IPv6 adoption requires to go through multiple steps, at Global, Regional, ... steps
must be measured in order to understand how far along in IPv6 adoption.
IPv6 Deployment Statistics Alain Fiocco, Hugo Kaczmarek
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Where is the content? Too much pain, no short term gain
Where is the network? Are there apps out there ?
NAT’s are good. RFC1918 gives me security, and IPv4 address runout is my ISP’s problem.
Do I pay less or get new applications?
Device
User Enterprise
ISP Content
The network is not ready, users don’t care and I don’t want to risk a poor end-user experience today for potential gains tomorrow
“A deadlock, stalemate, impasse; a roughly equal (frequently unsatisfactory) outcome to a conflict in which there is no clear winner or loser,” © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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Mean while …IPv4 run-out is very real IANA
APNIC
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RIPE
ARIN
LACNIC
AFRINIC
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Mean while …We are running empty !
APNIC
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RIPE
ARIN
LACNIC
AFRINIC
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• A multi-step system level transition: IPv6 adoption requires to go through multiple steps, at Global, Regional, Country and Local level Measuring the end stage (IPv6 traffic) is counter productive fm and education standpoint. This life cycle transition can take years before any significant IPv6 traffic can be measured
• Each of theses steps must be measured in order to understand how far along in IPv6 adoption. There are publically available data’s, representing most of theses steps that can be gathered and monitored over a period of time. Some of the necessary data’s needs to be collected by crawling the WEB and testing web sites.
• Global vs Local: The Core of the Internet, aka Internet Transit is mostly global. However large economies have a local transit system as well, that interconnect all Service providers, Government, University/Education, Local content providers and Enterprises. So both Global transit as well as National transit have to be measured. Although the WEB is truly a global system, users and content statistics have local relevance (language and locality are important aspects of the WEB) and need to be looked at and evaluated locally.
• Information/Data => Better business decision Investment, Business Case, Timing, Government mandate/incentives, Design decision, Education © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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Mouse over a country
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Mouse over a country
Optionally select a region
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Mouse over a country
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IPv6 Prefix allocation # of /32 prefix allocated by country
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Is IPv6 configured ? % of active networks? % IPv6 prefix in BGP ? % active prefixes ? (sending & receiving packets)
Is Internet Core ready? % of IPv6 enabled Transit AS % of Transit IPv6 AS
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IPv6 Prefix allocation # of /32 prefix allocated by country
Is IPv6 configured ? % of active networks? % IPv6 prefix in BGP ? % active prefixes ? (sending & receiving packets)
Is Internet Core ready? % of IPv6 enabled Transit AS % of Transit IPv6 AS
Sources : • Whois from RIPE, ARIN, APNIC, AFRINIC, LACNIC • http://archive.routeviews.org/ (Internet, BGP tables) • http://www.team-cymru.org/Services/ip-to-asn.html (AS# - Country)
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IPv6 Prefix allocation # of /32 prefix allocated by country
Is IPv6 configured ? % of active networks? % IPv6 prefix in BGP ? % active prefixes ? (sending & receiving packets)
Is Internet Core ready? % of IPv6 enabled Transit AS % of Transit IPv6 AS
IPv6 Prefixes allocation IPv6 Prefix in Routing table
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1-Click
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1-Click
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2-Mouse over countries
1-Click
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TOP500 Sites: Alexa’s TOP500 list Computed weight based on Alexa % of pages viewed statistics
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DNS: Seek Production & test domain name # AAAA Ns lookup
Production domain
Testing domain?
HTTP get over IPv6
HTTP get over IPv6
# of success
# of success
# of Failure
# of Failure
Source: http://www.alexa.com/topsites
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TOP500 Sites: Alexa’s TOP500 list Computed weight based on Alexa % of pages viewed statistics
DNS: Seek Production & test domain name # AAAA Ns lookup
Production domain
Testing domain?
HTTP get over IPv6
HTTP get over IPv6
# of success
# of success
# of Failure
# of Failure
∑((computed weight for rank)*(IPv6 enabled WEB sites)) = % of Web pages reachable over IPv6 Computed by country as content is mainly locally significant
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Source: http://www.alexa.com/topsites
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1-Click
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1-Click
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2-Mouse over countries
1-Click
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• Google and APNIC lab are doing an excellent job at measuring end-user IPv6
adoption
They do so by embedding java code in Google Search home page (in case of Google) or Ad’s Network (in case of APNIC) This java code, test both IPv4, IPv6 and Dual-stack on a sample of users in order to measure % of users who are successfully using IPv6. Results can differ slightly between Google and APNIC, as the sample is different. However apart from countries where Google is not #1 search engine, numbers are very consistent. APNIC is probably more representative in theses countries (ex: China) Both are measuring additional data such as connectivity type (tunnel, native…) or Browser type
• We are _shamelessly_ publishing both Google and APNIC results (% of IPv6
enabled users only):
http://6lab.cisco.com/stats , select “Users” on the Data type TAB Sources: Google - http://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html APNIC - http://labs.apnic.net/dists/v6dcc.html
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1-Click
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Chan
ge Sc ale o
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f Gre
en
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2-Mouse over countries
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Left Click
3-Scroll down
Left Click
Size of the square = nb of IPv6 Users Color = percentage of overall internet users
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Left Click
Right Click -> back out
Navigation in and out • In: Left Click • Out: Right Click
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Left Click -> in
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Left Click
Navigation in and out • In: Left Click • Out: Right Click
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Right Click -> back out
Left Click -> In
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1-Click World Scale OR selected Country
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Click to zoom on TOP 5%
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• whois from RIPE, ARIN, APNIC, AFRINIC, LACNIC • http://archive.routeviews.org/ • http://www.team-cymru.org/Services/ip-to-asn.html • https://www.arin.net/knowledge/rirs/countries.html • http://www.alexa.com/topsites • http://labs.apnic.net/dists/v6dcc.html • http://www.google.com/ipv6/statistics.html
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Thank you.
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