The second-curve model: a promising framework for ...

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Briefly, the theory of diffusion of innovation is a social theory, popularized by ... of innovations and on incremental innovations, to the detriment of software aspects ... Innovation and diffusion theories have a long tradition in marketing and ...
The second-curve model: a promising framework for ethical consumption? Veganism as a case study. Estela Díaz Comillas Pontifical University (Madrid, Spain)

EXTENDED ABSTRACT The aim of this paper is to build on the literature on ethical consumption from the lens of the theories of innovation, and specifically, from diffusion theory. First, key concepts regarding those theories are given. Second, ethical-veganism (hereafter, veganism) is used as a case study to show how the second-curve model offers an opportunity to reframe the understanding of ethical consumption and, subsequently, its analysis. Lastly, some implications for researchers and practitioners are considered. Briefly, the theory of diffusion of innovation is a social theory, popularized by Rogers (1995) and Moore (2002), which seeks to explain why, how, and at what rate innovations spread over time among members of a social system. We understand innovation as “an idea, practice, or object that is perceived as new by an individual or other unit of adoption” (Rogers 2003, 12). As such, most innovations have two inter-related components: ‘software’ aspects (information/idea/ideologies) and ‘hardware’ aspects (objects/products/practices) (Rogers 2003). Literature has also consistently shown that innovations, depending on their perceived newness, can be of two types: ‘incremental innovation’ (also known as ‘continuous’, ‘sustaining’ or ‘evolutionary’) and ‘radical innovation’ (otherwise known as ‘disruptive’, ‘discontinuous’, ‘breakthrough’ or ‘revolutionary’) (Christensen 1997; Rogers 1976, 2003). While incremental innovations introduce some change(s) in existing innovations, radical innovations represent novelty or new paradigms (Christensen 1992, 1997; Sandström 2010). Over time, the adoption of most innovations follow a normal, bell-shape curve, which is divided into five sections or ideal-adopters-categories on the basis of individual innovativeness: innovators, early adopters, early majority, late majority, and laggards (Rogers 1976, 2003). The normal curve, when plotted on a cumulative basis over time results in an exponential or S-shaped curve (Rogers 1976, 2003). Recently, a ‘double S-curve’ model (or also called ‘second-curve’ or ‘two-curves’ framework) has been proposed to portray the change dynamics between incremental innovation (the first curve) and radical innovation (the second curve) (e.g., Handy 2015; Morrison 1996). However, diffusion research has some shortcomings. First, diffusion research has normally been conducted “after an innovation has diffused completely to the members of a system” (Rogers 2003, 112); this approach to study innovations can lead to pro-innovation bias (Rogers 2003). Second, diffusion scholars have been mainly focused on hardware aspects of innovations and on incremental innovations, to the detriment of software aspects of innovation and of radical innovations (Rogers 2003). Third, in diffusion literature, there is a scarcity of research on innovation clusters (innovations that are comprised of multiple and closely interrelated innovations) (Rogers, 2003). Innovation and diffusion theories have a long tradition in marketing and consumer behavior literature (Black 1983; Petrosky 1991; Rogers 1976, 2003). However, thus far, little research has been conducted to understand the diffusion (and adoption) process of ethical consumption under innovation theories (Carrigan, Moraes Leek 2011), even though ethical consumption has been recognized as an innovation trend (Ganglmair-Wooliscroft and Wooliscroft 2015; Lundahl 2014). Amongst academics and professionals, interest is growing in veganism, a new social movement and a form of ethical consumption. Nevertheless, veganism continues being virtually ignored in empirical research, especially within the domain of consumer behavior (Hamilton, 2000; Merriman, 2010; Povey et al., 2001; Ruby, 2012). As a consequence, our understanding of the process of diffusing (and adopting) veganism remains very limited (Beardsworth and Keil, 1991a; Jabs et al., 1998; McDonald, 2000). In this paper, veganism is chosen as a case study mainly because it provides three advantages. First, veganism is an innovation not completely diffused or ‘an innovation in-process’ (Roger, 2003, 112), thereby avoids the proinnovation bias pointed out in literature. Second, veganism as an innovation has both software aspects and hardware aspects. Third, veganism has counter-cultural features (Larsson et al 2003), making it a radical

innovation. As such, veganism is an example of how the ‘second-curve’ diffusion model may be applied to better understand ethical consumption. We posit that veganism is the second-curve, an innovation radically different from ‘usoanimalism’, the first curve. Veganism is an ideological, moral, and political stance (the ‘software’ aspect) rooted in animal liberation and expressed in everyday consumer behaviors (the ‘hardware’ aspect) that exclude, for moral reasons, the use of animals (Díaz 2012; Harrison et al. 2005; Horta, 2013; Larsson et al., 2003; McGrath 2000). In other words, veganism is both an idea-innovation and a practice-innovation that introduces significant or revolutionary changes in both ‘software’ and in ‘hardware’ innovations; as such, veganism is a disruptive innovation, the second-curve (see figure 1). As an idea-innovation, veganism proposes a new paradigm that rejects assumptions that humans are the center of existence, are the preferential (or sole) bearers of moral standing, and are entitled to exploit nonhuman animals to pursue their own interests (McGrath 2000; Wolf 2012). As a practiceinnovation, veganism rejects behaviors that lead to the use of animals for human gain; for example, using animals for research, food, clothing, and entertainment. On the other hand, usoanimalism is understood as a mental model rooted in anthropocentrism and speciesism that sustain that animals are merely resources (‘software’ aspect) expressed in everyday consumer behaviors (‘hardware’ aspect) that approve the exploitation of animals. Furthermore, we stand that usoanimalism is an innovation cluster comprised of multiple incremental innovations (e.g. plant-based diets, vegan diet, flexitarianism, reducetarianism, and vegetarianism). Figure 1. The Second-Curve Model: usoanimalism as the first-curve and veganism as the second-curve.

This proposed framework has important implications for both researchers and practitioners. For researchers, the second curve framework challenges the widespread assumption of a linear-continuum-model for studying veganism and other animal related innovations, according to which omnivorism (anthropocentrism/animalwelfare) and veganism (antispeciesism/animal-rights) are polarized ends of the spectrum, while other alternatives (such as reductionism, vegetarianism or biocentrism) are somewhere in the middle (e.g., Beardsworth and Keil 1998; Jabs, Devine, and Sobal 1991; Povey, Wellens, and Conner 2001). Moreover, our approach is more sophisticated and dynamic than the lineal-continuum-model. It is more sophisticated in the sense that it enables to perform multidimensional analyses of behaviors. For example, instead of considering vegetarianism as one-dimensional phenomenon that stands in the ‘middle’ of the continuum, under our secondcurve framework, researchers can study health vegetarianism, ethical vegetarianism, and environmental vegetarianism as separate (but probably related) innovations in the first-curve. The second-curve model is also more dynamic because it enables researchers to study the relationships between different ethical consumption trends (e.g. environmental vegetarianism and voluntary simplifying, health vegetarianism and organic consumption, vegan diet and reductionism, freeganism and downshifting).

Additionally, our proposed model could enable scholars to explore key questions, including: what is the current status of diffusion and adoption for each innovation? Do innovations have different rate of diffusion and adoption? What are the differences between innovations regarding their core perceived attributes (relative advantages, compatibility, complexity, trialability, and observability)? What are the different clusters of incremental innovations? Are the ideal-adopter-categories similar for different innovations? How does the innovation-decision process (knowledge, persuasion, decision, implementation, and confirmation stages) work for each innovation? How do the different adopters ‘jump’ between incremental and/or disruptive innovations? Based on innovation management literature that identifies key differences between incremental and disruptive innovations (e.g., Christensen 1997), one may wonder if such innovations require different theoretical frameworks for appropriate analysis. For example, it is possible that the theory of planned behavior could be more suitable for studying the adoption of first-curve innovations (e.g. plant-based diet) than second-curve innovations (veganism)? For organizations, companies, and policy makers, the second-curve model has strategic and organizational implications (Handy, 2015). This framework can help organizations to better adapt to the environment and be ‘dynamic’ (ensuring economic success and long-term survival). In other words, our framework can offer clarity to decision-makers by enabling them to develop strategies, to innovate business models, and innovate products/projects in accordance to objectives: maximize efficiency on the first curve (e.g., usoanimalism), create new growth on the second curve (e.g., veganism) or pursue both (dynamic). For example, it can help first-curve organizations prepare for the second-curve (increasing longevity) or it can help second-curve organizations to capture value from the first-curve (ensuring economic success). Additionally, the model can help organizations to enrich or develop ‘product/market fits’: for first-curve organizations, find new products (incremental innovations or bundled value propositions) for existing markets; and for second-curve organizations, find new markets for new products (disruptive innovations or unbundled value propositions). REFERENCES Beardsworth, Alan D., and E. T. Keil (1991), “Vegetarianism, veganism, and meat avoidance: recent trends and findings,” British Food Journal, 93, 19-24. Black William (1983), “Discontinuance and Diffusion: Examination of the Post Adoption Decision Process”, in NA- Advances in Consumer Research, volume 10, eds. Richard P. Bagozzi and Alice M. Tybout, Ann Arbor, MI: Association for Consumer Research, 356-361. Breznik, Lidija, and Robert D. Hisrich (2014), "Dynamic capabilities vs. innovation capability: are they related?," Journal of Small Business and Enterprise Development, 21, 368-384. Carrigan, Marylyn, Caroline Moraes, and Sheena Leek (2011) “Fostering responsible communities: a community social marketing approach to sustainable living,” Journal of Business Ethics, 100, 515-534. Christensen, Clayton M. (1992), "Exploring the limits of the technology S-curve. Part I: component technologies," Production and Operations Management 1, 334-357. Christensen, Clayton M. (1997), The innovator's dilemma: when new technologies cause great firms to fail, Boston, Massachusetts, USA: Harvard Business School Press. Diaz, Estela (2012), “Profile of the Vegan Animal Rights Activist in Spain,” Revista Espanola de Investigaciones Sociológicas, 139, 175-187. Ganglmair-Wooliscroft, Alexandra, and Ben Wooliscroft (2015), “Diffusion of innovation: The case of ethical tourism behavior,” Journal of Business Research, (in press). Handy, Charles (2015), The second curve: Thoughts on reinventing society, UK: Random House. Horta, Oscar (2013), “Animals, Moral Status of”, in International Encyclopedia of Ethics, ed. LaFollette, Hugh, Hoboken: WileyBlackwell, 292-302.

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