May 13, 2015 - 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% ... internet to reach respondents w
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
May 13, 2015
INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL
[email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Walker Leads Tightly Clustered GOP Field, Clinton Up Big Nationally Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's national Republican poll for May continues to find Scott Walker leading the field, but it's tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two consecutive surveys now. Walker's at 18% to 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, 5% for Chris Christie, and 2% for Rick Perry. Two candidates have the clear momentum in the six weeks since we did our last national Republican poll: Marco Rubio and Mike Huckabee. In addition to being second place overall, Rubio is the most frequently named second choice of GOP voters at 15%. The 28% of Republicans who name him as either their first or second choice matches Walker for the top of the heap. His 13% represents a 7 point gain from his 6% standing in late March. Huckabee's gained 6 points from the last national poll we did. His 58% favorability rating is the highest of the GOP field and his net +34 rating at 58/24 is tied with Rubio's at 56/22 to make him the most popular candidate. Two other candidates clearly have their support headed in the wrong direction: Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz. Bush had been in 2nd at 17% and has now dropped to 5th at 11%. He continues to really struggle with voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative.' Just 5% support him for the nomination and his favorability with them is under water at 35/44. On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton leads with 63% to 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee, and 2% for Martin O'Malley. Clinton's over 60% with liberals, moderates, women, whites, African Americans, and seniors and is at least over 50% with men, Hispanics, and young voters. “Republicans are bouncing up and down much as they did in 2012,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Meanwhile Hillary Clinton maintains her dominant hold on the Democratic lead.” Public Policy Polling® interviewed 685 Republican primary voters and 600 Democratic primary voters nationally from May 7th to 10th. The margins of error for the surveys are +/-3.7% and +/4.0% respectively. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones. Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email:
[email protected]
National Survey Results Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
Q7
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Perry?
Favorable........................................................ 40%
Favorable........................................................ 42%
Unfavorable .................................................... 36%
Unfavorable .................................................... 26%
Not sure .......................................................... 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 32%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Carson?
Q8
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?
Favorable........................................................ 54%
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Unfavorable .................................................... 18%
Unfavorable .................................................... 22%
Not sure .......................................................... 28%
Not sure .......................................................... 22%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?
Q9
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Walker?
Favorable........................................................ 31%
Favorable........................................................ 50%
Unfavorable .................................................... 52%
Unfavorable .................................................... 16%
Not sure .......................................................... 17%
Not sure .......................................................... 34%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ted Cruz? Favorable........................................................ 51% Unfavorable .................................................... 25% Not sure .......................................................... 24%
Q5
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Huckabee? Favorable........................................................ 58% Unfavorable .................................................... 24% Not sure .......................................................... 18%
Q6
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rand Paul? Favorable........................................................ 48% Unfavorable .................................................... 29% Not sure .......................................................... 24%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 685 Republican primary voters
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
May 7-10, 2015
Q10 (Republicans) Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016? Jeb Bush......................................................... 11% Ben Carson..................................................... 12% Chris Christie .................................................. 5% Ted Cruz ......................................................... 10% Mike Huckabee ............................................... 12%
Q12 When it comes to the Republican nominee for President are you more concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues, or the one who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election? More concerned with having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues.... 38% More concerned with having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election .................... 53% Not sure .......................................................... 10%
Q13 (Republicans) Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
Rand Paul ....................................................... 9%
Yes.................................................................. 24%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 2%
No ................................................................... 61%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 13%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%
Scott Walker ................................................... 18% Someone else / Not sure ................................ 7%
Q11 (Republicans) Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the GOP candidate for President in 2016? Jeb Bush......................................................... 8%
Q14 (Republicans) Are you an Evangelical Christian or not? Yes.................................................................. 51% No ................................................................... 49%
Q15 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lindsey Graham?
Ben Carson..................................................... 11%
Favorable........................................................ 19%
Chris Christie .................................................. 6%
Unfavorable .................................................... 31%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 6%
Not sure .......................................................... 49%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 10% Rand Paul ....................................................... 8% Rick Perry ....................................................... 5% Marco Rubio ................................................... 15% Scott Walker ................................................... 10% Someone else / Not sure ................................ 20%
Q16 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George Pataki? Favorable........................................................ 13% Unfavorable .................................................... 24% Not sure .......................................................... 64%
Q17 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump? Favorable........................................................ 37% Unfavorable .................................................... 43% Not sure .......................................................... 20%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 685 Republican primary voters
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
May 7-10, 2015
Q18 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carly Fiorina? Favorable........................................................ 28% Unfavorable .................................................... 21% Not sure .......................................................... 51%
Q19 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal? Favorable........................................................ 44%
q23 Do you think that the Government is trying to take over Texas or not? The Government is trying to take over Texas.. 32% The Government is not trying to take over Texas .............................................................. 40% Not sure .......................................................... 28%
q24 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
Unfavorable .................................................... 18%
Very liberal ...................................................... 1%
Not sure .......................................................... 39%
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 6%
Q20 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich? Favorable........................................................ 22% Unfavorable .................................................... 17% Not sure .......................................................... 61%
Q21 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum? Favorable........................................................ 45% Unfavorable .................................................... 22% Not sure .......................................................... 33%
Q22 (Republicans) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Emily Farris? Favorable........................................................ 3% Unfavorable .................................................... 20%
Moderate......................................................... 21% Somewhat conservative.................................. 34% Very conservative ........................................... 37%
q25 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman ........................................................... 49% Man................................................................. 51%
Q26 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 18 to 29........................................................... 13% 30 to 45........................................................... 19% 46 to 65........................................................... 41% Older than 65 .................................................. 28%
Not sure .......................................................... 77%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 685 Republican primary voters
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
May 7-10, 2015
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
81%
41%
37%
18%
43%
25%
51%
46%
33%
25%
Unfavorable 36%
2%
42%
31%
61%
30%
45%
46%
26%
54%
19%
Not sure 24%
17%
17%
33%
21%
27%
30%
3%
28%
13%
56%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
21%
88%
24%
60%
36%
46%
59%
65%
72%
27%
Unfavorable 18%
30%
5%
47%
17%
21%
17%
27%
11%
16%
20%
Not sure 28%
49%
7%
30%
23%
42%
37%
15%
24%
12%
53%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Christie Favorability Favorable 31%
36%
23%
97%
15%
36%
30%
25%
28%
21%
34%
Unfavorable 52%
50%
60%
1%
66%
34%
54%
65%
56%
68%
33%
Not sure 17%
14%
17%
1%
19%
30%
16%
10%
16%
11%
33%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
15%
56%
21%
88%
45%
33%
63%
53%
76%
29%
Unfavorable 25%
39%
20%
43%
10%
28%
38%
24%
28%
13%
29%
Not sure 24%
46%
24%
36%
3%
27%
29%
14%
19%
11%
42%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%
43%
69%
48%
42%
93%
34%
50%
60%
64%
54%
Unfavorable 24%
32%
20%
43%
26%
5%
47%
27%
24%
22%
11%
Not sure 18%
26%
11%
9%
33%
2%
18%
23%
17%
15%
35%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
34%
39%
33%
63%
40%
86%
49%
54%
46%
31%
Unfavorable 29%
37%
31%
48%
20%
29%
7%
27%
34%
32%
19%
Not sure 24%
29%
29%
19%
17%
31%
7%
24%
12%
22%
49%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
35%
44%
18%
63%
37%
30%
61%
44%
49%
30%
Unfavorable 26%
44%
20%
44%
15%
21%
26%
29%
28%
25%
21%
Not sure 32%
21%
36%
38%
22%
41%
44%
10%
29%
26%
49%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%
36%
62%
41%
61%
41%
23%
52%
87%
77%
35%
Unfavorable 22%
26%
16%
23%
21%
31%
44%
37%
7%
15%
20%
Not sure 22%
37%
21%
36%
17%
28%
33%
10%
6%
8%
45%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Walker Favorability Favorable 50%
24%
48%
40%
52%
36%
19%
33%
56%
98%
39%
Unfavorable 16%
29%
15%
8%
10%
19%
32%
27%
16%
0%
17%
Not sure 34%
48%
36%
52%
38%
45%
50%
40%
28%
1%
44%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Cruz Huckabee
Rand Paul
Rick Marco Scott Someone else Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11% Ben Carson 12%
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5%
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Ted Cruz 10%
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
Mike Huckabee 12%
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
-
Rand Paul
9%
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
Rick Perry
2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
Marco Rubio 13%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
Scott Walker 18%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
Chris Christie
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Republican Primary Second Choice Jeb Bush
8%
Ben Carson 11% Chris Christie
6%
Ted Cruz
6%
-
7%
5%
-
21%
1%
6%
3%
10%
15%
24%
17%
4%
8%
10%
13%
12%
16%
-
14%
17%
5%
-
1%
12%
13%
3%
2%
5%
-
-
12%
6%
-
6%
4%
3%
11%
10%
Mike Huckabee 10%
18%
26%
9%
10%
-
9%
3%
9%
5%
8%
Rand Paul
8%
3%
4%
18%
16%
11%
15%
9%
9%
3%
Rick Perry
5%
5%
3%
1%
8%
5%
8%
-
4%
8%
1%
Marco Rubio 15%
14%
19%
8%
22%
12%
7%
17%
-
-
33%
Scott Walker 10%
9%
9%
19%
17%
8%
5%
29%
20%
-
Someone else / Not 20% sure
24%
18%
23%
11%
23%
22%
6%
14%
8%
-
5% 70%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
22%
43%
25%
63%
47%
41%
57%
21%
36%
38%
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
62%
49%
57%
33%
43%
44%
41%
75%
59%
42%
Not sure 10%
16%
8%
18%
5%
10%
15%
3%
3%
6%
21%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
4%
26%
19%
60%
27%
24%
43%
14%
27%
5%
No 61%
80%
63%
71%
27%
62%
52%
44%
72%
54%
76%
Not sure 16%
17%
11%
10%
14%
12%
25%
13%
14%
20%
18%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
41%
63%
30%
65%
60%
40%
68%
51%
43%
56%
No 49%
59%
37%
70%
35%
40%
60%
32%
49%
57%
44%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Graham Favorability Favorable 19%
27%
17%
17%
10%
21%
3%
3%
34%
24%
11%
Unfavorable 31%
25%
32%
50%
59%
24%
18%
22%
25%
38%
16%
Not sure 49%
49%
50%
33%
31%
55%
79%
75%
41%
38%
73%
Republican Primary Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Favorable 13%
12%
7%
24%
4%
9%
Unfavorable 24%
29%
22%
3%
36%
Not sure 64%
59%
71%
73%
60%
Base Pataki Favorability
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
8%
23%
13%
22%
9%
25%
9%
21%
26%
32%
11%
66%
82%
55%
61%
47%
81%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
24%
31%
48%
33%
34%
29%
57%
49%
47%
22%
Unfavorable 43%
58%
40%
39%
40%
45%
46%
43%
42%
36%
49%
Not sure 20%
18%
29%
13%
27%
20%
25%
-
9%
17%
29%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%
16%
26%
31%
34%
14%
14%
15%
33%
54%
12%
Unfavorable 21%
32%
31%
22%
14%
21%
10%
23%
16%
19%
22%
Not sure 51%
53%
43%
47%
51%
66%
77%
62%
51%
27%
65%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%
16%
47%
15%
70%
31%
25%
28%
Unfavorable 18%
32%
19%
16%
10%
21%
26%
31%
Not sure 39%
51%
33%
69%
20%
48%
49%
42%
59%
72%
13%
8%
6%
28%
33%
22%
59%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
11%
30%
18%
19%
14%
10%
30%
28%
39%
9%
Unfavorable 17%
20%
17%
7%
20%
26%
10%
40%
11%
19%
11%
Not sure 61%
70%
53%
75%
61%
60%
80%
30%
61%
42%
81%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
34%
55%
33%
66%
42%
27%
58%
52%
44%
39%
Unfavorable 22%
32%
18%
19%
11%
16%
29%
17%
22%
26%
17%
Not sure 33%
34%
26%
48%
23%
42%
44%
25%
26%
29%
44%
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Farris Favorability 3%
4%
1%
-
-
1%
5%
-
12%
2%
-
Unfavorable 20%
24%
26%
20%
17%
22%
11%
55%
10%
22%
13%
Not sure 77%
73%
74%
80%
83%
77%
84%
45%
78%
76%
87%
Favorable
Republican Primary Base
Jeb Ben Chris Bush Carson Christie
Ted Mike Rand Rick Marco Scott Someone else Cruz Huckabee Paul Perry Rubio Walker / Not sure
Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
18%
25%
15%
56%
35%
29%
76%
32%
38%
12%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
59%
42%
50%
21%
35%
50%
17%
35%
36%
44%
Not sure 28%
23%
33%
34%
22%
30%
22%
7%
33%
27%
44%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
31%
52%
14%
Unfavorable 36%
43%
29%
52%
Not sure 24%
27%
19%
34%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
56%
56%
32%
Unfavorable 18%
15%
19%
32%
Not sure 28%
30%
26%
35%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Christie Favorability Favorable 31%
28%
34%
21%
Unfavorable 52%
51%
53%
52%
Not sure 17%
20%
13%
26%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
61%
49%
23%
Unfavorable 25%
16%
29%
40%
Not sure 24%
23%
22%
36%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%
62%
63%
23%
Unfavorable 24%
18%
23%
54%
Not sure 18%
20%
15%
23%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
54%
47%
27%
Unfavorable 29%
20%
33%
39%
Not sure 24%
26%
20%
34%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
49%
41%
16%
Unfavorable 26%
15%
29%
52%
Not sure 32%
36%
29%
31%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%
52%
65%
24%
Unfavorable 22%
23%
16%
44%
Not sure 22%
25%
19%
32%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Walker Favorability Favorable 50%
53%
55%
19%
Unfavorable 16%
8%
17%
40%
Not sure 34%
40%
28%
41%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11%
7%
13%
19%
Ben Carson 12%
14%
11%
11%
5%
3%
5%
9%
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz 10%
16%
6%
5%
Mike Huckabee 12%
15%
10%
13%
Rand Paul
9%
10%
7%
14%
Rick Perry
2%
4%
2%
1%
Marco Rubio 13%
7%
19%
4%
Scott Walker 18%
17%
20%
10%
7%
5%
15%
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Republican Primary Second Choice 8%
7%
10%
4%
Ben Carson 11%
13%
9%
10%
6%
7%
9%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
6%
Ted Cruz
6%
9%
4%
5%
Mike Huckabee 10%
14%
9%
2%
Rand Paul
8%
8%
8%
4%
Rick Perry
5%
5%
6%
1%
Marco Rubio 15%
11%
19%
9%
Scott Walker 10%
11%
10%
3%
Someone else / Not 20% sure
17%
17%
53%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
100%
-
-
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
-
100%
-
Not sure 10%
-
-
100%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
38%
17%
8%
No 61%
47%
68%
76%
Not sure 16%
16%
16%
16%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
63%
44%
41%
No 49%
37%
56%
59%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Graham Favorability Favorable 19%
12%
27%
7%
Unfavorable 31%
30%
31%
37%
Not sure 49%
58%
41%
56%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%
11%
15%
7%
Unfavorable 24%
21%
28%
14%
Not sure 64%
68%
58%
79%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
41%
38%
12%
Unfavorable 43%
37%
45%
61%
Not sure 20%
22%
17%
27%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%
25%
33%
14%
Unfavorable 21%
13%
24%
34%
Not sure 51%
63%
42%
52%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%
45%
48%
17%
Unfavorable 18%
11%
17%
45%
Not sure 39%
44%
35%
38%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
20%
27%
9%
Unfavorable 17%
17%
16%
22%
Not sure 61%
63%
57%
69%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
57%
43%
15%
Unfavorable 22%
9%
27%
39%
Not sure 33%
34%
30%
46%
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Farris Favorability 3%
3%
4%
-
Unfavorable 20%
18%
21%
17%
Not sure 77%
79%
75%
83%
Favorable
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with having the candidate More concerned with having the candidate who has the Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not sure
Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
39%
29%
23%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
28%
44%
57%
Not sure 28%
33%
27%
20%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
25%
47%
35%
Unfavorable 36%
57%
28%
37%
Not sure 24%
18%
25%
28%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
74%
45%
55%
Unfavorable 18%
9%
23%
14%
Not sure 28%
16%
32%
31%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Christie Favorability Favorable 31%
30%
33%
24%
Unfavorable 52%
52%
51%
54%
Not sure 17%
17%
16%
22%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
79%
38%
59%
Unfavorable 25%
13%
34%
10%
Not sure 24%
8%
28%
31%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%
61%
57%
60%
Unfavorable 24%
19%
27%
21%
Not sure 18%
20%
16%
19%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
58%
42%
55%
Unfavorable 29%
25%
33%
18%
Not sure 24%
17%
25%
26%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
60%
35%
42%
Unfavorable 26%
14%
34%
14%
Not sure 32%
25%
31%
44%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%
61%
55%
54%
Unfavorable 22%
23%
22%
16%
Not sure 22%
16%
23%
30%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Walker Favorability Favorable 50%
65%
43%
58%
Unfavorable 16%
10%
20%
7%
Not sure 34%
24%
37%
35%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11%
2%
15%
12%
Ben Carson 12%
13%
13%
9%
5%
4%
6%
3%
Ted Cruz 10%
25%
4%
9%
Mike Huckabee 12%
14%
12%
9%
Rand Paul
9%
9%
8%
14%
Rick Perry
2%
4%
2%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
8%
16%
11%
Scott Walker 18%
20%
16%
23%
2%
9%
8%
Chris Christie
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Republican Primary Second Choice 8%
4%
11%
4%
Ben Carson 11%
15%
10%
7%
6%
8%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
6%
6%
Ted Cruz
6%
10%
4%
11%
Mike Huckabee 10%
10%
12%
4%
Rand Paul
8%
10%
7%
9%
Rick Perry
5%
8%
4%
6%
Marco Rubio 15%
13%
15%
18%
Scott Walker 10%
11%
8%
13%
Someone else / Not 20% sure
14%
23%
21%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
59%
29%
38%
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
37%
59%
52%
Not sure 10%
3%
12%
10%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
Not sure
No
Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
100%
-
-
No 61%
-
100%
-
Not sure 16%
-
-
100%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
68%
42%
58%
No 49%
32%
58%
42%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Graham Favorability Favorable 19%
19%
21%
13%
Unfavorable 31%
43%
27%
31%
Not sure 49%
38%
52%
56%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%
9%
15%
7%
Unfavorable 24%
33%
21%
23%
Not sure 64%
58%
64%
70%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
50%
31%
40%
Unfavorable 43%
29%
52%
34%
Not sure 20%
21%
18%
27%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%
34%
25%
32%
Unfavorable 21%
15%
26%
11%
Not sure 51%
51%
50%
57%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%
61%
36%
48%
Unfavorable 18%
10%
21%
14%
Not sure 39%
29%
43%
37%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
29%
20%
22%
Unfavorable 17%
18%
17%
16%
Not sure 61%
53%
63%
62%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
64%
38%
46%
Unfavorable 22%
14%
27%
11%
Not sure 33%
22%
35%
43%
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Farris Favorability 3%
4%
2%
6%
Unfavorable 20%
23%
21%
11%
Not sure 77%
73%
77%
83%
Favorable
Tea Party Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Not sure
Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
50%
22%
40%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
24%
49%
27%
Not sure 28%
25%
29%
33%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
37%
43%
Unfavorable 37%
37%
36%
Not sure 23%
25%
21%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
60%
47%
Unfavorable 18%
13%
23%
Not sure 28%
27%
29%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Christie Favorability Favorable 31%
26%
36%
Unfavorable 52%
54%
50%
Not sure 17%
20%
14%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
60%
43%
Unfavorable 25%
18%
33%
Not sure 24%
22%
25%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%
67%
49%
Unfavorable 24%
15%
34%
Not sure 17%
18%
17%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
51%
45%
Unfavorable 29%
25%
33%
Not sure 23%
24%
22%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
51%
33%
Unfavorable 26%
15%
37%
Not sure 32%
33%
30%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Rubio Favorability Favorable 57%
57%
56%
Unfavorable 21%
19%
24%
Not sure 22%
24%
20%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Walker Favorability Favorable 51%
55%
46%
Unfavorable 15%
11%
20%
Not sure 34%
33%
34%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11%
9%
14%
Ben Carson 12%
15%
9%
5%
3%
7%
Ted Cruz 10%
13%
7%
Mike Huckabee 12%
14%
10%
Rand Paul
9%
7%
11%
Rick Perry
2%
3%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
13%
13%
Scott Walker 18%
16%
21%
8%
6%
Chris Christie
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Republican Primary Second Choice 8%
6%
10%
Ben Carson 11%
12%
9%
5%
8%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
7%
Ted Cruz
6%
8%
5%
Mike Huckabee
9%
12%
7%
Rand Paul
8%
7%
9%
Rick Perry
5%
7%
4%
Marco Rubio 15%
12%
18%
Scott Walker 10%
11%
8%
Someone else / Not 20% sure
20%
21%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
47%
28%
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
45%
60%
Not sure 10%
8%
12%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
32%
16%
No 60%
50%
71%
Not sure 16%
18%
13%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
100%
-
No 49%
-
100%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Graham Favorability Favorable 20%
20%
19%
Unfavorable 32%
30%
33%
Not sure 49%
50%
48%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%
6%
20%
Unfavorable 24%
25%
23%
Not sure 63%
69%
57%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
40%
33%
Unfavorable 43%
36%
51%
Not sure 20%
24%
16%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%
22%
35%
Unfavorable 21%
19%
23%
Not sure 51%
59%
42%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%
48%
41%
Unfavorable 18%
13%
22%
Not sure 38%
39%
37%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
19%
25%
Unfavorable 17%
17%
17%
Not sure 61%
64%
58%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
54%
36%
Unfavorable 22%
12%
32%
Not sure 33%
34%
32%
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Farris Favorability 3%
3%
3%
Unfavorable 20%
20%
19%
Not sure 77%
77%
77%
Favorable
Evangelical Yes/No Base
Yes
No
Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
41%
23%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
28%
52%
Not sure 28%
31%
25%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
49%
35%
46%
42%
35%
Unfavorable 36%
15%
29%
28%
36%
44%
Not sure 24%
36%
37%
26%
22%
21%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
36%
34%
35%
58%
64%
Unfavorable 18%
22%
38%
32%
12%
13%
Not sure 28%
42%
28%
33%
30%
23%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Christie Favorability -
33%
37%
33%
25%
Unfavorable 52%
94%
54%
45%
50%
56%
Not sure 17%
6%
14%
17%
17%
18%
Favorable 31%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
36%
29%
22%
51%
72%
Unfavorable 25%
22%
48%
43%
23%
13%
Not sure 24%
42%
23%
34%
26%
15%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Huckabee Favorability -
37%
46%
61%
68%
Unfavorable 24%
22%
48%
34%
21%
17%
Not sure 18%
78%
15%
19%
19%
14%
Favorable 58%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
49%
30%
31%
47%
61%
Unfavorable 29%
15%
51%
38%
31%
18%
Not sure 24%
36%
19%
31%
22%
21%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
72%
21%
23%
45%
52%
Unfavorable 26%
22%
45%
48%
24%
14%
Not sure 32%
6%
33%
29%
32%
34%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Rubio Favorability -
23%
31%
71%
63%
Unfavorable 22%
58%
49%
35%
14%
16%
Not sure 22%
42%
28%
35%
15%
20%
Favorable 56%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Walker Favorability -
14%
27%
65%
58%
Unfavorable 16%
22%
53%
31%
5%
10%
Not sure 34%
78%
33%
42%
30%
32%
Favorable 50%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11% Ben Carson 12% Chris Christie
5%
Ted Cruz 10% Mike Huckabee 12%
43%
21%
24%
7%
5%
-
21%
10%
10%
15%
6%
3%
10%
6%
2%
-
5%
1%
7%
19%
7%
11%
18%
11%
10%
Rand Paul
9%
7%
14%
12%
8%
7%
Rick Perry
2%
36%
3%
3%
2%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
-
9%
10%
15%
14%
Scott Walker 18%
-
-
6%
28%
20%
-
14%
8%
7%
5%
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Republican Primary Second Choice Jeb Bush
8%
Ben Carson 11%
42%
12%
9%
9%
6%
-
6%
7%
13%
11%
6%
12%
6%
4%
Chris Christie
6%
-
Ted Cruz
6%
-
1%
7%
4%
9%
Mike Huckabee 10%
-
12%
10%
6%
14%
4%
8%
6%
11%
Rand Paul
8%
7%
Rick Perry
5%
36%
-
2%
6%
6%
-
10%
7%
22%
14%
Marco Rubio 15% Scott Walker 10% Someone else / Not 20% sure
-
4%
6%
13%
11%
15%
45%
32%
16%
14%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
79%
17%
23%
28%
57%
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
15%
60%
54%
67%
39%
Not sure 10%
6%
23%
23%
6%
4%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
36%
17%
6%
17%
41%
No 61%
28%
71%
83%
66%
42%
Not sure 16%
36%
13%
11%
17%
17%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
79%
51%
30%
42%
71%
No 49%
21%
49%
70%
58%
29%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Graham Favorability Favorable 19%
7%
10%
14%
27%
18%
Unfavorable 31%
7%
55%
30%
23%
36%
Not sure 49%
85%
35%
56%
49%
46%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%
36%
4%
12%
18%
9%
Unfavorable 24%
15%
50%
22%
20%
24%
Not sure 64%
49%
46%
66%
62%
67%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
42%
22%
25%
37%
45%
Unfavorable 43%
22%
55%
62%
45%
30%
Not sure 20%
36%
23%
13%
18%
25%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Fiorina Favorability -
10%
21%
36%
29%
Unfavorable 21%
15%
50%
32%
14%
17%
Not sure 51%
85%
39%
47%
50%
55%
Favorable 28%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Jindal Favorability -
13%
28%
46%
Unfavorable 18%
22%
48%
35%
11%
9%
Not sure 39%
78%
40%
38%
43%
34%
Favorable 44%
57%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
36%
26%
15%
24%
24%
Unfavorable 17%
51%
30%
24%
12%
14%
Not sure 61%
13%
45%
60%
64%
61%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
72%
11%
28%
45%
60%
Unfavorable 22%
15%
53%
37%
23%
7%
Not sure 33%
13%
36%
35%
32%
33%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Farris Favorability -
9%
7%
2%
1%
Unfavorable 20%
87%
41%
25%
15%
15%
Not sure 77%
13%
50%
68%
83%
84%
Favorable
3%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
43%
36%
17%
25%
46%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
15%
59%
64%
37%
25%
Not sure 28%
42%
5%
18%
38%
29%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
39%
41%
Unfavorable 36%
32%
40%
Not sure 24%
28%
19%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
51%
56%
Unfavorable 18%
16%
21%
Not sure 28%
33%
23%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Christie Favorability Favorable 31%
32%
30%
Unfavorable 52%
45%
59%
Not sure 17%
23%
12%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
48%
54%
Unfavorable 25%
20%
30%
Not sure 24%
32%
16%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%
58%
59%
Unfavorable 24%
21%
27%
Not sure 18%
21%
14%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
41%
54%
Unfavorable 29%
29%
29%
Not sure 24%
30%
18%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
39%
44%
Unfavorable 26%
22%
31%
Not sure 32%
39%
25%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%
54%
58%
Unfavorable 22%
21%
23%
Not sure 22%
25%
19%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Walker Favorability Favorable 50%
44%
56%
Unfavorable 16%
13%
18%
Not sure 34%
43%
25%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11%
12%
11%
Ben Carson 12%
13%
11%
5%
6%
4%
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz 10%
10%
9%
Mike Huckabee 12%
13%
11%
Rand Paul
9%
7%
10%
Rick Perry
2%
3%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
13%
14%
Scott Walker 18%
12%
25%
11%
3%
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Republican Primary Second Choice 8%
8%
9%
Ben Carson 11%
11%
11%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
6%
5%
8%
Ted Cruz
6%
6%
7%
Mike Huckabee 10%
8%
12%
Rand Paul
8%
6%
10%
Rick Perry
5%
5%
6%
Marco Rubio 15%
17%
13%
Scott Walker 10%
10%
10%
Someone else / Not 20% sure
26%
15%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
38%
37%
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
48%
57%
Not sure 10%
13%
6%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
19%
28%
No 61%
63%
58%
Not sure 16%
18%
14%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
54%
48%
No 49%
46%
52%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Graham Favorability Favorable 19%
18%
21%
Unfavorable 31%
30%
32%
Not sure 49%
52%
47%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%
12%
13%
Unfavorable 24%
19%
28%
Not sure 64%
69%
59%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
35%
38%
Unfavorable 43%
38%
48%
Not sure 20%
26%
14%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%
27%
29%
Unfavorable 21%
18%
24%
Not sure 51%
55%
47%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%
38%
49%
Unfavorable 18%
16%
19%
Not sure 39%
46%
32%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
17%
28%
Unfavorable 17%
15%
19%
Not sure 61%
68%
53%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
42%
48%
Unfavorable 22%
17%
26%
Not sure 33%
41%
25%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Farris Favorability 3%
2%
4%
Unfavorable 20%
18%
21%
Not sure 77%
80%
75%
Favorable
Gender Base Woman
Man
Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
34%
29%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
34%
45%
Not sure 28%
31%
26%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Bush Favorability Favorable 40%
38%
30%
42%
45%
Unfavorable 36%
41%
31%
39%
33%
Not sure 24%
21%
39%
19%
22%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Carson Favorability Favorable 54%
56%
43%
56%
56%
Unfavorable 18%
24%
25%
14%
18%
Not sure 28%
20%
31%
30%
26%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Christie Favorability Favorable 31%
28%
34%
32%
28%
Unfavorable 52%
48%
57%
51%
52%
Not sure 17%
23%
9%
17%
20%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Cruz Favorability Favorable 51%
42%
40%
56%
54%
Unfavorable 25%
35%
29%
23%
22%
Not sure 24%
24%
31%
21%
23%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Huckabee Favorability Favorable 58%
45%
57%
58%
65%
Unfavorable 24%
31%
23%
26%
19%
Not sure 18%
24%
20%
16%
16%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Paul Favorability Favorable 48%
46%
46%
52%
43%
Unfavorable 29%
27%
30%
29%
28%
Not sure 24%
27%
24%
19%
29%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Perry Favorability Favorable 42%
36%
40%
43%
44%
Unfavorable 26%
32%
26%
28%
22%
Not sure 32%
31%
34%
29%
34%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Rubio Favorability Favorable 56%
37%
45%
61%
65%
Unfavorable 22%
38%
28%
17%
17%
Not sure 22%
25%
27%
22%
19%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Walker Favorability Favorable 50%
45%
33%
52%
62%
Unfavorable 16%
25%
19%
16%
9%
Not sure 34%
30%
48%
32%
29%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Republican Primary Jeb Bush 11%
7%
8%
13%
13%
Ben Carson 12%
21%
5%
14%
10%
5%
7%
11%
3%
4%
Ted Cruz 10%
3%
9%
13%
9%
Mike Huckabee 12%
9%
10%
12%
14%
Rand Paul
9%
11%
19%
7%
4%
Rick Perry
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
Marco Rubio 13%
17%
14%
13%
11%
Scott Walker 18%
18%
12%
17%
25%
3%
8%
7%
7%
Chris Christie
Someone else / Not sure
7%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Republican Primary Second Choice 8%
3%
10%
9%
9%
Ben Carson 11%
25%
4%
9%
11%
7%
7%
4%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
6%
8%
Ted Cruz
6%
10%
-
9%
4%
Mike Huckabee 10%
11%
16%
9%
8%
Rand Paul
8%
-
13%
10%
5%
Rick Perry
5%
4%
4%
5%
6%
Marco Rubio 15%
9%
12%
16%
18%
Scott Walker 10%
9%
5%
10%
13%
Someone else / Not 20% sure
21%
29%
16%
20%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Republican Nominee Conservative or General More concerned with 38% having the candidate who is the most conservative on the issues
42%
48%
37%
30%
More concerned with 53% having the candidate who has the best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
55%
43%
51%
60%
Not sure 10%
3%
9%
12%
10%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Tea Party Yes/No Yes 24%
29%
26%
22%
22%
No 61%
61%
55%
61%
64%
Not sure 16%
10%
19%
17%
13%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Evangelical Yes/No Yes 51%
60%
45%
48%
55%
No 49%
40%
55%
52%
45%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Graham Favorability Favorable 19%
14%
9%
20%
28%
Unfavorable 31%
42%
28%
35%
23%
Not sure 49%
45%
63%
45%
49%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Pataki Favorability Favorable 13%
7%
13%
12%
16%
Unfavorable 24%
28%
16%
27%
22%
Not sure 64%
65%
71%
61%
62%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Trump Favorability Favorable 37%
39%
45%
34%
34%
Unfavorable 43%
44%
31%
48%
45%
Not sure 20%
17%
25%
18%
21%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Fiorina Favorability Favorable 28%
21%
14%
36%
30%
Unfavorable 21%
21%
19%
22%
21%
Not sure 51%
58%
68%
43%
48%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Jindal Favorability Favorable 44%
36%
35%
48%
47%
Unfavorable 18%
13%
19%
19%
16%
Not sure 39%
51%
46%
33%
37%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Kasich Favorability Favorable 22%
19%
21%
19%
30%
Unfavorable 17%
26%
14%
18%
14%
Not sure 61%
55%
65%
63%
56%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Santorum Favorability Favorable 45%
35%
49%
47%
44%
Unfavorable 22%
31%
14%
24%
19%
Not sure 33%
33%
37%
29%
37%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Farris Favorability 3%
11%
3%
3%
1%
Unfavorable 20%
31%
16%
17%
21%
Not sure 77%
58%
82%
81%
78%
Favorable
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Govt Texas Takeover Yes/No The Government is 32% trying to take over Texas
34%
28%
29%
38%
The Government is 40% not trying to take over Texas
41%
45%
42%
32%
Not sure 28%
25%
27%
29%
31%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 685 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
National Survey Results Q1
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lincoln Chafee?
Q6
Favorable........................................................ 15% Unfavorable .................................................... 32%
Lincoln Chafee................................................ 5%
Not sure .......................................................... 54%
Q2
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
Hillary Clinton.................................................. 63% Martin O'Malley ............................................... 2%
Favorable........................................................ 74%
Bernie Sanders ............................................... 13%
Unfavorable .................................................... 21%
Jim Webb........................................................ 6%
Not sure .......................................................... 5%
Q3
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Martin O'Malley?
Not sure .......................................................... 11%
Q7
Favorable........................................................ 15%
Q4
(Democrats) Given the same list of choices, who would be your second choice for the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
Unfavorable .................................................... 29%
Lincoln Chafee................................................ 6%
Not sure .......................................................... 56%
Hillary Clinton.................................................. 11%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bernie Sanders?
Martin O'Malley ............................................... 8% Bernie Sanders ............................................... 15%
Favorable........................................................ 38%
Jim Webb........................................................ 4%
Unfavorable .................................................... 26% Not sure .......................................................... 36%
Q5
(Democrats) Given the choices of Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jim Webb?
Not sure .......................................................... 56%
Q8
Favorable........................................................ 66%
Favorable........................................................ 16%
Unfavorable .................................................... 22%
Unfavorable .................................................... 31% Not sure .......................................................... 53%
(Democrats) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?
Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Q9
(Democrats) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elizabeth Warren? Favorable........................................................ 53% Unfavorable .................................................... 17% Not sure .......................................................... 30%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
May 7-10, 2015
q10 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative? Very liberal ...................................................... 25% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 30% Moderate......................................................... 32% Somewhat conservative.................................. 9% Very conservative ........................................... 3% q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman ........................................................... 58% Man................................................................. 42%
Q12 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. African American, press 3. If other, press 4. Hispanic .......................................................... 13% White .............................................................. 62% African American............................................. 20% Other............................................................... 6%
Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 18 to 29........................................................... 15% 30 to 45........................................................... 22% 46 to 65........................................................... 36% Older than 65 .................................................. 26%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
May 7-10, 2015
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%
40%
14%
7%
22%
3%
8%
Unfavorable 32%
8%
33%
32%
32%
40%
27%
Not sure 54%
51%
53%
61%
45%
57%
66%
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%
59%
93%
27%
47%
35%
33%
Unfavorable 21%
20%
6%
73%
39%
65%
54%
21%
1%
-
14%
-
13%
Not sure
5%
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
O'Malley Favorability 21%
16%
Unfavorable 29%
7%
Not sure 56%
72%
Favorable 15%
42%
16%
8%
4%
27%
9%
43%
45%
28%
57%
50%
41%
47%
69%
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%
50%
34%
15%
85%
15%
16%
Unfavorable 26%
11%
28%
28%
12%
45%
31%
Not sure 36%
39%
38%
57%
3%
40%
53%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Webb Favorability Favorable 16%
21%
14%
11%
31%
24%
8%
Unfavorable 31%
32%
32%
16%
33%
26%
26%
Not sure 53%
46%
54%
73%
36%
50%
66%
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders
Jim Webb
Not sure
Democratic Primary Lincoln Chafee
5%
Hillary Clinton 63%
100%
-
-
-
-
-
-
100%
-
-
-
-
2%
-
-
100%
-
-
-
Bernie Sanders 13%
-
-
-
100%
-
-
Jim Webb
6%
-
-
-
-
100%
-
Not sure 11%
-
-
-
-
-
100%
Martin O'Malley
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Democratic Primary Second Choice Lincoln Chafee
6%
-
12%
1%
34%
-
-
30%
48%
25%
6%
8%
2%
9%
-
10%
9%
3%
Bernie Sanders 15%
28%
19%
11%
-
15%
5%
-
4%
24%
4%
-
6%
28%
62%
24%
37%
17%
80%
Hillary Clinton 11% Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
4%
Not sure 56%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
42%
6%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Biden Favorability Favorable 66%
55%
72%
42%
79%
48%
37%
Unfavorable 22%
39%
16%
51%
13%
31%
46%
Not sure 12%
6%
12%
7%
8%
21%
16%
Democratic Primary Base
Lincoln Hillary Martin Bernie Jim Chafee Clinton O'Malley Sanders Webb
Not sure
Warren Favorability Favorable 53%
36%
55%
27%
83%
30%
28%
Unfavorable 17%
43%
10%
46%
15%
49%
28%
Not sure 30%
21%
34%
27%
2%
21%
44%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%
19%
11%
18%
9%
-
Unfavorable 32%
39%
28%
24%
49%
31%
Not sure 54%
43%
61%
58%
42%
69%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%
86%
83%
71%
42%
20%
Unfavorable 21%
9%
14%
21%
58%
75%
5%
3%
8%
-
5%
Not sure
5%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%
21%
16%
12%
13%
-
Unfavorable 29%
26%
30%
27%
39%
25%
Not sure 56%
53%
54%
61%
48%
75%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%
56%
34%
38%
9%
13%
Unfavorable 26%
19%
30%
20%
55%
33%
Not sure 36%
25%
36%
42%
35%
54%
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Webb Favorability Favorable 16%
26%
16%
14%
6%
-
Unfavorable 31%
32%
28%
29%
45%
25%
Not sure 53%
42%
56%
57%
48%
75%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Democratic Primary 5%
5%
2%
7%
-
15%
Hillary Clinton 63%
65%
73%
63%
42%
25%
2%
1%
1%
1%
10%
-
Bernie Sanders 13%
24%
11%
9%
9%
-
Jim Webb
6%
2%
5%
8%
11%
13%
Not sure 11%
3%
9%
12%
27%
47%
Lincoln Chafee
Martin O'Malley
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%
6%
3%
9%
13%
-
Hillary Clinton 11%
21%
8%
10%
2%
-
Lincoln Chafee
8%
8%
12%
5%
3%
5%
Bernie Sanders 15%
16%
16%
15%
7%
21%
Jim Webb
4%
4%
5%
4%
5%
-
Not sure 56%
45%
57%
58%
71%
75%
Martin O'Malley
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Biden Favorability Favorable 66%
81%
75%
62%
32%
16%
Unfavorable 22%
9%
18%
20%
51%
75%
Not sure 12%
9%
7%
18%
17%
9%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Ideology Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Warren Favorability Favorable 53%
71%
62%
42%
29%
9%
Unfavorable 17%
9%
10%
21%
40%
50%
Not sure 30%
19%
28%
38%
31%
41%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%
12%
18%
Unfavorable 32%
29%
35%
Not sure 54%
59%
47%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%
75%
73%
Unfavorable 21%
21%
21%
4%
6%
Not sure
5%
Gender Base Woman
Man
O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%
13%
18%
Unfavorable 29%
24%
35%
Not sure 56%
63%
47%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%
35%
42%
Unfavorable 26%
22%
33%
Not sure 36%
43%
26%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Webb Favorability Favorable 16%
12%
22%
Unfavorable 31%
26%
38%
Not sure 53%
62%
40%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Democratic Primary 5%
3%
7%
Hillary Clinton 63%
Lincoln Chafee
69%
55%
2%
3%
1%
Bernie Sanders 13%
9%
18%
Martin O'Malley
6%
5%
7%
Not sure 11%
11%
12%
Jim Webb
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Gender Base Woman
Man
Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%
6%
7%
Hillary Clinton 11%
9%
14%
Lincoln Chafee
8%
6%
10%
Bernie Sanders 15%
13%
18%
Jim Webb
4%
5%
3%
Not sure 56%
62%
48%
Martin O'Malley
Gender Base Woman
Man
Biden Favorability Favorable 66%
64%
69%
Unfavorable 22%
22%
21%
Not sure 12%
14%
10%
Gender Base Woman
Man
Warren Favorability Favorable 53%
51%
55%
Unfavorable 17%
14%
22%
Not sure 30%
35%
23%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%
22%
11%
21%
9%
Unfavorable 32%
39%
28%
32%
47%
Not sure 54%
39%
60%
47%
44%
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%
73%
74%
80%
60%
Unfavorable 21%
27%
21%
14%
35%
-
6%
6%
5%
Not sure
5%
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%
35%
14%
7%
11%
Unfavorable 29%
27%
26%
30%
52%
Not sure 56%
37%
60%
63%
38%
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%
35%
39%
35%
39%
Unfavorable 26%
45%
23%
23%
39%
Not sure 36%
20%
38%
42%
22%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Webb Favorability Favorable 16%
31%
16%
9%
9%
Unfavorable 31%
33%
24%
45%
54%
Not sure 53%
36%
60%
46%
37%
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Democratic Primary 5%
7%
4%
6%
4%
Hillary Clinton 63%
58%
61%
75%
57%
Lincoln Chafee
2%
2%
3%
Bernie Sanders 13%
18%
15%
4%
14%
Jim Webb
6%
12%
4%
8%
11%
Not sure 11%
3%
14%
7%
14%
Martin O'Malley
-
-
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%
13%
5%
6%
2%
Hillary Clinton 11%
Lincoln Chafee
14%
12%
4%
12%
8%
8%
8%
6%
11%
Bernie Sanders 15%
14%
17%
9%
11%
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
4%
Not sure 56%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
-
6%
2%
2%
50%
51%
73%
62%
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Biden Favorability Favorable 66%
71%
66%
67%
57%
Unfavorable 22%
19%
22%
22%
26%
Not sure 12%
11%
12%
12%
17%
Race African Base Hispanic White American Other Warren Favorability Favorable 53%
49%
59%
35%
56%
Unfavorable 17%
31%
15%
14%
27%
Not sure 30%
20%
26%
51%
16%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Chafee Favorability Favorable 15%
22%
21%
10%
12%
Unfavorable 32%
27%
17%
42%
32%
Not sure 54%
51%
62%
48%
57%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Clinton Favorability Favorable 74%
59%
74%
74%
82%
Unfavorable 21%
41%
18%
21%
13%
-
8%
5%
5%
Not sure
5%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
O'Malley Favorability Favorable 15%
18%
22%
10%
14%
Unfavorable 29%
36%
15%
34%
29%
Not sure 56%
46%
63%
56%
58%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Sanders Favorability Favorable 38%
30%
33%
41%
43%
Unfavorable 26%
36%
30%
26%
18%
Not sure 36%
34%
37%
33%
39%
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Webb Favorability Favorable 16%
16%
12%
18%
17%
Unfavorable 31%
33%
29%
32%
29%
Not sure 53%
50%
59%
50%
54%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Democratic Primary 5%
6%
9%
1%
5%
Hillary Clinton 63%
50%
69%
62%
68%
2%
2%
-
3%
2%
Bernie Sanders 13%
22%
3%
16%
12%
Jim Webb
6%
17%
3%
5%
3%
Not sure 11%
2%
15%
14%
10%
Lincoln Chafee
Martin O'Malley
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Democratic Primary Second Choice 6%
22%
2%
6%
2%
Hillary Clinton 11%
11%
9%
12%
12%
Lincoln Chafee
Martin O'Malley
8%
Bernie Sanders 15%
6% -
5%
9%
9%
22%
13%
21%
4%
5%
2%
5%
5%
Not sure 56%
57%
61%
56%
51%
Jim Webb
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Biden Favorability Favorable 66%
58%
60%
69%
72%
Unfavorable 22%
21%
31%
20%
16%
Not sure 12%
21%
9%
11%
12%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Age Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Warren Favorability Favorable 53%
38%
47%
58%
60%
Unfavorable 17%
35%
20%
16%
8%
Not sure 30%
27%
33%
27%
32%
May 7-10, 2015 survey of 600 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988