Nov 20, 2017 - THIS WEEK: Monday, Agilent Technologies and Urban Outfitters reveal Q3 results. On Tuesday, investors con
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE November 20, 2017 YEARLY INFLATION BACK AT 2.0%
Consumer costs ticked up just 0.1% in October, according to the Department of Labor. The marginal monthly gain left the annualized increase in the headline Consumer Price Index at 2.0%, down from 2.2% a month earlier. The core CPI has risen 1.8% in 12 months. Gasoline prices influenced the October headline number: they fell 2.4% in October after a 13.1% September leap.
RETAIL SALES BEAT EXPECTATIONS
Analysts surveyed by MarketWatch thought retail sales would be flat for October after their huge surge in September. That was not so. They surprised to the upside with a gain of 0.2%. Minus auto buying, the advance was 0.1%.
DEVELOPERS PICK UP THE PACE AS FALL BEGINS Newly released Census Bureau data shows a 13.7% monthly increase in housing starts in October as well as a 5.9% rise for building permits. Single-family home construction strengthened 5.3% last month. THIS WEEK: Monday, Agilent Technologies and Urban Outfitters reveal Q3 results. On Tuesday, investors consider earnings announcements from Campbell Soup, Hormel Foods, and Lowe’s, plus the latest new home sales report from the National Association of Realtors; also, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen stops by New York University for a moderated Q&A session. The Fed releases the minutes from its November policy meeting on Wednesday; Wall Street will also keep an eye out for the final November consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan, a new report on durable goods orders, and earnings from Deere & Co. On Thursday, U.S. financial markets are closed for Thanksgiving. Friday, Wall Street reopens for a shortened trading session ending at 1:00pm EST.
VALUE AS OF 11/17/17
VALUE AS OF 12/31/16
S&P 500 INDEX DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL NASDAQ AVERAGECOMPOSITE INDEX MSCI EAFE INDEX BARCLAYS AGGREGATE BOND FED FUNDS TARGET INDEX 6-MONTH US TREASURY YIELD 2-YR US TREASURY YIELD 10-YR TREASURY YIELD CRUDE OIL ($/BARREL)
2,582.30 23,422.21 6,750.94 1,999.57 102.95 1.25% 1.42% 1.73% 2.35% $56.71
2,238.83 19,762.60 5,383.12 1,684.00 102.70 0.75% 0.62% 1.20% 2.45% $53.72
GOLD ($/OZ.)
$1,296.50
$1,151.70
BENCHMARKS
ONE WEEK TOTAL RETURN -0.06% -0.19% 0.47% -0.59% 0.24%
YTD TOTAL RETURN 17.27% 20.76% 26.00% 20.95% 3.20%
1-YEAR TOTAL RETURN 20.24% 26.44% 27.05% 24.79% 2.96%
WEEKLY TIP Grandparents might want to look at this potential tax break: two-thirds of U.S. states offer a state income tax deduction for contributions to a 529 college savings plan. Grandparents are eligible to claim such a deduction if they live in the state hosting the plan. DID YOU KNOW? A single cloud can weigh more than 1 million pounds.
W. Kelly Montgomery, AIF®, APMA®, Vice President / Senior Portfolio Manager
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