System-Risk Flood Task Force

6 downloads 0 Views 970KB Size Report
Background. EU MSCA-ETN System-Risk: A large scale systems approach ... ESRs will focus on questions related to all phases of the Risk Management Cycle.
System-Risk Flood Task Force Kai Schröter1, Nina Ridder2, Ricardo Tavares da Costa2, Dirk Diederen4, Alberto Viglione5 1

German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Section 5.4 Hydrology, Potsdam, Germany ([email protected]) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, The Netherlands GECOsistema srl, Cesena, Italy 4 HR Wallingford, Wallingford, United Kingdom 5 Vienna Technical University, Institute for Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna, Austria 2 3

PosterEGU2017-7997

Background EU MSCA-ETN System-Risk: A large scale systems approach to flood risk assessment and management Aim Develop a systems management.

approach

for

large-scale

flood

risk

assessment

and

Provide a framework for training and career development of 15 Early Stage Researchers (ESRs) Motivation Tools to reliably assess and mange flood risk at a large-scale are essential for national and regional policy development adhering to the solidarity principle, the insurance industry and other stakeholders. These tools must span from the larger river basin to the European scale. Yet, such requirements have usually been addressed by piecing together small-scale solutions.

Flood Task Force

Scope and conceptual approach

Each flood is unique and offers an unparalleled opportunity for collecting data and gaining insights into system’s behavior under extreme conditions, potentially revealing •

exceptional circumstances,



unexpected occurrences, failures and cascading effects,

ESRs will focus on questions related to all phases of the Risk Management Cycle and factors of risk, see Figure 5 for a selection of questions. What are the drivers triggering the disaster

and thus a chance to learn and to improve methods and models. System-Risk establishes a Flood Task Force (FTF) that aims to learn from flood events about successful practical approaches, but also potential pitfalls and failures in the management of real flood events. The FTF consists of an interdisciplinary group of researchers who will apply in situ their latest methods and knowledge addressing questions: •

How did the event develop?



How did risk management respond?



What were the consequences and effects?

The FTF will closely monitor and document the flood event and gather impressions from the affected area in coordination with local stakeholders.

Closely investigating actual flood events enables ESRs to gain real live experiences in various sectors and with regard to diverse aspects of Flood Risk Management.

Key experiences will be gathered via • •

What are we able to know in Real Time about the event situation?

• •

Learning from successes, failures or weak links in the flood risk chain and monitoring drivers during all phases of flood risk management Experiencing challenges of real-time flood response and emergency management Analyzing the communication chain accompanying the event Observing mid- and long-term effects of the current and previous flood events

Finding answers to these and other related questions will enable the FTF to • Which changes in the flood risk system did influence the impact of the flood?

This multi-layered perspective is intended to deepen the understanding of the complexity of flood risk systems as for instance in terms of interactions between hazard, the natural and the built environment, societal institutions and coping capacities.

• •

Identify gaps in the current perspective on flood events, e.g. meteorological predictions, assessment of exposure, mitigation and response measures, that need to be adjusted and/or included in future FRM Determine how the information exchange can be complemented to increase safety during an event and improve public confidence with flood response Identify suitable outlets for communicating scientific facts and informing stakeholders and policy makers

What would YOU be interested in? Please feel free to note down your ideas and questions here Figure 1: Risk Chain Interactions

Were preventive and emergency measures timely and appropriate?

Method System-Risk puts its focus on three essential pillars of flood risk research: •

Risk chain: considering the complete risk chain from the Sources through the Pathways to the Receptors and Consequences.



Interactions: augmenting the “Source-Pathway-Receptors and Consequences” model by focusing on interactions and advancing the traditional linear approach of the risk chain with interdependent linkages between physical and societal processes shaping the spatio-temporal flood risk.



Temporal dynamics: investigating the time-varying nature of flood risk and its components

Figure 3: Illustrating multifaceted aspects of flooding

Why do people stay in or leave an affected area? What can be improved in largescale flood control and recovery?

Figure 5:Sample questions to be addressed within a FTF activity within the risk domains (according to IPCC SREX) and phases of flood risk management.

Who is the FTF? …or send your comments to [email protected]

Figure 2: System-Risk Beneficiary partner network

www.gfz-potsdam.de

This project has received funding from the European Union‘s EU Framework Program for Research and Innovation Horizon 2020 under Grant Agreement No. 676027

Figure 4: Group picture of the System-Risk ESRs in October 2016 who will form the core team of the FTF, consisting of (from left): Julia Shusitkova (MSc. Geography, University of Bologna), Ricardo Tavares da Costa (MSc. Environmental Engineering, GECOsistema), Jeison Sosa (MSc. Environmental Fluid Mechanics, Uni Bristol), Sonu Khanal (MSc. Water Resources Engineering, Future Water), Dirk Diederen (MSc. Hydrology and Fluid Dynamics, HR Wallingford), Maxime Liquet (Civil and Environmental Engineer, GFZ), Walter Manghini (MSc. Civil Engineering,resigned), Lydia Cumiskey (MSc. Flood Risk Management, Middlesex University), Marlies Barendrecht (MSc. in Water resources management and hydraulic engineering, TU Vienna), Duha Metin (MSc. Civil Engineering, GFZ), Alex Curran (MSc. Flood Risk Management, Deltares), Nivedita Sairam (MSc. Geomatics, GFZ), Alessio Ciullo (MSc. Environmental Enginneering, Deltares), Friederike Holz (MSc. Environmental Geography and Management, Middlesex University), missing: Maya Manosnoc (Msc. Technology and Resources Management in the Tropics and Subtropics, German Federal Environment Agency), Miriam Bertola (MSc. Civil Engineering, TU Vienna)

Outlook • • •

Detailed preparation of the FTF mission using a flood of the recent past the as a dry run Establish contacts and partner with national/regional stakeholders involved in flood risk management (authorities, emergency services, etc.) System-Risk FTF will become active during the next large-scale flood within a country of a partner institute.

Web resources to stay informed: www.system-risk.eu https://twitter.com/SystemRisk

System-Risk.eu