Toxin-allelopathy among phytoplankton species prevents competitive ...

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Jul 12, 2006 - Pfiesteria), (iii) macroalgae that results in noxious smells (e.g. Pilayella), (iv) a few species of Cyanobacteria or blue algae (e.g., Microcystis), ...
arXiv:q-bio/0607016v1 [q-bio.PE] 12 Jul 2006

Toxin-allelopathy among phytoplankton species prevents competitive exclusion Shovonlal Roy & Joydev Chattopadhyay Agricultural and Ecological Research Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, 203, B.T. Road, Kolkata 700108, India

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Abstract Toxic or allelopathic compounds liberated by toxin-producing phytoplankton (TPP) acts as a strong mediator in plankton dynamics. On an analysis of a set of phytoplankton biomass-data that have been collected by our group in the North-West part of the Bay of Bengal, and by analysis of a three-component mathematical model under a constant as well as a stochastic environment, we explore the role of toxin-allelopathy in determining the dynamic behaviour of the competing-phytoplankton species. The overall results, based on analytical and numerical wings, demonstrate that toxin-allelopathy due to the toxin-producing phytoplankton (TPP) promotes a stable coexistence of those competitive phytoplankton that would otherwise exhibit competitive exclusion of the weak species. Our study suggests that TPP might be a potential candidate for maintaining the coexistence and diversity of competing phytoplankton species.

Key words: Phytoplankton, toxin, allelopathy, coexistence, competitive exclusion, paradox of plankton

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1

Introduction

The principle of competitive exclusion ensures that the number of competing species cannot exceed the number of distinct resources (Hardin, 1960). Simple competition models and competition experiments in laboratory also suggest that the number of species that co-exist in equilibrium can be greater than the number of limiting resources only if additional mechanisms are involved (Tilman, 1977, 1981; Somer 1985, 1986; Rothhaupt 1988, 1996; Scheffer et al., 1997; Huisman and Weissing, 1999). For instance, temporal variation in the supply of a single resource may allow the coexistence of two species (Stewart & Levin, 1973; Levins, 1979; Armstrong & McGehee, 1980). For two competing prey or parasites, predator or parasite-mediated coexistence is possible provided that the inferior competitor is resistant to exploitation (Levin, 1970; Levin et al., 1977). Sometimes interference competition also promotes stable coexistence of two species on a single resource (e.g., Vance, 1985). Furthermore, in homogeneous environment inhibitory substances such as pesticides, derived from external sources can promote stable coexistence of two species competing for a single resource (Lenski & Hattingh, 1986). Unlike the above biological situations, in view of the competitive exclusion principle the coexistence of a large number of phytoplankton species on a seemingly limited variety of resources in natural waters is remarkable; this is referred to as ‘the paradox of the plankton’ (Hutchinson, 1961). To explain this paradox, several attempts have been made. Hutchinson (1961) proposed that because of weather-driven fluctuations, plankton communities are not in equilibrium. Authors such as Richerson et al. (1970) argued in a fashion similar to Hutchinson (1961) that continuous variation in environmental conditions, due to seasonal cycles and less predictable factors such as weather, offer the most likely solution. On the other hand, theoretical studies predict that competition among different species of phytoplankton can generate oscillations and chaos, which may in turn promote their coexistence (Huisman & Weissing, 1999). However, none of these explanations is universally accepted. In an aquatic ecosystem, some species of plankton liberate “toxic” or “allelopathic agents” that affect the growth of other micro-algae (Hallam et al, 1983; Arzul et al 1999). Among marine algae, allelopathy was observed both in vitro and in situ (e.g Chan et al., 1980; Nielsen et al., 1990; Schmidt and Hansen, 2001, Tillmann and John, 2002; Fistarol et al., 2003, 2004), however, the chemical nature and role of allelopathic compounds remained

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poorly understood (Sole et al., 2005). In phytoplankton-zooplankton interactions, toxicity acts as a strong mediator (Kozlowski-Suzuki et al., 2003). Efforts have been made to study the role of toxin inhibition on zooplankton (e.g. Chattopadhyay et al., 2002a, 2002b; Sarkar & Chattopadhyay, 2003). Recently, Roy et al. reported that in regulating non-equilibria of a phytoplankton-zooplankton system, toxin inhibition on zooplankton caused by toxinproducing phytoplankton (TPP) acts as a driving force. However, allelopathic interaction among the phytoplankton species has not been included in that study. Among the algae species, toxin-allelopathy is an important chemical-signaling process (see, review by Cembella, 2003). Interactions between two allelopathic-species was studied mathematically by many authors (e.g. Maynard-Smith, 1974; Chattopadhyay, 1996; Mukhopadhyay et al.; 1998; Nakamaru & Iwasa, 2000). Schimdt and Hansen (2001) made a laboratory experiment on plankton allelopathy in which 15 species of marine phytoplankton were exposed to suspensions of a toxic alga known as Crysocomulina polylepis. Recently, Sole et al. (2005) used those experimental data to estimate the allelopathic parameters based on a model proposed by Chattopadhyay (1996). The study of Sol´e et al. (2005) suggests a functional form suitable for quantifying the strength of allelopathic interaction between toxic and non-toxic algae. However, in the previous studies little attention has been paid to explore the role of allelopathic interaction on the coexistence and persistence of phytoplankton species competing for the same resources. The objective of this article is to investigate the role of toxin-allelopathy in maintaining the coexistence of the competitive-phytoplankton species in the marine ecosystem. On analysis of a set of field-data that we have collected from the North-West coast of the Bay of Bengal, we propose that a possible role of toxic phytoplankton might be responsible for a stable coexistence of the competing phytoplankton. Next we formulate a simple three-component model for describing the interaction among two non-toxic phytoplankton and a toxic phytoplankton. We analyze the model in a deterministic and a stochastic environment, and find suitable bounds on the allelopathic parameters under which a stable coexistence of the competing species is possible. Through numerical experiments, we support our analytical findings and demonstrate the role of toxin allelopathy in maintaining the stable coexistence of those competing phytoplankton that would otherwise exhibit an exclusion of the weak species. The study demonstrates that toxin-allelopathy among phytoplankton species counteracts competitive exclusion. 4

The organization of the paper is as follows. Section 2 produces a qualitative analysis of the plankton dynamics based on the field observation on non-toxic and toxic phytoplankton. Section 3 proposes a three-component mathematical-model consisting of twocompetitive-phytoplankton and a toxic phytoplankton. The model is analyzed to find the criterion for coexistence and persistence of the species. In Section 4, by incorporating stochastic perturbation, the dynamic behaviour is studied under environmental fluctuations. In Section 5 we present numerical experiments to support the analytical results. We discuss the overall results of our study in Section 6.

2

Field Observation

Since 1999, the monitoring and identification (Tomas, 1997) of marine plankton population has been carried out by our group in the North - West coast of the Bay of Bengal (for detail see, Chattopadhyay et al., 2002). A significant number of species of phytoplankton have been identified that produce toxic or inhibitory compounds (Chattopadhyay et al., 2002a, 2002b; Sarkar & Chattopadhyay, 2003). The toxin-producing phytoplankton (TPP) group contains (i) planktonic or benthic micro-algae that produce toxin (e.g., the motile stage of Alexandrium, the benthic Gambierdiscus), (ii) other toxic dinoflagellates (e.g., Pfiesteria), (iii) macroalgae that results in noxious smells (e.g. Pilayella), (iv) a few species of Cyanobacteria or blue algae (e.g., Microcystis), (v) non-toxic microorganisms that result in hypoxic conditions (e.g. Chaetoceros, Mesodinium). For a detailed list of TPP species identified by our group, see Chattopadhyay et al., 2002. For understanding the interaction between non-toxic and toxic algae at species level, we choose from the list of phytoplankton species that have been identified during the period 2000-2001, a combination three species consisting of two non-toxic and a toxic phytoplankton. We choose those algae that were present at significant biomass throughout the study period. The three species chosen belong to diatom group. The two non-toxic phytoplankton (NTP) are Coscinodiscus sp (say species 1, biomass at any time x1 ) and Biddulphia sp (species 2, biomass x2 ); and the toxin-producing phytoplankton (TPP, say species 3, biomass x3 ) is Chaetoceros sp (as cited by Chattopadhyay et al., 2002). The abundance level of all the species are fluctuating over the time (Figure 1), and throughout

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the period of observation the abundance level of Coscinodiscus sp is higher than that of Biddulphia sp. Now, because all the species interact in a common marine environment, in principle they compete for the common resources available (such as sunlight, dissolved nutrient). In our study region, among the chosen species Coscinodiscus sp is the most dominant in biomass throughout the sampling period (see Figure 1). Because the species have been identified in a common sampling and from a common field, it is reasonable to assume that the ecological and biological factors that affect the growth of species are similar for all the species. Moreover, in a general sense a potential role of competitive effect of one species would be to hamper the abundance level of the other species. So, due to the lack of any other experimental data, we may consider the abundances of two non-toxic species (where toxin-allelopathy does not come into play) as a potential indicator of the dominance level of resource competition. Clearly this argument does not hold for a toxic and a non-toxic species. In this sense Coscinodiscus sp is a stronger competitor than Biddulphia sp. The distribution of the abundance ratio of Coscinodiscus to Biddulphia, when plotted against the abundance of the toxic phytoplankton, depicts a decreasing trend for higher biomass of toxic phytoplankton (Figure 2). Pearson correlations confirm this trend. The correlation coefficient between the abundance of TPP (in log scale) and the abundance ratio of x1 to x2 is (r = −0.515), which is significant at 5% level. On the other hand, the total biomass of the two non-toxic algae has a significant positive correlation with the x1 /x2 coefficient (r = 0.40, P < 0.05). However, if we include the toxic algae the sum of the biomass of all the species has insignificant correlation (r = 0.24, P > 0.1) with the x1 /x2 coefficient. These results suggest that, when the overall biomass of two non-toxic algae (that influences the resource competition) increases, the abundance ratio of the two algae also increases significantly; consequently in the system the pressure of Coscinodiscus is enhanced and that of the Biddulphia sp is reduced. However, the scenario changes significantly if the presence of a toxic algae is taken into consideration. The abundance ratio x1 /x2 shows a significantly reverse trend (Figure 2). To compare the ratio x1 to x2 in situations of high and low TPP abundance, we divide the TPP biomass in two categories: ‘less than mean value’ (say M1 ) i.e., when TPP abundance is less than its overall average over the observed time points, and ‘greater than or equal to mean value’ (say M2 ) i.e., when TPP abundance is greater than or equal to its overall average over the observed time points. We say TPP is at low abundance at any 6

Figure 1: Coexistence of two non-toxic competitive-phytoplankton species with a toxic species. Here, x1 is the biomass at any time point of the NTP (species 1) Coscinodiscus sp, x2 is that of NTP (species 2) Biddulphia sp, and x3 is the same of TPP (species 3) Chaetoceros sp; Coscinodiscus sp is the most abundant species and stronger competitor than Biddulphia sp. The gaps in the axis of collection represents the time point when the sampling was suspended due to several reasons. 7

Figure 2: Distribution of the abundance ratio of Coscinodiscus sp to Biddulphia sp and the abundance of Chaetoceros sp. 2(a) Bar diagram depicting the abundance ratio of x1 to x2 and abundance of x3 . Log(x1 /x2 ) reduces by 25 % when TPP is sufficiently present in the system. 2(b) Abundance ratio of Coscinodiscus sp to Biddulphia sp against the abundance of Chaetoceros sp (in log form) depicts a negative slope of the trend line. 2(c) Levels of average abundance ratios x1 /x2 corresponding to TPP biomass at ‘less than mean level’ (M1 ) and ‘greater than mean level’ (M2 ). Compared with category M1 , the average level of x1 /x2 decreases to category M2 by 25% 8

time if the TPP biomass belongs to category M1 , and that TPP is at high abundance if TPP biomass belongs to M2 . Now, corresponding to those time points where TPP biomass belongs to M1 , let the average of the x1 /x2 ratios be m1 . And corresponding to category M2 , let the average of the x1 /x2 ratios be m2 . The the quantity δm =

(m2 −m1 ) m1

× 100 may

represent the change in the mean level of the abundance of Coscinodiscus to Biddulphia when the biomass of Chaetoceros sp is sufficiently high compared with when its abundance is low in the system. We find that δm is around (-25%), i.e., the mean level of x1 /x2 reduces by 25% when TPP abundance is high (see, Figure 2(c)). These results suggest that the presence of toxic phytoplankton is favourable for the existence of the weak species in marine ecosystem. Hulot & Huisman (2004) claimed that, because of the toxic compounds released by the TPP, the competitive disadvantage between phytoplankton species is reduced. Our field observation also resembles the claim. By releasing allelopathic chemicals, the toxic species of phytoplankton gain a significant advantage in resource competition. Moreover, these toxic chemicals affect significantly the growths of the other competitors. Due to the presence of toxic chemicals, the species of non-toxic phytoplankton can hardly impose any competitive effect on these allelopathic species. So, the competition coefficient between a toxic and a non-toxic phytoplankton is negligible (Sol´e et al. 2005). In this way, in a mixed-species environment, the allelopathic species exhibit a passive mutualism towards the weak species, and promote those species to survive in competition (also found in Roy et al. submitted ). Although not presented here, some other triad of two non-toxic and a toxic species that are present in dominant biomass would also exhibit a similar dynamics (Roy et al. submitted). We would like to mention that while using the correlation analysis and linear regression, we have ignored the data autocorrelation, a well-known analysis for a time series. However, because the data series considered is short and discontinuous, it is difficult to use the techniques specific for time series analysis. An entirely different approach for estimation of the missing values by an imputation method called ExpectationMaximization, and analysis of autocorrelation by a Vector Auto-regressive model also supports the results obtained here; the details of this analysis is reported in Roy et al. submitted. Based on these arguments, to explore and display the dynamic behaviour of the competing phytoplankton species taking into account the presence of allelopathic species, in the following sections we propose and analyze a simple mathematical model. The main 9

objective of the analysis of the model is to find suitable mathematical bounds on the toxin-allelopathy parameters, under a constant environment as well as under a stochastic environment.

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The Mathematical Model

To develop a mathematical model for describing the interaction among two non-toxic phytoplankton (species 1 with biomass x1 and species 2 with biomass x2 ) and a toxic phytoplankton (species 3 with biomass x3 ), we make the following assumptions, (i) The non-toxic phytoplankton species (species 1 and 2) compete for the same resource following the Lotka-Volterra competition model, where species 1 is the stronger competitor than species 2. (ii) Allelopathic interactions between a non-toxic and a toxin-producing phytoplankton is described by a nonlinear function suggested by Sol´e et al. (2005). (iii) Competitive interaction between a non-toxic and a toxic phytoplankton is negligible (Sol´e et al. , 2005) Based on the above assumptions, the interaction among two non-toxic and a toxic phytoplankton is represented in the following mathematical model:   dx1 = x1 r1 − α1 x1 − β12 x2 − γ1 x1 x3 2 , dt   dx2 = x2 r2 − α2 x2 − β21 x1 − γ2 x2 x3 2 , dt dx3 = x3 (r3 − α3 x3 ) , dt

(1)

The model is analyzed under the following initial conditions: x1 (0) > 0, x2 (0) > 0, x3 (0) > 0.

(2)

Here, ri (i = 1, 2, 3) are the specific growth rates of species i, αi are the coefficients of intraspecific competition, β12 and β21 are the interspecific competition coefficients between x1 and x2 , γi (i = 1, 2) are the strengths of toxin-allelopathy between toxic and non-toxic phytoplankton.

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3.1

Local stability analysis

The model system (1) has the following equilibria: 





r1 , 0, 0 , E2 α1   α1 r2 − β21 r1 α2 r1 − β12 r2 E4 α1 α2 − β12 β21 , α1 α2 − β12 β21 , 0 , and the interior equilibrium E ∗ ( x∗1 ,

E0 (0, 0, 0),

E1

0,

r2 , α2

E5

x∗2 ,



0 , 



E3 0, 0,

r1 α23 , α1 α23 + γ1 r32

0,

r3 α3

x∗3 ),

r3 α3



,



, 

E6 0,

r2 α23 , r3 α2 α23 + γ2 r32 α3



,

where, x∗1

=

x2 ∗

=

α3 2 r3 2 r1 γ2 + α3 4 (α2 r1 − r2 β12 ) , (α2 α3 2 + γ2 r3 2 ) r3 2 γ1 + α3 2 (−α3 2 β21 β12 + α3 2 α2 α1 + γ2 r3 2 α1 ) α3 2 r3 2 r2 γ1 + α3 4 (r2 α1 − r1 β21 ) (α2 α3 2 + γ2 r3 2 ) r3 2 γ1 + α3 2 (−α3 2 β21 β12 + α3 2 α2 α1 + γ2 r3 2 α1 )

(3) (4)

and x∗3 =

r3 . α3

(5)

For any non-negative set of values of the model-parameters, the equilibria E0 , E1 , E2 , E3 , E5 and E6 exist. A sufficient condition on the parameters for feasibility of E4 is α1 α2

> β12 β21

(6)

The interior equilibrium E ∗ exists if the following set of inequalities hold γ1

>

γ2

>

α3 2 r1 β21 , r3 2 r2 α3 2 (β12 β21 − α1 α2 ) α3 2 r2 }. max { 2 β12 , r3 r1 α1 r3 2

(7) (8)

We find that the coexistence of the interior equilibrium depends on the strength of the toxin-allelopathy parameters. On generating the community matrix, we perform localstability analysis (LAS) of the model system (1) around each biologically feasible equilibrium. In the following theorem, we summarize the results of the LAS. Theorem 3.1: The boundary equilibria (E0 , E1 , E2 , E3 , E4 , E5 and E6 ) are repellers under the following conditions, r3 2 α3  2 r3 α2 + γ2 α3 α1 + γ1





11

> β21 > β12

r1 , r2 r2 . r1

(9) (10)

The interior equilibrium point E ∗ is locally asymptotically stable if the following condition holds γ1 γ2 ≥



α3 r3

4

β12 β21 .

(11)

(Proof is obvious) In the absence of the toxic phytoplankton (x3 ), the model system (1) reduces to the well known Lotka-Volterra (LV) competition model. It is well established that LV model exhibits competitive exclusion of one or both the competitors if any one or both of the following conditions hold (for detail see, Kot, 2001) β21 β12

r1 r2 r2 r1

>

α1

(12)

>

α2

(13)

Now we are in a position to compare the inequalities obtained in (9)-(10) and (12)-(13). It follows from Theorem (3.1) that, even if any one or both of the conditions (12)-(13), that are necessary for competitive exclusion in LV model, is satisfied, toxin allelopathy due to TPP, the strength of which satisfies the conditions (9)-(10), promotes coexistence of the competitive phytoplankton species. In the following section, to study the dynamics of the interacting species under a variable environment, we extend the scope of deterministic model to a stochastic set up.

4

The Stochastic Model

We assume that the stochastic perturbations of the variables around E ∗ are of white-noise type proportional to the distances of x1 , x2 , x3 from the values x1 ∗ , x2 ∗ , x∗3 (Beretta et al., 1998). Under this assumption, system (1) takes the following form





dx1 = [ x1 r1 − α1 x1 − β12 x2 − γ1 x1 x3 2 ] dt + σ1 (x1 − x1 ∗ ) dξt1 , 



dx2 = [ x2 r2 − α2 x2 − β21 x1 − γ2 x2 x3 2 ] dt + σ2 (x2 − x2 ∗ ) dξt2 , dx3 = [ x3 (r3 − α3 x3 ) ] dt + σ3 (x3 − x∗3 ) dξt 3 . 12

(14)

Here σi , (i = 1, 2, 3) are real constants defined as the intensities of the stochasticity, and ξt i = ξi (t), (i = 1, 2, 3) are independent standard Wiener-process (Gikhman and Skorokhod, 1974, 1975, 1979). To investigate the robustness of the dynamical behaviour of model (1), stochastic stability of the interior equilibrium E ∗ is studied using the model (14). System (14) can be represented as an Ito Stochastic Differential Equation of the following type dXt = f (t, Xt ) dt + g(t, Xt ) dξt, Xt0 = X0 , t ∈ [t0 , tf ],

(15)

where the solution {Xt , t ∈ [t0 , tf ] (t > 0)} is an Ito process, f is the slowly varying continuous component or drift coefficient and g is the rapidly varying continuous random component or diffusion coefficient (Kloeden and Platen, 1995), ξt is a multidimensional stochastic process having scalar Wiener-process components with increments ∆ξt j = ξt+∆t j − ξt j = ξj (t + ∆t) − ξj (t), which are independent Gaussian random-variables N(0, ∆t). Comparing (14) and (15), we have

Xt = (x1 , x2 , x3 )T , ξt = (ξt 1 , ξt 2 , ξt 3 )T , 

x (r1 − α1 x1 − β12 x2 − γ1 x1 x3 2 )  1  f =  x2 (r2 − α2 x2 − β21 x1 − γ2 x2 x3 2 )  x3 (r3 − α3 x3 )

(16)     

(17)

and 

σ (x − x1 ∗ ) 0  1 1  g =  0 σ2 (x2 − x2 ∗ )  0

0

0 0 σ3 (x3 − x∗3 )

    

(18)

Since the diffusion matrix (18) depends on the solution Xt = (x1 , x2 , x3 )T , system (14) is said to have multiplicative noise. From the diagonal form of the diffusion matrix (18), system (14) is said to have (multiplicative) diagonal noise. 13

4.1

Stochastic stability of the interior equilibrium

By defining the variables u1 = x1 − x1 ∗ , u2 = x2 − x2 ∗ , u3 = x3 − x∗3 , the stochastic differential equations (14) can be centered at the interior equilibrium E∗ . To show that system (14) is asymptotically stable in mean square sense (or in probability) we linearize the vector function f around the positive equilibrium E ∗ . The linearized stochastic differential equations around E ∗ (using the variational matrix J) take the following form

du(t) = f (u(t)) dt + g(u(t)) dξ(t)

(19)

where u(t) = (u1 (t), u2 (t), u3 (t))T and

f (u(t)) =

      





x1∗ −α1 − γ1 x3∗ 2 u1 − x1∗ β12 u2 − 2 x1∗2 γ1 x3∗ u3 −x2∗



β21 u1 + x2 −α2 −

γ2 x3∗ 2

−α3 x3∗ u3



σ u 0  1 1  g(u(t)) =  0 σ2 u2  0

0



u2 −

0 0 σ3 u3

2 x2∗2 γ2

x3∗

u3

      



  , 

(20)

(21)

with the parametric conditions for existence of E ∗ stated in section (3.1). Clearly, the positive equilibrium E ∗ in equation (19) corresponds to the trivial solution (u1 , u2, u3 ) = (0, 0, 0). Let us define a set Ψ = {(t ≥ t0 ) × R3 , t0 ∈ R+ }. Now there exists a function V ∈ C20 (Ψ) such that V is twice continuously differentiable (i.e., a C 2 function) with respect to u and continuous (i.e., C 0 ) with respect to t. With reference to (19), we define the following function: W (u, t) =

∂V (u(t), t) ∂V (u, t) 1 ∂ 2 V (u, t) + f T (u(t)) + T r [ g T (u(t)) g(u(t)) ], ∂t ∂u 2 ∂u2 14

(22)

where

∂V ∂u

=



∂V ∂V ∂V , , ∂u1 ∂u2 ∂u3

T

,

∂ 2 V (u,t) ∂u2

2

V = ( ∂u∂j ∂u )i,j=1,2,3 and ‘T’ stands for transposition. i

Now, we state the following theorem due to Afanasev et al. (1996). Theorem 4.1: Suppose there exists a function V (u, t) ∈ C2 (Ψ) satisfying the inequalities K1 |u|p ≤ V (u, t) ≤ K2 |u|p ,

(23)

W (u, t) ≤ −K3 |u|p, Ki > 0, p > 0 (i = 1, 2, 3).

(24)

Then the trivial solution of (19) is exponentially p-stable for t ≥ 0. We note that, if p = 2 in (23) and (24) then the trivial solution of (19) is exponentially mean-square stable. Furthermore, the trivial solution of (19) is globally asymptotically stable in probability (Afanasev et al., 1996). From the standard stability analysis of the stochastic model (14), we state the following theorem. Theorem 4.2: Along with the existence criterion for E ∗ (condition (7)-(8)) as stated in section (3.1), if the following condition holds γ1 γ2 >



α3 r3

4

σ12 σ22 σ32 8 r3

!

(25)

then the trivial solution of system (14) is asymptotically mean-square stable. (For proof see Appendix) We recall that, σi s (i = 1, 2, 3) represent the intensities (or rapidity) of the environmental fluctuations. The above theorem demonstrates that suitable values of the growth rate of TPP and the intensity of the toxin-allelopathy parameters determine the stochastic stability. Hence similar to deterministic environment, toxin allelopathy might also be a potential candidate for preventing competitive exclusion among the phytoplankton species in stochastic environment. Recalling condition (11) for the stability of coexisting equilibrium in the deterministic model, we find that along with the existence criterion (in section 3.1), if the product of the strengths of toxin allelopathy (i.e., γ1 and γ2 ) is bigger in magnitude than max{



α3 r3

4

(β12 β21 ) ,



α3 r3

4 

σ12 σ22 σ32 8 r3



}, then the dynamics of the coexist-

ing competitive-phytoplankton species is locally stable, both in constant and fluctuating environment.

5

Numerical experiments 15

Dynamics when no toxic species present When the toxic phytoplankton is absent in the system, without any loss of generality, let the two component model have hypothetical parameter values as follows, r1 = 0.6 day−1 , r2 = 0.6 day−1 , α1 = 0.01 biomass−1 day−1 , α2 = 0.04 biomass−1 day−1 . Because species 1 is assumed to be a stronger competitor than species 2, for the following numerical simulations we take β21 > β12 . Now the two-component model of the competitive-phytoplankton species in absence of toxic algae is simulated. We fix β12 = 0.02 biomass−1 day−1 , and vary β21 . A suitable range of the competition coefficient β21 is found (0.021 ≤ β21 ≤ 0.05) for which the weak competitor goes to extinction, both in deterministic and stochastic model (Figure 3(a)-3(b)). Dynamics when toxic species is included Now we introduce the toxic algae and simulate the three-component model with parameters for the two-component model left unchanged. Suitable values of the toxin-allelopathy parameters are found for which all the species coexist (Figure 3). The coexisting equilibrium is stable under deterministic as well as stochastic set up (Figure 3(c)-(3(d)). A gradual increase in the intensity of allelopathy show that, a reasonably large range of each of those allelopathic parameters is obtainable, even beyond the reported ranges (Sol´e et al., 2005), for which the weak and the strong species stably coexist with non-zero equilibrium biomass (Figure 4). In other words, this result shows that the stable coexistence of the all the species is robust with respect to the allelopathic effect. Following these arguments, we suggest that, in the presence of a toxic alga, the possibility for a competitive exclusion of the weak species of non-toxic phytoplankton might be overturned. Dynamics on consideration of competition coefficient between TPP and NTP explicitly As already mentioned, by releasing allelopathic chemicals that affect the growth of other species, a toxic phytoplankton gains an advantage in competition. Hence the competing effects of non-toxic phytoplankton on the toxic phytoplankton is negligible (Hulot & Huisman, 2004, Roy et al. submitted ), and can be ignored in modeling the interaction of a non-toxic and toxic algae (Sol´e et al., 2005). Keeping these observations in mind, in 16

(a)

(b)

60

100 Stochastic model

40

Strong competitor x

1

30 20

Weak competitor x

2

10 0 −10

Species abundance

Species abundance

50

10

60 40 x

1

20 x2

0

Determinstic model

0

80

20 30 Time (days)

40

0

200 400 Time (days)

(c)

(d) 12

Determinstic model

20

Species abundance

Speies abundance

25

x

15

1

10 x

3

5 0

600

x

2

Stochastic model

10 8

x

3

x

1

6 x

2

4 2

0

50

100 150 Time (days)

200

0

0

200 400 Time (days)

600

Figure 3: (a) Competitive exclusion of the weak competitor (species 2) in the absence of TPP for the deterministic model (1). The fixed parameters are r1 = 0.6 day−1 , r2 = 0.6 day−1 , α1 = 0.01 biomass−1 day−1 , α2 = 0.04 biomass−1 day−1 , β12 = 0.02 biomass−1 day −1 ; for 0.021 ≤ β21 ≤ 0.05, for which species 1 persists but species 2 goes extinct. (b) Competitive exclusion of the weak competitor (species 2) in the absence of TPP for the stochastic model (14), with the parameters fixed as in 3(a) and σ1 = 0.0004, σ2 = 0.0005. Stable coexistence of the competitive species in presence of the TPP: (c) deterministic stability of the model model system (1); all the species coexists in the same range 0.021 ≤ β21 ≤ 0.05, due to introduction of the TPP with r3 = 0.66 day−1 , α3 = 0.06 biomass−1 day−1 , γ1 = 0.00034 biomass−3 day−1 , γ2 = 0.00006 biomass−3 day−1 and the other parameters fixed as in 3(a); (d) stochastic stability of the model system (14); stable coexistence of all the species even under stochastic perturbation, with intensity of stochasticity σ1 = 0.00036, σ2 = 0.005, σ3 = 0.00037. 17

(c)

(a) 30

12

25

11.5 11

20 Strong Competitor x

10.5

1

Strong competitor x1

15 10

Equilibrium abundance

10

9.5

5

9

0

8.5

0

0.002

0.004

γ1

0.006

0.008

0.01

0

0.002

0.004

(b)

γ2

0.006

0.008

0.01

0.008

0.01

(d)

6

8 7

5

6 4

5

Weak competitor x2 3

Weak Competitor x2

4 3

2

2 1 0

1 0

0.002

0.004

γ1

0.006

0.008

0.01

0

0

0.002

0.004

γ2

0.006

Figure 4: Equilibrium abundance of the strong and weak competitor with variation in the allelopathic intensity. The reported range of allelopathic parameter in Sol´e et al. (2005) is 10−6 to 10−5 . However, stable coexistence is found for a very large range of γ1 and γ2 . Left panels (a) & (b) depicts the variation of the positive-equilibrium abundance of x1 and x2 for a large range 0 ≤ γ1 ≤ 0.01. Right panels (c) & (d) depict the same for a large range 0 ≤ γ2 ≤ 0.01.

18

our three-component model, we have not considered any competition coefficient between a toxic and a non-toxic phytoplankton. However, for the the completeness of our study, and for strengthening the arguments drawn for the stable coexistence of the species, let us now explicitly introduce the effects of weak competition between x1 -x3 and x2 -x3 , represented by the coefficients β13 and β23 respectively. Along with the unaltered forms of the first two equations, the third equation of model system (1) now takes the following form, dx3 = x3 (r3 − α3 x3 − β13 x1 − β23 x2 ) . dt

(26)

To examine the effect of the competition coefficients β13 and β23 , the values of which are very low because of the presence of toxin allelopathy, we simulate the new form of the model system (1) with the other parameters kept fixed as in Figure (3). Again, similar to the previous case, the model shows a stable coexistence of all the species (Figure 5). Moreover, provided that the weak-competition coefficients β13 and β23 are bounded within reasonable ranges, and do not attain high values, positive equilibrium exists and is stable (Figure 6). Because x2 is considered as the weak competitor that undergoes competitive exclusion in the absence of the toxic species, the stability of the system tolerates much higher range of the parameter β23 than that of β13 (Figure 6).

6

Discussion

There is no universally-accepted explanation on how a large number of species of phytoplankton co-exist on a limited variety of resources (violating the principle of competitive exclusion). Either the external factors such as weather or oscillation and chaos generated by competition among the species were cited for probable explanations (Hutchinson, 1961; Richerson et al., 1970; Huisman & Weissing, 1999). However, in plankton community, the presence of TPP is remarkable in this context. On an analysis of a set of field-data that we have collected from the North-West coast of the Bay of Bengal, here we propose a possible role of toxin-allelopathy that might be responsible for a stable coexistence of the competing phytoplankton. Analysis of our field data suggests that toxic or allelopathic compounds liberated by TPP may be helpful for reduction of the competition coefficient among phytoplankton species (Section 2, also claimed by Hulot & Huisman, 2004). Based on our field observations and following the study of Sol´e et al. (2005), we have pro19

25 20

x

15

1

10 5 0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

50

60

70

80

90

100

50

60

70

80

90

100

Species abundance

8 6

x

2

4 2 0

0

10

20

30

40

15

x

3

10

5

0

0

10

20

30

40

Time (days)

Figure 5: Time series solution of the model system (1), when the weak competition effect of non-toxic species on the toxic species is considered explicitly:

dx3 dt

=

x3 (r3 − α3 x3 − β13 x1 − β23 x2 ). Stable coexistence of all the species for β13 = 0.005, β23 = 0.002, and other parameters fixed as before.

20

(a) 80

x

(d) 18

x1

1

60 16 40 14 20 0

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

12

0

0.01

0.02

Equilibrium abundance

(b) 3

0.04

0.05

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.03

0.04

0.05

3

x

x

2

2

2

2.5

1

2

0

0.03

(e)

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

1.5

0

0.01

0.02

(c)

(f)

15

10

x

x3

9.5

3

10

9 8.5

5

8 0

0

0.01

0.02

β

0.03

0.04

0.05

7.5

0

13

0.01

0.02

β

23

Figure 6: Numerical bounds of the weak competition coefficients β13 and β23 corresponding to other parameters of the model fixed as in Figure (1). Left panels (a)-(c) depict the variation of equilibrium density of x1 , x2 and x3 respectively corresponding to β13 . Right panels (d)-(f) depicts the same corresponding to β23 . The Figures depict that the stability of the system tolerates much higher range of the parameter β23 than that of β13 ; a result desirable because x2 is considered as the weak competitor that undergoes competitive exclusion in the absence of the toxic species.

21

posed and analyzed a three-component mathematical model to describe the interactions among two non-toxic and a toxic phytoplankton. Starting from a simple two-component Lotka-Volterra competition model representing competition between two non-toxic phytoplankton, the three-component model is developed on introducing a third population floor occupied by a toxic phytoplankton. The analysis in Section 3 demonstrates that, the strength of toxin-allelopathy determines the coexistence of the competing-phytoplankton species that would otherwise exhibit a competitive exclusion of the weak competitor. Restrictions on the strength of toxin-allelopathy is found that promotes the coexistence of the phytoplankton species. Moreover, for some ranges of toxin-allelopathy parameters, the dynamics of the competitors is stabilized. The conditions for stability, as we have found, are suitable restrictions on the allelopathic interactions among non-toxic and toxic phytoplankton species, not driven by external factors. The dynamics of the competing-phytoplankton species is also explored in a variable environment. The analysis in Section 4 determines the restrictions on the parameters of toxin-allelopathy that determine the stability of the coexisting equilibrium under stochastic fluctuation. These results establish that the growth rate of toxic phytoplankton and the strength of toxin allelopathy act as potential parameters for determining the dynamic behaviour of the competing phytoplankton species, both in a constant and a fluctuating environment. Finally, for a set of hypothetical parameters of the model system, numerical simulations have been performed. Our results show that the possibility of competitive exclusion among phytoplankton species is overturned because of the presence of toxin-allelopathy. The overall study suggests that, although at a species-level interaction toxin-allelopathy due to a TPP is harmful for the growth of a NTP species, for the competitive interaction of many NTP species the presence of TPP might be favourable for the stable coexistence of those species that would otherwise not coexist. In marine ecosystem where a large number of phytoplankton species coexist, TPP might be a potential candidate that, by releasing chemicals, influence on the competitive interaction among the species, and might promote the survival of the weak species. Although the general conclusions drawn from our study follow from the analysis of the filed samples and that of mathematical models, we would like to mention some of the limitations of our field study that could be overcome by a number of complimentary studied. Because the data that we have used for our analysis is restricted to a field study, the results of the statistical analysis might associate factors that are not detectable from 22

a field study without any laboratory experiments. For instance, although the biomass coefficient (x1 /x2 ) of the two non-toxic species has a significant negative correlation with the abundance of TPP species, the effect of the abundance of TPP may not be the only cause for reducing the abundance ratio x1 /x2 . There may be several other causes such as different sensitivity of the analyzed algae to the toxin or indirect effects such as zooplankton and TPP relationship, that can be crucial in this context. However, due to lack of experimental evidences along with our field observations, it is physically impossible for us to eliminate such effects. Finally, we suggest that, a number of extensive field studies in multiple locations would be necessary to establish the implications of our study in explaining the diversity of phytoplankton in natural waters. Acknowledgement: The research was supported by a project fund of the Indian Statistical Institute. The authors are grateful to the learned referees for their valuable comments on the previous version of the manuscript.

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[7] Chan, A., Andersen, R., Blanc, M.L., and Harrison, P., (1980). Algal planting as a tool for investigating allelopathy among marine microalgae. Mar. Biol. 84, 287291. [8] Chattopadhyay, J., (1996). Effect of toxic substances on a two-species competitive system. Ecol. Modell. 84, 287291. [9] Chattopadhyay J., Sarkar R.R., and Mandal S. (2002a). Toxin producing plankton may act as a biological control for planktonic blooms-field study and mathematical modeling. J. Theor. Biol. 215, 333-344. [10] Chattopadhyay, J., Sarkar, R.R., and Elabdllaoui, A. (2002b), A delay differential equation model on harmful algal blooms in the presence of toxic substances. IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology 19, 137-161. [11] Fistarol, G., Legrand, C., and Graneli, E., (2003). Allelopathic effect of primnesium parvum on a natural plankton community. Mar. Ecol.-Prog. Ser. 255, 115125. [12] Fistarol, G., Legrand, C., Selander, E., Hummert, C., Stolte, W., and Graneli, E., (2004). Allelopathy in alexandrium spp.: effect on a natural plankton community and on algal monocultures. Aquat. Microb. Ecol. 35, 4556. [13] Gikhman, I.I. and Skorokhod, A.V. (1974). The Theory of Stochastic Processes I, Springer, Berlin. [14] Gikhman, I.I. and Skorokhod, A.V. (1975). The Theory of Stochastic Processes II, Springer, Berlin. [15] Gikhman, I.I. and Skorokhod, A.V. (1979). The Theory of Stochastic Processes III, Springer, Berlin. [16] Hallam, T., Clark, C., Jordan, G., 1983. Effects of toxicants on populations: a qualitative approach. II. First order kinetics. J. Theor. Biol. 18, 2537. [17] Hardin, G., 1960 The competitive exclusion principle. Science, 131, 1292-1298. [18] Huisman, J. & Weissing, F. J. (1999) Biodiversity of plankton by species oscillation and chaos, Nature, 402, 407-410.

24

[19] Hulot, Florence D., & Huisman, J. (2004) Allelopathic interactions between phytoplankton species: The role of heterotrophic bacteria and mixing intensity, Limnol. Oceanogr., 49, 1424-1434. [20] Hutchinson, G. E. (1961) The paradox of the plankton, American Naturalist, 95, 137-145. [21] Kloeden, P.E. and Platen, E. (1995). Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations, Springer, Berlin. [22] Kot, M., (2001) Elements of Mathematical Ecology, Cambridge University Press, UK. [23] Kozlowsky-suzuki, B. et. al, 2003 Feeding, reproduction and toxin accumulation by the copepods Acartia bifilosa and Eurytenora affinis in the presence of the toxic cynobacterium Nodularia Spumigena, Marine Ecology Progess, 249, 237-249. [24] Lenski, R. E. and Hattingh, S. E., (1986) Coexistence of two competitors on one resource and one inhibitor: a chemostat model based on bacteria and antibiotics. J. Theor. Biol. 122, 83-93. [25] Levin, B. R., Stewart, F. M., and Chao, L., (1977) Resource-limited growth, competition and predation: a model and experimental studies with bacteria and bacteriophase. Am. Nat., 111, 3. [26] Levins, R. 1979 Coexistence in a variable environment. Am. Nat., 114, 765-783. [27] Levin, S. A. (1970) Community equilibrium and stability, and an extension of the competitive exclusion principle. Am. Nat., 104, 413. [28] Maynard-Smith, J., (1974). Models in Ecology. Cambridge University Press. [29] Mukhopadhyay, W., Chattopadhyay, J., and Tapaswi, P., (1998). A delay differential equations model of plankton allelopathy. Math. Biosci. 149, 167189. [30] Nakamaru, M., and Iwasa,Y., (2000). Competition by allelopathy proceeds in travelling waves: colicin-immune strain aids colicin-sensitive strain. Theor. Popul. Biol. 57, 131144.

25

[31] Nielsen, T.G., Kiørboe, T. and Bjørnsen, P.K. (1990). Effects of a Chrysochromulina polylepis sub surface bloom on the plankton community. Mar. Ecol. Progr. Ser. 62, 21-35. [32] Richerson, P.J., Armstrong, R. & Goldman, C. R. 1970 Contemporaneous disequilibrium: a new hypothesis to explain the paradox of plankton. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 67, 1710-1714. [33] Rothhaupt, K. O., 1988 Mechanistic resource competition theory applied to laboratory experiments with zooplankton. Nature, 333, 660-662. [34] Rothhaupt, K. O., 1996 Laboratory experiments with a mixotrophic and phototrophic competitors. Ecology, 77, 716-724. [35] Roy, S., Alam, S. & Chattopadhyay, J. Competing effects of toxin-producing phytoplankton on the overall plankton populations in the Bay of Bengal. Accepted for publication in Bull. of Math. Biol. [36] Roy, S., Bhattacharya, S., Das, P. & Chattopadhyay, J. Interaction among nontoxic phytoplankton, toxic phytoplankton and zooplankton: inferences from field observations. Communicated to Environmental Research Letter. [37] Scheffer, M., Rinaldi, S., Gragnani, L. R. Mur & Nes, E. H. van 1997 On the dominance of filamentous cyanobacteria in shallow, turbid lakes Ecology, 78, 272-282. [38] Sarkar, R.R. and Chattopadhyay, J. (2003). The role of environmental stochasticity in a toxic phytoplankton - non-toxic phytoplankton - zooplankton system, Environmetrics 14, 775-792. [39] Schmidt, L., and Hansen, P., (2001). Allelopathy in the prymnesiophyte Chrysocromulina polylepis: effect of cell concentration, growth phase and pH. Mar. Ecol.-Prog. Ser. 216, 6781. [40] Sole, J., Garc´ia-Ladona, E., Ruardij, P., Estrada, M. 2005 Modelling allelopathy among marine algae. Ecological Modelling, 183, 373-384. [41] Sommer, U. 1985 Comparison between steady state and non-steady state competition: experiments with natural phytoplankton. Limnol. Oceanogr., 30, 335-346. 26

[42] Sommer, U. 1986 Nitrate- and silicate-competitionamong Antarctic phytoplankton. Mar. Biol., 91, 345-351. [43] Stewart, F. M. and Levin, B. R. (1973) Resource partition and the outcome of interspecific competition: a model and some general considerations. Am. Nat., 107, 171. [44] Tilman, D. 1977 Resource competition between planktonic algae: an experimental and theoritical approach. Ecology, 58, 338-348. [45] Tilman, D. 1981 Test of resource competition theory using four species ok Lake Michigan algae. Ecology, 62, 802-815. [46] Tillmann, U., and John, U., (2002). Toxic effects of alexandrium spp. on heterotrophic dinoflagellates: an allelochemical defence mechanism independent of psp-toxin content. Mar. Ecol.-Prog. Ser. 230, 4758. [47] Tomas, C. R., 1997 Identifying Marine Diatoms and Dinoflagellates, San Diego, CA: AP, 858. [48] Vance, R. R., (1985) The stable coexistence of two competitors for one resource, Am. Nat., 126, 72. Appendix Proof of Theorem (4.2): Let us consider the following Lyapunov function V (u(t), t) =

1 [ u 1 2 + w2 u 2 2 + w3 u 3 2 ] 2

(27)

where wi (i = 1, 2, 3) are real positive-constants to be chosen suitably. It can be easily verified that the inequality (22) holds for p = 2. Now, 

1

0

 ∂2V =  0 w2 2 ∂u 0 0

27

0

 

0  

w3

(28)

Hence, g T (u(t)) so,



 ∂2V g(u(t)) =   2 ∂u

σ1 2 u1 2

0

0

0

w2 σ2 2 u2 2

0

0

2

0

w3 σ3 u3

 2

 , 

(29)

 1 ∂2V 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 . σ u + w σ u + w σ u T r [ g T (u(t)) g(u(t)) ] = 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 ∂u2 2

(30)

Again     ∂V (u, t) = x1∗ −α1 − γ1 x3∗ 2 u1 2 + x2∗ −α2 − γ2 x3∗ 2 w2 u2 2 − ∂u α3 x3∗ u3 2 w3 − 2 u3 x2∗ 2 γ2 x3∗ w2 u2 − 2 x1∗ 2 γ1 x3 u3 u1 − (x2∗ β21 w2 + x1∗ β12 ) u1 u2

f T (u(t))

(31)

Therefore,      1 1 2 2 ∗2 ∗ 2 ∗ W (u(t)) = −[ w3 2 α3 x3 − σ3 u3 + − σ1 + x1 α1 + γ1 x3 u1 2 + 2 2     1 ∗ ∗2 2 x2 w2 α2 + γ2 x3 − w2 σ2 u2 2 + (x2∗ β21 w2 + x1∗ β12 ) u1 u2 + 2 2 u3 x2∗ 2 γ2 x3∗ w2 u2 + 2 x1 2 γ1 x3∗ u3 u1 ].

(32)

Let the following conditions hold 







σ1 2 < 2 x∗1 α1 + γ1 x∗3 2 , σ22 < 2 x∗2 α2 + γ2 x∗3 2 , σ32 < 2 α3 x∗3

(33)

Then W (u(t)) can be written in the following form W (u(t)) = −uT Q u

(34)

where u = (u1 , u2 , u3 )T and Q is the following positive definite symmetric-matrix

Q =

      



− 21 σ1 2 + x1∗ α1 + γ1 x3∗ 2 1 2

x2∗ β21 w2 + 21 x1∗ β12 x1∗ 2 γ1 x3∗



1 2

x1∗ 2 γ1 x3∗

x2∗ β21 w2 + 12 x1∗ β12 

x2∗ w2 α2 +

γ2 x3∗ 2



− 12 w2 σ2 2

x2∗ 2 γ2 x3∗ w2

28

x2∗ 2 γ2 1 2

x3∗ w2

w3 (2 α3 x3∗ − σ3 2 )

      

Clearly, the eigenvalues of Q namely, λ1 , λ2 , λ3 are real positive quantities. If λm denotes the minimum of λ1 , λ2 , λ3 , then from (21) we get W (u, t) ≤ −λm |u(t)|2

(35)

Hence the trivial solution of system (14) is asymptotically mean-square stable. Sufficient conditions for stability of the model system (1) under stochastic fluctuation, i.e., system (14), follow 



σ1 2 < 2 x∗1 α1 + γ1 x∗3 2 ,

(36)





σ22 < 2 x∗2 α2 + γ2 x∗3 2 ,

(37)

σ32 < 2 α3 x∗3

(38)

Combining the above three conditions and after simplification, we find the following sufficient condition for stochastic stability γ1 γ2 >



α3 r3

4

Hence the theorem.

29

σ12 σ22 σ32 8 r3

!