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Delphi (ILIâNearby). Delphi. Delphi. Delphi. Day it is available. Beginning of Next Season. Friday 4 Weeks after Target Week. Friday 3 Weeks after Target Week.

Percent Error in wILI Estimates, by Location HHS Region 1

HHS Region 2

HHS Region 3

HHS Region 4

HHS Region 5

HHS Region 6

HHS Region 7

HHS Region 8

HHS Region 9

HHS Region 10

US National

1.00

0.75

0.50

0.25

0.00

Proportion of Estimates within Error Threshold

1.00

0.75

0.50

0.25

0.00

Estimate source±30% ±40% ±50% Day it±60% is available ±0% ±10% ±20% ±70% ±80% ±90% ±100% ±110%

1.00

0.75

ILINet (finalized value)

Beginning of Next Season

ILINet

Friday 4 Weeks after Target Week

ILINet

Friday 3 Weeks after Target Week

ILINet (first revision)

Friday 2 Weeks after Target Week

ILINet (initial report)

Friday of Week after Target Week

Delphi (ILI−Nearby)

Monday of Week after Target Week

Delphi

Monday of Target Week

Delphi

Monday of Week before Target Week

Delphi

Monday 2 Weeks before Target Week

0.50

Based on seasons 2010/2011 to 2015/2016, EW44 to EW17: 157 estimates per curve.

0.25

0.00 ±0% ±10% ±20% ±30% ±40% ±50% ±60% ±70% ±80% ±90% ±100% ±110% ±0% ±10% ±20% ±30% ±40% ±50% ±60% ±70% ±80% ±90% ±100% ±110% ±0% ±10% ±20% ±30% ±40% ±50% ±60% ±70% ±80% ±90% ±100% ±110%

Percent Error Threshold

Estimate source

Day it is available

HHS Region 1 HHS Region 2 HHS Region 3 HHS Region 4 HHS Region 5 HHS Region 6 HHS Region 7 HHS Region 8 HHS Region 9 HHS Region 10 US National

ILINet (finalized value)

Beginning of Next Season

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

±0.0%

ILINet

Friday 4 Weeks after Target Week

±5.5%

±8.6%

±3.9%

±3.9%

±2.8%

±4.0%

±3.7%

±4.6%

±7.4%

±9.3%

±2.9%

ILINet

Friday 3 Weeks after Target Week

±6.5%

±10.0%

±4.7%

±4.4%

±3.3%

±4.3%

±4.7%

±5.2%

±8.2%

±10.8%

±3.2%

ILINet (first revision)

Friday 2 Weeks after Target Week

±7.7%

±12.0%

±6.4%

±5.4%

±4.1%

±5.1%

±8.3%

±6.3%

±11.7%

±13.1%

±4.2%

ILINet (initial report)

Friday of Week after Target Week

±10.5%

±16.2%

±10.2%

±6.9%

±6.9%

±7.2%

±12.7%

±8.1%

±25.1%

±17.2%

±6.4%

Delphi (ILI−Nearby)

Monday of Week after Target Week

±11.5%

±14.3%

±11.8%

±11.7%

±10.3%

±9.8%

±16.5%

±10.1%

±9.0%

±22.2%

±6.9%

Delphi

Monday of Target Week

±14.7%

±18.5%

±15.7%

±15.6%

±14.7%

±15.1%

±22.8%

±14.1%

±10.7%

±31.0%

±10.0%

Delphi

Monday of Week before Target Week

±18.7%

±23.2%

±21.1%

±19.5%

±20.1%

±20.9%

±30.4%

±19.8%

±13.5%

±40.9%

±13.5%

Delphi

Monday 2 Weeks before Target Week

±22.1%

±27.6%

±26.3%

±23.1%

±25.1%

±26.4%

±37.7%

±24.3%

±16.2%

±49.6%

±16.6%