the River Senegal S. Hardy, G. Dugdale, J. R. Milford & J. V. Sutcliffe. 23. Areal reduction ... data Kathryn F. Connors, Thomas W. Gardner & Rick L. Day. 397.
IAHS
New Directions for Surface Water Modeling
Edited by M. L. KAVVAS Department of Civil Engineering, University of California, Davis, California 95616, USA
Proceedings of a symposium held during the Third Scientific Assembly of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences at Baltimore, Maryland, USA, May 1989. This symposium was organized by the IAHS International Commission on Surface Water.
IAHS Publication No. 181
Published by the International Association of Hydrological Sciences 1989. IAHS Press, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BB, UK.
IAHS Publication No. 181. ISBN 0-947571-96-5.
The designations employed and the presentation of material throughout the publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of IAHS concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The use of trade, firm, or corporate names in the publication is for the information and convenience of the reader. Such use does not constitute an official endorsement or approval by IAHS of any product or service to the exclusion of others that may be suitable.
The Editor acknowledges gratefully his co-convenors Professor M. Diskin of Israel and Dr. A. Salewicz of Austria for their part in organizing the Symposium on New Directions for Surface Water Modeling, and for their contributions in the review and selection of the papers for presentation. The organizational efforts of Mr. Ivan Johnson, Chairman of the IAHS Third Scientific Assembly Organizing Committee, were invaluable and are greatly appreciated. Preparation of this volume would not have been possible without the efforts of Virginia Roy of the Department of Civil Engineering University of California, Davis. Her skillful typing of many paper revisions and tens of correspondence letters was instrumental in the realization of the proceedings. Mr. Lauro Bravar, a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Civil Engineering, University of California, Davis, helped the Editor in editing the proceedings papers. His meticulous work which spanned many hours is appreciated The Editor's work was supported partially by the USA NSF Grant No. CES-8596023.
The Editor dedicates his contribution to the loving memory of his late son Ercan Kawas who had wished to become a hydrologist.
Printed in Great Britain by Galliard (Printers) Ltd, Great Yarmouth
PREFACE
This volume contains forty three papers from twenty-four countries in five continents. The proceedings papers are grouped into six topics. The topic of rainfall fields is composed of papers which report on research results on the prediction and modeling of rain fields using remote sensors and ground-truth data. The papers on the topic of physics-based hydrologie models discuss the hydrodynamic-based approaches to the modeling of hydrologie processes. The papers which comprise the topic of rainfall-runoff models report recent research results on the systems and the géomorphologie approaches to runoff modeling. The papers on the topic of floods discuss the regionalization methods for the development of flood frequency distributions. The topic of droughts is composed of papers which report recent research results on various aspects of droughts. Finally, the papers on the topic of geographic information, decision support and expert systems are reporting on new trends in these emerging fields in water resources. As such, these proceedings reflect the exciting developments around the world concerning surface water modeling during the recent years. Co-Convenors M.L. Kavvas University of California Department of Civil Engineering Davis, CA 95616 USA
M. Diskin Technion Department of Civil Engineering Technion City Haifa 32000, Israel
A. Salewicz International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) A2316 Laxenburg, Austria
CONTENTS
Preface
1
M. L. Kavvas, M. Diskin & A. Salewicz
Rainfall Fields
A study on short-term rainfall prediction by radar raingauge (invited paper) K. Ishizaki, F. Yoshino, K. Takeuchi & A. Yoo Towards an improved system for weather radar calibration and rainfall forecasting using raingauge data from a regional telemetry system (invited paper) R. J. Moore, B. C. Watson, D. A. Jones, K. B. Black, C. M. Haggett, M. A. Crées & C. Richard
3
13
The use of satellite derived rainfall estimates as inputs to flow prediction in the River Senegal S. Hardy, G. Dugdale, J. R. Milford & J. V. Sutcliffe
23
Areal reduction factors for design storm construction: Joint use of raingauge and radar data E. J. Stewart
31
On the accuracy of the maximum recorded depth in extreme rainstorms Efi Foufoula-Georgiou
41
2 Physics-Based Hydrologie Models Evaluation and prediction of possible man-induced changes in the hydrological cycle (invited paper) L. S. Kuchment
53
A physics-based approach to stochastic hydrology of first-order drainage basins M. L. Kavvas, R. S. Govindaraju & M. N. Saquib
63
The influence of the angle of incidence of the rainfall on the overland flow process J. L. M. P. de Lima
73
A modular model for simulating continuous or event runoff
83
D. Stephenson
Use of kinematic wave method to assess effects of urban development on flood peak changes Tommy S. W. Wong & Charng-Ning Chen
3
93
Rainfall-Runoff Models
An entropy based method for flood forecasting (invited paper) P. F. Krstanovic & V. P. Singh An assessment of network models in flood forecasting I. Cordeiy
105
T. A. Malone &
Real-time intercomparison of hydrological models A. J. Askew Floods and droughts in Labe River basin — the hydrograph shape Josef Buchtele
115 125 133 vii
Contents
viii
Modelling of hydrological processes for a mountainous basin
Yosihisa Ando
143
A review of the search for a quantitative link between hydrologie response and fluvial geomorphology (invited paper) Rafael L. Bras & Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe
149
On the geomorphoclimatic derivation of flood frequency (peak and volume) at the basin and regional scale Baldassare Bacchi, Renzo Rosso, Daniel Adorn & Armando Brath
165
Regionalization of model parameters for a large watershed
111
Jungho Sonu
Analytical relationships between rainfall and runoff for a probabilitydistributed model of basin response Robin T. Clarke
187
A conceptual model simulating the hydrological processes on a drainage basin in a plain area Xin Ren Liu & Jing Quan Wang
195
Modeling snowfall-to-snowmelt delay Ramesh Sivapathasundram
203
Vujica Yevjevich &
Operational snow accumulation and snowmelt modeling
Bertel Vehvilàinen
213
Effects of recharge systems on hydrological information transfer along rivers Nilgiin Harmancioglu & Tiirkay Baran
223
Nouvelles perspectives de développement dans la modélisation des pluies efficaces par application de la méthode DPFT J. Y. Rodriguez, D. Sempere & Ch. Obled
235
4
Floods
Regional methods for estimation of design floods for small to medium sized drainage basins in Australia (invited paper) D. H. Pilgrim
247
Determination of design flood hydrographs based on regional hydrological data H. Bergman & B. Sack!
261
Regional analysis of the mean annual flood and of flood frequency characteristics Maria Mimikou & John Gordios
271
Assessment of the US Conservation Service method for estimating design floods A. A. Hoesein, D. H. Pilgrim, G. W. Titmarsh & I. Cordery
283
Regional flood frequency analysis using ridge regression Bernard Bobée, Fahim Ashkar & François Roberge
293
5
René Roy,
Droughts
Hydrology and management of drought in the United States (invited paper) Neil S. Grigg
303
ix
Contents
Droughts and floods — their definition and modeling Maria Ozga-Zielinska
313
Regionalization of low flow characteristics using logistic and GLS regression Gary D. Tasker
323
Characteristics of streamflow drought
333
Tiao J. Chang
Development and application of simple water balance models to understand the relationship between climate and water resources John C. Schaake Jr & Liu Chunzhen Evaporation from soil surface in presence of shallow water tables Hameed R. Rasheed, Hisham Al-Anaz & Kamel A. Abid
6
343 353
Geographic Information, Decision Support and Expert Systems
Generalized components of complex decision support systems for water resources management in river basins (invited paper) A. Becker, P. Braun & S. Kaden
365
A real time simulation model as a decision support system for surface water management P. J. T. van Bakel
379
Modélisation hydrologique orientée objet A. Musy
387
B. Adebnego, P. Meylan &
Deriving stream parameters for hydrologie modeling from digital elevation data Kathryn F. Connors, Thomas W. Gardner & Rick L. Day
397
Intelligent Geographic Information Systems (IGIS) and surface water modeling (invited paper) Uwe Arnold, Bithin Datta & Peter Haenscheid
407
EXSRM, an expert system for snowmelt runoff model (SRM) E. T. Engman, A. Rango & J. Martinec The Environmental Geographic Information System in Finland Yrjô Sucksdorff, Risto Lemmelâ & Tapio Keisteri Using GIS to assess spatial variability of SCS Curve Number at the basin scale M. Mancini & R. Rosso
417 427 435
