Automated Vehicle Crash Rate Comparison Using Naturalistic Data
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Automated Vehicle Crash Rate Comparison Using Naturalistic Data
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SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted
Self-Driving Car in Autonomous Mode
Crash Rate per Million Miles
20
14.4
15
10 5.6 5 2.5
3.3
1.6
1.6
0 Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Research Questions 1 and 2: How many crashes go unreported to police or insurance? Do unreported crash rates vary by location?
Kinematic only
Erie County, NY King County, WA
Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
SHRP 2 Overall
SHRP 2 Overall Age-Adjusted
SHRP 2 PR
SHRP 2 PR Age-Adjusted
Self-Driving Car 25 20 15 10 5 0 Level 1
Level 2 Crash Severity
Level 3
Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
SHRP 2 Overall
SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted
SHRP 2 PR
SHRP 2 PR Age-Adjusted
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 ≤25
26-35
36-45 46-55 Speed Zone in mph
56-65
>65
Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
SHRP 2 Overall SHRP 2 PR
SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted SHRP 2 PR Age-Adjusted
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
≤25
26-35
36-45 46-55 Speed Zone in mph
Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
SHRP 2 Overall
56-65
>65
SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted
100 90 80 70
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 ≤25
26-35
36-45 46-55 Speed Zone in mph
56-65
>65
SHRP 2 Overall
SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted
SHRP 2 PR
SHRP 2 PR Age-Adjusted
Urban
Locality
Business/Industrial
Church Moderate Residential School Bypass/Divided Highway Open Residential Open Country
Interstate 0
2 4 6 8 Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
10
SHRP 2 Overall
SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted
SHRP 2 PR
SHRP 2 PR Age-Adjusted
Urban Business/Industrial
Locality
Church
Moderate Residential School Bypass/Divided Highway Open Residential Open Country
Interstate 0
5 10 15 Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
SHRP 2 Overall
20
SHRP 2 Age-Adjusted
Urban Business/Industrial
Locality
Church Moderate Residential School Bypass/Divided Highway Open Residential Open Country Interstate 0
20 40 60 80 Crash Rate per Million Miles Driven
100
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
LOS A1
Traffic Density
LOS A2 LOS B LOS C LOS D
LOS E LOS F
0
20
40 60 Percentage
80
100
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Maneuver Judgment
Safe and Legal
Unsafe but Legal
Safe but Illegal
Unsafe and Illegal
0
20
60 40 Percentage
80
100
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Fault
Subject Driver
Another Driver
Not Applicable
0
20
40 60 Percentage
80
100
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Other Vehicle Decelerating
Precipitaing Event
Other Vehicle Slowed/Stopped Other Vehicle Entering Intersection Subject Vehicle Decelerating Subject Vehicle Slowed/Stopped Subject Vehicle Entering Intersection Subject Vehicle Lost Control Subject Over Edge of Road Other 0
20
40 60 Percentage
80
100
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Driver Behavior
Distracted Exceeded Safe Speed Exceeded Speed Limit Fatigue Other
