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Korean Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol.29, No.6, 2013, pp.621~629 http://dx.doi.org/10.7780/kjrs.2013.29.6.5

ISSN 1225-6161 ( Print ) ISSN 2287-9307 (Online)

Feasibility of Vegetation Temperature Condition Index for monitoring desertification in Bulgan, Mongolia Hangnan Yu*, Jong-Yeol Lee*, Woo-Kyun Lee*†, Munkhnasan Lamchin*, Dejee Tserendorj*, Sole Choi*, Yongho Song* and Ho Duck Kang**

*Department of Environmental Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 136-713, Republic of Korea **Department of Biological and Environmental Science, Dongguk University, Seoul, Korea

Abstract : Desertification monitoring as a main portion for understand desertification, have been conducted by many scientists. However, the stage of research remains still in the level of comparison of the past and current situation. In other words, monitoring need to focus on finding methods of how to take precautions against desertification. In this study, Vegetation Temperature Condition Index (VTCI), derived from Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Land Surface Temperature (LST), was utilized to observe the distribution change of vegetation. The index can be used to monitor drought occurrences at a regional level for a special period of a year, and it can also be used to study the spatial distribution of drought within the region. Techniques of remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS) were combined to detect the distribution change of vegetation with VTCI. As a result, assuming that the moisture condition is the only main factor that affects desertification, we found that the distribution of vegetation in Bulgan, Mongolia could be predicted in a certain degree, using VTCI. Although desertification is a complicated process and many factors could affect the result. This study is helpful to provide a strategic guidance for combating desertification and allocating the use of the labor force. Key Words : Desertification monitoring, Remote sensing, GIS, VTCI

1. Introduction Desertification is often seen as one of the most

serious environmental problems confronting the world

from at least the 1980s onwards (Geist, 2005). The most authoritative definition of desertification remains

that of the United Nations convention to Combat

Desertification (UNCCD): ‘land degradation in arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas resulting from

various factors, including climatic variations and

human activities’ (UNCCD, 1994). In other words,

desertification is a type of land degradation in which a

relatively dry land region becomes increasingly arid, typically losing its bodies of water as well as vegetation

Received August 26, 2013; Revised September 28, 2013, Revised December 10, 2013 Revised December 17, 2013; Accepted December 17, 2013. † Corresponding Author: Woo-Kyun Lee ([email protected])

This is an Open-Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons. org/licenses/by-nc/3.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

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Korean Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol.29, No.6, 2013

and wildlife. It is caused by a variety of factors, such

as climate change (such as global warming) and human

activities (such as growing population in fragile

semiarid ecosystems and irrational or unwise land

management by nomadic pastoralists) (Tsujimura et al.,

2010).

Mongolia is one of the largest landlocked countries

in the world extending between the latitude of 41˚35’ 52˚09’ N, the longitudes of 87˚44’ - 119˚56’ E, and

covering 1,564,116 km . The longest distance from 2

west to east is 2,392 km, and from north to south 1,259

temperature. Moisture condition is strongly affected by

temperature, in other words, following temperature

rising, moisture condition will become worse.

Vegetation, on the other hand, with insufficient

moisture and once beyond the endurance cannot live too long time. Which means monitoring moisture

condition, in certain degree, may make it possible to predict desertification.

Goetz (1997) reported that the negative correlation

between Land Surface Temperature (LST) and

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI),

km. About 90% of the territory was defined as dry

observed at several scales (25 m2 to 1.2 km2), was

occupying less than 10% (Altanbagana et al., 2010). A

temperature can rise rapidly with water stress.

lands, with hyper-arid, arid and semi-arid zones

occupying more than 80%, and dry sub-humid zone recent assessment of desertification in Mongolia shows

that 5% is very severely, 18% severely, 26% moderately

and 23% slightly degraded (Banzragch and Enkhbold,

2010). This means that roughly 72% of the total territory is affected by desertification to some extent.

Climate change poses great challenges to Mongolia,

largely due to changes in vegetation cover and soil

moisture, and was indicated that the surface

Remotely retrieved NDVI and LST data may provide a valuable source of information for monitoring

drought, since meteorological data, such as

precipitation and land air surface temperature, collected

by surface observation stations often possess poor

spatial resolution, especially in remote regions with

the region which is most vulnerable to have adverse

difficult access and in some developing countries (Wan

specific features of socio-economic development

et al. (2001) proposed for monitoring drought

impacts of climate change, because of its geographical

location, weather and climate conditions as well as

(Dagvadorj, 2010). In fact, in case of Mongolia,

evapotranspiration has increased by 3.2%-10% in the desert zones and by 10%-15% in forest steppe and high

mountain zones between 1940 and 2006 (Natsagdorj,

2004). The mean annual temperature have risen 2.1℃ between 1940 and 2007 with an accelerating trend in

the recent years (Tsogoo et al., 2010). In addition, the

frequencies of rainfall covering large areas have decreased and precipitations have fallen increasingly in

form of torrential rains on small land surface (Chuluun,

2010a). The Hydro-meteorological Institute estimates an increase of 20% since 1980 in torrential rains

(Natsagdorj, 2006). These phenomena illustrate that

drought situation in Mongolia become worse.

Global warming has caused continuous rising of

et al., 2004). The Vegetation Temperature Condition Index (VTCI) approach which was developed by Wang

occurrence at regional level on the basis of the

triangular space of LST and NDVI. This study

attempted to predict change of vegetated area with

VTCI using Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM). Wan et al. (2004) suggest that VTCI is not only closely related

to recent rainfall events but also related to past rainfall

amount, and indicate that VTCI might be a better index for drought condition. Considering that we cannot

predict what the human do next, but environment could

be predicted in certain degree based on the trend of

phenomena (Such as global warming). According to this kind of reason and above paragraph logical

thinking, we assumed that the moisture condition is the

only main factor that affects desertification. Currently,

although many studies about desertification were

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Feasibility of Vegetation Temperature Condition Index for monitoring desertification in Bulgan, Mongolia

published, however, there are still in the level of

comparing past and current situation (Wu and Ci, 2001;

Collado et al., 2002; Yang et al., 2005; Zhang et al.,

2008). The purpose of this study is to find out the

feasibility of VTCI to predict desertification, and based on this kind of approach to assist desertification

monitoring.

decision-making (Woodcock et al., 2001; Cohen and Goward, 2004; Masek et al., 2008). In this study, 5

mosaic images (Landsat 5) were used to define the

study area. All these images (quality 9) were taken in

September and October, and the longest interval not

exceeds 25 days. Both ERDAS IMAGINE and ArcGIS software were used for image processing and

analyzing.

2) Methods

2. Materials and Methods

(1) Derivation of LST

1) Study area and Materials

Bulgan is one of the northern provinces of Mongolia,

located between latitude 47˚14’ - 50˚23’ N and

longitude 101˚37’-104˚45’ E (Fig. 1). The northern part of this province is characterized by alpine forests,

gradually blending in the arid steppe plains of the

central Mongolian highland. Temperature fluctuate between +38℃ in summer and -49℃ in winter. An

average annual temperature is -2.4℃, and an average precipitation range from 200 to 350 mm with discontinuous permafrost.

The Landsat series of satellites provides the longest

continuous record of satellite-based observations. As

such, Landsat is an invaluable resource for monitoring

global change, a primary source of medium spatial

resolution Earth observations, and a key factor in

There are three types of methods which have been

developed to retrieve LST from at-sensor and auxiliary

dada: single-channel method, split-window technique,

and multi-angle method. Because of the last two

methods it requires at least two channels, and single-

channel method is the only method that can be applied

to the Landsat platform, with one thermal channel

(Xiao et al., 2007). The thermal band data (band 6) can

be converted from at-sensor spectral radiance to

effective at-sensor brightness temperature (Chander et

al., 2009). The formula from the at-sensor’s spectral

radiance to at-senor brightness temperature is:

K2 (1) K1 ln( + 1) Lλ Where T is effective at-sensor brightness T=

temperature, K1 and K2 are calibration constants in

Fig. 1. Geographical location and elevation distribution of study area.

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Korean Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol.29, No.6, 2013

Kelvin, and Lλ is spectral radiance at the sensor’s

a specific NDVI value. It can be physically explained

aperture. For TM, K1 = 607.76 and K2 = 1260.56 W /

as the ratio of temperature differences among the pixels.

referenced to a back body. Therefore, corrections for

LST_max can be regarded as the ‘warm edge’ where

(m sr μm). 2

The temperature values obtained above are

spectral emissivity (ε) became necessary according to

the nature of land cover. The emissivity corrected LST were computed as follows (Artis and Carnahan, 1982): LST =

T 1 + (λ× T ρ ) ln ε

(2)

In general, the lower the value of VTCI is, the heavier

the drought occurrence is.

there is less soil moisture availability and plants are

under dry conditions; LST_min can be regarded as the

‘cold edge’ where there is no water restriction for plant

growth (Gillies et al., 1997).

Where λ is the wavelength of emitted radiance (for

which the peak response and the average of the limiting

wavelengths (λ =11.5 μm) (Markham and Barker, c 1985) will be used), ρ = h × (1.438×10-2 m K), σ is σ the Boltzmann constant (1.38×10-23 J/K), h is Planck’s

constant (6.626×10-34 J s), and c the velocity of light (2.998×108 m/s). LST results are comparable, because

the five images were acquired at the same season

(August and September) of the year. (2) Definition of VTCI

LSTNDVIi.max = a + b NDVIi

LSTNDVIi.min = a’ + b’NDVIi

Fig. 2 is the scatter plot of the NDVI and LST data

of 1990 and 2010 in the Bulgan province. After

estimating a, b, a’ and b’, we get equations as follows: For 1990

_ LSTNDVIi.max = 301.04 5.3922NDVIi LSTNDVIi.min = 274.72 + 8.1463NDVIi

For 2011

_ LSTNDVIi.max = 312.1 7.1838NDVIi

Vegetation temperature condition index is defined as: LSTNDVIi.max _ LSTNDVIi VTCI = (3) LSTNDVIi.max _ LSTNDVIi.min Where:

3. Results and discussion

LSTNDVIi.min = 284.58 + 3.2634NDVIi

(5)

(6)

As the two scatter plots shown in Fig. 2, triangles are

not obvious. This may be because samples which are

(4)

Where LSTNDVIi.max and LSTNDVIi.min are maximum and

minimum LSTs of pixels which have same NDVIi value in a study region, respectively, and LSTNDVIi

derived from the study area used to make scatter plots

just for specific day, not for several days’ accumulation

like previous study (Wang et al. 2001, Wan et al. 2004). However, study area in this study is satisfied one

important condition in using VTCI method for

denotes LST of one pixel whose NDVI value is NDVIi.

monitoring drought, which area should large enough to

the scatter plot is normally triangular at a regional scale

VTCI has been estimated for the study area for each

Coefficient a, b, a’ and b’ can be estimated from the

scatter plot of LST and NDVI in the area. The shape of

(Price, 1990; Carlson et al., 1994) if the study area is

provide a wide range of NDVI and surface soil

moisture condition.

pixel by using equation (3) and (5) (or (6)). The VTCI

large enough to provide a wide range of NDVI and

images of the study area were shown in Fig. 3 and Fig.

region, but also related to LST changes of pixels with

affected by cloud, therefore, small portion of error

surface moisture conditions.

VTCI is not only related to NDVI changes in the

4. In general, the value of VTCI ranges from 0 to 1.

However, in this study, because images were somewhat

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Feasibility of Vegetation Temperature Condition Index for monitoring desertification in Bulgan, Mongolia

Fig. 2. 1990 (left) and 2011 (right) scatterplots of NDVI and LST in Bulgan.

1990 NDVI

1990 VTCI

2011 NDVI

Fig. 3. Comparison of vegetation distribution between 1990 and 2011 with 1990 VTCI.

could not be avoid and made VTCI values abnormal.

What is more, since the equations (5) and (6) were derived from scatter plot, several points may not belong

in the range of control. Even though this should not be

considered as error, but it is indeed make the value out

of the range.

The category of drought situation could define to

heavy drought (0~0.2), medium drought (0.21~0.4),

light drought (0.41~0.6), normal (0.61~0.8), and wet

(0.81~1) (Wang et al. 2001). According to this

definition, the drought condition in 1990, most parts

are in the range of 0~0.8 showed in Fig. 3, and within

the bounds of this range, value from 0 to 0.6 in

majority. In other words, the soil moisture conditions

are not good. We defined the NDVI value in three

classes and observed distribution change of each area:

0.01~0.2 as soil, 0.21~ 0.7 as sparsely distributed

vegetation and 0.71~1 as full vegetated area. The

distribution changes of each classes is easy to catch out,

if comparing three images that NDVI, VTCI in 1990

and NDVI in 2011 (Fig. 3). Comparing they are area

which marked with circles showed in Fig. 3, the trend

may obviously. The full vegetated area, area 2 which

VTCI defined as combination of medium and light

drought, changed to sparsely distributed vegetation

area. The NDVI for area 1 and 3 are degraded slightly

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Korean Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol.29, No.6, 2013

The results shown in Fig. 3, illustrated VTCI as a

under the combination of heavy and medium drought

thematic map for efficiency desertification monitoring

that was defined by VTCI. Moisture condition of area

is helpful. Nonetheless, considering that desertification

1 and 3 are more severe than the area 2. However, there

is a complicated process, large uncertainties still exist

is more vegetation degradation at area 2, but not at area

since we did not consider natural disaster and human

1 and 3. This result shows that high latitude area is more

activities. Human activates can be separated into two

sensitive than lower altitude area to drought condition.

parts, positive and negative. Preventive measures,

According to the estimation in this study, the southern part area was analyzed in situation of highly drought in

afforestation or educations are included in positive way.

in severely drought, and vegetation may highly adapt.

brightened in many countries. However, in many

Particularly, since importance of forest is raised as a

1990 (Fig. 3). However, there was no obvious change

major carbon pool in land, these activities are

of vegetated area, this is because the area was already

(a)

(b)

Fig. 4. (a) 1990 (left) and 2011 (right) VTCI. (b) Differences of drought condition between 1990 and 2011(left), and 2011 NDVI (right).

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Feasibility of Vegetation Temperature Condition Index for monitoring desertification in Bulgan, Mongolia

developing countries, due to economic necessity,

negative side is difficult to avoid. Actually, in Mongolia, livestock density exceeds the carrying

a temporal melioration.

capacity due to herders’ economic well-being has

generally improved with increased livestock numbers. Due to a rise in the price of cashmere, goat numbers

have tripled since 1990 (Chuluun, 2010b). Human

impacted deforestation and degradation would come

next, and include unwise forest management,

abandoned croplands, mining activities and unpaved

multi-track roads. In the other hand, we have no choice to select two years because of the scene quality and

absence of some scenes, this make lack evidence of

continuous trend. What is more, this study did not

perform field survey. Although, the soil surface

moisture was simulated by using the soil real thermal

inertia model (Wang et al., 2001), and VTCI can be applied to monitor drought occurrence at a regional

level and to capture the distribution of drought.

However, the accuracy of VTCI faces to challenge,

since it is derived from NDVI and LST. Because of the man-made creation like asphalt and concrete which

could affect surface temperature much and make it

abnormally high, even in vegetation flourishing area.

Also, something such as lake and reservoir can make surface temperature low in the vegetation sparseness

area. Therefore, spatial resolution will play an

4. Conclusion In this study, we attempted to find out the feasibility

of VTCI for desertification monitoring. According to

analyzing, we found that most parts of Bulgan province were in situation of drought (VTCI value 0~0.6) in

1990. NDVI value was classified three classes in this

study, and based on this range full vegetated area

(NDVI 0.71~1) was much degraded from 1990 to

2010. Similar trend can be seen at the area that

vegetation sparsely distributed (NDVI 0.21~0.7).

Comparing the VTCI thematic map with NDVI map both in1990 and 2010, we find out that there is

somewhat relationship between images and mark out

3 areas to make the phenomena obviously. According

to this phenomenon, we got the area that most in danger to be degraded.

However, there are still many areas could not be

illustrated by VTCI thematic map. This should be

contributed by assumption we made. That means this

study did not consider the natural disaster and human

influence, however, there are powerful impact on

desertification process. That might makes the

prediction in this study in not enough to cover the

important role for VTCI accuracy. For improve

whole study area. In addition, the accuracy of VTCI

2011 with NDVI image in 2011, and tried to find the

regard as one single value.

accuracy of VTCI, field survey will come to necessary.

In addition, we compared VTCI images of 1990 and

area which has a risk to be degraded (Fig. 4). Area 4,

marked with circle has the most danger. Although the prediction may somewhat be rough, due to the

problems that were mentioned above, that area worth to note and need to observe. Moisture condition in

several portions got better in 2011 than 1990.

Considering global warming as an undeniable trend and

can be influenced much by spatial resolution; due to

the pixel size decide how many properties would be Although all these uncertainties make the prediction

rough, however, this study is still helpful as a material

to provide a possible approach to prediction and

strategic guidance for combat desertification and to

allocate use of labour force.

under the assumption, this phenomenon may be

influenced by positive affect of human activity or just

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Korean Journal of Remote Sensing, Vol.29, No.6, 2013

Environment, 113: 893-903.

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