High Probability Trading Strategies

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High Probability. Trading. Strategies. Entry to Exit Tactics for the Forex, Futures, and Stock Markets. ROBERT C. MINER. WILEY. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
High Probability Trading Strategies Entry to Exit Tactics for the Forex, Futures, and Stock Markets

ROBERT C. MINER

WILEY John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Contents Foreword

ix

Preface

xi

PART 0\E

High Probability Trading Strategies for Any Market and Any Time Frame

CHAPTER 1

High Probability Trade Strategies for Any Market and Any Time Frame

CHAPTER 2

Any Market, Any Time Frame Conditions with a High Probability Outcome Leading and Lagging Indicators What You Will Learn in This Book and CD Let's Get Started

4 4 5 6 8

Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategy

9

What Is Momentum? Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategies The Basic Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy Momentum Reversals Most Price Indicators Represent Rate-of-Change Momentum and Price Trends Often Diverge How Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategies Work Which Indicators to Use for Multiple Time Frame Momentum Strategies What Are the Best Indicator Settings to Use? Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy Rules Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy Trade Filter

11 12 12 14 15 16 19 31 36 43 46

\i

CHAPTER 3

CHAPTER 4

CHAPTER 5

CHAPTER 6

CONTENTS

Practical Pattern Recognition for Trends and Corrections

49

Why Is It Important to Identify a Trend or Correction? Simple Pattern Recognition Based On Elliott Wave Trend or Correction: The Overlap Guideline ABC and Away We Go Complex Corrections Overlap Is the Key to Identify a Correction Trends and Five-Wave Patterns Greater in Time and Price Fifth Waves Are the Key Momentum and Pattern Position Momentum and Pattern Not Enough

50 52 52 58 64 66 67 75 77 79 82

Beyond Fib Retracements

83

Internal Retracements and Corrections Alternate Price Projections Qualify Internal Retracements More Alternate Price Projections External Retracements Help Identify the Final Section of a Trend or Correction Pattern Price Targets Price, Pattern, and Momentum No Excuse

84

96 99 106 108

Beyond Traditional Cycles

111

Time Retracements and Corrections Alternate Time Projections Narrow the Time Retracement Range More Time Factors The Time,Target Zone Time Bands More Time Factors Conclusion

112 114 117 118 128 135 137

Entry Strategies and Position Size

139

Entry Strategy 1: Trailing One-Bar Entry and Stop Entry Strategy 2: Swing Entry and Stop

140 150

89 92

Contents

Position Size Conclusion

158 162

Exit Strategies and Trade Management

163

Multiple-Unit Trading Exit Strategies Trade Management Trade Only the High Probability, Optimum Setups

164 165 166 168 197

PART TWO

Trading the Plan

199

CHAPTER 8

Real Traders, Real Time

201

Adam Sowinski (Slorzewo, Poland) Jagir Singh (London, United Kingdom) Cees Van Hasselt (Breda, The Netherlands) Kerry Szymanski (Tucson, Arizona) Derrik Hobbs (Warsaw, Indiana) Carolyn Boroden (Scottsdale, Arizona) Jaime Johnson (Encinitas, California, and Bogata, Columbia) Chapter Summary

202 206 214 218 222 227 231 234

The Business of Trading and Other Matters

237

Routines and Trading Records Why Traders Win or Lose Technology, Trading Time Frames, Markets to Trade, and Leverage Trade for Points, Not for Ticks You Can't Buy Success You CAN Be a Successful Trader

237 239 242 244 244 245

More Bar-by-Bar Entry to Exit Trade Examples

247

Glossary

249

Bibliography

261

About the Author

263

CHAPTER 7

Risk/Reward Ratios

CHAPTER 9

Viii

CONTENTS

Index

26S

About the CD-ROM

271