Marketing Mix Models

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The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern. Mindset Metrics and ... Coupons, FSI. E-mail. Paid Search. Search. Min
Case Studies:

Mindset Metrics and Marketing Mix Models The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern

YouGov and BrandIndex Overview

YouGov is a global market research agency focused on the consumer

YouGov UK

YouGov America

YouGov Germany, France and Central Europe

YouGov North Africa

YouGov Arab Peninsula

YouGov BrandIndex collects daily consumer feedback on thousands of brands across dozens of industry categories in more than a dozen countries YouGov Panelists

Online Reporting Tool (Hosted)

Syndicated Survey

Easily Exportable Data YouGov Database

A truly unique product

• Continuous daily data allows you to get an immediate indicator of consumer response, and helps quantify the magnitude and likely duration of consumer perception shifts in response to campaign activities

• Breadth of coverage

provides unparalleled ability to benchmark against appropriate competitive set

• Large daily sample size

enables deep dives into market level results

• Panelist profiling on demographics and behavioral measures (e.g., category usage), enabling more detailed and actionable measurement

• Custom “Trigger questions” can be inserted into the syndicated questionnaire and enable an additional level of insight behind consumer perception movements

• Historical data – nearly 5 years on most brands • Global platform – methodology and delivery via online reporting tool

Upper Funnel

Awareness

Lower Funnel

Brand Engagement / Product Discovery

Purchase Consideration

Purchase Intent

Purchase Consideration

Purchase Intent Customer Status

Loyalty

Reputation

6

Aided Brand Awareness

Word of Mouth

Advertising Awareness

Value

Buzz

Quality Impression

Satisfaction Recommend

BrandIndex vs. a typical brand tracking service

7

Framework for Marketing Performance Measurement

• • • •

What Marketers and Competitors Do Advertising Price Promotions Distribution

Intermediate Behaviors

Direct Effect

Social Media

Mindset Metrics

What Consumers Do Brand Purchases

The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern Adapted from Lehmann and Reibstein (2006)

Feedback Effect

Online Activity

Marketing Mix Models

• … are representations of marketing systems that are useful for understanding the behavior of markets and for predicting the impact of marketing actions. • … describe the relationship between performance measures, such as sales or market share, and controllable variables, such as price and distribution. • ... are designed to aid managers in planning and forecasting.

The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern

Maximize Return On Marketing Marketing ROI Marketing Expenditure

Incremental Contribution

Costs

Marketing Support The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern

Margins

Model

Incremental Volume

Marketing Attribution Across Moments

` Television

Search

Trade

Website Visits SALES

In-Store Coupons, FSI E-mail Paid Search

Social Media

Mindset Metrics

`

Marketing Event

Print

Copyright 2013 Marketing Productivity Group, Inc. - All rights reserved

Case Studies

• Global apparel retailer interested in understanding impact of digital media (paid, owned, and earned) on mindset metrics and store traffic • National “recipe ingredient” manufacturer in search of how to leverage all media channels to understand how marketing drives mindset metrics drive sales, which can reinforce mindset metrics

The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern

Retail Case Study

YouGov Metric for Retailer

• Buzz – YouGov tracking measure which asks respondents Over the PAST TWO WEEKS, which of the following brands have you heard something POSITIVE/NEGATIVE about (whether in the news, through advertising, or talking to friends and family)?

How Media Influences Traffic • Media drives customers both directly and indirectly

Website Traffic

TV Circular Radio Buzz

Paid Search

Store Traffic

Affiliate Display

Direct Impact

Drivers to Store Traffic •

With Carryover Effects •

Because of their delayed response, Buzz and Likelihood-to-Recommend now contribute to store traffic

TV is Primary Driver of Buzz • TV drives 10.4% of store traffic (91.8MM), the bulk of which is direct (87%) – To a lesser extent, TV is also driving store traffic via Google search, as well as Buzz about the brand

2%

TV

87%

Buzz

11%

Store Traffic

Ingredient Case Study

YouGov Metrics for the Brand

•Buzz •Recommend •Satisfaction •Quality

The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern

How Marketing Influences Sales

TV

Website

In-Store Paid Search

Sales

FSI Print Online Display

Direct Impact Brand Health Metrics

Sales Decomposition

Earned Brand Owned Health

• Earned Media drives almost 2% of sales – Primarily driven by Buzz • Website contribution to sales is now higher than print when accounting for indirect effects

Paid

Direct & Indirect Effects

Sales Base 37.7% Trade 33.4% TV 10.9% Print 4.2% Pd Search*Display 2.1% Paid Search 1.5% FSI 1.1% Online Display 0.2% CH - Education Posts 0.2% CH - Recipe Posts 0.1% YG - Buzz 1.2% YG - Recommend 0.3% Website

4.6%

YG - Satisfaction

0.1%

YG - Quality

0.1%

Google (Natural) Search

2.2%

Other Findings • Recipe Posts are driven by Brand Buzz and Satisfaction – 5.86% of Recipe posts are attributed from Brand Buzz

Buzz

Quality

Recommend

Satisfaction

Recipe Posts

5.86%

0.48%

2.17%

2.60%

Education Posts

1.18%

0.16%

0.00%

3.55%

Conclusions

• Knowing “what” consumers think matters! • Mindset metrics can serve as leading indicators to sales • Total effects of paid media are underestimated without including indirect effects via mindset metrics • Different media channels impact mindset metrics differently

The Center for Measurable Marketing at NYU Stern