Oct 1, 2017 - Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not in any way ... the Multiple Listings
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
Weekly Market Report October 1, 2017
David Cunningham Semonin REALTORS® 502-296-8925 Serving Southern Indiana
[email protected] www.davidcunningham.semonin.com
Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
ACTIVE INVENTORY CURRENT 10/1/2017
FOUR WEEKS AGO
1,047
1,065 DOWN
994
SIX MONTHS AGO
ACTIVE LISTINGS
ONE YEAR AGO
1,284
1,150
FROM LAST YEAR
FOUR WEEKS AGO
$223K
11%
$227K
FROM LAST YEAR
$227K
SIX MONTHS AGO
AVERAGE LIST PRICE
UP
THREE MONTHS AGO
ONE YEAR AGO
$226K
$201K
FOUR WEEKS AGO
2.5
2.8 FROM LAST YEAR
ONE YEAR AGO
3.5
3.6
5 YEAR TRENDING | ACTIVE LISTINGS & MONTHS OF INVENTORY 12
2,600 2,300 2,000 1,700 1,400 1,100 800 500
10 8 6 4 2
Active Listings
2016
2015
2014
0 2013
MONTHS OF I N V E N T O RY Months of Inventory (MOI) is the amount of time it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. MOI is what most professionals in the business use to determine whether it is a Seller’s Market, a Buyer’s Market, or a Balanced Market. To calculate MOI, we divide the number of current active listings by the number of listings sold in the last 30 days.
2012
22%
2.5
SIX MONTHS AGO
MONTHS OF INVENTORY
DOWN
THREE MONTHS AGO
2017
17%
THREE MONTHS AGO
Months of Inventory
SIRA is primarily Clark, Floyd, Harrison and surrounding Indiana counties just north of the Ohio River. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not in any way responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and may not represent all real estate information in our markets. Last 30 days statistics go back 30 days from each current date noted throughout this report. Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
418 396
UP
5%
379
FROM LAST YEAR
331 360
$174K UP
$171
9%
$180K
FROM LAST YEAR
AS OF 10/1/2017
$150K $156K
83
FROM LAST YEAR
14%
83
78
DOWN
SIRA is primarily Clark, Floyd, Harrison and surrounding Indiana counties just north of the Ohio River. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not in any way responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and may not represent all real estate information in our markets. Last 30 days statistics go back 30 days from each current date noted throughout this report.
80 91
Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
DAY S O N M A R K E T Days on Market (DOM) is the period of time a property is active on the Multiple Listings Service before a conditional offer is accepted. Simply put: it’s a measure of how many days a home takes to sell. DOM is closely watched as it is an indicator of how strong the housing market is. The lower the DOM suggests it is a seller’s market. The higher the DOM usually suggests it’s a buyer’s market.
78 AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET
The Average Days on Market calculation does not reflect the times a home that is sold has been on the market before by (1) its owner, (2) another Realtor whose listing expired, or (3) a listing cancelled and then relisted to generate new interest. This number, in most instances, does not reflect the number of days from contract to close which averages 30-45 days for most closings. In order to have a true picture of the date property is listed to the date of closing, a seller would need to add prior “days for sale” activity to the above average days on market plus 30-45 days from contract to close. The above is not reflective of a specific area but takes into account all homes on the MLS that sold in the last 30 days and the last 12 months. Your agent can give you a specific report tailored to your area.
L I S T TO S A L E R AT I O BY MARKET TIME
L I S T T O S A L E R AT I O
120+ Days 90-120 Days 61-90 Days 31-60 Days 0-30 Days 94%
95%
96%
97%
98%
99%
100%
This ratio is calculated by dividing the actual sales price by the home’s final list price and express it as a percentage. This can help buyers and sellers negotiate on pricing. For example, an average list-tosale ratio of less than 100 percent shows that sellers generally accept less than their asking prices in that particular market. Home seekers may be able to secure the property by making an offer that reflects the average discount that buyers are receiving. Sellers reviewing the list-to-sale ratio can see at a glance whether their list price is too low or too high, and adjust the list price accordingly.
List-toSale Ratio(%) SIRA is primarily Clark, Floyd, Harrison and surrounding Indiana counties just north of the Ohio River. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not in any way responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and may not represent all real estate information in our markets. Last 30 days statistics go back 30 days from each current date noted throughout this report. Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
M O R T G A G E R AT E S
Monthly mortgage cost on $200K home with current interest rate 4.0%
6 5
$954.83
4 3 2 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
H I S T O R I C A V E R A G E M O R T G A G E P AY M E N T S S E E N B Y G E N E R A T I O N MILLENIALS
GEN X
$1,024.09
$1,157.00
$200K
YOUNGER BABY BOOMERS
OLDER BABY BOOMERS
$1,301.19
$1,499.72 *Mortgage payment is principle and interest only.
20% 18%
18.45%
3 0 Y E A R F I X E D M O R T G AG E R AT E S FROM A GENERATIONAL STANDPOINT
16% 14%
11.26%
12% 10%
8.52%
8% 6% 4%
6.70% 4.59% 3.35%
8.23% 6.78%
5.67% 3.35%
3.35%
3.35%
MILLENNIALS
GEN X
YOUNGER BABY BOOMERS
OLDER BABY BOOMERS
(Rates from 2007-2017)
(Rates from 1997-2017)
2% 0% Average
(Rates from 1987-2017)
Minimum
(Rates from 1977-2017)
Maximum
Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These *Historical rate information sourced Disclaimer: by fred.stlouisfed.org statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace. Information deemed reliable, but not guaranteed.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
I N V E N T O RY, S A L E S & M A R K E T C O N D I T I O N B Y P R I C E DATA F O R L A S T 3 0 DAY S A S O F 1 0 / 1 / 2 0 1 7
Active Listings
Percent of Inventory
Last 30 Days Sales
Percent of Market
Current Months of Inventory
$25-50K
43
4.0%
14
3.7%
3.1
SELLER'S
$50-75K
78
7.3%
29
7.7%
2.7
SELLER'S
$75-100K
131
12.2%
37
9.8%
3.5
SELLER'S
$100-125K
92
8.6%
43
11.4%
2.1
SELLER'S
$125-150K
88
8.2%
56
14.8%
1.6
SELLER'S
$150K-175K
90
8.4%
51
13.5%
1.8
SELLER'S
$175-200K
72
6.7%
28
7.4%
2.6
SELLER'S
$200-225K
48
4.5%
26
6.9%
1.8
SELLER'S
$225K-250K
88
8.2%
33
8.7%
2.7
SELLER'S
$250-275K
52
4.9%
16
4.2%
3.3
SELLER'S
$275-300K
60
5.6%
12
3.2%
5.0
SELLER'S
$300-350K
58
5.4%
9
2.4%
6.4
BALANCED
$350-400K
52
4.9%
11
2.9%
4.7
SELLER'S
$400-500K
53
5.0%
6
1.6%
8.8
BUYER'S
$500-600K
14
1.3%
2
0.5%
7.0
BALANCED
$600-700K
12
1.1%
1
0.3%
12.0
BUYER'S
$700K +
26
2.4%
0
0.0%
N/A
N/A
1070
100.0%
378
100.0%
2.8
SELLER'S
43
4.0%
14
3.7%
3.1
SELLER'S
PRICE RANGE
Total $25-50K
Market Condition
SELLER’S MARKET
BALANCED MARKET
BUYER’S MARKET
LESS THAN 6 MONTHS home prices will appreciate
BETWEEN 6 – 7 MONTHS Home prices will only appreciate with inflation
GREATER THAN 7 MONTHS Home prices will depreciate
SIRA is primarily Clark, Floyd, Harrison and surrounding Indiana counties just north of the Ohio River. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not in any way responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and may not represent all real estate information in our markets. Last 30 days statistics go back 30 days from each current date noted throughout this report. Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
I S YO U R H O M E I N T H E M A R K E T, O N T H E M A R K E T, O R O F F T H E M A R K E T ? A L O O K AT PRICE VS CONDITION:
Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.
Southern Indiana Realtors® Association
Disclaimer: Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and the MLS is not responsible for the accuracy of this information. These statistics include single family homes and condos only and it may not represent all real estate information in the local marketplace.