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Computer Engineering and Information Science 7

Uncertainty Modeling in Knowledge Engineering and Decision Making Proceedings of the 10th International FLINS Conference Istanbul, Turkey

26 – 29 August 2012

editors

Cengiz Kahraman Istanbul Technical University, Turkey

Etienne E. Kerre Ghent University, Belgium

Faik Tunc Bozbura Bahcesehir University, Turkey

World Scientific NEW JERSEY

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LONDON

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SINGAPORE

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BEIJING

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SHANGHAI

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HONG KONG

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TA I P E I

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CHENNAI

7/23/12 3:24 PM

Published by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. 5 Toh Tuck Link, Singapore 596224 USA office: 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601

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UK office: 57 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London WC2H 9HE

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.

World Scientific Proceedings Series on Computer Engineering and Information Science — Vol. 7 UNCERTAINTY MODELING IN KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING AND DECISION MAKING Proceedings of the 10th International FLINS Conference Copyright © 2012 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission from the Publisher.

For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher.

ISBN 978-981-4417-73-0

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CONTENTS

Foreword

v

Invited Lectures

L-1

Fuzzy Relational Calculus and Its Wide Range of Applications Etienne E. Kerre

L-3

Decision Support and Warning Systems for Business Intelligence Jie Lu

L-5

A Review of Developments from Fuzzy Rule Bases to Fuzzy Functions I. Burhan Türkúen

L-8

Can Fuzzy Logic Formalism Bring Complex Environmental Issues into Focus? Ashok Deshpande

L-19

PART 1. DECISION MAKING AND DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS

1

Evaluation of Manufacturing Technology of Photovoltaic Cells E. Cables Pérez, M. T. Lamata Jiménez, J. L. Verdegay, M. S. Garcia-Cascales, J. M. Sánchez-Lozano

3

A Multicriteria Dynamic Flow Model for Relief Operations G. Tirado, B. Vitoriano, M. T. Ortuño

9

Future Oriented Positioning Analysis with Bayesian Networks Burak Dereli, Umut Asan, Çi÷dem Kadaifçi

15

Aggregation Procedure Based on Choquet Integral for Evaluating Company’s Environmental Practices R. De Andrés Calle, T. González-Arteaga

22

A Fuzzy Linguistic Evaluation Model of Digital Libraries Based on the LibQUAL+ Methodology F. J. Cabrerizo, M. A. Martínez, J. López-Gijón, E. Herrera-Viedma

28

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viii

A Location-aware Tourism Recommender System Based on Mobile Devices José M. Noguera, Manuel J. Barranco, Rafael J. Segura, L. Martínez

34

Web Based Support System for Integral Performance Appraisal M. Espinilla, F. J. Martínez, L. Martínez, R. De Andrés Calle

40

Consensus in Preference-Approvals: A Weighted Distance Approach J. L. García-Lapresta, D. Pérez-Román, B. Erdamar, M. R. Sanver

46

A Fuzzy Envelope for Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Term Sets Based on Choquet Integral R. De Andrés Calle, T. González-Arteaga, R. M. Rodríguez, L. Martínez

52

Analysis of the Energy Service Market in Turkey Using the Fuzzy DEMATEL Method Ecem Basak, Umut Asan, Çi÷dem Kadaifçi

58

Replacement Decisions for Reliability Centered Maintenance D. Özgür-Ünlüakin, T. Bilgiç

64

A New Project Planning Model for Better Handling Vagueness and Uncertainty of Real World Tasks with AHP and Fuzzy Numbers Sibar Kaan Manga

70

Employing Cardinal Rank Ordering of Criteria in Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Mona Riabacke, Mats Danielson, Aron Larsson, Love Ekenberg

76

Fuzzy Inference System for Net Present Value Analysis of Construction Projects Alp Ustundag, Emre Cevikcan

83

Combining Different Inference Methods for Medical Decision Support Systems Guven Kose, Hayri Sever, Mert Bal, Alp Ustundag

88

Decision Making for Concrete Evaluation Using Fusion of NDT Techniques Z. M Sbartaï, V. Garnier, M. A. Ploix

94

Multi-Period Decision Making with One-Shot Decision Theory Peijun Guo, Yonggang Li

100

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ix

Preference Intensity in MCDM When an Additive Utility Function Represents DM Preferences A. Mateos, A. Jimenez, E. A. Aguayo, P. Sabio

106

Fuzzy Topsis with Linguistic Evaluations Using Į–Cuts Seza Özge Gönen, Serdar Baysan

112

An Evolutionary Algorithm for Integer Multicriteria Optimization (EVALIMCO) Vassil Guliashki, Leoneed Kirilov, Krasimira Genova

118

The Applications of Energy Alternatives in Turkey Using Multicriteria Decision Making Processes Abit Balin, Pelin Alcan, Hüseyin Baúligil

124

A MCDM Model for Energy Policy Evaluation Mehmet Kabak, Metin Da÷deviren, Serhat Burmao÷lu

131

Project Selection by Using Fuzzy Topsis Method: A Real Application in Construction Sector Bersam Bolat, Gül Tekin Temur, Pinar Dursun, Burç Onursal

137

Location Selection of Emergency Logistics Centers Using an Integrated Dematel-Anp Approach Umut Rifat Tuzkaya, Kadriye Busra Yilmazer, Gulfem Tuzkaya

143

Garage Location Selection for Public Transportation System in Istanbul Using Fuzzy AHP and Fuzzy Axiomatic Design Techniques Özge Nalan Alp, Nurgül Demirtaú, Hayri Baraçli, Umut Rifat Tuzkaya

149

Evaluation of Criteria to Select Appropriate Candidates for Surgical Sciences Ipek Nur Aksu, F. Tunç Bozbura, Ahmet Beúkese

157

An Extended Method for Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Group DecisionMaking Based on Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Sets Zafer Eren, C. Erhan Bozdag

164

Group MCDM Method with Alternative Voting System Based on Multi-Information Environment Chen-Tung Chen, Chun-Che Huang, Ping-Feng Pai, Wei-Zhan Hung

171

A Ranking Methodology Using Hierarchical Grey Relational Analysis: The Case of Turkish Banking System Mehmet Emin Baysal, Büúra Aksu

177

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x

An Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm for Solving Nurse Scheduling Problems Ahmet Sarucan, Kadir Büyüközkan

183

A Greedy Algorithm for Multiobjective Fuzzy Flow-Shop Scheduling Problem Orhan Engin, M. Kerim Yilmaz, M. Cabir Akkoyunlu, M. Emin Baysal, Ahmet Sarucan

189

A Group Decision Making Model with Intuitionistic Fuzzy Preference Relations Hülya Behret

195

Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process with Type-2 Fuzzy Sets Cengiz Kahraman, Irem Uçal Sari, Ebru Turanoglu

201

Fuzzy DEA Approach to Solve the Location Selection of Wind Energy Nihal Erginel, Merve Yalçinkaya, Sevil ùenturk

207

An Integrated Methodology Combining Fuzzy Goal Programming and Fuzzy AHP: Case of ELT in Turkey Yesim Kop, Mujde Erol Genevois, Hakki Ziya Ulukan

213

Prioritizing the Stakeholder Requirements in QFDE with FAHP Ilke Bereketli, Mujde Erol Genevois

219

Fuzzy Multi Attribute Valuation of Software Projects in Banking via Fuzzy Real Options Using Balanced Scorecard Ozlem Afacan, A. Cagri Tolga

225

A Cognitive Group Decision Support System for Projects Evaluation Fahimeh Ramezani, Jie Lu

231

Fuzzy Forecasting of Interest Rates in Investment Decisions Irem Uçal Sari, Cengiz Kahraman

237

Performance Evaluation of Turkish Retail Firms Using the Fuzzy AHP, Promethee, ELECTRE and VIKOR Methods Ufuk Bölükbaú, Erkan Çelik, Ali Fuat Güneri

243

Fuzzy Axiomatic Design Simulation for Evaluating the Conceptual Aircraft Designs Ahmet Kandakoglu, Cengiz Kahraman, Ilker Topcu

249

Criteria Weighing and 4P’s Planning in Marketing Using a Fuzzy Metric Distance and AHP Hybrid Method Tuncay Gürbüz, Y. Esra Albayrak, Elif Alaybeyo÷lu

255

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xi

Evaluation of Urban Regeneration Strategies Using VIKOR Method: The Case of Istanbul - Galata District Nihan C. Demirel, Ömer Onur Kaya, Tufan Demirel

261

Weighting the Criteria of Green Supply Chain Management for Supplier Selection in Automotive Industry Using Fuzzy ANP Serhat Tüzün, Tufan Demirel

267

Modelling a Pay Structure by Using Grey Relations Analysis Integrated with Fuzzy AHP Ahmet Can Kutlu

273

An Integrated Multi-Criteria Decision Making Methodology for Facility Location Selection Problem Under Fuzzy Environment: Application in Cement Sector Irem Otay, Ferhan Çebi

279

A Decision Support System for Two-Echelon Service Supply Chains Bariú Selçuk

285

A Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process Methodology for the Supplier Selection Problem Pinar Mizrak Ozfirat, Gokcecicek Tuna, Gonca Tuncel

291

PART 2. UNCERTAINTY MODELING

301

Fuzzy Modeling and Optimization Angel Garrido, Piedad Yuste

303

Analyzing Maturity Levels of Turkish SMEs in Respect to ERP and Lean Manufacturing Applications: A Relational Model Ufuk Cebeci, Çagatay Iris

309

A Possibilistic Mathematical Programming Approach for Backbone Selection and Demand Allocation Problem in Telecom Networks H. H. Turan, N. Sener

315

A Modified QFD Technique for Product R&D Selcuk Cebi, Emrullah Demirci

321

An Incremental Collaborative Filtering Algorithm for Recommender Systems Maytiyanin Komkhao, Zhong Li, Wolfgang Halang, Jie Lu

327

A Judgement Method for Earthquake Early Warning Information Hongchang An, Jie Lu, Guangquan Zhang

333

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xii

Medical Skills Assessment in Training Based on Virtual Reality Using a Possibilistic Approach Liliane S. Machado, Ronei M. Moraes

339

A Novel Class-Attribute Interdependency Discretization Algorithm Hongliang Zheng, Li Zou, Deqin Yan

346

The Task of Minimum Cost Flow Finding in Transportation Networks in Fuzzy Conditions Alexandr Bozhenyuk, Evgeniya Gerasimenko, Igor Rozenberg

354

Path Identifying in Points-To Analysis for Java with Answer Set Programming Yang Bo, Zhang Ying, Zhang Ming-Yi

360

A Heuristic Based on Multi Objective Linear Programming Under Fuzziness for the Vehicle Routing Problem Gulcin Dinc Yalcin, Nihal Erginel

368

Rank Reversals and Testing of Pairwise Comparisons Based NonNumerical Rankings Ryszard Janicki, Yun Zhai

374

Modeling a Boiling Process By Means of a Takagi-Sugeno-FuzzyModel Daniel Fiss, Michael Wagenknecht, Rainer Hampel

382

A New Improved Bat Algorithm for Fuzzy Interactive Multi-Objective Economic/Emission Dispatch with Load and Wind Power Uncertainty Rasoul Azizipanah-Abarghooee, Taher Niknam

388

Handling Nonlinear Large-Scale Problems with Modified Firefly Algorithm Bahman Bahmanifirouzi, Abdollah Kavousi Fard, Taher Niknam

394

An Efficient Fuzzy Programming Approach to the Vehicle Routing Problem with Soft Time Windows Sezgin Kilic, Sezgin Kaplan

400

Enhance Green Supply Chain Management Capability to Develop an Eco-Friendly Enterprise: A Fuzzy QFD Approach Ching-Torng Lin

406

Agent-Based Modelling and Simulation Through Video Observation Analysis Shahrol Mohamaddan, Keith Case

412

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xiii

A Bayesian Framework for Uncertainty Formulation of Engineering Design Process M. Rajabalinejad, C. Spitas

418

Quantum Gates and Active Set Theory of Agents Germano Resconi, Chris Hinde

424

Mixture Augmented Lagrange Multiplier Method for Tensor Recovery Huachun Tan, Bin Cheng, Jianshuai Feng, Guangdong Feng, Wuhong Wang, Yu-Jin Zhang

430

Asymptotic Results for the Ergodic Distribution of an Inventory Model with Fuzzy Demands Tahir Khaniyev , Cihan Aksop, Baúak Gever

436

Process Chain Model for Corporate Social Responsibility Projects Funda Çinar, Esra Bas

442

Multi Mode Resource Constrained Project Scheduling Problems with Solving Taboo Search Omer Atli, Cengiz Kahraman

448

A Power Model of Enterprise Interests’ Allocation Xiaohong Liu

454

Evaluation of Airport Passenger Terminals Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Çi÷dem Kadaifçi, Ilker Topcu

460

Implementation of Maximin and Maximal Solutions for Linear Programming Problems Under Uncertainty Nathan Huntley, Rolando Quiñones, Keivan Shariatmadar, Erik Quaeghebeur, Gert De Cooman, Etienne Kerre

465

A New C × K - Nearest Neighbor Linkage Approach to the Classification Problem Gözde Ulutagay, Efendi Nasibov

471

Analyzing Competitiveness of Automotive Industry Through Cumulative Belief Degrees Özgür Kabak, Füsun Ülengin, ùule Önsel, Özay Özaydin, Emel Aktaú

477

Using Surrogate Models for Process Design and Optimization A. Shokry, A. D. Bojarski, A. Espuña

483

A Chance Constrained Programming Model for Shortest Path Problem with Fuzzy Constraints Pinar Dursun, Erhan Bozdag

489

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xiv

Proactive and Reactive Scheduling with Fuzzy Activity Times Marek Janczura, Dorota Kuchta

495

Using Fuzzy Set Theory for Water Quality Evaluation of Wulihu Lake, China Yuankun Wang, Dong Sheng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu

501

Newsvendor Problem with One-Shot Decision Theory Peijun Guo, Xiuyan Ma

507

A Two-Phased Additive Approach for Multiple Objective Supplier Selection with Fuzzy Demand Level Feyzan Arikan

513

Selection of Reverse Logistics Provider for a Paper Firm Jihene Jlassi, Abederrahman El Mhamedi, Habib Chabchoub

519

A Fuzzy Cognitive Map Application for Causes of Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains Secil Ercan, Mine Isik, Seyda S. Asan, Gulgun Kayakutlu

525

Uncertainties and Handling Methods in Supply Chain: A Literature Review Erhan Yazici, Murat Baskak, Gülçin Büyüközkan

531

Uncertainty Modelling in Supply Chain Management: The Trend in the Use of Fuzzy Set Theory Özgür Kabak

541

Collaborative Partner Evaluation with Multi-Criteria Decision Making Techniques Jbid Arsenyan, Gülçin Büyüközkan

547

PART 3. FOUNDATIONS OF COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE

553

The Real Algebraic Normal Form: Fuzzy Boolean Logic Satisfying ǻf = 0 Michael Vielhaber

555

Multi-Expert Decision Making Using Logical Aggregation Ana Poledica, Aleksandar Rakicevic, Dragan Radojevic

561

On Evaluations of Propositional Formulas Whose Range is a Subset of Some Fixed Countable Ordered Field Dragan Doder, Zoran Ognjanoviü, Aleksandar Peroviü, Miodrag Raškoviü

567

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xv

Logical Aggregation for Modular Neural Networks in Currency Exchange Rate Forecasting Ivan Nesic, Aleksandar Rakicevic, Bratislav Petrovic, Dragan Radojevic

573

Extending AHP with Boolean Consistent Fuzzy Logic and Its Application in Web Service Selection Ivana Dragoviü, Nina Turajliü, Dragan Radojevic

579

Cut Systems in ȍ-Sets and Reflections JiĜí MoþkoĜ

586

Duality Principles in Residuated Lattices Irina Perfilieva

592

Interpolativity of "At Least–At Most" Models of Monotone Fuzzy Rule Bases: Multiple-Input Case Martin ŠtČpniþka, Balasubramaniam Jayaram

598

A Method for Solving Fuzzy Relation Equations in Complete Brouwerian Lattices Xiaobing Qu, Xue-Ping Wang, Feng Sun

608

Fuzzy Transform for Image Reconstruction Irina Perfilieva, Pavel Vlašánek, Michaela Wrublová

615

Remarks to Model Theory in Higher Order Fuzzy Logic Vilém Novák

621

Interval-Valued Fuzzy Relational Equations with Min-Implication Qing-Quan Xiong, Xue-Ping Wang

627

Fuzzy Lattice Reasoning (FLR) Classifier for Human Facial Expression Recognition S. E. Papadakis, V. G. Kaburlasos, G. A. Papakostas

633

Fuzzy Cosets of Fuzzy Subgroups Relative to Fuzzy Subgroups Lan Shu, Zhaohao Wang

639

Two Topological Operators of Fuzzy Finite Automata Zhiwen Mo, Na Feng

645

On Fuzzy Rough Concept Lattices Chang Shu, Zhi Wen Mo

652

Study on the N-Inequality in the Lattice Implication Algebra*II Long Xiqing, Xu Yang, He Xingxing

658

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xvi

The Product of Quantum Automata Mo Zhi-Wen, Chen Qing-Lei, Liu Jun

664

Image Matching Based on Medium Similarity Measure Ningning Zhou, Long Hong

670

Feature-Based Off-Line Recognition of Degraded Numeral Characters Weiqing Cheng, Long Hong, Feier Zhu, Xiang Li, Jian Li

676

On Measure Method to the Two-Phase Uncertainty and Its Application Yulong Deng, Long Hong

684

Filters and deductive systems on residuated multilattices I. P. Cabrera, P. Cordero, G. Gutiérrez, J. Martínez, M. Ojeda-Aciego

690

ǹ-Multi Ary Semantic Resolution Methods Based on Lattice-Valued Propositional Logic LP(X) Yi Liu, Xiaoyan Qin, Yang Xu

696

An Optimal Spectrum Allocation Scheme Based on Stackelberg Game in Macro/Femtocell Hierarchical Networks Peng Xu, Yang Xu

702

A Study on Fuzzy D-Implications A. G. Hatzimichailidis, G. A. Papakostas, V. G. Kaburlasos

708

Research Advances on Resolution Automated Reasoning in LatticeValued Logic Based on Lattice Implication Algebra Yang Xu, Xiaomei Zhong, Xingxing He, Jun Liu

714

General Form of ǹ-Linear Resolution Method Based on Lattice-Valued Propositional Logic System LP(X) Weitao Xu, Dexian Zhang, Hua Zhu, Yang Xu

720

N-Truth Degrees of Formulae in Two-Valued Predicate Logic Qin Xiaoyan, Liu Yi, Xu Yang

726

Auto-Associative Memories Based on Complete Inf-Semilattices Peter Sussner, Carlos Renato Medeiros

732

An Extended Variable Consistency Model Under Dominance-Based Rough Sets Dun Liu, Tianrui Li

738

Lifting Quasi-Filters of Lattice Implication Algebras Xiaodong Pan, Xiaohong Liu

744

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xvii

Intuitionistic Fuzzy Propositional System Based on Linguistic TruthValued Intuitionistic Fuzzy Lattice Li Zou, Xin Liu, Dengen Huang

750

Fuzzy Membership Function Construction Based on Multi-Valued Evaluation Vasile Patrascu

756

Interval Identification of Uncertain Nonlinear Systems Using Belief Rule-Based Systems Yu-Wang Chen, Dong-Ling Xu, Jian-Bo Yang

762

Construction of Strong Equality Index From Implication Operators H. Bustince, J. Fernandez, J. A. Sanz, D. Paternain, M. Baczyski, G. Beliakov, R. Mesiar

769

On Derivations of Lattice Implication Algebras Hua Zhu, Jianbin Zhao, Weitao Xu, Yang Xu

775

Some Remarks on a Numerical Representation Theorem By Newman and Read J. C. Candeal, E. Induráin, G. B. Mehta

781

Conditional Choquet Expectation Hongxia Wang, Shoumei Li, Juan Gao

787

Ascribing Strong Causes From Observational and Interventional Data Under the Belief Function Framework Imen Boukhris, Salem Benferhat, Zied Elouedi

794

SMOTE-FRST: A New Resampling Method Using Fuzzy Rough Set Theory E. Ramentol, N. Verbiest, R. Bello, Y. Caballero, C. Cornelis, F. Herrera

800

Dealing with Natural Language Interfaces in a Geolocation Context Mohammed-Amine Abchir, Isis Truck, Anna Pappa

806

Induced and Heavy Aggregation Operators José M. Merigó, Yejun Xu

812

PART 4. STATISTICS, DATA ANALYSIS AND DATA MINING

819

Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data: Statistical and Fuzzy Logic RBF ANN Approach Dusan Marcek

821

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xviii

Statistical Models, SV Regression Models and Soft Neural Networks: An Application to the Input-Output Function Estimation of Sales Processes Dusan Marcek

827

A Hybrid Approach to Selecting Informative Constraints for SemiSupervised Clustering Xianhua Ni, Yan Yang

833

Analysis of the Impacts of the Data Length on the Uncertainty of the Archimedean Copula Modeling Tong Xin, Wang Dong, Chen Yuanfang

839

An Initial Research to Segment a Crowdsourcing Project Participants Using Text Mining Baúar Öztayúi, Lara Cemcem

845

Spare Part Demand Forecasting with Bayesian Model Sinan Apak

851

Decision Making in Complex Environments with Uncertain Generalized Unified Aggregation Operators José M. Merigó

857

Software Cost Estimation By Fuzzy Analogy for ISBSG Repository Ali Idri, Fatima Azzahra Amazal

863

Probabilistic Kernel Ranking Bernd-Jürgen Falkowski

869

Probabilistic Operation Management for a Microgrid Based on Point Estimate Method and Modified Gravitational Search Algorithm Masoud Jabbari, Faranak Golestaneh, Taher Niknam

875

Effectiveness Evaluation of Complex Networks: A Simulation-Based Algorithm Wuhong Wang, Fuguo Hou, Rongjie Lin, Fang Li

881

A New “Implicit” Parameter Estimation for Conditional Gaussian Bayesian Networks Aida Jarraya, Afif Masmoudi, Philippe Leray

887

Dissimilarity-Based Bipolar Supervised Classification J. Tinguaro Rodríguez, Javier Montero, Begoña Vitoriano

894

Using Group Method of Data Handling for Brain Computer Interface Ravikanth Varaganti, Vitaly Schetinin

900

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UApriori: An Algorithm for Finding Sequential Patterns in Probabilistic Data Metanat Hooshsadat, Samaneh Bayat, Parisa Naeimi, Mahdieh S. Mirian, Osmar R. Zaïane

907

Seasonal Variation of Turkey: A Consensus Clustering Approach Ayca Yetere Kursun, Cem Iyigun, Ceylan Yozgatligil, Inci Batmaz

913

Spatial Analysis Based Method for Detection of Data Traffic Problems in Computer Networks Grzegorz Kolaczek

919

Uncertainty and a New Measure for Classification Uncertainty Haluk Damgacio÷lu, Cem Iyigün

925

A New Process Monitoring Control Chart Su-Fen Yang, Chung-Ming Yang

931

Forecasting Future Enrollments to Universities of North Cyprus Through Trend Centrality Based on Fuzzy Time Series Ebru Turanoglu, Ozlem Senvar

937

Fuzzy Expert System for Forecasting Return Amount in Reverse Logistics Gül Tekin Temur, Muhammet Balcilar, Bersam Bolat

942

PART 5. INTELLIGENT INFORMATION PROCESSING

949

Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Networks and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System Models Gholamali Ghafari, Mehdi Vafakhah

951

Fuzzy Rule-Based Demand Forecasting for Dynamic Pricing Özlem Coúgun, Yeliz Ekinci, Seda U÷urlu

957

Neural Network and Parameter Production Modeling: Metaheuristics Clustering Methods A. F. Bernate Lara, F. Dugardin, F. Yalaoui, F. Entzmann

963

In-Core Sensors Readings Diagnostics Based on Neuro-Fuzzy Techniques Stefan Figedy

969

An Approach for Attribute Reduction in Set-Valued Ordered Information Systems Based on Information Entropy Chuan Luo, Tianrui Li, Hongmei Chen, Junbo Zhang

975

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Hybrid Simulated Annealing/Genetic Algorithm Approach to Buffer Allocation Problem in Unreliable Production Lines Simge Yelkenci Kose, Ozcan Kilincci

981

A Substitute Keyword Suggestion Method for Search Engine Advertising Qiang Wei, Jin Zhang, Guoqing Chen, Xunhua Guo

987

Supporting Situation Awareness Using Neural Network and Expert System Mohsen Naderpour, Jie Lu

993

Making Intelligent Decisions on Noisy Images Gonzalo Farias, Sebastián Dormido-Canto, Matilde Santos, Jesús Vega

999

SME Clustering Based on Innovation Needs Ayca Altay, Didem Cinar, Gulgun Kayakutlu, Irem Duzdar

1005

Artificial Neural Network for Discrete Model Order Reduction with Frequency Selectivity Othman M. K. Alsmadi, Zaer. S. Abo-Hammour, Adnan M. Al-Smadi

1011

Response of Soil-Structure Interaction System Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Badreddine Sbartai, Kamel Goudjil

1017

Recognition of Individuals Based on Hand Geometry Silarbi Samiya, Bendahmane Abderrahmane, Benyettou Abdelkader

1023

An New Belief Rule Base Representation Scheme and Its Generation By Learning From Examples J. Liu, L. Martínez, H. Wang, A. Calzada, S. W. Chen

1030

Estimation of Prediction Intervals of Neural Network Models By a Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm Ronay Ak, Yanfu Li, Enrico Zio

1036

PART 6. PRODUCTIVITY AND RELIABILITY

1043

Load Average Forecast: A New Monitor to Analyse Instability in Computer Systems Victoria Lopez, Guadalupe Miñana

1045

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Computation of Component Importance Measures for Reliability of Complex Systems Qamar Mahboob, Faisal Maqbool Zahid, Eric Schöne, Michael Kunze, Jochen Trinckauf

1051

On the Revision to the Result of Finance Early-Warning Logit Model From the Perspective of Efficiency Shuangjie Li, Shao Wang

1058

Fuzzy AHP/DEA Approach for Relative Efficiency of State University in Turkey Ahmet Çalik, Nimet Yapici Pehlivan, Ahmet Pekgör

1064

Improving the Computational Complexity and Weights Dispersion in Fuzzy DEA Saber Saati, Adel Hatami-Marbini

1070

General DEA with Fuzzy Data Hilda Saleh, Mohsen Rostamy-Malkhalifeh, Zohreh Moghaddas

1076

Efficiency Analysis Under Imprecise Inputs and Outputs Reduction Kobra Gholami, Farhad Hosseinzadeh Lotfi, Adel Hatami-Marbini, Per J Agrell, Zahra Ghelej Beigi

1082

Resource Allocation and Target Setting in Interval Data Envelopment Analysis Zahra Ghelej Beigi, Farhad Hosseinzadeh Lotfi, Adel Hatami-Marbini, Per J Agrell, Kobra Gholami

1087

Project Risk Management Taking Into Consideration the Influence of Various Risk Levels Based on Linguistic Approach Dorota Kuchta, Dariusz Skorupka

1093

Risk Assessment of the Spanish National Railway System A. Mateos, A. Jimenez, H. J. Pichardo

1099

Performance Evaluation of Lot Sizing Strategy via Discrete Event Simulation Serdar Baysan, Cagatay Iris, Mehmet Mutlu Yenisey

1105

PART 7. APPLIED RESEARCH

1111

A Heuristic Approach for Provider Selection and Task Allocation Model in Telecommunication Networks Under Stochastic QOS Guaranties Hasan Huseyin Turan, Nihat Kasap

1113

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xxii

A New Architecture for Assessment of Multiple Users in Collaborative Medical Training Environments Based on Virtual Reality Ronei M. Moraes, Liliane S. Machado

1119

Large-Scale Spatial Grassland Fire Spread Simulation Based on GIS Xingpeng Liu, Jiquan Zhang, Zhijun Tong

1125

Decomposing Relation Schemes of Group-Buying Aggregators in ECommerce: A Reverse Engineering Approach Ming Ren, Qiang Wei

1131

A Bibliometric Exploration of the Evolution of 3D Technology Gizem øntepe, Tufan Koç

1137

ANFIS Model for Vibration Signals of an Induction Motor Based on Aging Process Decreasing the Nonlinearity D. Bayram, S. ùeker

1143

Modelling the Solid Fraction Transport of a Fiber Suspension with Cellular Automata Stefan Kittan, Wolfgang Kaestner

1149

Reducing EMI in Multiple-Output DC Converters with Chaos Control Yuhong Song, Zhong Li, Junying Niu, Guidong Zhang, Wolfgang Halang, Holger Hirsch

1155

An Application of Filled Function Method to the Hardness Property of Fe-Mn Binary Alloys Ahmet Sahiner, Havva Gokkaya

1161

Shedding Light on the Underlying Long-Run Price Leadership: A Study of US Gasoline Price Data Takamitsu Kurita

1167

Individual Assessment Model of the Public Spreading in the Environmental Pollution Accident Bin Luo, Xiaohong Liu, Xiaodong Pan

1173

Neutron Power Control of a Triga Mark III Reactor Using Stable Adaptive Fuzzy Control Benítez-Read, Jorge S., Rojas-Ramírez, Erick, Quintana-Carapia, Gustavo

1179

A Framework Proposal Upon the Estimation of Electronic-Waste Products in Istanbul Tugba Efendigil, Vildan Ozkir, Nihan C. Demirel, Tufan Demirel, Onder Ondemir

1184

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xxiii

Variance Reduction for Financial Options Pricing Semih Yön, Cafer Erhan BozdaЂ

1190

Learning Capabilities and their Effect on Organizational Capabilities: An Empirical Approach Sezi Çevik Onar

1196

Ensemble of Neural Networks for Detection and Classification of Faults in Nuclear Power Systems Roozbeh Razavi-Far, Piero Baraldi, Enrico Zio

1202

An Area Defuzzification Technique and Essential Fuzzy Rules for Defuzzifying Nuclear Event Failure Possibilities Into Reliability Data Julwan Hendry Purba, Jie Lu, Guangquan Zhang

1208

Multivariable Robust Control System: Application to a Plasma Reactor Karima Chaker, Abdelkrim Moussaoui

1214

Application of Genetic Algorithms to the Optimization of the Robustness of Controllers Matilde Santos, Nicolás Antequera

1221

A Hybrid Ensemble Approach for Process Parameter Estimation in Offshore Oil Platforms Piero Baraldi, Francesca Mangili, Enrico Zio, Giulio Gola, Bent H. Nystad

1227

Heuristic GP Optimization Technique for Design Synthesis of Monotonic Objectives Sayed M. Metwalli

1233

Quadcopter See and Avoid Using a Fuzzy Controller M. A. Olivares-Mendez, Luis Mejias, Pascual Campoy, Ignacio Mellado-Bataller

1239

Decision Fuzzy System on the State of Delayed Vehicles Matilde Santos, Manuel G. Romana

1245

Visual Interpretation of Fabric Tactile Properties Using Fuzzy Inclusion Degree and ANFIS Zhebin Xue, Xianyi Zeng, Ludovic Koehl, Yan Chen

1251

Fuzzy Logic Assisted Helicopter UAV Flight Control A. J. Van Der Wal

1257

Making Presentations Using Fuzzy Logic in a Tour-Guide Robot J. Javier Rainer, Ramón Galán, Agustín Jiménez

1263

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xxiv

A Small World Optimization for Multiple Objects Optimization of Mixed-Model Assembly Line Problem with Parallel Machine ùükran ùeker, Mesut Özgürler

1269

A Hybrid Bees Algorithm for Solving a Robotic Assembly Line Balancing Problem Slim Daoud, Farouk Yalaoui, Lionel Amodeo, Hicham Chehade, Philippe Duperray

1275

Throughput Analysis of Two-Machine-One-Buffer Line Model: A Comparative Study Yassine Ouazene, Alice Yalaoui, Hicham Chehade

1281

Mixed Model Assembly Line Balancing with Subassembly Selection in Automotive Industry Rifat Gurcan Ozdemir, Ufuk Kula

1287

Matheuristics for the Multi-Item Lot-Sizing with Vehicle Routing Problem Heitor Liberalino, Christophe Duhamel, Alain Quilliot

1293

Scheduling Job and Preventive Maintenance to Obtain Trade-Off Between Cmax and Availability of 2-Level Flow-Shop F. Hnaien, F. Yalaoui

1299

A Multi-Objective Method to Solve a Container Terminal Problem Farah Belmecheri-Yalaoui, Farouk Yalaoui, Lionel Amodeo

1305

Fuzzy Chance Constrained Programming for Warehouse Location Problem with Imprecise Customer Demand Ceren Buket Kayi, Erhan Bozdag

1311

AUTHOR INDEX

1317

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IMPROVING THE COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY AND WEIGHTS DISPERSION IN FUZZY DEA SABER SAATI* Department of Mathematics, Tehran-North Branch, Islamic Azad University, P.O. Box 19585-936, Tehran, Iran ADEL HATAMI-MARBINI LSM, Center of Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), Universite catholique de Louvain, 34 Voie du Roman Pays, L1.03.01, B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium One of the prominent features of standard and fuzzy data envelopment analysis (DEA) is the representation of each of the participating decision making units (DMUs) in the best possible light. This causes two problems; first, the different set of factor weights with large number of zeros and second a large number of linear programming models to solve. In this paper, we propose an efficient method to address these two problems. In proposed method by solving just one linear programming a Common Set of Weights (CSW) is achieved in fuzzy DEA. Since resulted efficiencies by the proposed CSW are interval numbers rather than crisp values, it is more informative for decision maker. The proposed model is applied to a numerical example to demonstrate the concept.

1. Introduction Data envelopment analysis (DEA) [1] is a widely used non-parametric frontier analysis method, implemented in linear programming, for comparing the inputs and outputs of a set of comparable decision making units (DMUs). The flexibility of the DEA models, i.e. the absence of a priori assumptions on the production technology, is implemented through a minimal spanning hull. This flexibility in combination with the number of input and output dimensions normally render a relatively high proportion of the DMUs fully technically efficient, in particular for limited datasets. Between these value-free and value-exact approaches, Thompson et al. [2] used boundary conditions (bounds) for the virtual multipliers in DEA standard models. Solutions to these models identified only one efficient DMU for location of the lab in Texas. A series of possible approaches for setting bounds on factor weights in DEA have been put forward [2-3]. *

Email: [email protected]

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Imposing bounds on factor weights, limits the flexibility of DEA in assigning individual sets of weights to each of the participating DMUs. In the extreme case, when no flexibility is allowed, a common set of weights (CSW) is applied for the assessment of all DMUs [4-7]. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to reduce the computational complexities and costs as well as overcoming pitfalls in the fuzzy DEA including the zero-value and differing weights and multiple solutions. Initially, we determine the lower and upper bounds of factor weights by comparing the data. We then use a linear programming problem to determine a CSW. Finally, we calculate the efficiency of the DMUs with the obtained CSW as intervals. The proposed models are applied to a numerical example. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 we present the basic DEA models. In Section 3 we present the details of our proposed method and Section 4 contains a numerical example. The paper is closed in Section 5 with conclusions and some suggested future research directions. 2. Basic DEA Models Let us assume that there are n DMUs to be evaluated where each DMUj, j = 1,2,..., n convert m inputs into s outputs. Suppose xij (i = 1,!, m , j = 1,! , n) and yrj (r = 1,! , s , j = 1,! , n) are the ith input and the rth output of DMUj, respectively. The relative efficiency of DMUP, p ∈ {1,2,..., n} , is defined as the maximum value of θ p and can be obtained by using the following programming model (for constant returns to scale, CRS) [1]: s

max θ p = m

s.t.

¦u y

r rp

r =1

¦v x

i ip

i =1 s

=1 m

¦u y − ¦ v x r rj

r =1

i ij

i =1

ur , vi ≥ 0,

≤ 0,

∀j , ∀r , i.

(1) The relative efficiency of DMUP is determined by assigning weights to the inputs and outputs of the DMU and maximizing the ratio of the weighted sum of outputs to the weighted sum of inputs. The only underlying assumption for the weights of the inputs and outputs is non-negativity which is recognized as either a weakness or strength of the traditional DEA models. In addition, with respect to weights flexibility, some of input and output weights take the zero values. In the original DEA and its extensions, all the inputs and outputs assume the form

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of specific numerical values. In many real-world problems, however, the data can be imprecise or vague or described by qualitative terms. Fuzzy logic and fuzzy sets can represent imprecise or ambiguous data in DEA by formalizing inaccuracy in decision making [8]. The fuzzy CCR model with bounded factor weights is as follows:

max θ p =

s

¦ u y

r rp

r =1

m

¦ v x

s.t.

i ip

= 1,

i =1 s

¦

m

ur yrj −

r =1

¦ v x

i ij

≤ 0,

∀j,

i =1

U rl ≤ ur ≤ U ru ,

∀r , Vi l ≤ vi ≤ Viu , ∀i.

(2) where, U rl , U rl , U rl and U rl are lower and upper bounds on output and input weights, respectively. Note that in the fuzzy CCR model (2) the right hand sides of the constraints are assumed to be crisp values because they are similar to the original CCR model used for normalization of the value of the efficiency in the objective function. 3. Proposed Model In this study we use triangular fuzzy numbers to develop our model. However, our model is adaptable to other types of fuzzy numbers. To assess a CSW, an upper bound is determined for each factor. This is done by considering the following problems: max u p (or vt ) m

s.t.

¦ v ~x

i ij

i =1 s

¦ r =1

≤1

ur ~ yrj −

m

¦ v ~x

i ij

i =1

ur , vi ≥ 0,

≤ 0,

∀j , ∀r , i.

(3) The following model, therefore, can be obtained when fuzzy coefficients in model (3) are assumed to be triangular fuzzy numbers denoted as ~ xij = ( xijl , xijm , xiju ) and ~ yrj = ( yrjl , yrjm , yrju ) :

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max u p

(or vt )

m

¦v (x , x

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s.t.

l ij

i

m u ij , xij )

≤ 1,

i =1 s

¦

∀j , m

ur ( yrjl ,

r =1

yrjm ,

ur , vi ≥ 0,

yrju )



¦v (x , x i

i =1

l ij

m u ij , xij )

≤ 0,

∀j ,

∀r , i.

(4)

By introducing Į-cuts of constraints, the following model is obtained:

max u p

(or vt )

m

s.t.

¦[αx

+ (1 − α ) xijl , αxijm + (1 − α ) xiju ]vi ≤ 1

m ij

∀j ,

i =1 s

¦[αy

m rj

+ (1 − α ) yrjl , αyrjm + (1 − α ) yrju ]ur

r =1 m



¦ [αx

m ij

i =1

+ (1 − α ) xijl , αxijm + (1 − α ) xiju ]vi ≤ 0,

u r , vi ≥ 0,

∀j ,

(5)

∀r , i.

Since (5) has a special structure, so the upper and lower bounds of weights may achieved by comparing their constraints [9]. Since the weights are restricted to non-negativity, hence the lower bound of weights is zero, that is Vil = 0 and U rl = 0 (∀i, r ) . Considering the first constraints of (6), the upper bounds of input weights are calculated as follows:

­° ½° 1 Vt u = min ® m ¾ l 1≤ j ≤ n α x + (1 − α ) x ° tj ¿ ¯° tj

(6)

And using the second constraints of (6), the upper bounds of output weights are determined as follows:

­ m m u u ½ °° ¦ [α xij + (1 − α ) xij ]Vi °° U up = min ® i =1 ¾ m l 1≤ j ≤ n ° α y pj + (1 − α ) y pj ° °¯ °¿

(7)

Starting from bounded model (2), a CSW can be achieved by expressing the deviation from either bound as a fraction of the range between the upper and lower bounds. Assuming the same deviation from bounds across all DMUs and applying Saati et al. [6] method, we get:

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max φ m

s.t.

¦ xˆ

ij

≤1

∀j ,

i =1

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s

m

¦ yˆ − ¦ xˆ rj

ij

r =1

≤ 0,

∀j ,

(8)

i =1

[α xijm + (1 − α ) xijl ]vi ≤ xˆij ≤ [α xijm + (1 − α ) xiju ]vi

∀i, j ,

[α y + (1 − α ) y ]ur ≤ yˆ rj ≤ [α y + (1 − α ) y ]ur

∀r , j ,

m rj

l rj

m rj

ur , vi ≥ 0,

u rj

∀r , i.

A CSW is obtained by solving (8), and the interval efficiency of each DMU can be evaluated as follows: s ª s * * m l m u º « ¦ ur ª¬α yrj + (1 − α ) yrj º¼ ¦ ur ª¬α yrj + (1 − α ) yrj º¼ » l u » ∀j e j = [e j , e j ] = « r =m1 , r =m1 * m l « v* ªα x m + (1 − α ) xu º vi ¬ªα xij + (1 − α ) xij ¼º » ¦ i ¬ ij ij ¼ «¬ ¦ »¼ i =1 i =1

where,

(9)

ur* (r = 1,..., s) and vi* (i = 1,..., m) are optimal values of (8).

4. Numerical Example In this section, we use the proposed method and demonstrate the applicability of our framework and exhibit the simplicity and efficacy of the procedures with an example. In this illustration, we address a problem with 10 hypothetical DMUs introduced in [7]. The resulted upper bounds of output and input weights are presented in Table 1. Table 1. The CSW by proposed model. Į 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1

Iu1 0.0581 0.0568 0.0556 0.0543 0.0532 0.0526

Upper bounds Iu2 Ou1 0.0055 0.0172 0.0055 0.0164 0.0054 0.0155 0.0054 0.0147 0.0054 0.0140 0.0054 0.0136

Ou2 0.0016 0.0016 0.0015 0.0014 0.0014 0.0014

v1 0.0388 0.0379 0.0370 0.0362 0.0355 0.0351

Factor weights v2 u1 0.0037 0.0044 0.0036 0.0042 0.0036 0.0040 0.0036 0.0037 0.0036 0.0036 0.0036 0.0035

u2 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003

Table 2. The corresponding efficiencies by CSW. DMU A B C D E E G H I J

Į 0.1 [0.2467,0.3093] [0.4107,0.5099] [0.3843,0.5421] [0.3037,0.4259] [0.7641,0.9735] [0.5414,0.6978] [0.3343,0.4237] [0.5587,0.7863] [0.2207,0.2589] [0.3045,0.3795]

0.3 [0.2479,0.2956] [0.4045,0.4778] [0.3872,0.5054] [0.3053,0.3968] [0.7641,0.9226] [0.5407,0.6585] [0.3315,0.3982] [0.5520,0.7178] [0.2175,0.2460] [0.2987,0.3537]

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0.5 [0.2491,0.2825] [0.3982,0.4480] [0.3902,0.4715] [0.3069,0.3698] [0.7641,0.8743] [0.5400,0.6216] [0.3288,0.3744] [0.5452,0.6564] [0.2142,0.2338] [0.2930,0.3300]

0.7 [0.2503,0.2699] [0.3920,0.4204] [0.3931,0.4401] [0.3085,0.3448] [0.7641,0.8285] [0.5393,0.5868] [0.3260,0.3522] [0.5385,0.6012] [0.2109,0.2222] [0.2874,0.3083]

0.9 [0.2514,0.2578] [0.3856,0.3947] [0.3960,0.4111] [0.3100,0.3158] [0.7641,0.7745] [0.5386,0.5463] [0.3231,0.3273] [0.5317,0.5415] [0.2076,0.2094] [0.2817,0.2850]

1 0.2519 0.3825 0.3974 0.3107 0.7641 0.5383 0.3217 0.5282 0.2060 0.2789

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These bounds are introduced in (8) and the CSW is evaluated. This CSW for different Į in [0,1] is presented in Table 1. After fixing the input and output prices for all inputs and outputs, the efficiencies of DMUs are evaluated by (9). The interval efficiencies by the CSW are shown in Table 2 for different Į in [0,1]. 5. Conclusion The calculation of DEA scores requires a linear program per DMU and generates an individual set of endogenous weights for each performance dimension. Given a large number of DMUs in real applications, the computational and conceptual complexities are considerable with weights that are potentially zero-valued or incommensurable across units. To overcome this problem, a procedure for finding a CSW in fuzzy CCR model is suggested. In contrast to the other methods, the presented procedure is very useful and applicable. The proposed algorithm reduces the computational complexities and costs as well as overcoming pitfalls in the DEA including the zero-value and differing weights and multiple solutions. References 1. A. Charnes, W.W., Cooper, and E.L. Rhodes, Measuring the efficiency of decision making units, Eur. J. Operat. Res, 2(6), 429(1978). 2. R.G. Thompson, F. Singleton, R. Thrall, and B. Smith, Comparative site evaluations for locating a high-energy physics lab in Texas. Interfaces, 16, 35(1986). 3. M. Khalili, A.S. Camanho, M.C.A.S. Portela and M.R. Alirezaee, The measurement of relative efficiency using data envelopment analysis with assurance regions that link inputs and outputs. Eur. J. Operat. Res, 203 (3), 761(2010). 4. G.R. Jahanshahloo, F. Hosseinzadeh Lotfi, M. Khanmohammadi, M. Kazemimanesh, and V. Rezaie, Ranking of units by positive ideal DMU with common weights. Expert Syst Appl. 37 (12), 7483(2010). 5. F.H.F. Liu and H.H. Peng, Ranking of DMUs on the DEA frontier with common weights. Comput Oper Res, 35 (5), 1624 (2008). 6. S. Saati, Determining a common set of weights in DEA by solving a linear programming. J Ind Eng Int, 4 (6), 5(2008). 7. S. Saati and A. Memariani, Reducing weight flexibility in fuzzy DEA, Appl Math Comput, 161(2), 611(2005). 8. A. Hatami-Marbini, A. Emrouznejad and M. Tavana, A taxonomy and review of the fuzzy data envelopment analysis literature: Two decades in the making. Eur. J. Operat. Res, 214(3), 457(2011). 9. R.E., Moore, B.B. Kearfortt, and M.J. Cloud, Introduction to interval analysis, SIAM, Philadelphia, pp. 11(2009).

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