 99 227 128

140 165 433 198

168 237 441 257

199 247 467 260

187 236 440 260

Other Food Bananas US Meat, beef Meat, chicken Oranges Shrimp Sugar, world

$/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg

495 362 99 525 1,511 82.9

559 265 112 549 1,106 28.6

475 216 147 407 1,696 20.2

769 297 168 915 889 41.6

787 329 157 724 970 46.6

816 343 172 720 834 39.4

330 257 520

355 183 551

308 213 666

379 246 751

394 317 764

271 187 2,986

188 89 3,508

146 75 3,332

202 324 3,837

292 61 152 237 252

177 42 101 136 123

173 49 137 154 113

Agricultural Raw Materials Timber Logs, Cameroonian $/cum Logs, Malaysian $/cum Sawnwood, Malaysian $/cum Other Raw Materials Cotton A Index ¢/kg Rubber, Malaysian ¢/kg Tobacco $/mt

Forecast 2017

2018

2019

2020

2025

69.3 76.8 8.1 4.0 10.9

68.9 75.3 7.9 4.1 10.6

68.4 73.8 7.7 4.2 10.2

67.9 72.4 7.5 4.3 9.8

65.4 66.3 6.5 4.6 8.2

176 276 141 226

172 270 137 225

168 265 134 223

165 259 130 222

161 254 127 220

144 229 111 212

727 1,485 704 321 821 407

712 1,455 683 312 802 398

697 1,426 663 305 784 391

683 1,397 644 297 767 383

668 1,369 625 290 750 376

654 1,341 607 282 733 368

588 1,209 523 248 654 333

171 215 414 239

156 195 391 211

152 190 382 208

149 185 374 204

145 181 366 201

141 176 358 198

138 172 350 195

121 150 314 180

798 334 164 688 818 36.6

773 287 160 685 825 31.9

743 246 158 704 860 29.7

727 248 155 693 852 28.9

712 249 153 683 845 28.2

697 251 151 674 837 27.5

683 252 148 664 830 26.8

669 254 146 655 823 26.1

601 255 134 608 784 22.9

374 299 727

366 290 712

364 288 705

364 288 705

363 287 706

363 287 707

362 287 708

362 286 709

361 286 715

350 278 706

271 392 3,646

163 280 3,560

147 269 3,419

151 259 3,267

156 250 3,127

157 244 3,079

158 238 3,033

159 233 2,987

159 227 2,942

160 222 2,897

163 196 2,679

443 109 294 338 256

503 150 354 438 342

447 154 380 383 336

407 142 350 350 317

390 127 327 339 295

375 117 297 328 274

367 111 288 318 265

359 105 279 309 256

351 100 270 300 248

344 95 262 291 240

336 90 253 282 232

301 69 216 242 196

Fertilizers DAP Phosphate rock Pottasium chloride TSP Urea

$/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt

Metals and Minerals Aluminum Copper Iron ore Lead Nickel Tin Zinc

$/mt $/mt ¢/dmtu ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg

2,329 2,863 37 119 8,553 2,201 100

1,695 2,752 34 84 9,167 629 157

1,734 2,030 32 51 9,669 608 126

1,924 6,672 129 190 19,312 1,807 191

1,952 7,177 136 195 18,625 2,118 178

1,677 6,601 107 171 14,548 1,751 162

1,791 6,349 106 171 14,651 1,791 171

1,912 5,896 105 171 14,501 1,793 175

1,954 5,472 106 172 14,463 1,798 180

1,948 5,359 105 170 14,549 1,801 178

1,943 5,250 104 167 14,640 1,805 176

1,937 5,144 103 165 14,733 1,808 175

1,932 5,039 103 163 14,825 1,812 173

1,926 4,936 102 161 14,916 1,815 172

1,895 4,444 98 150 15,357 1,830 163

Metals and Minerals Gold Silver Platinum

$/toz c/toz $/toz

798 2,730 891

397 500 488

312 554 610

1,084 1,785 1,425

1,276 2,864 1,398

1,384 2,581 1,286

1,302 2,523 1,257

1,235 2,350 1,171

1,173 2,189 1,090

1,135 2,126 1,059

1,100 2,065 1,029

1,065 2,006 999

1,032 1,949 971

999 1,893 943

850 1,634 814

a/ iron ore unit for years 1980 to 2005 is cents/ dmtu, thereafter is $/dmt. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities

Next update: April 2013

Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 3: Weighted Indices of Commodity Prices and Inflation, 2005=100 1980

1990

Actual 2000 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Projection 2017

2018

2019

2020

2025

Price indices in nominal US dollars Energy 66.0 Non-energy commodities 102.2 Agriculture 119.6 Beverages 157.7 Food 124.6 Fats and oils 120.4 Grains 126.8 Other food 128.0 Raw materials 88.0 Timber 68.1 Other Raw Materials 109.9 Fertilizers 89.1 Metals and minerals a/ 68.1 Base Metals b/ 73.9 Precious Metals 162.7

43.4 84.0 90.5 90.5 90.6 82.3 99.4 93.6 90.2 82.3 98.9 65.4 72.8 78.1 81.3

53.2 72.2 78.7 76.8 76.6 76.6 79.9 73.8 84.7 90.9 77.9 67.0 59.5 63.0 63.6

144.7 173.9 170.4 182.1 169.6 184.5 171.8 148.2 166.3 130.5 205.4 187.2 179.6 169.2 272.2

188.2 209.9 209.0 208.2 210.1 222.7 238.5 167.8 206.7 153.5 264.8 267.0 205.5 193.2 371.9

187.4 190.0 194.0 166.2 211.6 230.0 244.2 157.9 165.3 142.7 189.9 259.2 174.0 168.6 378.3

182.6 186.2 187.8 158.4 204.8 220.5 239.0 153.1 161.7 142.1 183.1 244.8 176.3 170.8 378.3

182.8 180.4 179.6 155.3 191.7 206.0 224.7 143.0 162.4 143.9 182.6 231.9 176.1 169.9 352.8

182.8 175.4 173.2 153.3 181.3 196.0 208.8 137.0 163.5 146.6 182.0 219.8 174.9 167.3 339.9

182.8 175.6 173.1 153.1 180.5 194.6 207.7 137.4 165.1 149.3 182.4 215.4 176.1 168.2 335.3

182.7 175.7 173.0 152.9 179.8 193.3 206.7 137.8 166.7 152.1 182.8 211.2 177.3 169.2 330.8

182.5 175.9 173.0 152.8 179.1 191.9 205.6 138.1 168.4 154.9 183.2 207.0 178.5 170.2 326.3

182.4 176.2 173.0 152.6 178.4 190.6 204.6 138.6 170.1 157.8 183.6 203.0 179.8 171.2 321.9

182.3 176.5 173.1 152.4 177.7 189.3 203.6 139.0 172.4 161.6 184.1 199.0 181.0 172.2 317.5

183.4 177.7 172.7 151.7 174.0 182.8 198.6 140.2 180.1 173.8 186.9 180.6 187.7 177.7 296.6

Price indices in real 2005 US dollars c/ Energy 86.6 Non-energy commodities 134.1 Agriculture 156.9 Beverages 207.0 Food 163.4 Fats and oils 158.0 Grains 166.4 Other food 167.9 Raw materials 115.5 Timber 89.3 Other Raw Materials 144.2 Fertilizers 116.9 Metals and minerals a/ 89.4 Base Metals b/ 97.0 Precious Metals 213.4

44.9 86.9 93.6 93.6 93.7 85.1 102.8 96.8 93.3 85.1 102.2 67.7 75.3 80.8 84.1

59.5 80.8 88.1 86.0 85.8 85.7 89.5 82.6 94.8 101.8 87.2 75.1 66.6 70.6 71.2

128.1 154.0 150.9 161.3 150.2 163.4 152.1 131.2 147.2 115.5 181.9 165.7 159.1 149.8 241.1

153.0 170.7 169.9 169.3 170.8 181.1 193.9 136.4 168.0 124.8 215.3 217.0 167.0 157.1 302.4

155.4 157.5 160.8 137.8 175.4 190.7 202.4 130.9 137.0 118.3 157.4 214.9 144.3 139.7 313.6

148.7 151.6 152.9 128.9 166.7 179.4 194.5 124.6 131.6 115.7 149.1 199.3 143.5 139.0 307.9

145.6 143.7 143.1 123.7 152.7 164.1 179.0 113.9 129.4 114.7 145.5 184.8 140.3 135.3 281.1

142.9 137.1 135.4 119.8 141.7 153.2 163.2 107.1 127.8 114.6 142.3 171.8 136.7 130.8 265.8

140.4 134.8 132.9 117.6 138.6 149.5 159.5 105.5 126.8 114.7 140.0 165.4 135.2 129.2 257.5

137.8 132.6 130.5 115.4 135.6 145.8 155.9 103.9 125.8 114.7 137.9 159.3 133.7 127.6 249.5

135.3 130.4 128.2 113.2 132.7 142.3 152.4 102.4 124.8 114.8 135.8 153.4 132.3 126.1 241.9

132.8 128.3 125.9 111.1 129.9 138.8 149.0 100.9 123.9 114.9 133.7 147.8 130.9 124.7 234.4

130.4 126.3 123.8 109.0 127.1 135.4 145.7 99.4 123.3 115.6 131.7 142.4 129.5 123.2 227.2

119.9 116.1 112.8 99.1 113.7 119.5 129.8 91.6 117.7 113.6 122.1 118.0 122.7 116.1 193.9

76.2

96.7 2.4

89.3 -0.8

112.9 2.4

123.0 8.9

120.6 -1.9

122.9 1.9

125.5 2.2

127.9 1.9

130.2 1.8

132.6 1.8

134.9 1.8

137.3 1.8

139.8 1.8

153.0 1.8

47.8

72.3 4.2

88.7 2.1

111.0 2.3

113.4 2.1

115.5 1.9

117.0 1.3

119.5 2.2

122.1 2.2

124.7 2.2

127.4 2.2

130.2 2.2

133.0 2.2

135.9 2.2

151.3 2.2

Inflation indices, 2005=100 d/ MUV index e/ % change per annum US GDP deflator % change per annum a/ b/ c/ d/

Base metals plus iron ore. Includes aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. Real price indices are computed from unrounded data and deflated by the MUV index. Inflation indices for 2011-2025 are projections. Growth rates for years 1990, 2000 and 2010 refer to compound annual rate of change between adjacent end-point years; all others are annual growth rates from the previous year. e/ Unit value index of manufacture exports (MUV) in US dollar terms for fifteen countries (Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, France, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Republic of Korea, South Africa, Spain, Thailand, United Kingdom, and United States). Please see the MUV Index and its compilation methodology online.

Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. Historical US GDP deflator: US Department of Commerce. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities

Next update: April 2013

Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 4: World Bank Commodity Price Index Weights a/ Share of energy and nonenergy indices

Share of sub-group indices

100.0 4.7 84.6 10.8

100.0 4.7 84.6 10.8

100.0 64.9 40.0 11.3 3.4 2.8 4.6 0.5

100.0 30.2 25.3 40.8 3.7

100.0 28.2 8.5 7.1 11.5 1.2

Vegetable Oils and Meals Soybeans Soybean Oil Soybean Meal Palm Oil Coconut Oil Groundnut Oil c/

16.3 4.0 2.1 4.3 4.9 0.5 0.5

100.0 24.6 13.0 26.3 30.2 3.1 2.8

40.8 10.1 5.3 10.7 12.3 1.3 1.1

Other Food Sugar Bananas Meat, beef Meat, chicken Oranges d/

12.4 3.9 1.9 2.7 2.4 1.4

100.0 31.5 15.7 22.0 19.2 11.6

31.0 9.8 4.9 6.8 6.0 3.6

Beverages Coffee Cocoa Tea

8.4 3.8 3.1 1.5

100.0 45.7 36.9 17.4

Agricultural Raw Materials Timber Hardwood Logs Sawnwood

16.5 8.6 8.6 1.9 6.7

100.0 100.0 22.1 77.9

Other Raw Matrials Cotton Natural Rubber Tobacco

7.9 1.9 3.7 2.3

100.0 24.7 46.7 28.7

Metals and Minerals Aluminum Copper Iron Ore Lead Nickel Tin Zinc

31.6 8.4 12.1 6.0 0.6 2.5 0.7 1.3

100.0 26.7 38.4 18.9 1.8 8.1 2.1 4.1

Fertilizers Natural Phosphate Rock Phosphate Potassium Nitogenous

3.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.5

100.0 16.9 21.7 20.1 41.3

Commodity Group Energy Coal Crude Oil Natural Gas Non-energy Commodities Agriculture Food Grains Rice Wheat Maize b/ Barley

Precious Metals 7/

Gold Silver Platinum a/ b/ c/ d/

Share of food index

100.0 77.8 18.9 3.3

The weights are based on 2002-04 export values of low- and middle-income countries; the data are taken from the United Nations' Comtrade Database via World Bank WITS system, Food and Agriculture Organization FAOSTAT, International Energy Agency, BP Statistical Review of World Energy, World Metal Statistics, World Bureau of Metal Statistics and World Bank staff estimates. The maize weight includes sorghum. The groundnut oil weight includes groundnuts. The oranges weight includes orange juice.

Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities

Next update: April 2013

World Bank Commodity Price Indices: Groups and Weights ENERGY 100.0

COAL 4.7

CRUDE OIL 84.6

NATURAL GAS 10.8

NON-ENERGY 100.0

METALS 31.6

AGRICULTURE 64.9

FERTILIZER 3.6

BEVERAGES 8.4

FOOD 40.0

RAW MATERIALS 16.5

GRAINS 11.3

FATS & OILS 16.3

OTHER FOOD 12.4

PRECIOUS METALS 100.0

GOLD 77.8%

SILVER 18.9%

PLATIMUM 3.3%

Note: Sum of components may not equal group total due to rounding. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities

Next update: April 2013

Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Description of Price Series

Maize (US), no. 2, yellow, f.o.b. US Gulf ports

Aluminum (LME) London Metal Exchange, unalloyed primary ingots, high grade, cash price

Natural Gas (Europe), import border price

Bananas (Central & South American), import price, free on truck (f.o.t.) US Gulf Barley (Canada), feed, Winnipeg Exchange, wholesale farmers’ price

Commodity

Beef (Australian/New Zealand), frozen boneless, 85% chemical lean, c.i.f. U.S. East Coast

Natural Gas (U.S.), Henry Hub, Louisiana Natural Gas (LNG) (any origin), c.i.f. Japan Nickel (LME), cathodes Oranges (Africa & Mediterranean region), European indicative import price, c.i.f. Paris Palm oil (Malaysian), bulk, c.i.f. N. W. Europe

Chicken meat (US) whole birds, broilers, Georgia Dock weighted average, wholesale price

Phosphate rock (Moroccan), 70% BPL, contract, f.a.s. Casablanca

Coal (Australian), thermal, f.o.b. Newcastle/Port Kembla

Potassium chloride, f.o.b. Vancouver

Cocoa (ICCO), International Cocoa Organization daily price

Rice (Thai), 5% broken, white rice, milled, indicative survey price, f.o.b. Bangkok

Coconut oil Rotterdam

c.i.f.

Rubber (Southeast Asia), RSS 3, nearby contract SICOM; prior to 2004 RSS 1 grade f.o.b.

Coffee (ICO), International Coffee Organization indicator price, other mild Arabicas, average New York and Bremen/Hamburg markets

Sawnwood (Malaysian), dark red seraya/meranti, select and better quality, kiln dry, c. & f. UK

(Philippines/Indonesian),

bulk,

Coffee (ICO), International Coffee Organization indicator price, Robustas, average New York and Le Havre/Marseilles markets

Shrimps (Mexico), frozen, white No. 1, 26-30 count per pound, wholesale, New York Silver (Handy & Harman), refined, New York

Copper (LME), grade A, cathodes and wire bar

Soybean meal (any origin), c.i.f. Rotterdam

Cotton (“cotton outlook A” index), c.i.f. Far East; prior to 2006 c.i.f. Northern Europe

Soybean oil (Dutch), crude, f.o.b. ex-mill

Crude oil, average spot price of Brent, Dubai and West Texas Intermediate, equally weighed DAP (diammonium phosphate), bulk, f.o.b. US Gulf

Soybeans (US), c.i.f. Rotterdam Sugar (world), International Sugar Agreement daily price, raw, f.o.b. Caribbean ports

Gold (UK), London afternoon fixing

Tea, average of quotations at Calcutta, Colombo and Mombasa/Nairobi

Groundnut oil (any origin), c.i.f. Rotterdam

Tin (LME), refined, settlement price

Iron ore, fines, spot, c.f.r. China 62% fe, in unit of US$/dmt; prior to 2006 (Brazilian) CVRD/Vale sinter feed, f.o.b. contract price to Europe, 66.5-68% fe, in unit of US¢/dmtu

Tobacco (any origin) total unmanufactured US import unit value, twelve-months-rolling-averages

Lead (LME), refined, settlement price

Urea, (varying Europe

Logs (West African), sapele, high quality (loyal and marchand LM), f.o.b. Cameroon

Wheat (US), no. 1, hard red winter, export Gulf

Logs (Malaysian), meranti, Sarawak, Tokyo import price

TSP (triple super-phosphate), bulk, f.o.b. US Gulf origins),

bagged,

f.o.b.

Eastern

Zinc (LME), special high grade, settlement price

Note: The MUV (unit value of manufacture) is a US dollar trade weighted index of manufactures exported from fifteen economies (Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, France, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Republic of Korea, South Africa, Spain, Thailand, United Kingdom, and United States). Please see the compilation methodology of the MUV Index online.

Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities

Next update: April 2013