Jul 1, 2015 - Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next ... Best represents the
Interviews with 1,017 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on June 26-28, 2015. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Results in this document labeled “All Americans” or “Total” are based on this sample of 1,017 adults. The sample also includes 890 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). The full sample includes 611 interviews among landline respondents and 406 interviews among cell phone respondents. Additional interviews were conducted among African-Americans, and combined with the African-Americans contacted in the initial sample of 75 for a total of 303 African-American respondents. The margin of sampling error for results based on this sample of African-Americans is plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. Columns in this document labeled "Whites" show results only for the 727 respondents in the initial sample who described themselves as white in a question on racial background and did not describe themselves as Hispanic or Latino in a separate question on ethnicity. (Sampling error for nonHispanic whites is +/-3.5 percentage points.) Columns in this document labeled "Blacks" refer to all respondents who described themselves as black or African-American and did not describe themselves as Hispanic or Latino in a separate question on ethnicity. Trend results for racial groups are shown only for polls which had enough African-American respondents to produce statistically valid results.
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Wednesday, July 1 at 6:00 a.m.
5.
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER)
The economy June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) June 28-July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007 Foreign policy June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) June 28-July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 Health care June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV) Feb. 12-15, 2015 Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV) June 28-July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007
Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
47% 48%
41% 41%
11% 10%
2% 1%
* *
41% 58% 51% 54% 51% 61% 58% 45% 34% 33%
47% 35% 41% 39% 41% 33% 35% 41% 48% 46%
11% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 12% 16% 16%
1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4%
* * * * * * * * * *
32% 33%
39% 40%
22% 22%
7% 5%
1% 1%
28% 41% 24% 23%
39% 31% 39% 33%
25% 21% 26% 32%
7% 6% 11% 11%
* 1% * 1%
44% 44%
39% 39%
13% 13%
4% 4%
* *
39% 49% 47% 42% 45% 44% 47% 41% 35% 43%
40% 33% 40% 38% 41% 38% 36% 36% 41% 35%
16% 14% 10% 16% 10% 13% 14% 19% 19% 18%
5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 4%
* * * * * * * * * *
(RV) = Registered voter
POLL 6 3
-2-
June 26-28, 2015
5.
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM ORDER) Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Illegal immigration June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
30% 30%
32% 33%
26% 26%
12% 11%
* *
Feb. 12-15, 2015 June 28 – July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007
29% 28% 24% 29% 29% 34% 31% 23% 31%
35% 31% 28% 33% 31% 33% 34% 38% 32%
26% 26% 27% 26% 28% 24% 23% 26% 26%
10% 14% 19% 12% 12% 9% 11% 13% 10%
* * * * * 1% * * 1%
Terrorism June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
48% 49%
33% 32%
14% 14%
5% 5%
* *
Feb. 12-15, 2015 June 28 – July 1, 2012 October 14-16, 2011 June 3-7, 2011 October 17-19, 2008 June 26-29, 2008 Jan. 14-17, 2008 Nov. 2-4, 2007 May 4-6, 2007
42% 41% 36% 42% 50% 45% 42% 32% 45%
38% 30% 36% 33% 33% 32% 34% 44% 35%
14% 18% 19% 16% 14% 18% 19% 18% 14%
6% 10% 9% 8% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6%
* * * 1% * * * * *
Race relations June 26-28, 2015 All Americans Blacks Whites
28% 33% 27%
33% 48% 33%
27% 6% 29%
12% 11% 11%
1% 2% *
Same-sex marriage June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
20% 20%
21% 21%
21% 21%
37% 37%
1% 1%
Feb. 12-15, 2015 June 28 – July 1, 2012* June 3-7, 2011*
17% 19% 17%
22% 16% 17%
22% 22% 21%
38% 42% 45%
* * 2%
*Prior to 2015 – “Gay marriage" (RV) = Registered voter
POLL 6 3
-3-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 26.
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER) June 26-28 May 29-31 Apr. 16-19 Mar. 13-15 Feb. 12-15 Dec. 18-21 Nov. 21-23 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 Bush Trump Huckabee Carson Paul Rubio Walker Perry Christie Cruz Santorum Jindal Kasich Fiorina Graham Pataki Pence Portman Ryan Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
19% 12% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% * N/A N/A N/A 7% 6% 3%
13% 3% 10% 7% 8% 14% 10% 5% 4% 8% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% N/A N/A N/A 5% 2% 1%
17% N/A 9% 4% 11% 11% 12% 3% 4% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% * N/A N/A N/A 5% 5% 2%
16% N/A 10% 9% 12% 7% 13% 4% 7% 4% 1% 1% 2% * 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% 6% 3%
14% N/A 16% 8% 10% 5% 11% 3% 7% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 4% 7% 3%
23% N/A 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 13% 4% 2% 4% 3% N/A N/A N/A * * 5% 5% 5% 3%
14% N/A 10% 11% 8% 3% 5% 5% 9% 7% 2% 1% 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% * 9% 6% 2% 4%
November, 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list.
POLL 6 3
-4-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 26.
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker. (RANDOM ORDER) June 26-28 2015 (RV) Bush 17% Trump 12% Carson 8% Paul 8% Rubio 7% Walker 6% Huckabee 5% Perry 4% Santorum 4% Christie 3% Cruz 3% Kasich 3% Jindal 2% Fiorina 1% Graham 1% Pataki * Someone else (vol.) 5% None/No one 6% No opinion 3%
(RV) = Registered voter
27.
Omitted
POLL 6 3
-5-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 28.
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
The economy
Bush Trump Walker Paul Huckabee Rubio Carson Perry Santorum Christie Cruz Jindal Kasich Fiorina Graham Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
POLL 6 3
All
Registered voters
20% 19% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 9%
16% 20% 8% 7% 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% * 1% 2% 6% 9%
-6-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 28.
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
Illegal immigration
Bush Trump Perry Rubio Cruz Huckabee Paul Carson Christie Walker Graham Santorum Fiorina Jindal Kasich Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
POLL 6 3
All
Registered voters
21% 13% 9% 8% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 6% 10%
18% 14% 8% 9% 6% 5% 6% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 6% 9%
-7-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 256 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 151 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 407 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 236 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND 132 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A TOTAL OF 368 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 28.
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Bush Huckabee Trump Carson Paul Christie Rubio Cruz Perry Santorum Walker Fiorina Graham Jindal Kasich Pataki Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
POLL 6 3
All
Registered voters
17% 9% 8% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% * 2% 7% 12%
13% 9% 7% 8% 7% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% * 2% 8% 12%
-8-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 29.
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb or Lincoln Chafee. (RANDOM ORDER) June 26-28 May 29-31 Apr. 16-19 Mar. 13-15 Feb. 12-15 Dec. 18-21 Nov. 21-23 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 Clinton Biden Sanders Webb O'Malley Chafee Cuomo Patrick Warren Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
57% 16% 14% 2% 1% * N/A N/A N/A 4% 5% 1%
60% 14% 10% 2% 1% * N/A N/A N/A 7% 5% 1%
69% 11% 5% 3% 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A 5% 3% 2%
62% 15% 3% 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A 10% 6% 2% 1%
61% 14% 3% 2% 1% N/A N/A N/A 10% 6% 2% 1%
66% 8% 3% 1% 1% N/A 1% * 9% 6% 2% 2%
65% 9% 5% 1% * N/A 1% 1% 10% 4% 3% 1%
BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. June 26-28 2015 (RV) Clinton 58% Biden 17% Sanders 15% O'Malley 1% Webb 1% Chafee * Someone else (vol.) 2% None/No one 4% No opinion 1% (RV) = Registered voter
POLL 6 3
-9-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 30.
And who would be your second choice?
Clinton Biden Sanders Webb O’Malley Chafee Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
FIRST CHOICE (Question 29)
SECOND CHOICE (Question 30)
57% 16% 14% 2% 1% * 4% 5% 1%
24% 35% 14% 2% 5% 2% 5% 9% 3%
BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Clinton Biden Sanders O’Malley Webb Chafee Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
FIRST CHOICE (Question 29-RV)
SECOND CHOICE (Question 30-RV)
58% 17% 15% 1% 1% * 2% 4% 1%
23% 35% 16% 5% 1% 2% 5% 9% 3%
(RV) = Registered voter
POLL 6 3
-10-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 31.
Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think?
Cares the most about people like you
Clinton Biden Sanders Chafee O'Malley Webb Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
All
Registered voters
47% 20% 20% 2% 1% 1% 1% 6% 2%
46% 20% 22% 1% 1% * 2% 6% 2%
Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next November
Clinton Biden Sanders Chafee O'Malley Webb Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
POLL 6 3
All
Registered voters
72% 16% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3%
74% 15% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3%
-11-
June 26-28, 2015
BASED ON 305 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 185 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 490 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. BASED ON 274 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND 154 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRAT, FOR A TOTAL OF 428 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 31.
Now I’m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think?
Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Clinton Biden Sanders Chafee O'Malley Webb Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
All
Registered voters
47% 23% 19% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3%
49% 22% 20% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3%
Would be the strongest leader
Clinton Biden Sanders Chafee O'Malley Webb Someone else (vol.) None/No one No opinion
POLL 6 3
All
Registered voters
60% 21% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3%
64% 21% 7% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 3%
-12-
June 26-28, 2015
32.
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush Clinton
Bush
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion
June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
54% 54%
41% 41%
1% 1%
3% 3%
1% *
May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015 Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014 Dec. 16-19, 2013
51% 56% 55% 54% 59% 58%
43% 39% 40% 41% 36% 36%
* * * 1% * 1%
5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4%
1% 1% 1% * 2% 1%
Clinton
Rubio
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion
June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
56% 56%
39% 40%
* *
4% 3%
1% *
May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015 Dec. 16-19, 2013
49% 55% 55% 57%
46% 41% 42% 36%
* * * 1%
4% 3% 3% 4%
1% 1% * 2%
Clinton
Christie
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion
June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
56% 55%
37% 39%
* *
5% 5%
1% *
Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015 Dec. 18-21, 2014 Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014 Dec. 16-19, 2013
58% 55% 56% 56% 47%
39% 40% 39% 37% 47%
* * 1% * *
3% 5% 3% 5% 5%
1% * 1% 2% 1%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie
POLL 6 3
-13-
June 26-28, 2015
32.
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump Clinton
Trump
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion
59% 59%
34% 35%
* *
6% 6%
1% *
Clinton
Walker
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion
June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
57% 57%
38% 40%
* *
4% 3%
1% *
May 29-31, 2015 Apr. 16-19, 2015 Mar. 13-15, 2015
49% 59% 55%
46% 37% 40%
* * *
3% 3% 3%
2% 1% 1%
June 26-28, 2015 June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker
POLL 6 3
-14-
June 26-28, 2015
METHODOLOGY A total of 1,017 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 23% described themselves as Republicans, and 49% described themselves as Independents or members of another party In addition 252 interviews were conducted with African-Americans drawn from a separate sample of landline telephone numbers in areas where at least 30% of households are African American. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A".
POLL 6 3
-15-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------47% 44% 49% 47% 41% 41% 41% 40% 11% 13% 9% 11% 2% 2% 1% 2% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----47% 41% 11% 2% * +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------47% 45% 41% 40% 11% 13% 2% 2% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----47% 41% 11% 2% * +/-3.0
Democrat ----46% 44% 8% 1% * +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----47% 41% 11% 2% * +/-3.0
North east ----57% 36% 5% 2% * +/-6.5
1834 ----42% 43% 13% 2% * +/-7.5
3549 ----56% 34% 8% 1% * +/-7.0
5064 ----51% 38% 10% 1% 1% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------49% 41% 9% 1% * +/-4.5
65+ ----38% 48% 11% 3% * +/-5.5
No College ------47% 38% 11% 3% * +/-5.5
Independent -----47% 40% 10% 2% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----50% 34% 14% 2% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----46% 48% 42% 41% 10% 10% 2% 1% * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----46% 42% 10% 2% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------46% 42% 10% 1% * +/-3.5
Republican -----46% 39% 14% 1% * +/-6.0 South ----46% 44% 9% 1% * +/-5.0
Under 50 ----48% 39% 11% 2% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----45% 42% 12% 1% * +/-6.5
West ----37% 46% 14% 2% 1% +/-6.5
Moderate ----45% 41% 12% 2% * +/-5.0
Urban ----43% 42% 14% 1% * +/-5.5
Conservative ------50% 39% 9% 2% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----52% 38% 8% 1% * +/-4.5
Rural ----44% 42% 11% 3% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-16-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5A How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? A. The economy Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------48% 43% 52% 48% 41% 43% 39% 41% 10% 12% 8% 10% 1% 2% 1% 1% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 41% 10% 1% * +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------48% 47% 41% 39% 10% 13% 1% 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 41% 10% 1% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----47% 44% 8% 1% * +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 41% 10% 1% * +/-3.5
North east ----56% 38% 5% 1% * +/-7.0
1834 ----42% 43% 13% 1% * +/-8.5
3549 ----59% 33% 7% 1% * +/-7.5
5064 ----51% 39% 10% 1% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------49% 41% 8% 1% * +/-4.5
65+ ----38% 48% 11% 3% * +/-5.5
No College ------47% 39% 11% 3% * +/-6.5
Independent -----48% 40% 11% 2% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----50% 34% 14% 3% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----47% 48% 41% 41% 10% 10% 2% 1% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----45% 43% 10% 2% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------48% 42% 10% 1% * +/-4.0
Republican -----48% 39% 12% 1% * +/-6.5 South ----48% 43% 9% 1% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----50% 38% 10% 1% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----46% 41% 12% 1% * +/-7.0
West ----38% 47% 14% 2% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----47% 41% 11% 1% * +/-5.5
Urban ----41% 43% 14% 1% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------50% 40% 8% 2% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----53% 38% 8% 1% * +/-5.0
Rural ----47% 42% 9% 3% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-17-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Foreign policy Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------32% 32% 32% 33% 39% 40% 38% 38% 22% 19% 25% 22% 7% 9% 5% 6% 1% * 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----32% 39% 22% 7% 1% +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------32% 32% 39% 36% 22% 20% 7% 10% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----32% 39% 22% 7% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----30% 40% 25% 4% 2% +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----32% 39% 22% 7% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----32% 36% 23% 8% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----25% 34% 31% 10% * +/-7.5
3549 ----32% 36% 23% 8% * +/-7.0
5064 ----38% 41% 16% 3% 2% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------30% 41% 25% 4% * +/-4.5
65+ ----35% 47% 12% 5% 1% +/-5.5
No College ------29% 37% 25% 8% 2% +/-5.5
Independent -----32% 37% 21% 9% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----34% 36% 25% 5% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----29% 33% 41% 40% 21% 22% 8% 5% 1% 1% +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----37% 43% 15% 4% 2% +/-4.0
Attended College -------34% 40% 20% 6% * +/-3.5
Republican -----34% 41% 19% 5% * +/-6.0 South ----35% 40% 20% 4% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----28% 35% 27% 9% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----26% 42% 21% 11% * +/-6.5
West ----25% 43% 20% 11% 1% +/-6.5
Moderate ----32% 38% 23% 7% 1% +/-5.0
Urban ----31% 38% 22% 8% 1% +/-5.5
Conservative ------37% 37% 22% 3% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----33% 39% 21% 6% 1% +/-4.5
Rural ----32% 40% 23% 4% 1% +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-18-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5B How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? B. Foreign policy Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------33% 33% 32% 34% 40% 40% 39% 40% 22% 20% 23% 21% 5% 7% 4% 5% 1% * 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----33% 40% 22% 5% 1% +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------33% 33% 40% 38% 22% 20% 5% 8% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----33% 40% 22% 5% 1% +/-3.5
Democrat ----29% 41% 24% 4% 1% +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----33% 40% 22% 5% 1% +/-3.5
North east ----35% 34% 25% 5% 1% +/-7.0
1834 ----27% 35% 29% 9% * +/-8.5
3549 ----31% 37% 25% 7% * +/-7.5
5064 ----37% 42% 18% 1% 2% +/-6.0
$50K or more ------31% 41% 25% 4% * +/-4.5
65+ ----35% 48% 13% 4% 1% +/-5.5
No College ------28% 37% 28% 5% 2% +/-6.5
Independent -----32% 37% 22% 8% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----34% 36% 24% 6% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----30% 33% 41% 40% 22% 22% 6% 5% 1% 1% +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----36% 44% 16% 2% 1% +/-4.0
Attended College -------35% 41% 18% 6% * +/-4.0
Republican -----37% 43% 18% 2% * +/-6.5 South ----35% 43% 17% 4% 1% +/-5.5
Under 50 ----29% 36% 27% 8% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----27% 43% 22% 8% * +/-7.0
West ----24% 44% 23% 7% 1% +/-7.0
Moderate ----32% 39% 23% 5% 1% +/-5.5
Urban ----33% 38% 22% 6% 1% +/-6.0
Conservative ------37% 39% 20% 4% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----33% 40% 22% 5% * +/-5.0
Rural ----32% 43% 21% 3% 1% +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-19-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Health care Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------44% 37% 50% 44% 39% 41% 38% 38% 13% 16% 10% 13% 4% 6% 3% 4% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----44% 39% 13% 4% * +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------44% 43% 39% 42% 13% 11% 4% 3% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----44% 39% 13% 4% * +/-3.0
Democrat ----45% 43% 10% 2% * +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----44% 39% 13% 4% * +/-3.0
North east ----46% 36% 12% 6% * +/-6.5
1834 ----39% 40% 15% 6% * +/-7.5
3549 ----49% 34% 12% 5% * +/-7.0
5064 ----46% 41% 9% 3% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------43% 38% 14% 6% * +/-4.5
65+ ----38% 44% 14% 4% * +/-5.5
No College ------43% 41% 11% 5% * +/-5.5
Independent -----44% 36% 14% 6% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----44% 37% 15% 4% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----42% 44% 41% 39% 12% 13% 4% 4% * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----43% 42% 11% 3% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------44% 38% 14% 4% * +/-3.5
Republican -----40% 43% 13% 4% * +/-6.0 South ----46% 37% 12% 4% * +/-5.0
Under 50 ----43% 38% 14% 5% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----48% 39% 10% 4% * +/-6.5
West ----37% 48% 12% 4% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----39% 40% 16% 4% * +/-5.0
Urban ----44% 38% 15% 4% * +/-5.5
Conservative ------45% 40% 11% 5% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----43% 42% 11% 4% * +/-4.5
Rural ----45% 37% 11% 7% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-20-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5C How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? C. Health care Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------44% 37% 50% 44% 39% 41% 37% 39% 13% 15% 10% 13% 4% 6% 3% 4% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----44% 39% 13% 4% * +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------44% 45% 39% 40% 13% 12% 4% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----44% 39% 13% 4% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----44% 44% 10% 2% * +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----44% 39% 13% 4% * +/-3.5
North east ----47% 35% 13% 6% * +/-7.0
1834 ----40% 40% 15% 6% * +/-8.5
3549 ----49% 33% 14% 5% * +/-7.5
5064 ----46% 41% 10% 3% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------43% 38% 13% 6% * +/-4.5
65+ ----39% 43% 14% 4% * +/-5.5
No College ------43% 42% 11% 5% * +/-6.5
Independent -----45% 35% 14% 6% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----46% 36% 16% 2% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----42% 44% 40% 39% 13% 13% 5% 4% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----43% 42% 11% 4% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------44% 37% 14% 4% * +/-4.0
Republican -----41% 42% 13% 4% * +/-6.5 South ----46% 38% 11% 5% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----44% 36% 14% 5% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----49% 37% 9% 4% * +/-7.0
West ----37% 48% 11% 4% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----40% 39% 17% 4% * +/-5.5
Urban ----43% 39% 15% 3% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------44% 40% 11% 5% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----44% 41% 12% 4% * +/-5.0
Rural ----44% 38% 11% 7% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-21-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Illegal immigration Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------30% 29% 31% 32% 32% 31% 32% 33% 26% 26% 27% 24% 12% 13% 10% 11% * 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----30% 32% 26% 12% * +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------30% 32% 32% 32% 26% 25% 12% 11% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----30% 32% 26% 12% * +/-3.0
Democrat ----24% 34% 27% 15% * +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----30% 32% 26% 12% * +/-3.0
North east ----29% 24% 33% 14% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----19% 24% 43% 13% 1% +/-7.5
3549 ----36% 30% 19% 14% * +/-7.0
5064 ----32% 36% 24% 9% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------27% 30% 28% 15% * +/-4.5
65+ ----35% 39% 14% 12% 1% +/-5.5
No College ------29% 33% 26% 11% * +/-5.5
Independent -----31% 29% 27% 12% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----33% 34% 27% 7% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----25% 30% 29% 33% 31% 26% 14% 11% * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----33% 37% 20% 10% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------30% 31% 27% 12% * +/-3.5
Republican -----35% 34% 24% 8% * +/-6.0 South ----34% 33% 22% 10% * +/-5.0
Under 50 ----27% 27% 32% 14% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----26% 28% 26% 20% 1% +/-6.5
West ----22% 35% 27% 17% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----26% 31% 31% 12% * +/-5.0
Urban ----28% 31% 26% 15% * +/-5.5
Conservative ------36% 36% 22% 6% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----29% 30% 29% 12% * +/-4.5
Rural ----34% 38% 21% 6% 1% +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-22-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5D How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? D. Illegal immigration Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------30% 28% 32% 32% 33% 34% 32% 34% 26% 24% 27% 24% 11% 13% 9% 10% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----30% 33% 26% 11% * +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------30% 34% 33% 33% 26% 24% 11% 9% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----30% 33% 26% 11% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----22% 35% 27% 16% * +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----30% 33% 26% 11% * +/-3.5
North east ----31% 23% 33% 13% * +/-7.0
1834 ----20% 26% 41% 13% * +/-8.5
3549 ----37% 31% 21% 11% * +/-7.5
5064 ----31% 37% 24% 8% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------26% 31% 29% 14% * +/-4.5
65+ ----34% 40% 14% 11% 1% +/-5.5
No College ------29% 37% 25% 9% * +/-6.5
Independent -----32% 29% 28% 10% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----32% 38% 24% 7% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----26% 30% 30% 33% 29% 26% 13% 11% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----33% 38% 20% 9% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------31% 31% 26% 12% * +/-4.0
Republican -----36% 39% 19% 5% * +/-6.5 South ----33% 34% 22% 10% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----28% 28% 31% 12% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----26% 28% 26% 19% 1% +/-7.0
West ----23% 37% 27% 13% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----25% 33% 32% 10% * +/-5.5
Urban ----29% 33% 26% 12% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------38% 37% 20% 6% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----29% 32% 27% 12% * +/-5.0
Rural ----34% 39% 22% 5% 1% +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-23-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Terrorism Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------48% 43% 52% 47% 33% 31% 35% 34% 14% 18% 10% 14% 5% 8% 3% 5% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 33% 14% 5% * +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------48% 49% 33% 34% 14% 12% 5% 5% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 33% 14% 5% * +/-3.0
Democrat ----45% 34% 16% 5% * +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----48% 33% 14% 5% * +/-3.0
North east ----49% 35% 10% 6% * +/-6.5
1834 ----42% 31% 19% 9% * +/-7.5
3549 ----50% 29% 17% 4% * +/-7.0
5064 ----53% 35% 9% 4% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------46% 32% 16% 6% * +/-4.5
65+ ----47% 40% 9% 4% * +/-5.5
No College ------48% 37% 12% 4% * +/-5.5
Independent -----47% 32% 14% 8% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----52% 29% 16% 3% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----49% 49% 32% 32% 13% 14% 6% 5% * * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----50% 37% 9% 4% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------47% 31% 15% 6% * +/-3.5
Republican -----53% 36% 10% 1% * +/-6.0 South ----51% 31% 15% 3% * +/-5.0
Under 50 ----45% 30% 18% 7% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----41% 31% 17% 11% * +/-6.5
West ----37% 39% 13% 11% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----48% 32% 15% 5% * +/-5.0
Urban ----49% 31% 14% 7% * +/-5.5
Conservative ------52% 37% 10% 2% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----48% 35% 12% 4% * +/-4.5
Rural ----47% 36% 11% 5% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-24-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5E How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? E. Terrorism Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------49% 43% 55% 48% 32% 31% 33% 33% 14% 19% 9% 14% 5% 8% 3% 5% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----49% 32% 14% 5% * +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------49% 53% 32% 32% 14% 11% 5% 4% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----49% 32% 14% 5% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----43% 35% 16% 6% * +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----49% 32% 14% 5% * +/-3.5
North east ----52% 33% 11% 5% * +/-7.0
1834 ----44% 30% 16% 10% * +/-8.5
3549 ----51% 24% 20% 4% * +/-7.5
5064 ----53% 35% 9% 3% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------45% 33% 17% 6% * +/-4.5
65+ ----48% 41% 9% 3% * +/-5.5
No College ------51% 35% 12% 3% * +/-6.5
Independent -----50% 28% 15% 7% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----53% 29% 14% 3% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----51% 49% 30% 32% 13% 14% 6% 5% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----51% 37% 9% 3% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------48% 31% 15% 6% * +/-4.0
Republican -----54% 37% 7% 1% * +/-6.5 South ----52% 30% 15% 3% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----47% 27% 18% 7% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----44% 28% 18% 10% * +/-7.0
West ----38% 38% 14% 10% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----49% 30% 15% 5% * +/-5.5
Urban ----50% 30% 14% 7% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------53% 37% 8% 2% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----49% 34% 13% 4% * +/-5.0
Rural ----51% 33% 11% 5% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-25-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Race relations Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------28% 24% 31% 27% 33% 31% 35% 33% 27% 32% 23% 29% 12% 13% 10% 11% 1% * 1% * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----28% 33% 27% 12% 1% +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------28% 29% 33% 37% 27% 22% 12% 11% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----28% 33% 27% 12% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----35% 36% 20% 9% * +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----28% 33% 27% 12% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----31% 29% 26% 14% * +/-6.5
1834 ----24% 29% 36% 11% * +/-7.5
3549 ----27% 31% 23% 19% * +/-7.0
5064 ----35% 33% 26% 6% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------28% 28% 32% 12% * +/-4.5
65+ ----26% 41% 22% 10% * +/-5.5
No College ------30% 33% 25% 13% * +/-5.5
Independent -----23% 30% 32% 14% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----31% 34% 24% 12% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----29% 29% 33% 31% 23% 29% 13% 11% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----31% 37% 24% 8% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------27% 33% 29% 11% * +/-3.5
Republican -----28% 36% 26% 10% * +/-6.0 South ----30% 36% 23% 11% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----25% 30% 30% 15% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----30% 30% 27% 13% 1% +/-6.5
West ----19% 32% 38% 11% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----25% 34% 28% 13% * +/-5.0
Urban ----29% 35% 26% 10% * +/-5.5
Conservative ------29% 34% 28% 9% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----29% 31% 27% 12% 1% +/-4.5
Rural ----24% 33% 30% 13% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-26-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5F How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? F. Race relations Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------29% 25% 32% 26% 31% 29% 32% 32% 29% 33% 24% 31% 11% 13% 11% 10% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----29% 31% 29% 11% * +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------29% 31% 31% 34% 29% 25% 11% 10% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----29% 31% 29% 11% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----34% 34% 22% 10% 1% +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----29% 31% 29% 11% * +/-3.5
North east ----33% 26% 26% 14% * +/-7.0
1834 ----23% 27% 41% 9% * +/-8.5
3549 ----29% 26% 24% 21% * +/-7.5
5064 ----36% 32% 25% 6% 1% +/-6.0
$50K or more ------27% 28% 32% 13% * +/-4.5
65+ ----27% 41% 23% 9% * +/-5.5
No College ------31% 30% 26% 12% * +/-6.5
Independent -----26% 27% 34% 13% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----31% 31% 26% 12% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----33% 29% 30% 31% 23% 29% 14% 11% 1% * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----32% 36% 24% 7% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------27% 32% 30% 10% * +/-4.0
Republican -----27% 36% 26% 10% * +/-6.5 South ----31% 34% 24% 10% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----26% 27% 33% 15% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----32% 26% 27% 14% 1% +/-7.0
West ----19% 30% 41% 10% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----25% 32% 31% 12% * +/-5.5
Urban ----30% 36% 23% 10% 1% +/-6.0
Conservative ------30% 34% 27% 9% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----30% 27% 30% 12% * +/-5.0
Rural ----22% 31% 35% 12% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-27-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5G How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? G. Same-sex marriage Base = Total Sample
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------20% 17% 23% 20% 21% 19% 22% 21% 21% 19% 22% 19% 37% 44% 31% 38% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 21% 21% 37% 1% +/-3.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------20% 21% 21% 22% 21% 20% 37% 36% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 21% 21% 37% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----21% 26% 21% 31% 1% +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 21% 21% 37% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----20% 17% 27% 35% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----21% 19% 26% 33% 2% +/-7.5
3549 ----17% 19% 23% 41% 1% +/-7.0
5064 ----20% 22% 18% 38% 1% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------16% 21% 24% 38% * +/-4.5
65+ ----23% 23% 15% 38% 1% +/-5.5
No College ------19% 20% 20% 40% 1% +/-5.5
Independent -----16% 18% 24% 42% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----23% 16% 19% 41% 1% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----20% 20% 19% 21% 24% 21% 36% 37% 1% 1% +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----22% 23% 17% 38% 1% +/-4.0
Attended College -------21% 21% 22% 35% 1% +/-3.5
Republican -----27% 20% 14% 35% 3% +/-6.0 South ----19% 24% 19% 36% 2% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----19% 19% 24% 36% 1% +/-5.0
Liberal ----17% 22% 25% 36% * +/-6.5
West ----18% 23% 20% 37% 1% +/-6.5
Moderate ----17% 20% 22% 40% 1% +/-5.0
Urban ----20% 22% 22% 34% 1% +/-5.5
Conservative ------27% 21% 18% 33% 2% +/-5.0
Suburban ----19% 19% 23% 39% 1% +/-4.5
Rural ----25% 21% 16% 37% 1% +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-28-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 5G How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? G. Same-sex marriage Base = Registered Voters
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------20% 16% 24% 21% 21% 20% 22% 21% 21% 19% 23% 19% 37% 45% 31% 39% 1% * 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 21% 21% 37% 1% +/-3.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------20% 22% 21% 22% 21% 21% 37% 34% 1% 1% +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 21% 21% 37% 1% +/-3.5
Democrat ----20% 25% 22% 32% 1% +/-6.0
Extremely important Very important Moderately important Not that important No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 21% 21% 37% 1% +/-3.5
North east ----21% 16% 24% 38% 1% +/-7.0
1834 ----19% 21% 24% 35% 1% +/-8.5
3549 ----18% 16% 24% 42% 1% +/-7.5
5064 ----20% 24% 19% 36% 1% +/-6.0
$50K or more ------17% 21% 22% 39% * +/-4.5
65+ ----23% 23% 15% 37% 1% +/-5.5
No College ------19% 21% 21% 39% 1% +/-6.5
Independent -----18% 18% 23% 41% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----20% 19% 21% 39% 1% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----19% 20% 20% 21% 25% 21% 35% 37% 1% 1% +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----22% 24% 17% 37% 1% +/-4.0
Attended College -------21% 21% 21% 36% 1% +/-4.0
Republican -----24% 22% 14% 39% 1% +/-6.5 South ----20% 25% 18% 36% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----19% 19% 24% 38% 1% +/-5.5
Liberal ----19% 20% 24% 37% * +/-7.0
West ----20% 21% 21% 38% 1% +/-7.0
Moderate ----16% 21% 24% 39% * +/-5.5
Urban ----21% 23% 20% 35% 1% +/-6.0
Conservative ------26% 22% 15% 35% 2% +/-5.5
Suburban ----19% 19% 23% 38% 1% +/-5.0
Rural ----23% 21% 17% 38% 1% +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-29-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Reg. Total Men Women White Non-White Voters ------------------------- -----19% 17% 20% 17% N/A 17% 7% 8% 6% 8% N/A 8% 3% 2% 4% 2% N/A 3% 3% 1% 4% 3% N/A 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% N/A 1% 8% 8% 7% 7% N/A 5% 2% 1% 4% 3% N/A 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% N/A 3% * 1% * * N/A * 7% 10% 4% 7% N/A 8% 4% 4% 4% 3% N/A 4% 6% 8% 5% 6% N/A 7% 3% 5% 2% 4% N/A 4% 12% 12% 11% 13% N/A 12% 6% 6% 6% 7% N/A 6% 7% 6% 8% 6% N/A 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% N/A 6% 3% 2% 3% 3% N/A 3% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 183550Under Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 ------------------------19% N/A N/A N/A 13% 23% 7% N/A N/A N/A 6% 7% 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% 3% 3% N/A N/A N/A 3% 2% 1% N/A N/A N/A 3% * 1% N/A N/A N/A 1% 2% 8% N/A N/A N/A 10% 3% 2% N/A N/A N/A 2% 3% 2% N/A N/A N/A 6% 1% * N/A N/A N/A * * 7% N/A N/A N/A 5% 8% 4% N/A N/A N/A 3% 5% 6% N/A N/A N/A 8% 7% 3% N/A N/A N/A * 2% 12% N/A N/A N/A 19% 9% 6% N/A N/A N/A 10% 5% 7% N/A N/A N/A 3% 11% 6% N/A N/A N/A 4% 5% 3% N/A N/A N/A 4% 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 Under $50K No Attended Total $50K or more College College ---------------------------19% 22% 19% N/A 18% 7% 7% 8% N/A 9% 3% 3% 4% N/A 3% 3% 1% 4% N/A 3% 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% 1% 3% * N/A 2% 8% 4% 7% N/A 6% 2% 4% 2% N/A 4% 2% 3% 1% N/A 1% * * 1% N/A * 7% 5% 6% N/A 7% 4% 6% 3% N/A 7% 6% 4% 9% N/A 8% 3% 2% 6% N/A 1% 12% 10% 11% N/A 11% 6% 7% 5% N/A 7% 7% 10% 7% N/A 6% 6% 6% 4% N/A 4% 3% 3% 3% N/A 2% +/-5.0 +/-8.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5
50 and Older -----14% 8% 3% 3% 2% * 11% 2% 3% * 5% 4% 6% 5% 14% 7% 3% 5% 3% +/-6.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
-30-
June 26-28, 2015
Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----19% 7% 3% 3% 1% 1% 8% 2% 2% * 7% 4% 6% 3% 12% 6% 7% 6% 3% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----19% 7% 3% 3% 1% 1% 8% 2% 2% * 7% 4% 6% 3% 12% 6% 7% 6% 3% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----13% 8% 3% 5% 2% 3% 10% 5% 1% 1% 11% 4% 4% 1% 9% 5% 6% 9% 3% +/-8.0
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----22% 7% 2% 2% 1% 1% 6% 1% 3% * 4% 4% 8% 5% 13% 7% 8% 3% 3% +/-6.0 South ----21% 10% 1% 2% * 1% 7% 5% 3% * 6% 6% 9% 3% 11% 3% 5% 5% * +/-8.0
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------12% 8% 2% 4% 1% 1% 8% 1% 3% * 9% 5% 10% 4% 12% 8% 5% 5% 2% +/-6.0
Suburban ----22% 8% 4% 3% 2% * 6% 1% 2% * 10% 2% 7% 5% 13% 3% 6% 5% 2% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-31-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Reg. Total Men Women White Non-White Voters ------------------------- -----17% 16% 18% 16% N/A 17% 8% 8% 7% 9% N/A 8% 3% 2% 4% 2% N/A 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% N/A 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% N/A 1% 1% 1% 2% * N/A 1% 5% 5% 6% 5% N/A 5% 2% 1% 2% 2% N/A 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% N/A 3% * 1% * 1% N/A * 8% 12% 4% 8% N/A 8% 4% 5% 4% 3% N/A 4% 7% 10% 5% 6% N/A 7% 4% 6% 2% 5% N/A 4% 12% 11% 13% 13% N/A 12% 6% 7% 6% 7% N/A 6% 5% 3% 7% 5% N/A 5% 6% 5% 7% 7% N/A 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% N/A 3% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 183550Under Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 ------------------------17% N/A N/A N/A 14% N/A 8% N/A N/A N/A 7% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A N/A N/A * N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A 10% N/A 2% N/A N/A N/A 2% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A 6% N/A * N/A N/A N/A * N/A 8% N/A N/A N/A 5% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A 2% N/A 7% N/A N/A N/A 8% N/A 4% N/A N/A N/A * N/A 12% N/A N/A N/A 18% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A 10% N/A 5% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A N/A N/A 5% N/A 3% N/A N/A N/A 4% N/A +/-5.0 +/-8.0 Under $50K No Attended Total $50K or more College College ---------------------------17% N/A 17% N/A 17% 8% N/A 9% N/A 10% 3% N/A 4% N/A 3% 3% N/A 4% N/A 3% 1% N/A 2% N/A 2% 1% N/A * N/A 2% 5% N/A 5% N/A 4% 2% N/A 2% N/A 2% 3% N/A 1% N/A 1% * N/A 1% N/A * 8% N/A 7% N/A 7% 4% N/A 3% N/A 7% 7% N/A 9% N/A 8% 4% N/A 6% N/A 1% 12% N/A 11% N/A 11% 6% N/A 5% N/A 7% 5% N/A 8% N/A 6% 6% N/A 3% N/A 4% 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-6.0
50 and Older -----13% 9% 3% 3% 3% * 9% 2% 4% * 6% 3% 7% 5% 14% 8% 2% 6% 3% +/-6.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
-32-
June 26-28, 2015
Question 26 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 8% 3% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 3% * 8% 4% 7% 4% 12% 6% 5% 6% 3% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 8% 3% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 3% * 8% 4% 7% 4% 12% 6% 5% 6% 3% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----14% 9% 4% 6% 2% 3% 6% 2% 2% 1% 12% 3% 4% 1% 9% 6% 6% 11% 2% +/-8.5
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----19% 7% 3% 2% 1% 1% 5% 1% 3% * 5% 5% 9% 6% 14% 7% 5% 3% 3% +/-6.5 South ----21% 9% 1% 2% 1% 1% 7% 3% 4% * 7% 6% 10% 3% 11% 4% 6% 5% 1% +/-8.5
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------13% 9% 2% 4% 2% 1% 7% 2% 3% * 9% 5% 10% 4% 13% 9% 3% 4% 2% +/-6.0
Suburban ----20% 9% 5% 3% 2% * 6% 1% 2% * 11% 2% 7% 6% 13% 3% 6% 5% 1% +/-7.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-33-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------20% 23% 17% 17% 4% 5% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% * 1% 5% 5% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 6% 9% 3% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5% 5% 3% 4% 3% 4% 19% 19% 19% 21% 7% 8% 5% 7% 1% 2% 1% 2% 6% 5% 7% 6% 9% 2% 16% 9% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 6% 4% 5% 3% 19% 7% 1% 6% 9% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under Total $50K --------20% 29% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% * 6% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 1% 19% 17% 7% 6% 1% 2% 6% 4% 9% 13% +/-5.0 +/-8.5
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------16% 3% 4% 2% 2% * 4% 1% * 1% 7% 4% 8% 6% 20% 8% 1% 6% 7% +/-7.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----N/A 16% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 7% N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 20% N/A 8% N/A 2% N/A 6% N/A 9% +/-5.0
5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under 65+ 50 --------12% 25% 4% 4% * 3% 4% * 3% * 1% 1% 8% 1% * 4% 5% * 1% * 1% 8% 4% 4% 5% 6% * 2% 27% 17% 10% 5% 1% 2% 6% 6% 7% 12% +/-8.0 +/-8.5 No Attended College College -------------N/A 18% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 5% N/A 6% N/A 2% N/A 22% N/A 8% N/A 2% N/A 6% N/A 6% +/-5.5
-34-
50 and Older -----15% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 8% 1% 4% 1% 3% 4% 5% 4% 22% 9% 1% 6% 6% +/-6.0
June 26-28, 2015
Question 28A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 6% 4% 5% 3% 19% 7% 1% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 6% 4% 5% 3% 19% 7% 1% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----14% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 1% 1% 10% 4% 1% 2% 14% 8% 2% 8% 13% +/-8.0
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----24% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% * 2% * 3% 4% 8% 4% 22% 6% 1% 5% 6% +/-6.0 South ----20% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 5% 7% 3% * 7% 6% 8% 4% 16% 3% 2% 6% 6% +/-8.0
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------15% 4% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 3% * 7% 5% 7% 3% 23% 9% 1% 5% 5% +/-6.0
Suburban ----19% 3% 5% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 7% 3% 6% 6% 22% 4% * 5% 9% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-35-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------16% 17% 16% 15% 3% 5% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% * 1% * * 4% 4% 5% 5% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 7% 11% 3% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 7% 5% 5% 4% 5% 3% 5% 20% 21% 20% 22% 8% 10% 6% 9% 2% 2% 1% 2% 6% 5% 8% 6% 9% 2% 15% 9% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 3% 3% 2% 2% * 4% 1% 2% 1% 7% 4% 6% 4% 20% 8% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0 Total ----16% 3% 3% 2% 2% * 4% 1% 2% 1% 7% 4% 6% 4% 20% 8% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------14% 4% 5% 2% 2% * 3% 1% * 1% 7% 4% 7% 6% 19% 8% 1% 7% 7% +/-7.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----N/A 16% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 1% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 7% N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 20% N/A 8% N/A 2% N/A 6% N/A 9% +/-5.0
5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under 65+ 50 --------13% N/A 4% N/A * N/A 5% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 8% N/A * N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A 5% N/A * N/A 26% N/A 11% N/A 1% N/A 6% N/A 8% N/A +/-8.0 No Attended College College -------------N/A 16% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 6% N/A 6% N/A 2% N/A 22% N/A 9% N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A 7% +/-6.0
-36-
50 and Older -----14% 3% 2% 4% 3% * 7% 1% 4% 1% 3% 4% 5% 5% 22% 10% 1% 6% 6% +/-6.0
June 26-28, 2015
Question 28A Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: A. The economy Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 3% 3% 2% 2% * 4% 1% 2% 1% 7% 4% 6% 4% 20% 8% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 3% 3% 2% 2% * 4% 1% 2% 1% 7% 4% 6% 4% 20% 8% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----14% 2% 4% 3% 2% * 3% 3% 1% 1% 11% 4% 1% 2% 14% 9% 2% 9% 15% +/-8.5
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----18% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 5% * 3% 1% 4% 4% 9% 5% 25% 7% 1% 4% 5% +/-6.5 South ----19% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 5% 4% 4% * 8% 7% 8% 4% 17% 4% 2% 5% 6% +/-8.5
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------13% 5% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 3% * 7% 5% 7% 3% 24% 10% 1% 5% 4% +/-6.0
Suburban ----14% 4% 6% 3% 2% * 4% 2% 1% 1% 8% 2% 6% 6% 23% 4% * 6% 10% +/-7.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-37-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------21% 24% 18% 19% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% 2% 5% 3% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 5% 5% 5% 1% * 1% * 1% * 1% 1% * 1% * * 5% 8% 2% 5% 9% 8% 11% 8% 8% 11% 5% 9% 2% 1% 2% 2% 13% 16% 11% 15% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 6% 7% 5% 7% 10% 4% 17% 11% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 5% 1% 1% * 5% 9% 8% 2% 13% 3% 2% 6% 10% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under Total $50K --------21% 28% 3% 2% 3% 2% 5% 4% 1% * 2% 1% 5% 3% 1% * 1% 1% * * 5% 4% 9% 12% 8% 8% 2% 2% 13% 8% 3% 3% 2% 2% 6% 4% 10% 16% +/-5.0 +/-8.5
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------18% 4% 4% 6% 2% 2% 5% 1% * 1% 5% 6% 10% 1% 18% 2% 2% 6% 7% +/-7.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----N/A 18% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 8% N/A 9% N/A 1% N/A 14% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 6% N/A 9% +/-5.0
5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under 65+ 50 --------20% 24% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% * * 1% * * 2% 6% 13% 8% 9% 8% 1% 1% 17% 12% 7% 1% 1% 3% 6% 5% 6% 14% +/-8.0 +/-8.5 No Attended College College -------------N/A 16% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 7% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 12% N/A 8% N/A 1% N/A 13% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 4% N/A 10% +/-5.5
-38-
50 and Older -----18% 3% 2% 5% 1% 1% 8% 1% 1% * 5% 11% 9% 2% 15% 5% 1% 8% 7% +/-6.0
June 26-28, 2015
Question 28B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 5% 1% 1% * 5% 9% 8% 2% 13% 3% 2% 6% 10% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 5% 1% 1% * 5% 9% 8% 2% 13% 3% 2% 6% 10% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----13% 5% 4% 7% * 2% 6% 1% 1% 1% 8% 10% 4% 2% 11% 4% 2% 5% 14% +/-8.0
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----26% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% * * 4% 8% 10% 2% 14% 2% 2% 7% 8% +/-6.0 South ----24% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 6% * * * 8% 11% 10% 2% 11% 2% 2% 5% 4% +/-8.0
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------17% 4% 2% 5% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 8% 11% 12% * 13% 4% 2% 5% 8% +/-6.0
Suburban ----25% 4% 6% 4% 1% 2% 6% 1% 1% * 7% 6% 5% 1% 13% 2% 2% 7% 8% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-39-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------18% 19% 18% 18% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 1% 5% 2% 6% 3% 7% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 3% 6% 5% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 6% 11% 2% 6% 8% 9% 8% 8% 9% 14% 5% 10% 1% 2% 1% 2% 14% 17% 12% 15% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 6% 7% 6% 7% 9% 4% 14% 9% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----18% 3% 3% 6% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% * 6% 8% 9% 1% 14% 3% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
Total ----18% 3% 3% 6% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% * 6% 8% 9% 1% 14% 3% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------16% 4% 4% 6% 2% 2% 4% 1% * 1% 5% 7% 9% 1% 16% 2% 3% 7% 7% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----N/A 18% N/A 3% N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 5% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 8% N/A 9% N/A 1% N/A 14% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 6% N/A 9% +/-5.0
5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under 65+ 50 --------22% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A 4% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A * N/A * N/A 2% N/A 12% N/A 9% N/A 1% N/A 17% N/A 7% N/A 1% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A +/-8.0 No Attended College College -------------N/A 17% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A 7% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 9% N/A 8% N/A * N/A 13% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A 4% N/A 9% +/-6.0
-40-
50 and Older -----19% 2% 2% 6% 2% 1% 7% 1% 1% * 4% 9% 9% 2% 16% 6% 1% 8% 6% +/-6.0
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28B Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: B. Illegal immigration Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----18% 3% 3% 6% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% * 6% 8% 9% 1% 14% 3% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----18% 3% 3% 6% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% * 6% 8% 9% 1% 14% 3% 2% 6% 9% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----14% 5% 4% 8% * * 5% 2% 2% 1% 8% 8% 5% * 12% 4% 2% 6% 13% +/-8.5
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----21% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 5% 1% * * 5% 8% 12% 2% 15% 3% 3% 7% 6% +/-6.5 South ----23% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 6% * * * 10% 9% 11% 2% 11% 3% 2% 3% 4% +/-8.5
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------17% 4% 2% 6% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% * 8% 11% 12% * 14% 4% 2% 5% 6% +/-6.0
Suburban ----22% 4% 6% 4% 1% 2% 6% 1% 1% * 7% 5% 6% 1% 14% 3% 2% 8% 8% +/-7.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-41-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------17% 18% 15% 15% 6% 8% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 1% 6% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 6% 4% 9% 10% 8% 8% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% * 1% * * * * 6% 10% 1% 6% 4% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 8% 8% 8% 9% 4% 6% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 7% 6% 7% 7% 12% 7% 16% 11% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 9% 2% 1% * 6% 4% 5% 4% 8% 4% 2% 7% 12% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under Total $50K --------17% 24% 6% 3% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 7% 9% 8% 2% 1% 1% * * * 6% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 8% 6% 4% 2% 2% 1% 7% 7% 12% 14% +/-5.0 +/-8.5
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------12% 9% 5% 6% 2% 1% 9% 2% 1% * 6% 4% 8% 5% 8% 5% 2% 6% 9% +/-7.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----N/A 13% N/A 8% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 9% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 7% N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 7% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 8% N/A 12% +/-5.0
5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under 65+ 50 --------12% 20% 8% 4% 6% 3% 3% 5% 1% 3% * 6% 15% 5% 4% 1% 2% * * * 3% 7% 2% 5% 4% 8% * 3% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 11% 4% 14% 12% +/-8.0 +/-8.5 No Attended College College -------------N/A 15% N/A 9% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A 7% N/A 3% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 3% N/A 7% N/A 10% +/-5.5
-42-
50 and Older -----14% 9% 6% 3% 2% 1% 12% 3% 2% * 4% 2% 3% 5% 8% 4% 1% 9% 11% +/-6.0
June 26-28, 2015
Question 28C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C.
Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republicans
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 9% 2% 1% * 6% 4% 5% 4% 8% 4% 2% 7% 12% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 9% 2% 1% * 6% 4% 5% 4% 8% 4% 2% 7% 12% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----9% 6% 6% 7% 3% 4% 10% 3% 1% * 10% 4% 1% 3% 6% 3% 2% 8% 13% +/-8.0
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----21% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 8% 1% 1% * 3% 4% 8% 5% 9% 5% 2% 6% 11% +/-6.0 South ----17% 7% 1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 4% * * 6% 6% 7% 3% 8% 1% 2% 6% 8% +/-8.0
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------13% 10% 4% 3% 2% 3% 10% 2% 1% * 7% 5% 8% 4% 5% 6% 2% 5% 11% +/-6.0
Suburban ----16% 8% 7% 3% 3% 2% 10% 1% 1% * 9% 3% 5% 6% 5% 3% 1% 7% 9% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-43-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 28C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------13% 12% 14% 14% 8% 10% 6% 8% 5% 4% 6% 4% 5% 2% 7% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 9% 8% 9% 7% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% * 1% * * * * 7% 13% 1% 7% 4% 2% 6% 3% 6% 8% 4% 5% 4% 6% 3% 5% 7% 5% 9% 8% 5% 8% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 8% 7% 8% 8% 12% 7% 16% 11% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.5 +/-5.5
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----13% 8% 5% 5% 2% 2% 9% 2% 1% * 7% 4% 6% 4% 7% 5% 2% 8% 12% +/-5.0 Total ----13% 8% 5% 5% 2% 2% 9% 2% 1% * 7% 4% 6% 4% 7% 5% 2% 8% 12% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------11% 10% 6% 6% 2% 1% 7% 2% 1% * 6% 5% 8% 6% 8% 6% 2% 6% 8% +/-7.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
POLL 6 3
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----N/A 13% N/A 8% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 9% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 7% N/A 4% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 7% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 8% N/A 12% +/-5.0
5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Under 65+ 50 --------12% N/A 8% N/A 7% N/A 3% N/A 2% N/A * N/A 15% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 2% N/A 2% N/A 4% N/A * N/A 9% N/A 6% N/A 2% N/A 10% N/A 14% N/A +/-8.0 No Attended College College -------------N/A 14% N/A 10% N/A 5% N/A 5% N/A 2% N/A 1% N/A 7% N/A 3% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 6% N/A 6% N/A 7% N/A 2% N/A 7% N/A 5% N/A 3% N/A 8% N/A 10% +/-6.0
-44-
50 and Older -----12% 10% 7% 3% 1% 1% 12% 3% 1% * 4% 2% 3% 6% 9% 5% 1% 9% 11% +/-6.0
June 26-28, 2015
Question 28C Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle: C.
Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republicans and Registered Voters
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----13% 8% 5% 5% 2% 2% 9% 2% 1% * 7% 4% 6% 4% 7% 5% 2% 8% 12% +/-5.0
Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Lindsey Graham Mike Huckabee Bobby Jindal John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Rick Perry Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----13% 8% 5% 5% 2% 2% 9% 2% 1% * 7% 4% 6% 4% 7% 5% 2% 8% 12% +/-5.0
Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----10% 7% 7% 8% 1% 1% 8% 3% 1% * 12% 3% 2% 3% 7% 3% 2% 9% 13% +/-8.5
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----15% 8% 4% 2% 3% 2% 9% 2% 1% * 3% 4% 8% 5% 8% 6% 2% 7% 11% +/-6.5 South ----14% 9% 2% 1% 4% 4% 13% 4% * * 7% 7% 7% 3% 7% 2% 2% 7% 8% +/-8.5
Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conservative ------11% 10% 4% 4% 2% 1% 10% 2% 1% * 8% 5% 7% 4% 6% 7% 2% 5% 11% +/-6.0
Suburban ----12% 8% 7% 3% 3% 2% 10% 1% 1% * 10% 3% 6% 6% 6% 3% 1% 8% 9% +/-7.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-45-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 29 I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------16% 17% 15% 13% 57% 50% 63% 53% 1% 1% 1% 2% 14% 20% 9% 19% 2% 2% 2% 2% * * * * 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5% 6% 1% 1% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 57% 1% 14% 2% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------16% 17% 57% 59% 1% 1% 14% 11% 2% 2% * * 4% 5% 5% 5% 1% * +/-4.5 +/-7.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 57% 1% 14% 2% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Total ----16% 57% 1% 14% 2% * 4% 5% 1% +/-4.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Democrat ----15% 65% 2% 11% 3% * 2% 1% * +/-5.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
POLL 6
65+ ----13% 63% 2% 12% 2% * 3% 3% 2% +/-8.0
No College ------15% 60% 1% 8% 2% * 7% 8% * +/-8.0
Independent -----18% 46% 1% 18% 1% 1% 5% 9% 2% +/-7.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 29
3
5064 ----10% 60% 1% 15% 3% 1% 7% 3% * +/-8.0
$50K or more ------17% 54% 1% 19% 2% * 2% 4% 2% +/-6.5
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----20% 17% 61% 58% 1% 1% 9% 15% 3% 1% * * 4% 2% 3% 4% * 1% +/-7.0 +/-4.5
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----14% 60% * 15% * 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-7.5
-46-
Under 50 ----20% 53% 1% 15% 1% * 2% 6% 1% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----11% 61% 1% 14% 3% * 5% 3% 1% +/-5.5
Attended College -------17% 54% 1% 19% 2% * 2% 3% 1% +/-5.5 Liberal ----10% 54% 1% 28% 1% * 1% 4% * +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----20% 55% * 7% 4% 1% 5% 7% 2% +/-7.0
Urban ----21% 62% 1% 11% * 1% 3% 1% * +/-7.0
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----12% 54% 2% 17% 3% * 4% 8% 1% +/-6.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
June 26-28, 2015
I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------17% 17% 17% 14% 58% 50% 66% 53% 1% 1% 1% 2% 15% 22% 9% 21% 1% 3% * 2% * * 1% * 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 1% 2% 1% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 58% 1% 15% 1% * 2% 4% 1% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------17% 17% 58% 62% 1% 2% 15% 12% 1% * * 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% 1% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----17% 58% 1% 15% 1% * 2% 4% 1% +/-4.5 Total ----17% 58% 1% 15% 1% * 2% 4% 1% +/-4.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Democrat ----15% 66% 1% 13% 2% * 2% 1% * +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5064 ----10% 60% 1% 16% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1% +/-8.5
$50K or more ------17% 53% * 19% 2% * 2% 4% 2% +/-7.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015
65+ ----13% 65% 2% 13% 1% * 2% 2% 2% +/-8.5
No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----20% 46% 1% 19% 1% 1% 2% 8% 2% +/-8.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----20% 17% 65% 58% * 1% 9% 15% * 1% * * 2% 2% 3% 4% * 1% +/-8.0 +/-4.5
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----15% 62% 1% 16% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% +/-8.0
Under 50 ----22% 54% 1% 16% * * 1% 5% 1% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----11% 62% 1% 15% 3% 1% 4% 3% 1% +/-6.0
Attended College -------17% 55% 1% 19% 1% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 Liberal ----12% 53% * 29% 1% * 2% 4% * +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----19% 59% * 8% 2% 1% 2% 6% 2% +/-7.5
Urban ----21% 64% * 13% * 1% * * * +/-7.5
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----13% 55% 1% 18% 1% * 3% 8% 1% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Question 30 And who would be your second choice?
POLL 6 3
-47-
June 26-28, 2015
Base = Democrats with a first choice
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------35% 29% 41% 30% 24% 30% 19% 22% 5% 6% 5% 5% 14% 15% 13% 16% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 5% 6% 5% 6% 9% 8% 9% 9% 3% 1% 5% 5% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 24% 5% 14% 2% 2% 5% 9% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------35% 33% 24% 25% 5% 6% 14% 14% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 9% 8% 3% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 24% 5% 14% 2% 2% 5% 9% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 24% 5% 14% 2% 2% 5% 9% 3% +/-4.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Democrat ----41% 20% 3% 15% 2% 1% 5% 8% 3% +/-5.5
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5064 ----36% 20% 6% 13% 4% 3% 6% 8% 4% +/-8.0
$50K or more ------37% 25% 4% 16% 1% 2% 5% 8% 3% +/-7.0
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----36% 21% 1% 18% 2% 2% 6% 9% 5% +/-8.5
No College ------36% 19% 8% 10% 3% 4% 9% 8% 2% +/-8.5
Independent -----27% 30% 8% 12% 1% 4% 7% 9% 3% +/-7.5
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----41% 35% 27% 23% 5% 5% 11% 16% * 1% 1% 2% 5% 5% 8% 9% 1% 3% +/-7.5 +/-5.0
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----36% 26% 4% 11% 3% 3% 7% 6% 4% +/-8.0
Under 50 ----34% 28% 6% 13% 1% 2% 5% 9% 1% +/-7.5
50 and Older -----36% 21% 4% 15% 3% 2% 6% 9% 5% +/-6.0
Attended College -------34% 28% 4% 16% 2% 1% 4% 9% 3% +/-5.5 Liberal ----32% 30% 4% 18% 1% 2% 4% 6% 2% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----38% 20% 6% 11% 2% 3% 6% 9% 4% +/-7.0
Urban ----39% 25% 3% 15% 2% 2% 5% 7% 1% +/-7.0
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----32% 26% 7% 13% 2% 2% 5% 11% 3% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 30 And who would be your second choice? Base = Democrats with a first choice and Registered Voter
POLL 6 3
-48-
June 26-28, 2015
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------35% 28% 42% 30% 23% 29% 18% 23% 5% 6% 3% 6% 16% 16% 16% 17% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 5% 6% 4% 5% 9% 8% 9% 8% 3% 1% 5% 5% +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 23% 5% 16% 1% 2% 5% 9% 3% +/-5.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------35% 34% 23% 22% 5% 5% 16% 16% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 8% 3% 3% +/-5.0 +/-7.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 23% 5% 16% 1% 2% 5% 9% 3% +/-5.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 23% 5% 16% 1% 2% 5% 9% 3% +/-5.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Democrat ----42% 19% 4% 16% 1% 1% 4% 8% 3% +/-6.0
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5064 ----34% 20% 6% 14% 3% 2% 7% 9% 5% +/-8.5
$50K or more ------35% 26% 4% 17% 1% 1% 5% 7% 3% +/-7.0
Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----36% 22% 1% 19% 2% 2% 5% 8% 4% +/-8.5
No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----24% 30% 6% 15% 2% 4% 8% 9% 3% +/-8.0
North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----42% 35% 24% 23% 3% 5% 14% 16% * 1% 1% 2% 6% 5% 9% 9% 1% 3% +/-8.0 +/-5.0
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----33% 26% 4% 13% 2% 4% 6% 7% 4% +/-8.5
Under 50 ----35% 26% 5% 16% * 3% 5% 9% 2% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----35% 21% 4% 16% 3% 2% 6% 9% 4% +/-6.0
Attended College -------34% 27% 4% 17% 1% 1% 4% 8% 4% +/-5.5 Liberal ----31% 33% 2% 20% 1% 1% 4% 5% 3% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----39% 14% 7% 13% 2% 4% 7% 10% 4% +/-7.5
Urban ----40% 23% 4% 17% 1% 2% 4% 6% 2% +/-7.5
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----32% 26% 5% 15% 2% 3% 4% 10% 3% +/-7.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1% CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think:
POLL 6 3
-49-
June 26-28, 2015
A. Cares the most about people like you Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------20% 19% 21% 16% 47% 45% 47% 44% 1% 1% 1% 2% 20% 24% 16% 26% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 6% 4% 7% 6% 2% 2% 2% 2% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 47% 1% 20% 1% 2% 1% 6% 2% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------20% 20% 47% 54% 1% 2% 20% 15% 1% * 2% 3% 1% 2% 6% 4% 2% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------22% 36% * 29% * 1% 1% 7% 3% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----24% 20% 49% 46% * 1% 13% 22% * * 3% 1% 2% 2% 6% 6% 2% 2% +/-7.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----18% 48% * 18% 3% 2% 3% 7% 2% +/-8.0 No College ------18% 51% 2% 13% 1% 3% 2% 9% 1% +/-8.0
65+ ----20% 51% 1% 14% 1% 1% 1% 7% 4% +/-8.0
Under 50 ----22% 44% 1% 23% * 2% 1% 5% 1% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----19% 49% 1% 17% 2% 2% 2% 7% 3% +/-5.5
Attended College -------22% 43% 1% 25% 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-50-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: A. Cares the most about people like you Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 47% 1% 20% 1% 2% 1% 6% 2% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 47% 1% 20% 1% 2% 1% 6% 2% +/-4.5
Democrat ----22% 53% * 15% 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% +/-5.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----17% 38% 2% 27% * 3% 2% 6% 4% +/-7.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----19% 53% 2% 17% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% +/-7.5
Liberal ----13% 46% 2% 33% * * 1% 5% 1% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----27% 44% * 15% 1% 3% 2% 6% 3% +/-7.0
Urban ----23% 53% * 14% * 2% 1% 5% 2% +/-7.0
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----22% 39% 1% 24% 2% 3% 1% 6% 2% +/-6.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-51-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: A. Cares the most about people like you Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------20% 19% 22% 17% 46% 43% 47% 42% 1% 1% 1% 2% 22% 27% 17% 27% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 6% 4% 8% 6% 2% 3% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 46% 1% 22% * 1% 2% 6% 2% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------20% 19% 46% 54% 1% 2% 22% 15% * * 1% 1% 2% 2% 6% 4% 2% 1% +/-4.5 +/-7.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------23% 34% * 30% * * 1% 8% 3% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----25% 20% 51% 46% * 1% 15% 22% * * * 1% 2% 2% 6% 6% 2% 2% +/-8.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----18% 48% * 18% 1% 2% 4% 7% 2% +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----19% 52% 1% 15% * 1% 1% 6% 4% +/-8.5
Under 50 ----22% 41% 1% 26% * * 1% 6% 2% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----18% 50% 1% 17% 1% 2% 3% 6% 3% +/-6.0
Attended College -------23% 41% * 26% 1% * 2% 4% 2% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-52-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31A Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: A. Cares the most about people like you Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 46% 1% 22% * 1% 2% 6% 2% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----20% 46% 1% 22% * 1% 2% 6% 2% +/-4.5
Democrat ----23% 51% * 17% * * 1% 6% 1% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----16% 37% 2% 29% * 2% 3% 7% 4% +/-8.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----18% 53% 2% 18% * 2% 3% 2% 1% +/-8.0
Liberal ----13% 44% 2% 33% * * 1% 6% 1% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----26% 43% * 17% 1% 1% 2% 6% 4% +/-7.5
Urban ----22% 54% * 16% * 1% 1% 5% 1% +/-7.5
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----23% 36% 2% 26% 1% 1% 1% 6% 3% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-53-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next November Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------16% 16% 16% 10% 72% 72% 73% 77% 1% 2% * 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% * 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 72% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------16% 21% 72% 70% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% * 1% * 1% * 2% 2% 3% 4% +/-4.5 +/-7.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------12% 76% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----23% 15% 67% 74% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% +/-7.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----12% 74% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% +/-8.0 No College ------19% 71% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% +/-8.0
65+ ----11% 74% 1% 2% 1% 1% * 5% 4% +/-8.0
Under 50 ----20% 72% 1% 2% * 1% 1% * 3% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----12% 74% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 3% +/-5.5
Attended College -------14% 73% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-54-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next November Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 72% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----16% 72% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Democrat ----16% 74% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----17% 71% * 3% 1% 1% * 2% 5% +/-7.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----14% 78% 1% 2% 1% 1% * 2% 1% +/-7.5
Liberal ----8% 82% 1% 3% * * 1% 2% 3% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----17% 70% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% +/-7.0
Urban ----20% 72% * 1% * 1% * 2% 3% +/-7.0
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----15% 75% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% +/-6.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-55-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next November Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------15% 15% 15% 10% 74% 73% 75% 78% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 4% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----15% 74% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------15% 18% 74% 72% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% 2% 3% 4% +/-4.5 +/-7.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------13% 75% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----22% 15% 68% 74% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 1% * 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% +/-8.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----13% 75% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----10% 77% 1% 2% * 1% * 4% 3% +/-8.5
Under 50 ----18% 72% 2% 2% * 1% 1% * 4% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----12% 76% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% +/-6.0
Attended College -------11% 75% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-56-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31B Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: B. Has the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in the general election next November Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----15% 74% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----15% 74% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Democrat ----14% 76% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----17% 71% 1% 3% 1% 1% * 2% 4% +/-8.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----13% 79% 1% 2% * 1% * 2% 1% +/-8.0
Liberal ----8% 82% 2% 2% * * 1% 2% 3% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----13% 74% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% +/-7.5
Urban ----20% 72% * 2% * 1% * 2% 3% +/-7.5
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----12% 79% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-57-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31C Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: C. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------23% 24% 22% 19% 47% 39% 54% 43% 1% 2% 1% 2% 19% 24% 15% 25% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----23% 47% 1% 19% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------23% 23% 47% 50% 1% 1% 19% 16% 1% * 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------25% 41% 1% 24% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----28% 22% 51% 49% 1% 1% 12% 20% 1% 1% * 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% +/-7.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----21% 49% * 15% 3% 1% 5% 4% 2% +/-8.0 No College ------30% 46% 1% 11% 2% 1% 5% 4% 1% +/-8.0
65+ ----12% 58% 1% 19% 1% 1% 3% 3% 3% +/-8.0
Under 50 ----29% 41% 1% 22% * 1% 1% 2% 2% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----17% 53% 1% 17% 2% 1% 4% 3% 2% +/-5.5
Attended College -------19% 47% 1% 25% * 1% 1% 2% 3% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-58-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31C Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: C. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----23% 47% 1% 19% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----23% 47% 1% 19% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% +/-4.5
Democrat ----20% 53% 1% 18% 2% * 2% 2% 2% +/-5.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----28% 38% 1% 20% * 2% 3% 3% 4% +/-7.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----21% 55% * 17% 1% 1% 3% 1% * +/-7.5
Liberal ----19% 38% 1% 35% * 1% 1% 3% 3% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----26% 52% 1% 10% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% +/-7.0
Urban ----27% 53% 1% 14% * 1% 2% 1% 2% +/-7.0
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----21% 43% 1% 23% 1% * 3% 4% 3% +/-6.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-59-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31C Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: C. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------22% 23% 21% 19% 49% 39% 58% 43% 1% 1% * 1% 20% 26% 14% 27% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----22% 49% 1% 20% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------22% 20% 49% 55% 1% 1% 20% 15% 1% * 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------25% 40% 1% 25% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----24% 22% 56% 49% * 1% 11% 20% * 1% * 1% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% +/-8.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----20% 50% 1% 17% 2% 1% 6% 3% 2% +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----10% 59% 1% 20% * 1% 2% 3% 4% +/-8.5
Under 50 ----27% 43% 1% 22% * 1% 1% 1% 3% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----16% 54% 1% 18% 1% 1% 4% 3% 3% +/-6.0
Attended College -------19% 47% 1% 24% * 1% 1% 2% 4% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-60-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31C Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: C. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----22% 49% 1% 20% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----22% 49% 1% 20% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Democrat ----20% 53% 1% 19% 1% * 2% 2% 2% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----24% 42% 1% 21% * 2% 3% 2% 5% +/-8.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----17% 59% * 19% * 1% 3% * * +/-8.0
Liberal ----18% 39% * 36% * 1% 2% 2% 3% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----23% 55% * 10% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% +/-7.5
Urban ----24% 56% * 15% * 1% 2% * 2% +/-7.5
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----19% 46% 1% 22% 1% 1% 3% 4% 3% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-61-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: D. Would be the strongest leader Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------21% 24% 18% 17% 60% 57% 62% 63% 1% 2% 1% 2% 8% 10% 6% 10% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 5% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 60% 1% 8% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------21% 24% 60% 55% 1% 1% 8% 10% 1% * 3% 5% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% +/-4.5 +/-7.0
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------19% 67% 1% 5% * * 3% 2% 3% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----26% 21% 56% 64% 1% 2% 5% 7% * * 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% +/-7.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----15% 63% * 11% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% +/-8.0 No College ------24% 54% 1% 8% 1% 4% 3% 2% 3% +/-8.0
65+ ----23% 60% * 6% * 2% 2% 3% 2% +/-8.0
Under 50 ----23% 59% 2% 7% * 3% 2% 2% 2% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----19% 62% * 9% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% +/-5.5
Attended College -------20% 64% 2% 7% * 2% 1% 1% 2% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-62-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: D. Would be the strongest leader Base = Democrats
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 60% 1% 8% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 60% 1% 8% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% +/-4.5
Democrat ----21% 65% 1% 4% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% +/-5.5 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----22% 53% 2% 12% * 4% 1% 2% 5% +/-7.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----23% 57% 1% 10% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% +/-7.5
Liberal ----14% 64% * 13% * 3% 1% 1% 3% +/-7.0 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----24% 58% 2% 6% * 3% 2% 2% 2% +/-7.0
Urban ----27% 61% 1% 7% * 1% 2% 1% 1% +/-7.0
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----18% 57% 2% 8% 1% 5% 2% 3% 4% +/-6.5
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-63-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: D. Would be the strongest leader Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------21% 23% 20% 18% 64% 60% 67% 64% 2% 2% 1% 2% 7% 9% 4% 9% * * * 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.0
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 64% 2% 7% * 1% 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------21% 24% 64% 60% 2% 2% 7% 8% * * 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% +/-4.5 +/-7.5
1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------19% 68% 1% 4% * * 3% 2% 3% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----25% 21% 64% 64% 1% 2% 3% 7% * * * 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% +/-8.0 +/-4.5
5064 ----16% 64% 1% 10% 1% 2% 3% 1% 4% +/-8.5 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----23% 61% * 6% * 1% 3% 2% 3% +/-8.5
Under 50 ----24% 64% 3% 5% * * 1% 1% 2% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----19% 63% * 8% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% +/-6.0
Attended College -------19% 66% 2% 7% * * 2% 1% 3% +/-5.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-64-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 31D Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think: D. Would be the strongest leader Base = Democrats and Registered Voters
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 64% 2% 7% * 1% 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5
Joe Biden Hillary Clinton Martin O'Malley Bernie Sanders Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Someone else None/no one No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----21% 64% 2% 7% * 1% 2% 1% 3% +/-4.5
Democrat ----21% 68% 1% 5% 1% * 3% 2% 1% +/-6.0 North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Independent -----22% 58% 2% 9% * 2% 1% * 6% +/-8.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Republican -----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
South ----24% 60% 2% 10% * 2% 2% 1% 1% +/-8.0
Liberal ----15% 68% * 10% * * 2% 1% 4% +/-7.5 West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Moderate ----22% 61% 2% 5% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% +/-7.5
Urban ----26% 65% 1% 6% * 1% 1% * 1% +/-7.5
Conservative ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Suburban ----18% 64% 3% 6% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% +/-7.0
Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-65-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32A Would you be more likely to vote for Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------54% 53% 54% 45% 41% 41% 42% 49% 1% 1% * 1% 3% 4% 3% 4% 1% * 1% * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----54% 41% 1% 3% 1% +/-3.0
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------54% 60% 41% 37% 1% * 3% 2% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----54% 41% 1% 3% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----92% 7% * 1% * +/-5.5
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----54% 41% 1% 3% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----68% 28% * 4% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----62% 35% * 3% * +/-7.5
3549 ----50% 45% * 5% * +/-7.0
5064 ----52% 43% 2% 2% 1% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------52% 43% 2% 3% * +/-4.5
65+ ----47% 48% * 5% * +/-5.5
No College ------52% 43% 1% 4% * +/-5.5
Independent -----50% 42% * 6% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----54% 40% 2% 2% 1% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----70% 54% 26% 41% * 1% 3% 3% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----50% 45% 2% 3% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------55% 41% * 3% * +/-3.5
Republican -----15% 81% 2% 1% 1% +/-6.0 South ----50% 45% * 4% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----57% 39% * 4% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----84% 14% * 1% * +/-6.5
West ----47% 49% 1% 3% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----54% 41% * 4% * +/-5.0
Urban ----62% 34% * 3% 1% +/-5.5
Conservative ------31% 63% 2% 4% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----55% 40% 1% 3% * +/-4.5
Rural ----38% 56% * 5% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-66-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32A Would you be more likely to vote for Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered Voters
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------54% 54% 54% 45% 41% 39% 43% 50% 1% 2% * 1% 3% 5% 2% 4% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----54% 41% 1% 3% * +/-3.5
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------54% 62% 41% 36% 1% * 3% 2% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----54% 41% 1% 3% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----92% 7% * 1% * +/-6.0
Clinton Bush Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----54% 41% 1% 3% * +/-3.5
North east ----66% 29% * 4% * +/-7.0
1834 ----64% 34% * 2% * +/-8.5
3549 ----51% 43% * 6% * +/-7.5
5064 ----53% 42% 3% 2% 1% +/-6.0
$50K or more ------51% 43% 2% 4% 1% +/-4.5
65+ ----47% 48% * 5% * +/-5.5
No College ------56% 40% 2% 3% * +/-6.5
Independent -----51% 42% * 6% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----54% 40% 3% 2% 1% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----73% 54% 24% 41% * 1% 3% 3% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----50% 44% 2% 3% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------53% 43% * 4% * +/-4.0
Republican -----12% 84% 3% 1% * +/-6.5 South ----53% 43% * 4% 1% +/-5.5
Under 50 ----58% 38% * 4% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----85% 13% * 1% * +/-7.0
West ----45% 51% 1% 3% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----57% 38% * 4% * +/-5.5
Urban ----66% 31% * 2% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------29% 65% 2% 4% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----53% 41% 2% 3% * +/-5.0
Rural ----36% 58% * 5% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-67-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32B Would you be more likely to vote for Florida Senator Marco Rubio or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------56% 54% 59% 47% 39% 42% 37% 49% * * * * 4% 4% 3% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 39% * 4% 1% +/-3.0
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------56% 64% 39% 32% * * 4% 4% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 39% * 4% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----92% 6% * 2% * +/-5.5
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 39% * 4% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----66% 32% * 2% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----60% 35% 1% 4% 1% +/-7.5
3549 ----58% 38% * 5% * +/-7.0
5064 ----55% 43% * 1% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------52% 44% * 3% 1% +/-4.5
65+ ----49% 45% * 6% * +/-5.5
No College ------58% 37% * 5% * +/-5.5
Independent -----56% 37% * 5% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----56% 40% * 3% 1% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----75% 56% 21% 40% 1% * 3% 3% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----52% 44% * 3% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------55% 42% * 3% * +/-3.5
Republican -----13% 83% * 2% 1% +/-6.0 South ----58% 37% * 5% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----59% 36% * 4% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----85% 12% 1% 2% * +/-6.5
West ----46% 49% 1% 5% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----60% 35% * 4% * +/-5.0
Urban ----65% 30% 1% 3% 1% +/-5.5
Conservative ------28% 69% * 3% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----56% 39% * 4% * +/-4.5
Rural ----41% 55% * 4% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-68-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32B Would you be more likely to vote for Florida Senator Marco Rubio or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered Voters
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------56% 53% 60% 46% 40% 43% 37% 50% * * * * 3% 4% 3% 4% * 1% * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 40% * 3% * +/-3.5
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------56% 66% 40% 31% * * 3% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 40% * 3% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----93% 6% * 2% * +/-6.0
Clinton Rubio Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 40% * 3% * +/-3.5
North east ----65% 34% * 1% * +/-7.0
1834 ----63% 33% * 3% 1% +/-8.5
3549 ----56% 39% * 5% * +/-7.5
5064 ----55% 43% * 1% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------52% 45% * 3% 1% +/-4.5
65+ ----48% 46% * 5% * +/-5.5
No College ------60% 36% * 4% * +/-6.5
Independent -----56% 38% * 5% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----56% 40% * 3% 1% +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----77% 56% 19% 40% * * 3% 3% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----52% 44% * 3% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------54% 43% * 3% 1% +/-4.0
Republican -----11% 87% * 2% * +/-6.5 South ----58% 38% * 4% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----60% 36% * 4% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----87% 10% * 2% * +/-7.0
West ----46% 49% * 5% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----64% 31% * 4% 1% +/-5.5
Urban ----68% 29% * 3% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------26% 72% * 2% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----56% 41% * 3% * +/-5.0
Rural ----39% 58% * 4% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-69-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32C Would you be more likely to vote for New Jersey Governor Chris Christie or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------56% 54% 58% 48% 37% 39% 36% 44% * * 1% * 5% 7% 4% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 37% * 5% 1% +/-3.0
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------56% 63% 37% 32% * * 5% 5% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 37% * 5% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----92% 7% * 2% * +/-5.5
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----56% 37% * 5% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----62% 35% * 3% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----61% 32% 1% 5% 1% +/-7.5
3549 ----57% 36% * 8% * +/-7.0
5064 ----54% 41% 1% 4% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------52% 42% 1% 5% * +/-4.5
65+ ----48% 45% 1% 7% * +/-5.5
No College ------56% 36% * 8% 1% +/-5.5
Independent -----52% 38% 1% 9% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----59% 35% * 4% 1% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----72% 55% 24% 39% 1% * 3% 5% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----52% 43% 1% 5% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------55% 39% 1% 4% * +/-3.5
Republican -----20% 75% * 3% 2% +/-6.0 South ----55% 35% * 8% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----59% 34% * 6% 1% +/-5.0
Liberal ----83% 13% 1% 3% * +/-6.5
West ----48% 45% 2% 5% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----58% 34% * 7% 1% +/-5.0
Urban ----66% 28% 1% 4% 1% +/-5.5
Conservative ------32% 64% * 4% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----54% 40% * 5% * +/-4.5
Rural ----43% 48% * 8% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-70-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32C Would you be more likely to vote for New Jersey Governor Chris Christie or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered Voters
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------55% 52% 58% 47% 39% 40% 38% 46% * * * * 5% 7% 4% 6% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----55% 39% * 5% * +/-3.5
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------55% 63% 39% 33% * * 5% 4% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----55% 39% * 5% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----92% 7% * 2% * +/-6.0
Clinton Christie Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----55% 39% * 5% * +/-3.5
North east ----63% 34% * 3% * +/-7.0
1834 ----62% 33% * 4% * +/-8.5
3549 ----55% 37% * 8% * +/-7.5
5064 ----54% 42% 1% 3% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------52% 43% * 5% * +/-4.5
65+ ----49% 44% 1% 6% * +/-5.5
No College ------57% 35% * 7% * +/-6.5
Independent -----53% 38% 1% 9% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----59% 37% * 3% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----73% 55% 23% 39% * * 4% 5% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----52% 43% 1% 5% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------54% 41% 1% 4% * +/-4.0
Republican -----14% 82% * 3% * +/-6.5 South ----55% 36% * 8% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----59% 35% * 6% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----87% 10% * 3% * +/-7.0
West ----45% 49% 1% 5% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----59% 33% * 7% * +/-5.5
Urban ----68% 27% * 5% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------29% 66% * 4% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----54% 41% 1% 4% * +/-5.0
Rural ----39% 52% * 8% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-71-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32D Would you be more likely to vote for Businessman Donald Trump or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------59% 57% 60% 47% 34% 35% 34% 44% * 1% * * 6% 7% 5% 7% 1% * 1% * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----59% 34% * 6% 1% +/-3.0
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------59% 65% 34% 30% * * 6% 5% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----59% 34% * 6% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----90% 8% * 1% * +/-5.5
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----59% 34% * 6% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----71% 24% 1% 4% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----62% 33% * 5% * +/-7.5
3549 ----65% 29% * 5% * +/-7.0
5064 ----55% 37% 1% 6% 1% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------58% 36% * 6% * +/-4.5
65+ ----50% 41% * 9% * +/-5.5
No College ------59% 33% * 8% * +/-5.5
Independent -----59% 32% * 8% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----53% 39% * 8% 1% +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----81% 59% 14% 35% * * 4% 6% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----53% 39% * 7% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------58% 36% * 5% * +/-3.5
Republican -----21% 70% * 9% 1% +/-6.0 South ----58% 35% * 6% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----64% 31% * 5% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----83% 12% * 4% * +/-6.5
West ----54% 39% * 7% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----65% 30% * 4% * +/-5.0
Urban ----67% 26% * 5% 2% +/-5.5
Conservative ------33% 58% 1% 9% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----61% 33% * 6% * +/-4.5
Rural ----42% 51% * 7% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-72-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32D Would you be more likely to vote for Businessman Donald Trump or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered Voters
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------59% 57% 61% 48% 35% 36% 34% 44% * 1% * * 6% 7% 5% 7% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----59% 35% * 6% * +/-3.5
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------59% 66% 35% 30% * * 6% 4% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----59% 35% * 6% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----91% 8% * 1% * +/-6.0
Clinton Trump Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----59% 35% * 6% * +/-3.5
North east ----71% 23% 1% 4% * +/-7.0
1834 ----66% 30% * 4% * +/-8.5
3549 ----62% 32% * 6% * +/-7.5
5064 ----55% 37% 1% 7% * +/-6.0
$50K or more ------58% 36% * 6% * +/-4.5
65+ ----52% 41% * 8% * +/-5.5
No College ------61% 30% * 8% * +/-6.5
Independent -----59% 33% * 7% * +/-5.0 Midwest ----55% 36% * 8% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----82% 59% 15% 35% * * 3% 6% * * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----54% 38% * 7% * +/-4.0
Attended College -------57% 37% 1% 5% * +/-4.0
Republican -----19% 71% * 10% * +/-6.5 South ----59% 36% * 5% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----64% 31% * 5% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----84% 12% * 3% * +/-7.0
West ----51% 42% * 7% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----68% 27% * 5% * +/-5.5
Urban ----71% 24% * 5% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------32% 58% 1% 8% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----59% 35% 1% 6% * +/-5.0
Rural ----41% 52% * 7% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-73-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32E Would you be more likely to vote for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Total Sample
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------57% 56% 59% 47% 38% 39% 37% 49% * * * * 4% 4% 3% 4% 1% * 1% * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----57% 38% * 4% 1% +/-3.0
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------57% 65% 38% 32% * * 4% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----57% 38% * 4% 1% +/-3.0
Democrat ----93% 6% * 2% * +/-5.5
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----57% 38% * 4% 1% +/-3.0
North east ----66% 31% * 2% 1% +/-6.5
1834 ----63% 32% 1% 4% * +/-7.5
3549 ----60% 35% * 4% * +/-7.0
5064 ----55% 43% * 1% 1% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------54% 42% 1% 3% 1% +/-4.5
65+ ----49% 46% * 5% * +/-5.5
No College ------59% 36% * 5% * +/-5.5
Independent -----57% 36% 1% 5% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----57% 40% * 2% * +/-6.5
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----78% 57% 18% 40% 1% * 3% 3% 1% * +/-6.0 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----52% 44% * 3% 1% +/-4.0
Attended College -------56% 40% 1% 3% * +/-3.5
Republican -----14% 82% * 2% 1% +/-6.0 South ----59% 35% * 5% 1% +/-5.0
Under 50 ----62% 33% 1% 4% * +/-5.0
Liberal ----84% 12% 1% 2% * +/-6.5
West ----47% 48% 1% 4% * +/-6.5
Moderate ----61% 34% * 5% * +/-5.0
Urban ----67% 28% 1% 3% 1% +/-5.5
Conservative ------32% 65% * 2% * +/-5.0
Suburban ----59% 37% * 4% * +/-4.5
Rural ----38% 57% * 4% * +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-74-
June 26-28, 2015
CNN/ORC International Poll -- June 26 to 28, 2015 Question 32E Would you be more likely to vote for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker or for Hillary Clinton? Base = Registered Voters
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total Men Women White ----------------57% 55% 58% 46% 40% 40% 39% 50% * * * * 3% 4% 3% 3% * * * * +/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----57% 40% * 3% * +/-3.5
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Under Total $50K --------57% 65% 40% 32% * * 3% 3% * * +/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----57% 40% * 3% * +/-3.5
Democrat ----93% 5% * 2% * +/-6.0
Clinton Walker Other Neither No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----57% 40% * 3% * +/-3.5
North east ----66% 32% 1% 1% * +/-7.0
1834 ----64% 32% * 4% * +/-8.5
3549 ----57% 39% * 4% * +/-7.5
5064 ----55% 42% * 1% 1% +/-6.0
$50K or more ------53% 43% * 3% 1% +/-4.5
65+ ----49% 46% * 4% * +/-5.5
No College ------60% 36% * 4% * +/-6.5
Independent -----56% 38% * 5% 1% +/-5.0 Midwest ----57% 40% * 2% * +/-7.0
Reg. Non-White Voters --------- -----79% 57% 17% 40% * * 3% 3% 1% * +/-6.5 +/-3.5 50 and Older -----52% 44% * 3% 1% +/-4.0
Attended College -------55% 42% * 3% * +/-4.0
Republican -----11% 87% * 2% * +/-6.5 South ----58% 37% * 4% * +/-5.5
Under 50 ----61% 35% * 4% * +/-5.5
Liberal ----85% 13% * 2% * +/-7.0
West ----45% 50% * 5% * +/-7.0
Moderate ----63% 31% * 5% * +/-5.5
Urban ----70% 26% * 3% * +/-6.0
Conservative ------30% 68% * 1% * +/-5.5
Suburban ----57% 40% * 3% * +/-5.0
Rural ----36% 60% * 4% * +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
POLL 6 3
-75-
June 26-28, 2015